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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Webb

Millwall 3–0 Watford

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.60 fair 2.35
Draw 3.20 fair 3.79
Away 2.80 fair 3.22
Under 2.5 1.66 fair 1.90
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.12

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Millwall Watford
12 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 5
12 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (178 league matches this season so far).
Result Millwall to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.93
Expected goals 1.41 – 1.16
Home / Draw / Away
MillwallDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 1–0 10.8% 0–1 8.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.21scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 17:18
Watford before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.36scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 19:17
Millwall all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.21 Goals scored 1.36
1.29 Goals conceded 1.21
2.50 Total goals 2.57
12.86 Shots 11.00
4.07 Shots on target 4.00
12.21 Shots faced 11.93
4.36 Corners 4.07
4.07 Corners against 6.21
11.43 Fouls 11.29
1.86 Yellow cards 1.79
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.79
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

43% Wins 36%
14% Draws 36%
43% Losses 29%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
93% Over 1.5 goals 79%
36% Over 2.5 goals 50%
14% Over 3.5 goals 29%
7% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 64%
21% Clean sheets 29%
36% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 29%
50% Draws 50%
29% Losses 21%
64% Over 0.5 goals 86%
36% Over 1.5 goals 50%
7% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches
Watford all matches
Millwall before this match, at home
2.14points / match
1.57scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 11:6
Watford before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.14scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 8:8
Millwall at home away Watford

Per match

1.57 Goals scored 1.14
0.86 Goals conceded 1.14
2.43 Total goals 2.29
13.14 Shots 10.71
5.00 Shots on target 3.57
9.43 Shots faced 13.14
4.00 Corners 4.86
4.00 Corners against 6.43
11.86 Fouls 10.57
1.57 Yellow cards 1.71
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

71% Wins 14%
0% Draws 57%
29% Losses 29%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
86% Over 1.5 goals 86%
29% Over 2.5 goals 29%
14% Over 3.5 goals 29%
14% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
29% Both teams scored 57%
43% Clean sheets 29%
29% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 14%
43% Draws 57%
29% Losses 29%
71% Over 0.5 goals 86%
29% Over 1.5 goals 43%
14% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.10.22 Bristol City – Millwall 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.203.00 2.05 1.80
08.10.22 Millwall – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.703.202.70 2.20 1.66
05.10.22 Rotherham – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.202.75 2.20 1.66
01.10.22 Blackburn – Millwall 2–1 (0–0) 2.303.253.30 2.20 1.66
17.09.22 Millwall – Blackpool 2–1 (1–1) 2.003.404.00 2.10 1.72
14.09.22 Millwall – QPR 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.253.30 2.20 1.66
03.09.22 Millwall – Cardiff 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.204.00 2.50 1.53
30.08.22 Burnley – Millwall 2–0 (0–0) 1.853.304.75 2.20 1.66
27.08.22 Millwall – Reading 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.404.75 2.10 1.72
19.08.22 Norwich – Millwall 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.66

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.10.22 Watford – Norwich 2–1 (2–1) 2.753.302.55 2.00 1.85
08.10.22 Blackpool – Watford 3–1 (1–1) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.72
05.10.22 Watford – Swansea 1–2 (1–0) 1.903.404.20 2.02 1.83
02.10.22 Stoke – Watford 0–4 (0–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72
17.09.22 Watford – Sunderland 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.503.75 2.00 1.80
13.09.22 Blackburn – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 2.903.252.50 2.20 1.66
03.09.22 Rotherham – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 3.253.302.25 2.20 1.66
30.08.22 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72
27.08.22 Watford – QPR 2–3 (1–2) 1.903.404.33 2.10 1.72
20.08.22 Preston – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.623.102.80 2.30 1.61

Millwall at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.22 Millwall – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.703.202.70 2.20 1.66
17.09.22 Millwall – Blackpool 2–1 (1–1) 2.003.404.00 2.10 1.72
14.09.22 Millwall – QPR 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.253.30 2.20 1.66
03.09.22 Millwall – Cardiff 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.204.00 2.50 1.53
27.08.22 Millwall – Reading 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.404.75 2.10 1.72
13.08.22 Millwall – Coventry 3–2 (1–2) 2.453.203.00 2.37 1.57
30.07.22 Millwall – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.30 1.61
30.04.22 Millwall – Peterboro 3–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.85 2.00
18.04.22 Millwall – Hull 2–1 (0–0) 1.833.305.00 2.30 1.61
09.04.22 Millwall – Barnsley 4–1 (1–0) 1.703.505.25 2.30 1.61

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.22 Blackpool – Watford 3–1 (1–1) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.72
02.10.22 Stoke – Watford 0–4 (0–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72
13.09.22 Blackburn – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 2.903.252.50 2.20 1.66
03.09.22 Rotherham – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 3.253.302.25 2.20 1.66
20.08.22 Preston – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.623.102.80 2.30 1.61
16.08.22 Birmingham – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 3.603.402.00 2.10 1.72
08.08.22 West Brom – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 2.373.103.20 2.20 1.66
22.05.22E0 Chelsea – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 1.187.5015.00 1.44 2.75
07.05.22E0 Crystal Palace – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.99 1.91
23.04.22E0 Man City – Watford 5–1 (3–1) 1.1010.0026.00 1.36 3.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 QPR 15 8 3 4 23 16 +7 27
2 Blackburn 16 9 0 7 20 17 +3 27
3 Burnley 15 6 8 1 25 13 +12 26
4 Sheffield United 15 7 4 4 24 14 +10 25
5 Luton 15 6 6 3 20 14 +6 24
6 Norwich 15 7 3 5 21 16 +5 24
7 Swansea 15 7 3 5 20 22 -2 24
8 Preston 16 5 7 4 9 10 -1 22
9 Reading 15 7 1 7 17 23 -6 22
10 Rotherham 14 5 6 3 16 13 +3 21
11 Bristol City 16 6 3 7 25 24 +1 21
12 Sunderland 15 5 5 5 19 16 +3 20
13 Watford 14 5 5 4 19 17 +2 20
14 Birmingham 15 5 5 5 15 13 +2 20
15 Millwall 14 6 2 6 17 18 -1 20
16 Stoke 15 5 4 6 17 18 -1 19
17 Wigan 15 5 4 6 16 22 -6 19
18 Cardiff 15 5 3 7 12 17 -5 18
19 Hull 15 5 2 8 16 29 -13 17
20 Middlesbrough 15 4 4 7 19 21 -2 16
21 Blackpool 15 4 4 7 17 23 -6 16
22 West Brom 15 2 8 5 19 20 -1 14
23 Coventry 12 3 4 5 10 14 -4 13
24 Huddersfield 14 3 2 9 16 22 -6 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 8 6 0 2 14 6 +8 18
2 Reading 8 5 1 2 12 9 +3 16
3 Rotherham 8 4 3 1 14 6 +8 15
4 Millwall 7 5 0 2 11 6 +5 15
5 Sheffield United 7 4 2 1 15 6 +9 14
6 QPR 7 4 2 1 12 6 +6 14
7 Norwich 8 4 2 2 14 9 +5 14
8 Burnley 7 3 4 0 14 7 +7 13
9 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 12 8 +4 13
10 Watford 7 4 1 2 11 9 +2 13
11 Swansea 8 4 1 3 11 11 0 13
12 Middlesbrough 8 3 3 2 10 9 +1 12
13 Hull 8 4 0 4 9 14 -5 12
14 Cardiff 7 3 2 2 5 4 +1 11
15 Sunderland 7 2 4 1 8 5 +3 10
16 Luton 8 2 4 2 12 10 +2 10
17 Huddersfield 8 3 1 4 9 8 +1 10
18 Birmingham 7 2 3 2 8 6 +2 9
19 Stoke 7 2 2 3 8 10 -2 8
20 West Brom 8 1 4 3 11 12 -1 7
21 Blackpool 7 2 1 4 8 10 -2 7
22 Preston 8 1 4 3 2 6 -4 7
23 Coventry 4 2 0 2 2 2 0 6
24 Wigan 8 1 3 4 6 15 -9 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Preston 8 4 3 1 7 4 +3 15
2 Luton 7 4 2 1 8 4 +4 14
3 Burnley 8 3 4 1 11 6 +5 13
4 Wigan 7 4 1 2 10 7 +3 13
5 QPR 8 4 1 3 11 10 +1 13
6 Sheffield United 8 3 2 3 9 8 +1 11
7 Stoke 8 3 2 3 9 8 +1 11
8 Birmingham 8 3 2 3 7 7 0 11
9 Swansea 7 3 2 2 9 11 -2 11
10 Sunderland 8 3 1 4 11 11 0 10
11 Norwich 7 3 1 3 7 7 0 10
12 Blackpool 8 2 3 3 9 13 -4 9
13 Blackburn 8 3 0 5 6 11 -5 9
14 Bristol City 8 2 2 4 13 16 -3 8
15 Watford 7 1 4 2 8 8 0 7
16 West Brom 7 1 4 2 8 8 0 7
17 Coventry 8 1 4 3 8 12 -4 7
18 Cardiff 8 2 1 5 7 13 -6 7
19 Rotherham 6 1 3 2 2 7 -5 6
20 Reading 7 2 0 5 5 14 -9 6
21 Millwall 7 1 2 4 6 12 -6 5
22 Hull 7 1 2 4 7 15 -8 5
23 Middlesbrough 7 1 1 5 9 12 -3 4
24 Huddersfield 6 0 1 5 7 14 -7 1

Millwall   Watford

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Bristol City 16 6 10 1.6 1.5 6 3 7 25 24 21
2 7 Swansea 15 6 9 1.3 1.5 7 3 5 20 22 24
3 9 Reading 15 6 9 1.1 1.5 7 1 7 17 23 22
4 19 Hull 15 6 9 1.1 1.9 5 2 8 16 29 17
5 1 QPR 15 7 8 1.5 1.1 8 3 4 23 16 27
6 2 Blackburn 16 8 8 1.2 1.1 9 0 7 20 17 27
7 12 Sunderland 15 7 8 1.3 1.1 5 5 5 19 16 20
8 20 Middlesbrough 15 7 8 1.3 1.4 4 4 7 19 21 16
9 24 Huddersfield 14 6 8 1.1 1.6 3 2 9 16 22 11
10 6 Norwich 15 8 7 1.4 1.1 7 3 5 21 16 24
11 13 Watford 14 7 7 1.4 1.2 5 5 4 19 17 20
12 17 Wigan 15 8 7 1.1 1.5 5 4 6 16 22 19
13 21 Blackpool 15 8 7 1.1 1.5 4 4 7 17 23 16
14 4 Sheffield United 15 9 6 1.6 0.9 7 4 4 24 14 25
15 16 Stoke 15 9 6 1.1 1.2 5 4 6 17 18 19
16 5 Luton 15 10 5 1.3 0.9 6 6 3 20 14 24
17 10 Rotherham 14 9 5 1.1 0.9 5 6 3 16 13 21
18 15 Millwall 14 9 5 1.2 1.3 6 2 6 17 18 20
19 18 Cardiff 15 10 5 0.8 1.1 5 3 7 12 17 18
20 22 West Brom 15 10 5 1.3 1.3 2 8 5 19 20 14
21 3 Burnley 15 11 4 1.7 0.9 6 8 1 25 13 26
22 14 Birmingham 15 11 4 1.0 0.9 5 5 5 15 13 20
23 23 Coventry 12 8 4 0.8 1.2 3 4 5 10 14 13
24 8 Preston 16 14 2 0.6 0.6 5 7 4 9 10 22
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Swansea 8 3 5 1.4 1.4 4 1 3 11 11 13
2 9 Reading 8 3 5 1.5 1.1 5 1 2 12 9 16
3 13 Watford 7 2 5 1.6 1.3 4 1 2 11 9 13
4 19 Hull 8 3 5 1.1 1.8 4 0 4 9 14 12
5 1 QPR 7 3 4 1.7 0.9 4 2 1 12 6 14
6 2 Blackburn 8 4 4 1.8 0.8 6 0 2 14 6 18
7 4 Sheffield United 7 3 4 2.1 0.9 4 2 1 15 6 14
8 5 Luton 8 4 4 1.5 1.2 2 4 2 12 10 10
9 6 Norwich 8 4 4 1.8 1.1 4 2 2 14 9 14
10 11 Bristol City 8 4 4 1.5 1.0 4 1 3 12 8 13
11 20 Middlesbrough 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 3 3 2 10 9 12
12 3 Burnley 7 4 3 2.0 1.0 3 4 0 14 7 13
13 10 Rotherham 8 5 3 1.8 0.8 4 3 1 14 6 15
14 12 Sunderland 7 4 3 1.1 0.7 2 4 1 8 5 10
15 14 Birmingham 7 4 3 1.1 0.9 2 3 2 8 6 9
16 16 Stoke 7 4 3 1.1 1.4 2 2 3 8 10 8
17 17 Wigan 8 5 3 0.8 1.9 1 3 4 6 15 6
18 21 Blackpool 7 4 3 1.1 1.4 2 1 4 8 10 7
19 22 West Brom 8 5 3 1.4 1.5 1 4 3 11 12 7
20 24 Huddersfield 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 3 1 4 9 8 10
21 15 Millwall 7 5 2 1.6 0.9 5 0 2 11 6 15
22 18 Cardiff 7 6 1 0.7 0.6 3 2 2 5 4 11
23 8 Preston 8 8 0 0.2 0.8 1 4 3 2 6 7
24 23 Coventry 4 4 0 0.5 0.5 2 0 2 2 2 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Bristol City 8 2 6 1.6 2.0 2 2 4 13 16 8
2 12 Sunderland 8 3 5 1.4 1.4 3 1 4 11 11 10
3 24 Huddersfield 6 1 5 1.2 2.3 0 1 5 7 14 1
4 1 QPR 8 4 4 1.4 1.2 4 1 3 11 10 13
5 2 Blackburn 8 4 4 0.8 1.4 3 0 5 6 11 9
6 7 Swansea 7 3 4 1.3 1.6 3 2 2 9 11 11
7 9 Reading 7 3 4 0.7 2.0 2 0 5 5 14 6
8 17 Wigan 7 3 4 1.4 1.0 4 1 2 10 7 13
9 18 Cardiff 8 4 4 0.9 1.6 2 1 5 7 13 7
10 19 Hull 7 3 4 1.0 2.1 1 2 4 7 15 5
11 20 Middlesbrough 7 3 4 1.3 1.7 1 1 5 9 12 4
12 21 Blackpool 8 4 4 1.1 1.6 2 3 3 9 13 9
13 23 Coventry 8 4 4 1.0 1.5 1 4 3 8 12 7
14 6 Norwich 7 4 3 1.0 1.0 3 1 3 7 7 10
15 15 Millwall 7 4 3 0.9 1.7 1 2 4 6 12 5
16 16 Stoke 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 3 2 3 9 8 11
17 4 Sheffield United 8 6 2 1.1 1.0 3 2 3 9 8 11
18 8 Preston 8 6 2 0.9 0.5 4 3 1 7 4 15
19 10 Rotherham 6 4 2 0.3 1.2 1 3 2 2 7 6
20 13 Watford 7 5 2 1.1 1.1 1 4 2 8 8 7
21 22 West Brom 7 5 2 1.1 1.1 1 4 2 8 8 7
22 3 Burnley 8 7 1 1.4 0.8 3 4 1 11 6 13
23 5 Luton 7 6 1 1.1 0.6 4 2 1 8 4 14
24 14 Birmingham 8 7 1 0.9 0.9 3 2 3 7 7 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51