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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Robinson

Hull 1–3 Burnley

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 4.50 fair 4.07
Draw 3.50 fair 4.05
Away ✓ 1.83 fair 1.97
Under 2.5 1.62 fair 2.00
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.30 fair 2.00

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hull Burnley
14 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 3
8 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (438 league matches this season so far).
Result Burnley to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.05 – 1.63
Home / Draw / Away
HullDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 0–1 11.2% 1–2 9.6%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Hull before this match, all matches
1.28points / match
1.14scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 41:49
Burnley before this match, all matches
2.22points / match
1.97scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 71:28
Hull all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 1.97
1.36 Goals conceded 0.78
2.50 Total goals 2.75
10.53 Shots 13.39
3.03 Shots on target 4.83
12.69 Shots faced 8.58
4.75 Corners 5.94
5.53 Corners against 3.92
10.78 Fouls 9.72
1.72 Yellow cards 1.78
0.39 1st-half goals scored 0.81
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.39

How often Full Time

33% Wins 64%
28% Draws 31%
39% Losses 6%
86% Over 0.5 goals 97%
72% Over 1.5 goals 78%
44% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 22%
14% Over 4.5 goals 14%
6% Over 5.5 goals 11%
50% Both teams scored 53%
25% Clean sheets 44%
39% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 39%
44% Draws 47%
36% Losses 14%
69% Over 0.5 goals 64%
28% Over 1.5 goals 36%
8% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hull all matches
Burnley all matches
Hull before this match, at home
1.39points / match
1.11scored / match
1.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 20:23
Burnley before this match, away
1.94points / match
1.65scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 28:15
Hull at home away Burnley

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 1.65
1.28 Goals conceded 0.88
2.39 Total goals 2.53
11.83 Shots 11.00
2.94 Shots on target 4.00
11.78 Shots faced 10.71
6.00 Corners 4.71
5.17 Corners against 4.65
10.83 Fouls 10.47
1.39 Yellow cards 2.06
0.39 1st-half goals scored 0.76
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.41

How often Full Time

39% Wins 53%
22% Draws 35%
39% Losses 12%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
83% Over 1.5 goals 65%
44% Over 2.5 goals 35%
11% Over 3.5 goals 18%
6% Over 4.5 goals 18%
0% Over 5.5 goals 18%
50% Both teams scored 53%
22% Clean sheets 41%
33% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 47%
28% Draws 41%
50% Losses 12%
83% Over 0.5 goals 65%
28% Over 1.5 goals 35%
6% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hull at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hull all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.23 Coventry – Hull 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.304.10 2.20 1.67
03.03.23 Hull – West Brom 2–0 (1–0) 3.503.202.20 2.30 1.62
25.02.23 Bristol City – Hull 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.10 2.20 1.67
18.02.23 Hull – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 2.30 1.62
14.02.23 Norwich – Hull 3–1 (1–1) 1.803.754.33 1.95 1.90
11.02.23 Stoke – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.20 1.67
04.02.23 Hull – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.20 1.67
28.01.23 Hull – QPR 3–0 (1–0) 2.503.402.80 2.10 1.73
20.01.23 Sheffield United – Hull 1–0 (1–0) 1.703.755.25 2.00 1.85
14.01.23 Hull – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.404.20 2.30 1.62

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.23 Burnley – Wigan 3–0 (1–0) 1.335.258.50 2.00 1.85
04.03.23 Blackpool – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 6.503.801.60 2.02 1.83
25.02.23 Burnley – Huddersfield 4–0 (3–0) 1.364.5010.00 1.95 1.90
21.02.23 Millwall – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.202.38 2.50 1.53
18.02.23 Luton – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.302.20 2.20 1.67
14.02.23 Burnley – Watford 1–1 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.95 1.90
11.02.23 Burnley – Preston 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.006.00 2.10 1.73
04.02.23 Norwich – Burnley 0–3 (0–1) 2.603.302.75 2.00 1.85
20.01.23 Burnley – West Brom 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.103.50 2.30 1.62
14.01.23 Burnley – Coventry 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.93 1.93

Hull at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.03.23 Hull – West Brom 2–0 (1–0) 3.503.202.20 2.30 1.62
18.02.23 Hull – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 2.30 1.62
04.02.23 Hull – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.20 1.67
28.01.23 Hull – QPR 3–0 (1–0) 2.503.402.80 2.10 1.73
14.01.23 Hull – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.404.20 2.30 1.62
26.12.22 Hull – Blackpool 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.75 2.10 1.73
17.12.22 Hull – Sunderland 1–1 (0–0) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.67
12.11.22 Hull – Reading 1–2 (1–1) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.66
01.11.22 Hull – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–1) 3.103.302.37 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Hull – Blackburn 0–1 (0–1) 2.503.202.90 2.20 1.66

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.03.23 Blackpool – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 6.503.801.60 2.02 1.83
21.02.23 Millwall – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.202.38 2.50 1.53
18.02.23 Luton – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.302.20 2.20 1.67
04.02.23 Norwich – Burnley 0–3 (0–1) 2.603.302.75 2.00 1.85
02.01.23 Swansea – Burnley 1–2 (1–2) 3.003.402.38 2.05 1.80
30.12.22 Stoke – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.252.30 2.00 1.80
11.12.22 QPR – Burnley 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 2.00 1.85
05.11.22 Sheffield United – Burnley 5–2 (1–2) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.85
22.10.22 Sunderland – Burnley 2–4 (2–0) 3.203.252.30 2.02 1.83
19.10.22 Birmingham – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Hull winsDrawsBurnley wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.08.22E1 Burnley – Hull 1–1 (1–1) 1.534.006.50 2.05 1.80

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 36 23 11 2 71 28 +43 80
2 Sheffield United 36 20 7 9 56 32 +24 67
3 Middlesbrough 37 19 7 11 65 42 +23 64
4 Luton 36 16 12 8 44 34 +10 60
5 Millwall 37 17 9 11 48 39 +9 60
6 Blackburn 36 18 4 14 41 41 0 58
7 Norwich 36 16 7 13 51 40 +11 55
8 West Brom 36 15 9 12 46 38 +8 54
9 Coventry 37 14 12 11 43 36 +7 54
10 Watford 37 14 12 11 44 39 +5 54
11 Preston 37 14 11 12 34 39 -5 53
12 Sunderland 36 14 10 12 51 43 +8 52
13 Bristol City 36 12 12 12 45 43 +2 48
14 Stoke 37 13 8 16 48 45 +3 47
15 Hull 36 12 10 14 41 49 -8 46
16 Reading 36 13 5 18 38 55 -17 44
17 Swansea 37 11 10 16 49 57 -8 43
18 Birmingham 37 11 9 17 41 50 -9 42
19 QPR 37 11 9 17 38 58 -20 42
20 Rotherham 37 9 13 15 41 51 -10 40
21 Cardiff 36 10 8 18 27 40 -13 38
22 Blackpool 37 8 11 18 39 54 -15 35
23 Wigan 37 7 12 18 32 58 -26 33
24 Huddersfield 36 8 8 20 30 52 -22 32
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 19 14 5 0 43 13 +30 47
2 Blackburn 17 12 1 4 23 13 +10 37
3 Sheffield United 18 11 3 4 35 17 +18 36
4 Middlesbrough 18 10 6 2 32 14 +18 36
5 Millwall 18 10 5 3 29 16 +13 35
6 West Brom 19 10 5 4 26 15 +11 35
7 Reading 18 10 3 5 27 20 +7 33
8 Coventry 19 9 6 4 24 17 +7 33
9 Watford 18 9 5 4 27 16 +11 32
10 Bristol City 19 8 5 6 24 18 +6 29
11 Norwich 19 8 4 7 27 22 +5 28
12 Rotherham 18 7 5 6 30 23 +7 26
13 Luton 18 6 8 4 23 19 +4 26
14 Hull 18 7 4 7 20 23 -3 25
15 Swansea 18 7 3 8 28 28 0 24
16 Birmingham 19 6 5 8 22 21 +1 23
17 Sunderland 17 6 5 6 22 22 0 23
18 Cardiff 18 6 5 7 15 16 -1 23
19 Stoke 18 6 4 8 23 21 +2 22
20 Huddersfield 18 6 4 8 16 20 -4 22
21 QPR 18 6 4 8 20 26 -6 22
22 Blackpool 18 5 6 7 23 22 +1 21
23 Preston 19 5 6 8 14 22 -8 21
24 Wigan 19 3 6 10 14 32 -18 15
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Luton 18 10 4 4 21 15 +6 34
2 Burnley 17 9 6 2 28 15 +13 33
3 Preston 18 9 5 4 20 17 +3 32
4 Sheffield United 18 9 4 5 21 15 +6 31
5 Sunderland 19 8 5 6 29 21 +8 29
6 Middlesbrough 19 9 1 9 33 28 +5 28
7 Norwich 17 8 3 6 24 18 +6 27
8 Stoke 19 7 4 8 25 24 +1 25
9 Millwall 19 7 4 8 19 23 -4 25
10 Watford 19 5 7 7 17 23 -6 22
11 Coventry 18 5 6 7 19 19 0 21
12 Hull 18 5 6 7 21 26 -5 21
13 Blackburn 19 6 3 10 18 28 -10 21
14 QPR 19 5 5 9 18 32 -14 20
15 West Brom 17 5 4 8 20 23 -3 19
16 Bristol City 17 4 7 6 21 25 -4 19
17 Swansea 19 4 7 8 21 29 -8 19
18 Birmingham 18 5 4 9 19 29 -10 19
19 Wigan 18 4 6 8 18 26 -8 18
20 Cardiff 18 4 3 11 12 24 -12 15
21 Blackpool 19 3 5 11 16 32 -16 14
22 Rotherham 19 2 8 9 11 28 -17 14
23 Reading 18 3 2 13 11 35 -24 11
24 Huddersfield 18 2 4 12 14 32 -18 10

Hull   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Middlesbrough 37 14 23 1.8 1.1 19 7 11 65 42 64
2 17 Swansea 37 15 22 1.3 1.5 11 10 16 49 57 43
3 16 Reading 36 16 20 1.1 1.5 13 5 18 38 55 44
4 19 QPR 37 17 20 1.0 1.6 11 9 17 38 58 42
5 12 Sunderland 36 17 19 1.4 1.2 14 10 12 51 43 52
6 1 Burnley 36 18 18 2.0 0.8 23 11 2 71 28 80
7 7 Norwich 36 18 18 1.4 1.1 16 7 13 51 40 55
8 20 Rotherham 37 19 18 1.1 1.4 9 13 15 41 51 40
9 14 Stoke 37 20 17 1.3 1.2 13 8 16 48 45 47
10 18 Birmingham 37 20 17 1.1 1.4 11 9 17 41 50 42
11 22 Blackpool 37 20 17 1.1 1.5 8 11 18 39 54 35
12 6 Blackburn 36 20 16 1.1 1.1 18 4 14 41 41 58
13 15 Hull 36 20 16 1.1 1.4 12 10 14 41 49 46
14 23 Wigan 37 21 16 0.9 1.6 7 12 18 32 58 33
15 24 Huddersfield 36 20 16 0.8 1.4 8 8 20 30 52 32
16 2 Sheffield United 36 21 15 1.6 0.9 20 7 9 56 32 67
17 5 Millwall 37 22 15 1.3 1.1 17 9 11 48 39 60
18 10 Watford 37 23 14 1.2 1.1 14 12 11 44 39 54
19 11 Preston 37 23 14 0.9 1.1 14 11 12 34 39 53
20 13 Bristol City 36 22 14 1.2 1.2 12 12 12 45 43 48
21 4 Luton 36 24 12 1.2 0.9 16 12 8 44 34 60
22 8 West Brom 36 25 11 1.3 1.1 15 9 12 46 38 54
23 9 Coventry 37 26 11 1.2 1.0 14 12 11 43 36 54
24 21 Cardiff 36 27 9 0.8 1.1 10 8 18 27 40 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Burnley 19 7 12 2.3 0.7 14 5 0 43 13 47
2 17 Swansea 18 6 12 1.6 1.6 7 3 8 28 28 24
3 16 Reading 18 7 11 1.5 1.1 10 3 5 27 20 33
4 19 QPR 18 7 11 1.1 1.4 6 4 8 20 26 22
5 20 Rotherham 18 7 11 1.7 1.3 7 5 6 30 23 26
6 2 Sheffield United 18 8 10 1.9 0.9 11 3 4 35 17 36
7 3 Middlesbrough 18 9 9 1.8 0.8 10 6 2 32 14 36
8 7 Norwich 19 10 9 1.4 1.2 8 4 7 27 22 28
9 12 Sunderland 17 8 9 1.3 1.3 6 5 6 22 22 23
10 5 Millwall 18 10 8 1.6 0.9 10 5 3 29 16 35
11 10 Watford 18 10 8 1.5 0.9 9 5 4 27 16 32
12 14 Stoke 18 10 8 1.3 1.2 6 4 8 23 21 22
13 15 Hull 18 10 8 1.1 1.3 7 4 7 20 23 25
14 18 Birmingham 19 11 8 1.2 1.1 6 5 8 22 21 23
15 22 Blackpool 18 10 8 1.3 1.2 5 6 7 23 22 21
16 4 Luton 18 11 7 1.3 1.1 6 8 4 23 19 26
17 6 Blackburn 17 10 7 1.4 0.8 12 1 4 23 13 37
18 23 Wigan 19 12 7 0.7 1.7 3 6 10 14 32 15
19 11 Preston 19 13 6 0.7 1.2 5 6 8 14 22 21
20 13 Bristol City 19 13 6 1.3 0.9 8 5 6 24 18 29
21 24 Huddersfield 18 12 6 0.9 1.1 6 4 8 16 20 22
22 9 Coventry 19 14 5 1.3 0.9 9 6 4 24 17 33
23 8 West Brom 19 15 4 1.4 0.8 10 5 4 26 15 35
24 21 Cardiff 18 14 4 0.8 0.9 6 5 7 15 16 23
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Middlesbrough 19 5 14 1.7 1.5 9 1 9 33 28 28
2 12 Sunderland 19 9 10 1.5 1.1 8 5 6 29 21 29
3 17 Swansea 19 9 10 1.1 1.5 4 7 8 21 29 19
4 24 Huddersfield 18 8 10 0.8 1.8 2 4 12 14 32 10
5 6 Blackburn 19 10 9 0.9 1.5 6 3 10 18 28 21
6 7 Norwich 17 8 9 1.4 1.1 8 3 6 24 18 27
7 14 Stoke 19 10 9 1.3 1.3 7 4 8 25 24 25
8 16 Reading 18 9 9 0.6 1.9 3 2 13 11 35 11
9 18 Birmingham 18 9 9 1.1 1.6 5 4 9 19 29 19
10 19 QPR 19 10 9 0.9 1.7 5 5 9 18 32 20
11 22 Blackpool 19 10 9 0.8 1.7 3 5 11 16 32 14
12 23 Wigan 18 9 9 1.0 1.4 4 6 8 18 26 18
13 11 Preston 18 10 8 1.1 0.9 9 5 4 20 17 32
14 13 Bristol City 17 9 8 1.2 1.5 4 7 6 21 25 19
15 15 Hull 18 10 8 1.2 1.4 5 6 7 21 26 21
16 5 Millwall 19 12 7 1.0 1.2 7 4 8 19 23 25
17 8 West Brom 17 10 7 1.2 1.4 5 4 8 20 23 19
18 20 Rotherham 19 12 7 0.6 1.5 2 8 9 11 28 14
19 1 Burnley 17 11 6 1.6 0.9 9 6 2 28 15 33
20 9 Coventry 18 12 6 1.1 1.1 5 6 7 19 19 21
21 10 Watford 19 13 6 0.9 1.2 5 7 7 17 23 22
22 2 Sheffield United 18 13 5 1.2 0.8 9 4 5 21 15 31
23 4 Luton 18 13 5 1.2 0.8 10 4 4 21 15 34
24 21 Cardiff 18 13 5 0.7 1.3 4 3 11 12 24 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40