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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Martin

Cardiff 0–1 Birmingham

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.85 fair 1.94
Draw 3.80 fair 4.13
Away ✓ 4.00 fair 4.12
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 2.08
Over 2.5 2.08 fair 1.93

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cardiff Birmingham
11 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 3
11 Fouls 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (246 league matches this season so far).
Result Cardiff to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.87
Expected goals 1.68 – 1.07
Home / Draw / Away
CardiffDrawBirmingham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 1–0 10.7% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.40scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 28:23
Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.15points / match
1.15scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 23:29
Cardiff all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 1.15
1.15 Goals conceded 1.45
2.55 Total goals 2.60
10.85 Shots 13.00
4.05 Shots on target 4.10
11.90 Shots faced 13.70
4.75 Corners 4.85
5.60 Corners against 6.60
9.50 Fouls 13.00
1.55 Yellow cards 2.40
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

45% Wins 30%
15% Draws 25%
40% Losses 45%
95% Over 0.5 goals 90%
75% Over 1.5 goals 80%
45% Over 2.5 goals 45%
25% Over 3.5 goals 30%
15% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
45% Both teams scored 55%
35% Clean sheets 20%
25% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 30%
60% Draws 50%
10% Losses 20%
50% Over 0.5 goals 60%
30% Over 1.5 goals 25%
10% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches
Birmingham all matches
Cardiff before this match, at home
1.90points / match
1.60scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 16:10
Birmingham before this match, away
0.40points / match
0.80scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 8:20
Cardiff at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 0.80
1.00 Goals conceded 2.00
2.60 Total goals 2.80
10.80 Shots 13.30
4.20 Shots on target 4.40
9.50 Shots faced 14.50
4.70 Corners 4.10
4.70 Corners against 7.00
8.40 Fouls 12.90
1.20 Yellow cards 2.90
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.30
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

60% Wins 10%
10% Draws 10%
30% Losses 80%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 90%
40% Over 2.5 goals 40%
20% Over 3.5 goals 30%
20% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 10%
50% Both teams scored 50%
40% Clean sheets 10%
10% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 20%
60% Draws 60%
10% Losses 20%
50% Over 0.5 goals 50%
20% Over 1.5 goals 20%
10% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home
Birmingham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Cardiff – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.80 2.25 1.62
02.12.23 Southampton – Cardiff 2–0 (2–0) 1.624.005.25 1.80 2.00
28.11.23 Cardiff – West Brom 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.50 2.30 1.60
25.11.23 Preston – Cardiff 1–2 (0–0) 2.403.203.00 2.35 1.57
11.11.23 Cardiff – Norwich 2–3 (2–1) 2.003.503.60 1.85 2.00
04.11.23 Stoke – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.70
28.10.23 Cardiff – Bristol City 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.503.25 2.15 1.67
24.10.23 Huddersfield – Cardiff 0–4 (0–3) 2.383.253.10 2.10 1.70
21.10.23 Blackburn – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.70 2.10
07.10.23 Cardiff – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.302.90 2.05 1.75

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.12.23 Coventry – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.75 2.05
02.12.23 Birmingham – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.603.806.00 1.88 1.98
29.11.23 Blackburn – Birmingham 4–2 (0–0) 1.803.604.33 1.65 2.20
25.11.23 Birmingham – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.253.50 2.25 1.62
11.11.23 Sunderland – Birmingham 3–1 (1–1) 1.753.754.50 1.85 2.00
04.11.23 Birmingham – Ipswich 2–2 (1–0) 3.803.751.91 1.75 2.05
28.10.23 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.604.005.50 1.80 2.00
25.10.23 Birmingham – Hull 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.253.20 2.05 1.80
21.10.23 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.90 1.95
06.10.23 Birmingham – West Brom 3–1 (2–1) 2.753.202.63 2.25 1.62

Cardiff at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Cardiff – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.80 2.25 1.62
28.11.23 Cardiff – West Brom 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.50 2.30 1.60
11.11.23 Cardiff – Norwich 2–3 (2–1) 2.003.503.60 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Cardiff – Bristol City 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.503.25 2.15 1.67
07.10.23 Cardiff – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.302.90 2.05 1.75
30.09.23 Cardiff – Rotherham 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.25 1.93 1.93
19.09.23 Cardiff – Coventry 3–2 (1–1) 2.703.302.63 2.03 1.83
16.09.23 Cardiff – Swansea 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.252.80 1.95 1.90
26.08.23 Cardiff – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.203.60 2.10 1.73
12.08.23 Cardiff – QPR 1–2 (0–1) 1.953.603.75 2.10 1.73

Birmingham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.12.23 Coventry – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.75 2.05
29.11.23 Blackburn – Birmingham 4–2 (0–0) 1.803.604.33 1.65 2.20
11.11.23 Sunderland – Birmingham 3–1 (1–1) 1.753.754.50 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.604.005.50 1.80 2.00
21.10.23 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.90 1.95
30.09.23 Norwich – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 1.93 1.93
19.09.23 Preston – Birmingham 2–1 (0–0) 2.383.103.30 2.30 1.62
16.09.23 Watford – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.00 2.10 1.73
19.08.23 Bristol City – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.30 1.62
05.08.23 Swansea – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.20 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Cardiff winsDrawsBirmingham wins
4matches
2.25goals / match
25%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.02.23E1 Birmingham – Cardiff 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.203.40 2.30 1.62
13.08.22E1 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 2.20 1.66
30.04.22E1 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.403.75 2.05 1.80
11.12.21E1 Birmingham – Cardiff 2–2 (2–0) 2.373.303.10 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 21 16 3 2 45 26 +19 51
2 Leicester 20 16 1 3 38 12 +26 49
3 Leeds 21 12 5 4 36 21 +15 41
4 Southampton 20 11 5 4 32 28 +4 38
5 West Brom 21 10 5 6 33 21 +12 35
6 Sunderland 21 10 3 8 32 23 +9 33
7 Preston 21 9 5 7 27 33 -6 32
8 Blackburn 21 10 1 10 34 34 0 31
9 Cardiff 20 9 3 8 28 23 +5 30
10 Hull 20 8 6 6 29 26 +3 30
11 Watford 21 7 7 7 30 26 +4 28
12 Middlesbrough 20 8 3 9 31 31 0 27
13 Norwich 20 8 3 9 34 36 -2 27
14 Bristol City 21 7 5 9 22 24 -2 26
15 Coventry 20 6 7 7 26 23 +3 25
16 Swansea 21 6 7 8 29 29 0 25
17 Birmingham 20 6 5 9 23 29 -6 23
18 Plymouth 20 6 4 10 31 33 -2 22
19 Stoke 21 6 4 11 20 29 -9 22
20 Millwall 20 5 6 9 21 27 -6 21
21 Huddersfield 21 4 9 8 20 35 -15 21
22 QPR 20 5 4 11 19 30 -11 19
23 Sheffield Weds 20 3 4 13 13 31 -18 13
24 Rotherham 21 2 7 12 18 41 -23 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 10 9 0 1 30 17 +13 27
2 Leicester 10 8 0 2 17 4 +13 24
3 Leeds 10 7 3 0 21 9 +12 24
4 Sunderland 11 7 0 4 20 13 +7 21
5 West Brom 10 6 2 2 17 9 +8 20
6 Southampton 10 6 2 2 19 14 +5 20
7 Plymouth 10 6 1 3 24 14 +10 19
8 Watford 12 5 4 3 23 13 +10 19
9 Cardiff 10 6 1 3 16 10 +6 19
10 Birmingham 10 5 4 1 15 9 +6 19
11 Coventry 10 4 5 1 12 7 +5 17
12 Preston 10 5 2 3 15 17 -2 17
13 Hull 10 4 4 2 15 10 +5 16
14 Middlesbrough 10 5 1 4 11 9 +2 16
15 Norwich 10 5 1 4 13 12 +1 16
16 Blackburn 11 5 0 6 15 19 -4 15
17 Bristol City 10 4 2 4 13 12 +1 14
18 Stoke 11 4 2 5 10 13 -3 14
19 Swansea 10 2 5 3 12 12 0 11
20 Rotherham 11 2 5 4 14 16 -2 11
21 Huddersfield 11 2 5 4 10 18 -8 11
22 Sheffield Weds 10 2 3 5 8 14 -6 9
23 QPR 9 2 2 5 10 16 -6 8
24 Millwall 10 2 2 6 8 16 -8 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 10 8 1 1 21 8 +13 25
2 Ipswich 11 7 3 1 15 9 +6 24
3 Southampton 10 5 3 2 13 14 -1 18
4 Leeds 11 5 2 4 15 12 +3 17
5 Blackburn 10 5 1 4 19 15 +4 16
6 West Brom 11 4 3 4 16 12 +4 15
7 Preston 11 4 3 4 12 16 -4 15
8 Swansea 11 4 2 5 17 17 0 14
9 Hull 10 4 2 4 14 16 -2 14
10 Millwall 10 3 4 3 13 11 +2 13
11 Sunderland 10 3 3 4 12 10 +2 12
12 Bristol City 11 3 3 5 9 12 -3 12
13 Cardiff 10 3 2 5 12 13 -1 11
14 Middlesbrough 10 3 2 5 20 22 -2 11
15 Norwich 10 3 2 5 21 24 -3 11
16 QPR 11 3 2 6 9 14 -5 11
17 Huddersfield 10 2 4 4 10 17 -7 10
18 Watford 9 2 3 4 7 13 -6 9
19 Coventry 10 2 2 6 14 16 -2 8
20 Stoke 10 2 2 6 10 16 -6 8
21 Birmingham 10 1 1 8 8 20 -12 4
22 Sheffield Weds 10 1 1 8 5 17 -12 4
23 Plymouth 10 0 3 7 7 19 -12 3
24 Rotherham 10 0 2 8 4 25 -21 2

Cardiff   Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Blackburn 21 5 16 1.6 1.6 10 1 10 34 34 31
2 13 Norwich 20 6 14 1.7 1.8 8 3 9 34 36 27
3 18 Plymouth 20 6 14 1.6 1.6 6 4 10 31 33 22
4 1 Ipswich 21 8 13 2.1 1.2 16 3 2 45 26 51
5 6 Sunderland 21 8 13 1.5 1.1 10 3 8 32 23 33
6 7 Preston 21 8 13 1.3 1.6 9 5 7 27 33 32
7 4 Southampton 20 8 12 1.6 1.4 11 5 4 32 28 38
8 16 Swansea 21 9 12 1.4 1.4 6 7 8 29 29 25
9 3 Leeds 21 10 11 1.7 1.0 12 5 4 36 21 41
10 5 West Brom 21 10 11 1.6 1.0 10 5 6 33 21 35
11 10 Hull 20 9 11 1.4 1.3 8 6 6 29 26 30
12 12 Middlesbrough 20 9 11 1.6 1.6 8 3 9 31 31 27
13 24 Rotherham 21 10 11 0.9 2.0 2 7 12 18 41 13
14 2 Leicester 20 10 10 1.9 0.6 16 1 3 38 12 49
15 11 Watford 21 11 10 1.4 1.2 7 7 7 30 26 28
16 20 Millwall 20 10 10 1.1 1.4 5 6 9 21 27 21
17 21 Huddersfield 21 11 10 1.0 1.7 4 9 8 20 35 21
18 9 Cardiff 20 11 9 1.4 1.1 9 3 8 28 23 30
19 17 Birmingham 20 11 9 1.1 1.4 6 5 9 23 29 23
20 22 QPR 20 11 9 0.9 1.5 5 4 11 19 30 19
21 23 Sheffield Weds 20 11 9 0.7 1.6 3 4 13 13 31 13
22 14 Bristol City 21 13 8 1.0 1.1 7 5 9 22 24 26
23 15 Coventry 20 12 8 1.3 1.1 6 7 7 26 23 25
24 19 Stoke 21 13 8 1.0 1.4 6 4 11 20 29 22
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Ipswich 10 1 9 3.0 1.7 9 0 1 30 17 27
2 6 Sunderland 11 3 8 1.8 1.2 7 0 4 20 13 21
3 7 Preston 10 2 8 1.5 1.7 5 2 3 15 17 17
4 8 Blackburn 11 3 8 1.4 1.7 5 0 6 15 19 15
5 18 Plymouth 10 2 8 2.4 1.4 6 1 3 24 14 19
6 3 Leeds 10 3 7 2.1 0.9 7 3 0 21 9 24
7 11 Watford 12 5 7 1.9 1.1 5 4 3 23 13 19
8 4 Southampton 10 4 6 1.9 1.4 6 2 2 19 14 20
9 20 Millwall 10 4 6 0.8 1.6 2 2 6 8 16 8
10 24 Rotherham 11 5 6 1.3 1.5 2 5 4 14 16 11
11 5 West Brom 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 6 2 2 17 9 20
12 13 Norwich 10 5 5 1.3 1.2 5 1 4 13 12 16
13 16 Swansea 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 2 5 3 12 12 11
14 17 Birmingham 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 5 4 1 15 9 19
15 21 Huddersfield 11 6 5 0.9 1.6 2 5 4 10 18 11
16 22 QPR 9 4 5 1.1 1.8 2 2 5 10 16 8
17 2 Leicester 10 6 4 1.7 0.4 8 0 2 17 4 24
18 9 Cardiff 10 6 4 1.6 1.0 6 1 3 16 10 19
19 10 Hull 10 6 4 1.5 1.0 4 4 2 15 10 16
20 14 Bristol City 10 6 4 1.3 1.2 4 2 4 13 12 14
21 19 Stoke 11 7 4 0.9 1.2 4 2 5 10 13 14
22 23 Sheffield Weds 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 5 8 14 9
23 12 Middlesbrough 10 8 2 1.1 0.9 5 1 4 11 9 16
24 15 Coventry 10 8 2 1.2 0.7 4 5 1 12 7 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Middlesbrough 10 1 9 2.0 2.2 3 2 5 20 22 11
2 13 Norwich 10 1 9 2.1 2.4 3 2 5 21 24 11
3 8 Blackburn 10 2 8 1.9 1.5 5 1 4 19 15 16
4 10 Hull 10 3 7 1.4 1.6 4 2 4 14 16 14
5 16 Swansea 11 4 7 1.5 1.5 4 2 5 17 17 14
6 2 Leicester 10 4 6 2.1 0.8 8 1 1 21 8 25
7 4 Southampton 10 4 6 1.3 1.4 5 3 2 13 14 18
8 5 West Brom 11 5 6 1.5 1.1 4 3 4 16 12 15
9 15 Coventry 10 4 6 1.4 1.6 2 2 6 14 16 8
10 18 Plymouth 10 4 6 0.7 1.9 0 3 7 7 19 3
11 6 Sunderland 10 5 5 1.2 1.0 3 3 4 12 10 12
12 7 Preston 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 4 3 4 12 16 15
13 9 Cardiff 10 5 5 1.2 1.3 3 2 5 12 13 11
14 21 Huddersfield 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 2 4 4 10 17 10
15 23 Sheffield Weds 10 5 5 0.5 1.7 1 1 8 5 17 4
16 24 Rotherham 10 5 5 0.4 2.5 0 2 8 4 25 2
17 1 Ipswich 11 7 4 1.4 0.8 7 3 1 15 9 24
18 3 Leeds 11 7 4 1.4 1.1 5 2 4 15 12 17
19 14 Bristol City 11 7 4 0.8 1.1 3 3 5 9 12 12
20 17 Birmingham 10 6 4 0.8 2.0 1 1 8 8 20 4
21 19 Stoke 10 6 4 1.0 1.6 2 2 6 10 16 8
22 20 Millwall 10 6 4 1.3 1.1 3 4 3 13 11 13
23 22 QPR 11 7 4 0.8 1.3 3 2 6 9 14 11
24 11 Watford 9 6 3 0.8 1.4 2 3 4 7 13 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40