Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Simpson

Leeds 3–0 Watford

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.73 fair 2.37
Draw 3.80 fair 3.89
Away 4.75 fair 3.11
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.01
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.99

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Watford
17 Shots 4
10 Shots on target 1
8 Corners 1
13 Fouls 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (85 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.45 – 1.23
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 1–0 9.9% 2–1 8.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.43scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 10:7
Watford before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.57scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 11:7
Leeds all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 1.57
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
2.43 Total goals 2.57
15.57 Shots 16.43
4.43 Shots on target 5.00
10.43 Shots faced 9.43
6.00 Corners 6.71
4.86 Corners against 4.00
9.71 Fouls 11.71
1.86 Yellow cards 1.57
0.57 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

29% Wins 29%
57% Draws 43%
14% Losses 29%
71% Over 0.5 goals 86%
57% Over 1.5 goals 57%
43% Over 2.5 goals 43%
29% Over 3.5 goals 43%
14% Over 4.5 goals 14%
14% Over 5.5 goals 14%
43% Both teams scored 29%
43% Clean sheets 43%
43% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 14%
57% Draws 86%
14% Losses 0%
43% Over 0.5 goals 43%
29% Over 1.5 goals 43%
14% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Watford all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:3
Watford before this match, away
0.50points / match
1.50scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:4
Leeds at home away Watford

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.50
1.00 Goals conceded 2.00
2.00 Total goals 3.50
19.00 Shots 12.00
4.67 Shots on target 4.00
7.00 Shots faced 14.50
6.33 Corners 4.00
2.00 Corners against 8.00
8.67 Fouls 13.00
2.33 Yellow cards 2.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 50%
0% Losses 50%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 50%
33% Over 2.5 goals 50%
33% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 50%
67% Both teams scored 50%
33% Clean sheets 0%
33% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
67% Draws 100%
33% Losses 0%
33% Over 0.5 goals 50%
33% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.23 Hull – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.401.91 1.73 2.10
17.09.23 Millwall – Leeds 0–3 (0–1) 3.003.402.38 2.00 1.80
02.09.23 Leeds – Sheffield Weds 0–0 (0–0) 1.444.507.50 1.67 2.20
26.08.23 Ipswich – Leeds 3–4 (2–3) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.73
18.08.23 Leeds – West Brom 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.40 1.95 1.90
12.08.23 Birmingham – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.502.15 1.80 2.00
06.08.23 Leeds – Cardiff 2–2 (0–2) 1.404.508.50 1.67 2.20
28.05.23E0 Leeds – Tottenham 1–4 (0–1) 2.753.802.30 1.50 2.63
21.05.23E0 West Ham – Leeds 3–1 (1–1) 2.403.502.88 1.80 2.00
13.05.23E0 Leeds – Newcastle 2–2 (1–1) 4.334.201.70 1.62 2.30

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.23 Watford – West Brom 2–2 (2–2) 2.203.253.40 2.00 1.85
16.09.23 Watford – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.00 2.10 1.73
02.09.23 Coventry – Watford 3–3 (1–1) 2.103.503.40 1.95 1.90
27.08.23 Watford – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.90 1.95
19.08.23 Stoke – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.25 2.03 1.83
12.08.23 Watford – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.00 1.83 2.03
05.08.23 Watford – QPR 4–0 (4–0) 1.853.604.20 2.00 1.85
08.05.23 Watford – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.00 1.73 2.10
29.04.23 Sunderland – Watford 2–2 (0–1) 1.803.604.50 1.93 1.93
22.04.23 Hull – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.252.88 2.10 1.73

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.23 Leeds – Sheffield Weds 0–0 (0–0) 1.444.507.50 1.67 2.20
18.08.23 Leeds – West Brom 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.40 1.95 1.90
06.08.23 Leeds – Cardiff 2–2 (0–2) 1.404.508.50 1.67 2.20
28.05.23E0 Leeds – Tottenham 1–4 (0–1) 2.753.802.30 1.50 2.63
13.05.23E0 Leeds – Newcastle 2–2 (1–1) 4.334.201.70 1.62 2.30
25.04.23E0 Leeds – Leicester 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.10
17.04.23E0 Leeds – Liverpool 1–6 (0–2) 4.204.201.73 1.57 2.38
09.04.23E0 Leeds – Crystal Palace 1–5 (1–1) 2.103.403.60 2.10 1.73
04.04.23E0 Leeds – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–1) 1.703.755.00 1.98 1.92
11.03.23E0 Leeds – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 3.753.601.95 1.89 2.04

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.23 Coventry – Watford 3–3 (1–1) 2.103.503.40 1.95 1.90
19.08.23 Stoke – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.25 2.03 1.83
29.04.23 Sunderland – Watford 2–2 (0–1) 1.803.604.50 1.93 1.93
22.04.23 Hull – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.252.88 2.10 1.73
10.04.23 Coventry – Watford 2–2 (0–2) 2.403.253.00 2.20 1.67
01.04.23 Luton – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.253.60 2.38 1.57
11.03.23 QPR – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.252.30 2.10 1.73
25.02.23 Sheffield United – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.603.80 2.02 1.83
14.02.23 Burnley – Watford 1–1 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.95 1.90
04.02.23 Reading – Watford 2–2 (0–1) 2.803.302.55 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leeds winsDrawsWatford wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.04.22E0 Watford – Leeds 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 1.72 2.10
02.10.21E0 Leeds – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.66 2.20

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Preston 7 6 1 0 12 5 +7 19
2 Leicester 7 6 0 1 13 5 +8 18
3 Ipswich 7 6 0 1 13 7 +6 18
4 Sunderland 7 4 1 2 15 7 +8 13
5 Norwich 7 4 1 2 15 10 +5 13
6 Hull 7 3 3 1 10 7 +3 12
7 Bristol City 7 3 3 1 9 6 +3 12
8 Birmingham 8 3 3 2 8 7 +1 12
9 Leeds 7 2 4 1 10 7 +3 10
10 Cardiff 7 3 1 3 13 12 +1 10
11 Millwall 7 3 1 3 7 8 -1 10
12 Blackburn 7 3 1 3 9 12 -3 10
13 Southampton 7 3 1 3 11 17 -6 10
14 Watford 7 2 3 2 11 7 +4 9
15 West Brom 7 2 3 2 12 11 +1 9
16 Huddersfield 7 2 2 3 8 12 -4 8
17 QPR 8 2 2 4 7 12 -5 8
18 Coventry 7 1 4 2 11 10 +1 7
19 Plymouth 7 2 1 4 10 11 -1 7
20 Stoke 7 2 1 4 7 9 -2 7
21 Rotherham 7 1 1 5 7 16 -9 4
22 Swansea 7 0 3 4 7 12 -5 3
23 Sheffield Weds 7 0 2 5 5 11 -6 2
24 Middlesbrough 7 0 2 5 5 14 -9 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Preston 4 4 0 0 8 4 +4 12
2 Cardiff 4 3 0 1 8 5 +3 9
3 Norwich 4 3 0 1 6 4 +2 9
4 Watford 5 2 2 1 8 3 +5 8
5 Birmingham 4 2 2 0 4 2 +2 8
6 Sunderland 3 2 0 1 8 3 +5 6
7 Plymouth 3 2 0 1 7 3 +4 6
8 Ipswich 3 2 0 1 8 6 +2 6
9 West Brom 3 2 0 1 8 6 +2 6
10 Hull 4 1 3 0 6 4 +2 6
11 Stoke 3 2 0 1 5 3 +2 6
12 Leicester 3 2 0 1 4 3 +1 6
13 Millwall 4 2 0 2 4 4 0 6
14 Blackburn 4 2 0 2 6 7 -1 6
15 Coventry 3 1 2 0 6 3 +3 5
16 Bristol City 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5
17 Rotherham 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
18 Southampton 4 1 1 2 7 10 -3 4
19 Huddersfield 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4
20 Leeds 3 0 3 0 3 3 0 3
21 Swansea 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
22 QPR 3 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1
23 Sheffield Weds 4 0 1 3 2 5 -3 1
24 Middlesbrough 3 0 1 2 1 4 -3 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 4 4 0 0 9 2 +7 12
2 Ipswich 4 4 0 0 5 1 +4 12
3 Leeds 4 2 1 1 7 4 +3 7
4 Sunderland 4 2 1 1 7 4 +3 7
5 Preston 3 2 1 0 4 1 +3 7
6 Bristol City 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
7 QPR 5 2 1 2 5 7 -2 7
8 Hull 3 2 0 1 4 3 +1 6
9 Southampton 3 2 0 1 4 7 -3 6
10 Norwich 3 1 1 1 9 6 +3 4
11 Birmingham 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
12 Huddersfield 3 1 1 1 4 5 -1 4
13 Millwall 3 1 1 1 3 4 -1 4
14 Blackburn 3 1 1 1 3 5 -2 4
15 West Brom 4 0 3 1 4 5 -1 3
16 Coventry 4 0 2 2 5 7 -2 2
17 Watford 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
18 Cardiff 3 0 1 2 5 7 -2 1
19 Sheffield Weds 3 0 1 2 3 6 -3 1
20 Swansea 4 0 1 3 4 8 -4 1
21 Stoke 4 0 1 3 2 6 -4 1
22 Plymouth 4 0 1 3 3 8 -5 1
23 Middlesbrough 4 0 1 3 4 10 -6 1
24 Rotherham 4 0 0 4 2 11 -9 0

Leeds   Watford

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Sunderland 7 1 6 2.1 1.0 4 1 2 15 7 13
2 10 Cardiff 7 1 6 1.9 1.7 3 1 3 13 12 10
3 12 Blackburn 7 1 6 1.3 1.7 3 1 3 9 12 10
4 13 Southampton 7 1 6 1.6 2.4 3 1 3 11 17 10
5 19 Plymouth 7 1 6 1.4 1.6 2 1 4 10 11 7
6 21 Rotherham 7 1 6 1.0 2.3 1 1 5 7 16 4
7 5 Norwich 7 2 5 2.1 1.4 4 1 2 15 10 13
8 15 West Brom 7 2 5 1.7 1.6 2 3 2 12 11 9
9 1 Preston 7 3 4 1.7 0.7 6 1 0 12 5 19
10 2 Leicester 7 3 4 1.9 0.7 6 0 1 13 5 18
11 16 Huddersfield 7 3 4 1.1 1.7 2 2 3 8 12 8
12 17 QPR 8 4 4 0.9 1.5 2 2 4 7 12 8
13 18 Coventry 7 3 4 1.6 1.4 1 4 2 11 10 7
14 3 Ipswich 7 4 3 1.9 1.0 6 0 1 13 7 18
15 6 Hull 7 4 3 1.4 1.0 3 3 1 10 7 12
16 9 Leeds 7 4 3 1.4 1.0 2 4 1 10 7 10
17 11 Millwall 7 4 3 1.0 1.1 3 1 3 7 8 10
18 14 Watford 7 4 3 1.6 1.0 2 3 2 11 7 9
19 22 Swansea 7 4 3 1.0 1.7 0 3 4 7 12 3
20 23 Sheffield Weds 7 4 3 0.7 1.6 0 2 5 5 11 2
21 24 Middlesbrough 7 4 3 0.7 2.0 0 2 5 5 14 2
22 7 Bristol City 7 5 2 1.3 0.9 3 3 1 9 6 12
23 8 Birmingham 8 6 2 1.0 0.9 3 3 2 8 7 12
24 20 Stoke 7 5 2 1.0 1.3 2 1 4 7 9 7
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Preston 4 0 4 2.0 1.0 4 0 0 8 4 12
2 12 Blackburn 4 0 4 1.5 1.8 2 0 2 6 7 6
3 4 Sunderland 3 0 3 2.7 1.0 2 0 1 8 3 6
4 10 Cardiff 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 3 0 1 8 5 9
5 13 Southampton 4 1 3 1.8 2.5 1 1 2 7 10 4
6 15 West Brom 3 0 3 2.7 2.0 2 0 1 8 6 6
7 19 Plymouth 3 0 3 2.3 1.0 2 0 1 7 3 6
8 21 Rotherham 3 0 3 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
9 2 Leicester 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 2 0 1 4 3 6
10 3 Ipswich 3 1 2 2.7 2.0 2 0 1 8 6 6
11 5 Norwich 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 3 0 1 6 4 9
12 11 Millwall 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 2 0 2 4 4 6
13 14 Watford 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 2 2 1 8 3 8
14 16 Huddersfield 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4
15 18 Coventry 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 1 2 0 6 3 5
16 6 Hull 4 3 1 1.5 1.0 1 3 0 6 4 6
17 7 Bristol City 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5
18 8 Birmingham 4 3 1 1.0 0.5 2 2 0 4 2 8
19 9 Leeds 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 0 3 0 3 3 3
20 17 QPR 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 1 2 2 5 1
21 20 Stoke 3 2 1 1.7 1.0 2 0 1 5 3 6
22 22 Swansea 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
23 23 Sheffield Weds 4 3 1 0.5 1.2 0 1 3 2 5 1
24 24 Middlesbrough 3 3 0 0.3 1.3 0 1 2 1 4 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Sunderland 4 1 3 1.8 1.0 2 1 1 7 4 7
2 5 Norwich 3 0 3 3.0 2.0 1 1 1 9 6 4
3 10 Cardiff 3 0 3 1.7 2.3 0 1 2 5 7 1
4 13 Southampton 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 2 0 1 4 7 6
5 17 QPR 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 2 1 2 5 7 7
6 19 Plymouth 4 1 3 0.8 2.0 0 1 3 3 8 1
7 21 Rotherham 4 1 3 0.5 2.8 0 0 4 2 11 0
8 24 Middlesbrough 4 1 3 1.0 2.5 0 1 3 4 10 1
9 2 Leicester 4 2 2 2.2 0.5 4 0 0 9 2 12
10 6 Hull 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 2 0 1 4 3 6
11 9 Leeds 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 2 1 1 7 4 7
12 12 Blackburn 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 1 1 3 5 4
13 15 West Brom 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 0 3 1 4 5 3
14 16 Huddersfield 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 1 1 4 5 4
15 18 Coventry 4 2 2 1.2 1.8 0 2 2 5 7 2
16 22 Swansea 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 0 1 3 4 8 1
17 23 Sheffield Weds 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 0 1 2 3 6 1
18 3 Ipswich 4 3 1 1.2 0.2 4 0 0 5 1 12
19 7 Bristol City 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
20 8 Birmingham 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
21 11 Millwall 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 1 1 3 4 4
22 14 Watford 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
23 20 Stoke 4 3 1 0.5 1.5 0 1 3 2 6 1
24 1 Preston 3 3 0 1.3 0.3 2 1 0 4 1 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51