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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Scotland Premiership · ·Referee: D Nicolson

Kilmarnock 1–1 Hearts

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2026/2027

Home 4.75 fair 3.31
Draw ✓ 4.10 fair 4.24
Away 1.61 fair 2.16
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.38 fair 2.44
Over 2.5 1.57 fair 1.69

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Kilmarnock Hearts
4 Shots 17
0 Shots on target 3
0.23 Expected goals (xG) 1.78
2 Corners 6
13 Fouls 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (40 league matches this season so far).
Result Hearts to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 1.35 – 1.72
Home / Draw / Away
KilmarnockDrawHearts
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8% 1–2 9.3% 0–1 8%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Kilmarnock before this match, all matches
0.67points / match
0.83scored / match
2.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 5:14
Hearts before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.17scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 13:7
Kilmarnock all matches all matches Hearts

Per match

0.83 Goals scored 2.17
2.33 Goals conceded 1.17
3.17 Total goals 3.33
1.00 xG created 1.68
2.36 xG allowed 1.43
10.83 Shots 16.17
4.67 Shots on target 5.67
18.67 Shots faced 10.67
5.33 Corners 7.83
7.00 Corners against 3.67
11.83 Fouls 12.00
2.33 Yellow cards 1.33
0.33 1st-half goals scored 1.33
1.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

17% Wins 67%
17% Draws 0%
67% Losses 33%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 100%
50% Over 3.5 goals 33%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
33% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 83%
33% Clean sheets 17%
50% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 67%
33% Draws 17%
50% Losses 17%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 67%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Kilmarnock all matches
Hearts all matches
Kilmarnock before this match, at home
0.00points / match
0.33scored / match
3.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 1:10
Hearts before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.67scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:5
Kilmarnock at home away Hearts

Per match

0.33 Goals scored 1.67
3.33 Goals conceded 1.67
3.67 Total goals 3.33
0.77 xG created 1.46
3.41 xG allowed 2.13
11.67 Shots 14.00
4.00 Shots on target 4.33
21.33 Shots faced 13.67
5.00 Corners 6.00
5.00 Corners against 4.67
11.67 Fouls 13.00
2.00 Yellow cards 1.67
0.00 1st-half goals scored 1.33
2.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

0% Wins 33%
0% Draws 0%
100% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 100%
67% Over 3.5 goals 33%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
33% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
67% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 67%
0% Draws 33%
100% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Kilmarnock at home
Hearts away

Last 10 matches before this match

Kilmarnock all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.09.26 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 0–1 (0–1) 1.394.756.50 1.44 2.75
05.09.26 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 0–0 (0–0) 1.683.754.50 1.67 2.20
02.09.26 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.402.40 1.83 2.03
29.08.26 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 0–4 (0–3) 2.353.402.70 1.80 2.00
09.08.26 Kilmarnock – Celtic 1–5 (0–3) 7.005.001.37 1.44 2.75
02.08.26 St Johnstone – Kilmarnock 4–3 (1–1) 2.153.403.20 1.83 2.03
17.05.26 Livingston – Kilmarnock 1–4 (1–2) 2.703.502.35 1.80 2.00
12.05.26 Kilmarnock – Dundee 3–1 (0–0) 1.913.603.70 1.80 2.00
09.05.26 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–3 (0–1) 1.913.503.70 1.85 2.00
02.05.26 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 3–0 (1–0) 2.253.502.85 1.73 2.10

Hearts all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.09.26 Falkirk – Hearts 2–1 (1–1) 3.803.601.86 1.73 2.10
06.09.26 Hearts – Dundee 2–1 (0–1) 1.464.106.25 1.57 2.38
03.09.26 Hibernian – Hearts 1–3 (0–2) 2.453.502.65 1.88 1.98
29.08.26 Hearts – St Johnstone 2–1 (2–0) 1.683.754.50 1.73 2.10
09.08.26 Hearts – Dundee United 4–0 (2–0) 1.574.334.75 1.73 2.10
01.08.26 Aberdeen – Hearts 2–1 (0–1) 3.203.402.15 1.73 2.10
16.05.26 Celtic – Hearts 3–1 (1–1) 1.564.205.00 1.57 2.38
13.05.26 Hearts – Falkirk 3–0 (2–0) 1.414.756.50 1.67 2.20
09.05.26 Motherwell – Hearts 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.502.40 1.88 1.98
04.05.26 Hearts – Rangers 2–1 (0–1) 2.653.602.40 1.73 2.10

Kilmarnock at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.26 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.402.40 1.83 2.03
29.08.26 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 0–4 (0–3) 2.353.402.70 1.80 2.00
09.08.26 Kilmarnock – Celtic 1–5 (0–3) 7.005.001.37 1.44 2.75
12.05.26 Kilmarnock – Dundee 3–1 (0–0) 1.913.603.70 1.80 2.00
02.05.26 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 3–0 (1–0) 2.253.502.85 1.73 2.10
11.04.26 Kilmarnock – Dundee 2–2 (2–1) 2.103.503.25 1.80 2.00
21.03.26 Kilmarnock – Livingston 2–0 (1–0) 1.863.603.75 1.80 2.00
14.03.26 Kilmarnock – Hearts 1–0 (1–0) 4.753.801.66 1.85 2.00
15.02.26 Kilmarnock – Celtic 2–3 (2–0) 7.504.501.35 1.57 2.38
11.02.26 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 4–3 (2–1) 2.753.302.45 2.10 1.73

Hearts away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.09.26 Falkirk – Hearts 2–1 (1–1) 3.803.601.86 1.73 2.10
03.09.26 Hibernian – Hearts 1–3 (0–2) 2.453.502.65 1.88 1.98
01.08.26 Aberdeen – Hearts 2–1 (0–1) 3.203.402.15 1.73 2.10
16.05.26 Celtic – Hearts 3–1 (1–1) 1.564.205.00 1.57 2.38
09.05.26 Motherwell – Hearts 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.502.40 1.88 1.98
26.04.26 Hibernian – Hearts 1–2 (1–0) 2.823.302.40 1.93 1.93
05.04.26 Livingston – Hearts 2–2 (1–1) 6.504.201.46 1.73 2.10
14.03.26 Kilmarnock – Hearts 1–0 (1–0) 4.753.801.66 1.85 2.00
15.02.26 Rangers – Hearts 4–2 (2–2) 1.913.303.70 2.03 1.83
03.02.26 St Mirren – Hearts 1–0 (0–0) 3.903.501.86 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Kilmarnock winsDrawsHearts wins
14matches
2.14goals / match
43%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26SC0 Kilmarnock – Hearts 1–0 (1–0) 4.753.801.66 1.85 2.00
03.12.25SC0 Hearts – Kilmarnock 1–1 (0–0) 1.354.338.50 1.80 2.00
18.10.25SC0 Kilmarnock – Hearts 0–3 (0–1) 4.203.601.79 1.93 1.93
18.05.25SC0 Kilmarnock – Hearts 0–1 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 1.88 1.98
25.01.25SC0 Hearts – Kilmarnock 3–2 (1–0) 1.853.703.90 2.03 1.83
15.12.24SC0 Kilmarnock – Hearts 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.402.50 2.00 1.85
30.10.24SC0 Hearts – Kilmarnock 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.603.80 1.83 2.03
27.04.24SC0 Kilmarnock – Hearts 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.30 2.05 1.80
30.03.24SC0 Hearts – Kilmarnock 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.75 2.03 1.83
02.12.23SC0 Kilmarnock – Hearts 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.40 2.03 1.83
13.08.23SC0 Hearts – Kilmarnock 0–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 1.88 1.98
01.04.23SC0 Kilmarnock – Hearts 2–1 (2–1) 2.903.502.38 1.90 1.95
17.12.22SC0 Hearts – Kilmarnock 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.604.75 1.98 1.88
09.10.22SC0 Kilmarnock – Hearts 2–2 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 1.95 1.90

Scotland Premiership table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 14 3 +11 18
2 Rangers 6 4 1 1 7 4 +3 13
3 Hearts 6 4 0 2 13 7 +6 12
4 Dundee 7 3 1 3 9 7 +2 10
5 St Mirren 7 3 1 3 8 9 -1 10
6 St Johnstone 7 2 2 3 9 10 -1 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 7 8 -1 8
8 Dundee United 7 2 2 3 9 11 -2 8
9 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 9 11 -2 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 8 11 -3 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 6 9 -3 6
12 Kilmarnock 6 1 1 4 5 14 -9 4
  • Champions League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Conference League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation to Championship

Scottish Cup winners qualify for the Europa League, so places can move down the table. After 33 rounds the league splits into top six and bottom six.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Hearts 3 3 0 0 8 2 +6 9
2 Celtic 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9
3 Dundee 4 2 1 1 6 4 +2 7
4 St Johnstone 4 2 1 1 7 6 +1 7
5 Rangers 3 2 0 1 3 2 +1 6
6 Aberdeen 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
7 Motherwell 3 1 1 1 3 4 -1 4
8 St Mirren 4 1 1 2 5 8 -3 4
9 Falkirk 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
10 Dundee United 3 0 2 1 2 4 -2 2
11 Hibernian 4 0 1 3 3 7 -4 1
12 Kilmarnock 3 0 0 3 1 10 -9 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 3 3 0 0 8 2 +6 9
2 Rangers 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
3 St Mirren 3 2 0 1 3 1 +2 6
4 Hibernian 3 2 0 1 5 4 +1 6
5 Dundee United 4 2 0 2 7 7 0 6
6 Kilmarnock 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
7 Motherwell 4 1 1 2 6 7 -1 4
8 Aberdeen 4 1 1 2 5 6 -1 4
9 Hearts 3 1 0 2 5 5 0 3
10 Dundee 3 1 0 2 3 3 0 3
11 Falkirk 4 0 3 1 3 4 -1 3
12 St Johnstone 3 0 1 2 2 4 -2 1

Kilmarnock   Hearts

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Hearts 6 0 6 2.2 1.2 4 0 2 13 7 12
2 9 Motherwell 7 2 5 1.3 1.6 2 2 3 9 11 8
3 10 Hibernian 7 2 5 1.1 1.6 2 1 4 8 11 7
4 1 Celtic 6 2 4 2.3 0.5 6 0 0 14 3 18
5 8 Dundee United 7 3 4 1.3 1.6 2 2 3 9 11 8
6 4 Dundee 7 4 3 1.3 1.0 3 1 3 9 7 10
7 5 St Mirren 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 3 1 3 8 9 10
8 6 St Johnstone 7 4 3 1.3 1.4 2 2 3 9 10 8
9 7 Aberdeen 7 4 3 1.0 1.1 2 2 3 7 8 8
10 11 Falkirk 7 4 3 0.9 1.3 1 3 3 6 9 6
11 12 Kilmarnock 6 3 3 0.8 2.3 1 1 4 5 14 4
12 2 Rangers 6 4 2 1.2 0.7 4 1 1 7 4 13
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Hearts 3 0 3 2.7 0.7 3 0 0 8 2 9
2 5 St Mirren 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 1 1 2 5 8 4
3 1 Celtic 3 1 2 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9
4 4 Dundee 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 2 1 1 6 4 7
5 6 St Johnstone 4 2 2 1.8 1.5 2 1 1 7 6 7
6 9 Motherwell 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 1 1 1 3 4 4
7 10 Hibernian 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 1 3 3 7 1
8 11 Falkirk 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
9 12 Kilmarnock 3 1 2 0.3 3.3 0 0 3 1 10 0
10 2 Rangers 3 2 1 1.0 0.7 2 0 1 3 2 6
11 7 Aberdeen 3 2 1 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
12 8 Dundee United 3 3 0 0.7 1.3 0 2 1 2 4 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Dundee United 4 0 4 1.8 1.8 2 0 2 7 7 6
2 3 Hearts 3 0 3 1.7 1.7 1 0 2 5 5 3
3 9 Motherwell 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 1 1 2 6 7 4
4 10 Hibernian 3 0 3 1.7 1.3 2 0 1 5 4 6
5 1 Celtic 3 1 2 2.7 0.7 3 0 0 8 2 9
6 7 Aberdeen 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 1 2 5 6 4
7 2 Rangers 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
8 4 Dundee 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 2 3 3 3
9 6 St Johnstone 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 1 2 2 4 1
10 11 Falkirk 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 0 3 1 3 4 3
11 12 Kilmarnock 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
12 5 St Mirren 3 3 0 1.0 0.3 2 0 1 3 1 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51