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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Woolmer

Stoke 2–2 Cardiff

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.05 fair 2.34
Draw ✓ 3.30 fair 3.61
Away 3.80 fair 3.38
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.71
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.40

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stoke Cardiff
11 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 6
10 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (253 league matches this season so far).
Result Stoke to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.31 – 1.04
Home / Draw / Away
StokeDrawCardiff
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13% 1–0 12.5% 0–1 9.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches
1.19points / match
1.05scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 22:27
Cardiff before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
0.81scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 17:25
Stoke all matches all matches Cardiff

Per match

1.05 Goals scored 0.81
1.29 Goals conceded 1.19
2.33 Total goals 2.00
13.67 Shots 11.00
4.33 Shots on target 2.81
12.19 Shots faced 10.43
5.67 Corners 5.00
6.05 Corners against 4.62
11.00 Fouls 9.90
1.76 Yellow cards 1.81
0.48 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%
19% Draws 14%
48% Losses 52%
95% Over 0.5 goals 90%
76% Over 1.5 goals 52%
38% Over 2.5 goals 33%
24% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 33%
33% Clean sheets 33%
33% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 14%
33% Draws 57%
43% Losses 29%
76% Over 0.5 goals 52%
24% Over 1.5 goals 19%
5% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches
Cardiff all matches
Stoke before this match, at home
1.10points / match
1.10scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 11:14
Cardiff before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.80scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 8:15
Stoke at home away Cardiff

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 0.80
1.40 Goals conceded 1.50
2.50 Total goals 2.30
15.00 Shots 7.80
4.80 Shots on target 2.40
10.60 Shots faced 12.60
6.60 Corners 3.40
5.20 Corners against 5.60
10.60 Fouls 11.30
1.80 Yellow cards 2.50
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

30% Wins 30%
20% Draws 10%
50% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
80% Over 1.5 goals 70%
40% Over 2.5 goals 40%
30% Over 3.5 goals 20%
0% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 30%
20% Clean sheets 20%
40% Failed to score 60%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 20%
20% Draws 40%
50% Losses 40%
90% Over 0.5 goals 70%
30% Over 1.5 goals 30%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home
Cardiff away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.11.22 West Brom – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.00 1.85
08.11.22 Stoke – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.66
05.11.22 Stoke – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.20 1.66
02.11.22 Wigan – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.302.62 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Norwich – Stoke 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 1.95 1.90
22.10.22 Stoke – Coventry 0–2 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.00 1.85
18.10.22 Stoke – Rotherham 0–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.20 2.05 1.80
15.10.22 Preston – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 2.373.203.10 2.30 1.61
08.10.22 Stoke – Sheffield United 3–1 (2–1) 2.903.402.40 2.10 1.72
05.10.22 Burnley – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 1.723.605.25 1.93 1.93

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.11.22 Cardiff – Sheffield United 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.302.30 2.02 1.83
08.11.22 Cardiff – Hull 2–3 (0–1) 2.053.253.80 2.20 1.66
05.11.22 Sunderland – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.20 1.66
02.11.22 Cardiff – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.202.50 2.10 1.72
29.10.22 Cardiff – Rotherham 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.254.33 2.20 1.66
23.10.22 Swansea – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.02 1.83
19.10.22 QPR – Cardiff 3–0 (2–0) 2.153.403.40 2.10 1.72
15.10.22 Cardiff – Coventry 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.72
08.10.22 Wigan – Cardiff 1–3 (0–1) 2.503.103.10 2.30 1.61
04.10.22 Cardiff – Blackburn 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.66

Stoke at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.22 Stoke – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.66
05.11.22 Stoke – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.20 1.66
22.10.22 Stoke – Coventry 0–2 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.00 1.85
18.10.22 Stoke – Rotherham 0–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.20 2.05 1.80
08.10.22 Stoke – Sheffield United 3–1 (2–1) 2.903.402.40 2.10 1.72
02.10.22 Stoke – Watford 0–4 (0–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72
31.08.22 Stoke – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.60 1.98 1.88
20.08.22 Stoke – Sunderland 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 2.02 1.83
17.08.22 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66
06.08.22 Stoke – Blackpool 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.75 2.10 1.72

Cardiff away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.22 Sunderland – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.20 1.66
23.10.22 Swansea – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.02 1.83
19.10.22 QPR – Cardiff 3–0 (2–0) 2.153.403.40 2.10 1.72
08.10.22 Wigan – Cardiff 1–3 (0–1) 2.503.103.10 2.30 1.61
17.09.22 Huddersfield – Cardiff 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.102.80 2.20 1.66
13.09.22 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–3 (0–3) 1.703.605.25 2.10 1.72
03.09.22 Millwall – Cardiff 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.204.00 2.50 1.53
21.08.22 Bristol City – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.303.40 1.95 1.90
17.08.22 West Brom – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 1.604.005.50 2.05 1.80
06.08.22 Reading – Cardiff 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.20 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stoke winsDrawsCardiff wins
2matches
4.50goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.22E1 Cardiff – Stoke 2–1 (2–1) 2.453.303.00 2.37 1.57
30.10.21E1 Stoke – Cardiff 3–3 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.00 1.80

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 21 11 8 2 40 23 +17 41
2 Sheffield United 21 11 5 5 35 19 +16 38
3 Blackburn 22 12 0 10 25 26 -1 36
4 Preston 22 9 7 6 22 21 +1 34
5 Watford 21 9 6 6 28 22 +6 33
6 Norwich 21 9 5 7 29 23 +6 32
7 Reading 22 10 2 10 24 30 -6 32
8 QPR 21 9 4 8 26 24 +2 31
9 Millwall 21 9 4 8 26 25 +1 31
10 Swansea 21 8 7 6 27 28 -1 31
11 Sunderland 21 8 6 7 29 23 +6 30
12 Luton 21 7 9 5 23 22 +1 30
13 Coventry 20 8 5 7 21 19 +2 29
14 Birmingham 21 7 7 7 23 20 +3 28
15 Middlesbrough 21 7 6 8 29 26 +3 27
16 Bristol City 22 7 6 9 30 30 0 27
17 Rotherham 22 6 8 8 26 29 -3 26
18 Stoke 21 7 4 10 22 27 -5 25
19 Cardiff 21 7 3 11 17 25 -8 24
20 Hull 21 7 3 11 25 39 -14 24
21 West Brom 20 5 8 7 24 24 0 23
22 Wigan 21 6 5 10 21 31 -10 23
23 Blackpool 21 6 4 11 24 33 -9 22
24 Huddersfield 20 5 4 11 19 26 -7 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 11 7 4 0 23 10 +13 25
2 Blackburn 11 8 0 3 18 11 +7 24
3 Millwall 10 7 1 2 16 7 +9 22
4 Reading 11 7 1 3 16 11 +5 22
5 Watford 10 6 1 3 17 10 +7 19
6 Sheffield United 10 5 3 2 22 11 +11 18
7 Norwich 11 5 3 3 18 12 +6 18
8 QPR 10 5 2 3 15 10 +5 17
9 Swansea 10 5 2 3 15 13 +2 17
10 Coventry 9 5 1 3 10 6 +4 16
11 Rotherham 11 4 3 4 18 15 +3 15
12 Bristol City 11 4 3 4 13 10 +3 15
13 Birmingham 11 3 5 3 13 10 +3 14
14 Middlesbrough 10 3 5 2 11 10 +1 14
15 Huddersfield 11 4 2 5 10 10 0 14
16 Cardiff 11 4 2 5 9 10 -1 14
17 Sunderland 10 3 4 3 13 10 +3 13
18 Luton 11 2 7 2 14 12 +2 13
19 West Brom 11 3 4 4 14 14 0 13
20 Preston 11 3 4 4 7 11 -4 13
21 Hull 11 4 0 7 11 20 -9 12
22 Stoke 10 3 2 5 11 14 -3 11
23 Blackpool 10 3 1 6 12 16 -4 10
24 Wigan 11 2 3 6 8 18 -10 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Preston 11 6 3 2 15 10 +5 21
2 Sheffield United 11 6 2 3 13 8 +5 20
3 Sunderland 11 5 2 4 16 13 +3 17
4 Luton 10 5 2 3 9 10 -1 17
5 Burnley 10 4 4 2 17 13 +4 16
6 Wigan 10 4 2 4 13 13 0 14
7 Norwich 10 4 2 4 11 11 0 14
8 Birmingham 10 4 2 4 10 10 0 14
9 Watford 11 3 5 3 11 12 -1 14
10 Stoke 11 4 2 5 11 13 -2 14
11 Swansea 11 3 5 3 12 15 -3 14
12 QPR 11 4 2 5 11 14 -3 14
13 Middlesbrough 11 4 1 6 18 16 +2 13
14 Coventry 11 3 4 4 11 13 -2 13
15 Bristol City 11 3 3 5 17 20 -3 12
16 Hull 10 3 3 4 14 19 -5 12
17 Blackpool 11 3 3 5 12 17 -5 12
18 Blackburn 11 4 0 7 7 15 -8 12
19 Rotherham 11 2 5 4 8 14 -6 11
20 West Brom 9 2 4 3 10 10 0 10
21 Cardiff 10 3 1 6 8 15 -7 10
22 Reading 11 3 1 7 8 19 -11 10
23 Millwall 11 2 3 6 10 18 -8 9
24 Huddersfield 9 1 2 6 9 16 -7 5

Stoke   Cardiff

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Hull 21 8 13 1.2 1.9 7 3 11 25 39 24
2 7 Reading 22 10 12 1.1 1.4 10 2 10 24 30 32
3 15 Middlesbrough 21 9 12 1.4 1.2 7 6 8 29 26 27
4 3 Blackburn 22 11 11 1.1 1.2 12 0 10 25 26 36
5 6 Norwich 21 10 11 1.4 1.1 9 5 7 29 23 32
6 10 Swansea 21 10 11 1.3 1.3 8 7 6 27 28 31
7 11 Sunderland 21 10 11 1.4 1.1 8 6 7 29 23 30
8 16 Bristol City 22 11 11 1.4 1.4 7 6 9 30 30 27
9 23 Blackpool 21 10 11 1.1 1.6 6 4 11 24 33 22
10 5 Watford 21 11 10 1.3 1.0 9 6 6 28 22 33
11 8 QPR 21 11 10 1.2 1.1 9 4 8 26 24 31
12 17 Rotherham 22 12 10 1.2 1.3 6 8 8 26 29 26
13 22 Wigan 21 11 10 1.0 1.5 6 5 10 21 31 23
14 1 Burnley 21 12 9 1.9 1.1 11 8 2 40 23 41
15 9 Millwall 21 12 9 1.2 1.2 9 4 8 26 25 31
16 24 Huddersfield 20 11 9 0.9 1.3 5 4 11 19 26 19
17 2 Sheffield United 21 13 8 1.7 0.9 11 5 5 35 19 38
18 14 Birmingham 21 13 8 1.1 1.0 7 7 7 23 20 28
19 18 Stoke 21 13 8 1.0 1.3 7 4 10 22 27 25
20 4 Preston 22 15 7 1.0 1.0 9 7 6 22 21 34
21 19 Cardiff 21 14 7 0.8 1.2 7 3 11 17 25 24
22 12 Luton 21 15 6 1.1 1.0 7 9 5 23 22 30
23 13 Coventry 20 14 6 1.1 0.9 8 5 7 21 19 29
24 21 West Brom 20 14 6 1.2 1.2 5 8 7 24 24 23
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Hull 11 4 7 1.0 1.8 4 0 7 11 20 12
2 1 Burnley 11 5 6 2.1 0.9 7 4 0 23 10 25
3 2 Sheffield United 10 4 6 2.2 1.1 5 3 2 22 11 18
4 3 Blackburn 11 5 6 1.6 1.0 8 0 3 18 11 24
5 5 Watford 10 4 6 1.7 1.0 6 1 3 17 10 19
6 6 Norwich 11 5 6 1.6 1.1 5 3 3 18 12 18
7 7 Reading 11 5 6 1.5 1.0 7 1 3 16 11 22
8 8 QPR 10 4 6 1.5 1.0 5 2 3 15 10 17
9 10 Swansea 10 4 6 1.5 1.3 5 2 3 15 13 17
10 17 Rotherham 11 5 6 1.6 1.4 4 3 4 18 15 15
11 11 Sunderland 10 5 5 1.3 1.0 3 4 3 13 10 13
12 14 Birmingham 11 6 5 1.2 0.9 3 5 3 13 10 14
13 23 Blackpool 10 5 5 1.2 1.6 3 1 6 12 16 10
14 9 Millwall 10 6 4 1.6 0.7 7 1 2 16 7 22
15 12 Luton 11 7 4 1.3 1.1 2 7 2 14 12 13
16 15 Middlesbrough 10 6 4 1.1 1.0 3 5 2 11 10 14
17 16 Bristol City 11 7 4 1.2 0.9 4 3 4 13 10 15
18 18 Stoke 10 6 4 1.1 1.4 3 2 5 11 14 11
19 22 Wigan 11 7 4 0.7 1.6 2 3 6 8 18 9
20 19 Cardiff 11 8 3 0.8 0.9 4 2 5 9 10 14
21 21 West Brom 11 8 3 1.3 1.3 3 4 4 14 14 13
22 24 Huddersfield 11 8 3 0.9 0.9 4 2 5 10 10 14
23 4 Preston 11 9 2 0.6 1.0 3 4 4 7 11 13
24 13 Coventry 9 7 2 1.1 0.7 5 1 3 10 6 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Middlesbrough 11 3 8 1.6 1.5 4 1 6 18 16 13
2 16 Bristol City 11 4 7 1.5 1.8 3 3 5 17 20 12
3 7 Reading 11 5 6 0.7 1.7 3 1 7 8 19 10
4 11 Sunderland 11 5 6 1.5 1.2 5 2 4 16 13 17
5 20 Hull 10 4 6 1.4 1.9 3 3 4 14 19 12
6 22 Wigan 10 4 6 1.3 1.3 4 2 4 13 13 14
7 23 Blackpool 11 5 6 1.1 1.5 3 3 5 12 17 12
8 24 Huddersfield 9 3 6 1.0 1.8 1 2 6 9 16 5
9 3 Blackburn 11 6 5 0.6 1.4 4 0 7 7 15 12
10 4 Preston 11 6 5 1.4 0.9 6 3 2 15 10 21
11 6 Norwich 10 5 5 1.1 1.1 4 2 4 11 11 14
12 9 Millwall 11 6 5 0.9 1.6 2 3 6 10 18 9
13 10 Swansea 11 6 5 1.1 1.4 3 5 3 12 15 14
14 5 Watford 11 7 4 1.0 1.1 3 5 3 11 12 14
15 8 QPR 11 7 4 1.0 1.3 4 2 5 11 14 14
16 13 Coventry 11 7 4 1.0 1.2 3 4 4 11 13 13
17 17 Rotherham 11 7 4 0.7 1.3 2 5 4 8 14 11
18 18 Stoke 11 7 4 1.0 1.2 4 2 5 11 13 14
19 19 Cardiff 10 6 4 0.8 1.5 3 1 6 8 15 10
20 1 Burnley 10 7 3 1.7 1.3 4 4 2 17 13 16
21 14 Birmingham 10 7 3 1.0 1.0 4 2 4 10 10 14
22 21 West Brom 9 6 3 1.1 1.1 2 4 3 10 10 10
23 2 Sheffield United 11 9 2 1.2 0.7 6 2 3 13 8 20
24 12 Luton 10 8 2 0.9 1.0 5 2 3 9 10 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51