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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: K Stroud

Cardiff 1–2 Watford

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.90 fair 2.61
Draw 3.20 fair 3.47
Away ✓ 2.50 fair 3.04
Under 2.5 1.72 fair 1.63
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.58

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cardiff Watford
11 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 5
8 Corners 11
9 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (211 league matches this season so far).
Result Cardiff to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.82
Expected goals 1.17 – 1.06
Home / Draw / Away
CardiffDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.3% 1–0 12.5% 0–1 11.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches
1.24points / match
0.76scored / match
1.12conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 13:19
Watford before this match, all matches
1.53points / match
1.41scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 24:20
Cardiff all matches all matches Watford

Per match

0.76 Goals scored 1.41
1.12 Goals conceded 1.18
1.88 Total goals 2.59
10.76 Shots 11.35
2.82 Shots on target 4.00
10.12 Shots faced 11.53
4.94 Corners 4.24
4.35 Corners against 5.47
10.06 Fouls 10.82
1.94 Yellow cards 1.88
0.35 1st-half goals scored 0.76
0.41 1st-half goals conceded 0.76

How often Full Time

35% Wins 41%
18% Draws 29%
47% Losses 29%
88% Over 0.5 goals 94%
53% Over 1.5 goals 76%
29% Over 2.5 goals 53%
12% Over 3.5 goals 29%
6% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
29% Both teams scored 53%
35% Clean sheets 35%
47% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 29%
53% Draws 47%
29% Losses 24%
53% Over 0.5 goals 82%
18% Over 1.5 goals 53%
6% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches
Watford all matches
Cardiff before this match, at home
1.75points / match
0.75scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 6:4
Watford before this match, away
1.11points / match
1.00scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 9:11
Cardiff at home away Watford

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 1.00
0.50 Goals conceded 1.22
1.25 Total goals 2.22
14.75 Shots 11.22
3.50 Shots on target 3.22
7.13 Shots faced 12.44
6.75 Corners 4.78
3.00 Corners against 5.56
8.75 Fouls 10.11
1.38 Yellow cards 1.78
0.13 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.13 1st-half goals conceded 0.89

How often Full Time

50% Wins 22%
25% Draws 44%
25% Losses 33%
88% Over 0.5 goals 89%
25% Over 1.5 goals 78%
13% Over 2.5 goals 33%
0% Over 3.5 goals 22%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 44%
63% Clean sheets 33%
25% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 11%
75% Draws 56%
13% Losses 33%
25% Over 0.5 goals 78%
0% Over 1.5 goals 44%
0% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.22 Cardiff – Rotherham 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.254.33 2.20 1.66
23.10.22 Swansea – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.02 1.83
19.10.22 QPR – Cardiff 3–0 (2–0) 2.153.403.40 2.10 1.72
15.10.22 Cardiff – Coventry 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.72
08.10.22 Wigan – Cardiff 1–3 (0–1) 2.503.103.10 2.30 1.61
04.10.22 Cardiff – Blackburn 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.66
01.10.22 Cardiff – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.252.45 2.10 1.72
17.09.22 Huddersfield – Cardiff 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.102.80 2.20 1.66
13.09.22 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–3 (0–3) 1.703.605.25 2.10 1.72
03.09.22 Millwall – Cardiff 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.204.00 2.50 1.53

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.22 Wigan – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.252.37 2.20 1.66
23.10.22 Watford – Luton 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.72
19.10.22 Millwall – Watford 3–0 (3–0) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.66
15.10.22 Watford – Norwich 2–1 (2–1) 2.753.302.55 2.00 1.85
08.10.22 Blackpool – Watford 3–1 (1–1) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.72
05.10.22 Watford – Swansea 1–2 (1–0) 1.903.404.20 2.02 1.83
02.10.22 Stoke – Watford 0–4 (0–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72
17.09.22 Watford – Sunderland 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.503.75 2.00 1.80
13.09.22 Blackburn – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 2.903.252.50 2.20 1.66
03.09.22 Rotherham – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 3.253.302.25 2.20 1.66

Cardiff at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.22 Cardiff – Rotherham 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.254.33 2.20 1.66
15.10.22 Cardiff – Coventry 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.72
04.10.22 Cardiff – Blackburn 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.66
01.10.22 Cardiff – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.252.45 2.10 1.72
30.08.22 Cardiff – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.553.202.90 2.50 1.53
27.08.22 Cardiff – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.002.87 2.50 1.53
13.08.22 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 2.20 1.66
30.07.22 Cardiff – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.30 2.10 1.72
30.04.22 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.403.75 2.05 1.80
18.04.22 Cardiff – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.873.102.62 2.20 1.66

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.22 Wigan – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.252.37 2.20 1.66
19.10.22 Millwall – Watford 3–0 (3–0) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.66
08.10.22 Blackpool – Watford 3–1 (1–1) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.72
02.10.22 Stoke – Watford 0–4 (0–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72
13.09.22 Blackburn – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 2.903.252.50 2.20 1.66
03.09.22 Rotherham – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 3.253.302.25 2.20 1.66
20.08.22 Preston – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.623.102.80 2.30 1.61
16.08.22 Birmingham – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 3.603.402.00 2.10 1.72
08.08.22 West Brom – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 2.373.103.20 2.20 1.66
22.05.22E0 Chelsea – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 1.187.5015.00 1.44 2.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 18 9 8 1 32 16 +16 35
2 Blackburn 19 11 0 8 23 19 +4 33
3 Sheffield United 18 9 5 4 29 16 +13 32
4 QPR 17 9 3 5 25 19 +6 30
5 Norwich 18 8 4 6 26 20 +6 28
6 Swansea 18 8 4 6 23 24 -1 28
7 Preston 19 7 7 5 14 15 -1 28
8 Watford 17 7 5 5 24 20 +4 26
9 Millwall 17 8 2 7 22 20 +2 26
10 Luton 18 6 8 4 21 19 +2 26
11 Reading 18 8 2 8 20 25 -5 26
12 Birmingham 17 6 5 6 18 15 +3 23
13 Rotherham 17 5 7 5 20 20 0 22
14 Bristol City 19 6 4 9 26 28 -2 22
15 Blackpool 18 6 4 8 23 27 -4 22
16 Sunderland 17 5 6 6 22 21 +1 21
17 Cardiff 17 6 3 8 13 19 -6 21
18 Middlesbrough 18 5 5 8 23 24 -1 20
19 Coventry 16 5 5 6 16 18 -2 20
20 Hull 18 6 2 10 21 35 -14 20
21 Stoke 17 5 4 8 18 23 -5 19
22 Wigan 17 5 4 8 17 25 -8 19
23 West Brom 18 3 8 7 21 24 -3 17
24 Huddersfield 16 4 3 9 17 22 -5 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 9 7 0 2 16 7 +9 21
2 Millwall 9 7 0 2 16 7 +9 21
3 Burnley 9 5 4 0 17 8 +9 19
4 Reading 9 6 1 2 14 9 +5 19
5 Norwich 9 5 2 2 17 10 +7 17
6 QPR 8 5 2 1 14 7 +7 17
7 Watford 8 5 1 2 15 9 +6 16
8 Swansea 9 5 1 3 13 11 +2 16
9 Sheffield United 8 4 3 1 17 8 +9 15
10 Rotherham 9 4 3 2 16 10 +6 15
11 Bristol City 10 4 2 4 13 10 +3 14
12 Cardiff 8 4 2 2 6 4 +2 14
13 Huddersfield 9 4 1 4 10 8 +2 13
14 Middlesbrough 9 3 4 2 10 9 +1 13
15 Preston 10 3 4 3 5 7 -2 13
16 Birmingham 8 3 3 2 10 6 +4 12
17 Luton 10 2 6 2 13 11 +2 12
18 Hull 10 4 0 6 10 18 -8 12
19 Sunderland 8 2 4 2 10 9 +1 10
20 Blackpool 8 3 1 4 12 12 0 10
21 Coventry 7 3 1 3 6 6 0 10
22 West Brom 10 2 4 4 12 14 -2 10
23 Stoke 8 2 2 4 8 12 -4 8
24 Wigan 9 1 3 5 6 16 -10 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 10 5 2 3 12 8 +4 17
2 Burnley 9 4 4 1 15 8 +7 16
3 Preston 9 4 3 2 9 8 +1 15
4 Luton 8 4 2 2 8 8 0 14
5 Wigan 8 4 1 3 11 9 +2 13
6 QPR 9 4 1 4 11 12 -1 13
7 Swansea 9 3 3 3 10 13 -3 12
8 Blackpool 10 3 3 4 11 15 -4 12
9 Blackburn 10 4 0 6 7 12 -5 12
10 Sunderland 9 3 2 4 12 12 0 11
11 Stoke 9 3 2 4 10 11 -1 11
12 Norwich 9 3 2 4 9 10 -1 11
13 Birmingham 9 3 2 4 8 9 -1 11
14 Coventry 9 2 4 3 10 12 -2 10
15 Watford 9 2 4 3 9 11 -2 10
16 Bristol City 9 2 2 5 13 18 -5 8
17 Hull 8 2 2 4 11 17 -6 8
18 West Brom 8 1 4 3 9 10 -1 7
19 Middlesbrough 9 2 1 6 13 15 -2 7
20 Rotherham 8 1 4 3 4 10 -6 7
21 Cardiff 9 2 1 6 7 15 -8 7
22 Reading 9 2 1 6 6 16 -10 7
23 Millwall 8 1 2 5 6 13 -7 5
24 Huddersfield 7 0 2 5 7 14 -7 2

Cardiff   Watford

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Hull 18 7 11 1.2 1.9 6 2 10 21 35 20
2 11 Reading 18 8 10 1.1 1.4 8 2 8 20 25 26
3 14 Bristol City 19 9 10 1.4 1.5 6 4 9 26 28 22
4 18 Middlesbrough 18 8 10 1.3 1.3 5 5 8 23 24 20
5 2 Blackburn 19 10 9 1.2 1.0 11 0 8 23 19 33
6 4 QPR 17 8 9 1.5 1.1 9 3 5 25 19 30
7 5 Norwich 18 9 9 1.4 1.1 8 4 6 26 20 28
8 6 Swansea 18 9 9 1.3 1.3 8 4 6 23 24 28
9 8 Watford 17 8 9 1.4 1.2 7 5 5 24 20 26
10 15 Blackpool 18 9 9 1.3 1.5 6 4 8 23 27 22
11 16 Sunderland 17 8 9 1.3 1.2 5 6 6 22 21 21
12 22 Wigan 17 9 8 1.0 1.5 5 4 8 17 25 19
13 24 Huddersfield 16 8 8 1.1 1.4 4 3 9 17 22 15
14 3 Sheffield United 18 11 7 1.6 0.9 9 5 4 29 16 32
15 9 Millwall 17 10 7 1.3 1.2 8 2 7 22 20 26
16 13 Rotherham 17 10 7 1.2 1.2 5 7 5 20 20 22
17 21 Stoke 17 10 7 1.1 1.4 5 4 8 18 23 19
18 1 Burnley 18 12 6 1.8 0.9 9 8 1 32 16 35
19 10 Luton 18 12 6 1.2 1.1 6 8 4 21 19 26
20 19 Coventry 16 10 6 1.0 1.1 5 5 6 16 18 20
21 23 West Brom 18 12 6 1.2 1.3 3 8 7 21 24 17
22 12 Birmingham 17 12 5 1.1 0.9 6 5 6 18 15 23
23 17 Cardiff 17 12 5 0.8 1.1 6 3 8 13 19 21
24 7 Preston 19 15 4 0.7 0.8 7 7 5 14 15 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Watford 8 2 6 1.9 1.1 5 1 2 15 9 16
2 20 Hull 10 4 6 1.0 1.8 4 0 6 10 18 12
3 2 Blackburn 9 4 5 1.8 0.8 7 0 2 16 7 21
4 3 Sheffield United 8 3 5 2.1 1.0 4 3 1 17 8 15
5 4 QPR 8 3 5 1.8 0.9 5 2 1 14 7 17
6 5 Norwich 9 4 5 1.9 1.1 5 2 2 17 10 17
7 6 Swansea 9 4 5 1.4 1.2 5 1 3 13 11 16
8 11 Reading 9 4 5 1.6 1.0 6 1 2 14 9 19
9 1 Burnley 9 5 4 1.9 0.9 5 4 0 17 8 19
10 9 Millwall 9 5 4 1.8 0.8 7 0 2 16 7 21
11 10 Luton 10 6 4 1.3 1.1 2 6 2 13 11 12
12 13 Rotherham 9 5 4 1.8 1.1 4 3 2 16 10 15
13 14 Bristol City 10 6 4 1.3 1.0 4 2 4 13 10 14
14 15 Blackpool 8 4 4 1.5 1.5 3 1 4 12 12 10
15 16 Sunderland 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 2 4 2 10 9 10
16 18 Middlesbrough 9 5 4 1.1 1.0 3 4 2 10 9 13
17 12 Birmingham 8 5 3 1.2 0.8 3 3 2 10 6 12
18 21 Stoke 8 5 3 1.0 1.5 2 2 4 8 12 8
19 22 Wigan 9 6 3 0.7 1.8 1 3 5 6 16 6
20 23 West Brom 10 7 3 1.2 1.4 2 4 4 12 14 10
21 24 Huddersfield 9 6 3 1.1 0.9 4 1 4 10 8 13
22 19 Coventry 7 5 2 0.9 0.9 3 1 3 6 6 10
23 7 Preston 10 9 1 0.5 0.7 3 4 3 5 7 13
24 17 Cardiff 8 7 1 0.8 0.5 4 2 2 6 4 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Bristol City 9 3 6 1.4 2.0 2 2 5 13 18 8
2 18 Middlesbrough 9 3 6 1.4 1.7 2 1 6 13 15 7
3 11 Reading 9 4 5 0.7 1.8 2 1 6 6 16 7
4 15 Blackpool 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 3 3 4 11 15 12
5 16 Sunderland 9 4 5 1.3 1.3 3 2 4 12 12 11
6 20 Hull 8 3 5 1.4 2.1 2 2 4 11 17 8
7 22 Wigan 8 3 5 1.4 1.1 4 1 3 11 9 13
8 24 Huddersfield 7 2 5 1.0 2.0 0 2 5 7 14 2
9 2 Blackburn 10 6 4 0.7 1.2 4 0 6 7 12 12
10 4 QPR 9 5 4 1.2 1.3 4 1 4 11 12 13
11 5 Norwich 9 5 4 1.0 1.1 3 2 4 9 10 11
12 6 Swansea 9 5 4 1.1 1.4 3 3 3 10 13 12
13 17 Cardiff 9 5 4 0.8 1.7 2 1 6 7 15 7
14 19 Coventry 9 5 4 1.1 1.3 2 4 3 10 12 10
15 21 Stoke 9 5 4 1.1 1.2 3 2 4 10 11 11
16 7 Preston 9 6 3 1.0 0.9 4 3 2 9 8 15
17 8 Watford 9 6 3 1.0 1.2 2 4 3 9 11 10
18 9 Millwall 8 5 3 0.8 1.6 1 2 5 6 13 5
19 13 Rotherham 8 5 3 0.5 1.2 1 4 3 4 10 7
20 23 West Brom 8 5 3 1.1 1.2 1 4 3 9 10 7
21 1 Burnley 9 7 2 1.7 0.9 4 4 1 15 8 16
22 3 Sheffield United 10 8 2 1.2 0.8 5 2 3 12 8 17
23 10 Luton 8 6 2 1.0 1.0 4 2 2 8 8 14
24 12 Birmingham 9 7 2 0.9 1.0 3 2 4 8 9 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51