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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: M Donohue

Swansea 1–2 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.20 fair 2.30
Draw 3.50 fair 4.24
Away ✓ 2.20 fair 3.04
Under 2.5 2.08 fair 2.52
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.66

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Swansea Middlesbrough
10 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 4
14 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (253 league matches this season so far).
Result Swansea to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.61
Expected goals 1.68 – 1.44
Home / Draw / Away
SwanseaDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 9% 1–2 7.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Swansea before this match, all matches
1.19points / match
1.38scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 29:29
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.52scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 32:33
Swansea all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.52
1.38 Goals conceded 1.57
2.76 Total goals 3.10
11.67 Shots 14.05
4.05 Shots on target 5.67
14.62 Shots faced 11.19
5.10 Corners 6.52
5.43 Corners against 4.71
10.52 Fouls 11.48
1.71 Yellow cards 1.71
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

29% Wins 38%
33% Draws 14%
38% Losses 48%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 86%
57% Over 2.5 goals 57%
29% Over 3.5 goals 33%
10% Over 4.5 goals 24%
0% Over 5.5 goals 10%
71% Both teams scored 52%
19% Clean sheets 24%
14% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 14%
33% Draws 38%
29% Losses 48%
81% Over 0.5 goals 67%
29% Over 1.5 goals 38%
10% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swansea all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Swansea before this match, at home
1.10points / match
1.20scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 12:12
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.10points / match
2.00scored / match
2.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 20:22
Swansea at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 2.00
1.20 Goals conceded 2.20
2.40 Total goals 4.20
12.40 Shots 15.00
4.20 Shots on target 5.40
14.00 Shots faced 12.20
5.40 Corners 5.70
5.00 Corners against 5.30
11.10 Fouls 11.50
1.70 Yellow cards 1.90
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.30

How often Full Time

20% Wins 30%
50% Draws 20%
30% Losses 50%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 90%
20% Over 3.5 goals 60%
0% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
70% Both teams scored 80%
20% Clean sheets 10%
20% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 10%
50% Draws 20%
20% Losses 70%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
40% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 40%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swansea at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Swansea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.12.23 Stoke – Swansea 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 1.93 1.93
09.12.23 Rotherham – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 3.303.402.15 1.98 1.88
02.12.23 Swansea – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.404.00 1.88 1.98
29.11.23 Leeds – Swansea 3–1 (2–1) 1.365.258.50 1.53 2.40
25.11.23 Swansea – Hull 2–2 (2–0) 2.603.202.80 2.00 1.85
11.11.23 Ipswich – Swansea 3–2 (2–1) 1.534.335.50 1.62 2.25
04.11.23 Swansea – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.63 1.75 2.05
28.10.23 Blackburn – Swansea 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.60 2.30
24.10.23 Swansea – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 2.05 1.75
21.10.23 Swansea – Leicester 1–3 (1–1) 4.334.001.75 1.73 2.08

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.23 Middlesbrough – Hull 1–2 (1–0) 1.833.804.00 1.85 2.00
09.12.23 Middlesbrough – Ipswich 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.702.90 1.67 2.15
02.12.23 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–2) 1.734.004.50 1.62 2.25
28.11.23 Middlesbrough – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 1.673.605.50 2.00 1.85
25.11.23 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 3–2 (2–0) 3.603.302.10 2.00 1.85
11.11.23 Middlesbrough – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.602.30 1.70 2.10
04.11.23 Plymouth – Middlesbrough 3–3 (2–1) 4.003.601.91 1.60 2.30
28.10.23 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–2 (0–2) 1.754.004.33 1.75 2.05
24.10.23 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.15
21.10.23 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.90 1.95

Swansea at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.23 Swansea – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.404.00 1.88 1.98
25.11.23 Swansea – Hull 2–2 (2–0) 2.603.202.80 2.00 1.85
04.11.23 Swansea – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.63 1.75 2.05
24.10.23 Swansea – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 2.05 1.75
21.10.23 Swansea – Leicester 1–3 (1–1) 4.334.001.75 1.73 2.08
04.10.23 Swansea – Norwich 2–1 (1–1) 2.903.302.45 1.80 2.00
23.09.23 Swansea – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.03 1.83
02.09.23 Swansea – Bristol City 1–2 (1–0) 2.103.403.50 1.98 1.88
19.08.23 Swansea – Coventry 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.303.00 1.93 1.93
05.08.23 Swansea – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.20 1.93 1.93

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.23 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–2) 1.734.004.50 1.62 2.25
25.11.23 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 3–2 (2–0) 3.603.302.10 2.00 1.85
04.11.23 Plymouth – Middlesbrough 3–3 (2–1) 4.003.601.91 1.60 2.30
24.10.23 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.15
07.10.23 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.75 2.05
30.09.23 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.90 1.93 1.93
19.09.23 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.502.15 1.90 1.95
16.09.23 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.252.75 1.73 2.10
26.08.23 West Brom – Middlesbrough 4–2 (2–1) 2.203.503.20 1.95 1.90
12.08.23 Coventry – Middlesbrough 3–0 (1–0) 2.383.303.00 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Swansea winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
4matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.23E1 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–0) 3.253.602.15 1.98 1.88
27.08.22E1 Middlesbrough – Swansea 2–1 (2–0) 1.753.754.75 2.00 1.85
23.04.22E1 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.02 1.83
04.12.21E1 Middlesbrough – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.75 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 21 17 1 3 41 14 +27 52
2 Ipswich 22 16 4 2 47 28 +19 52
3 Leeds 21 12 5 4 36 21 +15 41
4 Southampton 21 11 6 4 33 29 +4 39
5 West Brom 21 10 5 6 33 21 +12 35
6 Sunderland 21 10 3 8 32 23 +9 33
7 Hull 21 9 6 6 31 27 +4 33
8 Preston 21 9 5 7 27 33 -6 32
9 Norwich 22 9 4 9 39 39 0 31
10 Blackburn 21 10 1 10 34 34 0 31
11 Cardiff 21 9 3 9 28 24 +4 30
12 Watford 21 7 7 7 30 26 +4 28
13 Middlesbrough 21 8 3 10 32 33 -1 27
14 Coventry 21 6 8 7 27 24 +3 26
15 Bristol City 21 7 5 9 22 24 -2 26
16 Birmingham 21 7 5 9 24 29 -5 26
17 Swansea 21 6 7 8 29 29 0 25
18 Plymouth 21 6 5 10 31 33 -2 23
19 Stoke 21 6 4 11 20 29 -9 22
20 Millwall 21 5 6 10 23 30 -7 21
21 Huddersfield 21 4 9 8 20 35 -15 21
22 QPR 21 5 5 11 19 30 -11 20
23 Sheffield Weds 21 3 4 14 14 34 -20 13
24 Rotherham 21 2 7 12 18 41 -23 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 11 9 1 1 32 19 +13 28
2 Leicester 11 9 0 2 20 6 +14 27
3 Leeds 10 7 3 0 21 9 +12 24
4 Sunderland 11 7 0 4 20 13 +7 21
5 West Brom 10 6 2 2 17 9 +8 20
6 Southampton 10 6 2 2 19 14 +5 20
7 Plymouth 10 6 1 3 24 14 +10 19
8 Watford 12 5 4 3 23 13 +10 19
9 Birmingham 10 5 4 1 15 9 +6 19
10 Cardiff 11 6 1 4 16 11 +5 19
11 Norwich 11 6 1 4 16 13 +3 19
12 Coventry 11 4 6 1 13 8 +5 18
13 Preston 10 5 2 3 15 17 -2 17
14 Hull 10 4 4 2 15 10 +5 16
15 Middlesbrough 11 5 1 5 12 11 +1 16
16 Blackburn 11 5 0 6 15 19 -4 15
17 Bristol City 10 4 2 4 13 12 +1 14
18 Stoke 11 4 2 5 10 13 -3 14
19 Swansea 10 2 5 3 12 12 0 11
20 Rotherham 11 2 5 4 14 16 -2 11
21 Huddersfield 11 2 5 4 10 18 -8 11
22 QPR 10 2 3 5 10 16 -6 9
23 Sheffield Weds 10 2 3 5 8 14 -6 9
24 Millwall 10 2 2 6 8 16 -8 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 10 8 1 1 21 8 +13 25
2 Ipswich 11 7 3 1 15 9 +6 24
3 Southampton 11 5 4 2 14 15 -1 19
4 Leeds 11 5 2 4 15 12 +3 17
5 Hull 11 5 2 4 16 17 -1 17
6 Blackburn 10 5 1 4 19 15 +4 16
7 West Brom 11 4 3 4 16 12 +4 15
8 Preston 11 4 3 4 12 16 -4 15
9 Swansea 11 4 2 5 17 17 0 14
10 Millwall 11 3 4 4 15 14 +1 13
11 Sunderland 10 3 3 4 12 10 +2 12
12 Norwich 11 3 3 5 23 26 -3 12
13 Bristol City 11 3 3 5 9 12 -3 12
14 Cardiff 10 3 2 5 12 13 -1 11
15 Middlesbrough 10 3 2 5 20 22 -2 11
16 QPR 11 3 2 6 9 14 -5 11
17 Huddersfield 10 2 4 4 10 17 -7 10
18 Watford 9 2 3 4 7 13 -6 9
19 Coventry 10 2 2 6 14 16 -2 8
20 Stoke 10 2 2 6 10 16 -6 8
21 Birmingham 11 2 1 8 9 20 -11 7
22 Plymouth 11 0 4 7 7 19 -12 4
23 Sheffield Weds 11 1 1 9 6 20 -14 4
24 Rotherham 10 0 2 8 4 25 -21 2

Swansea   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Norwich 22 6 16 1.8 1.8 9 4 9 39 39 31
2 10 Blackburn 21 5 16 1.6 1.6 10 1 10 34 34 31
3 2 Ipswich 22 8 14 2.1 1.3 16 4 2 47 28 52
4 18 Plymouth 21 7 14 1.5 1.6 6 5 10 31 33 23
5 6 Sunderland 21 8 13 1.5 1.1 10 3 8 32 23 33
6 8 Preston 21 8 13 1.3 1.6 9 5 7 27 33 32
7 4 Southampton 21 9 12 1.6 1.4 11 6 4 33 29 39
8 7 Hull 21 9 12 1.5 1.3 9 6 6 31 27 33
9 13 Middlesbrough 21 9 12 1.5 1.6 8 3 10 32 33 27
10 17 Swansea 21 9 12 1.4 1.4 6 7 8 29 29 25
11 1 Leicester 21 10 11 2.0 0.7 17 1 3 41 14 52
12 3 Leeds 21 10 11 1.7 1.0 12 5 4 36 21 41
13 5 West Brom 21 10 11 1.6 1.0 10 5 6 33 21 35
14 20 Millwall 21 10 11 1.1 1.4 5 6 10 23 30 21
15 24 Rotherham 21 10 11 0.9 2.0 2 7 12 18 41 13
16 12 Watford 21 11 10 1.4 1.2 7 7 7 30 26 28
17 21 Huddersfield 21 11 10 1.0 1.7 4 9 8 20 35 21
18 23 Sheffield Weds 21 11 10 0.7 1.6 3 4 14 14 34 13
19 11 Cardiff 21 12 9 1.3 1.1 9 3 9 28 24 30
20 16 Birmingham 21 12 9 1.1 1.4 7 5 9 24 29 26
21 22 QPR 21 12 9 0.9 1.4 5 5 11 19 30 20
22 14 Coventry 21 13 8 1.3 1.1 6 8 7 27 24 26
23 15 Bristol City 21 13 8 1.0 1.1 7 5 9 22 24 26
24 19 Stoke 21 13 8 1.0 1.4 6 4 11 20 29 22
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 11 1 10 2.9 1.7 9 1 1 32 19 28
2 6 Sunderland 11 3 8 1.8 1.2 7 0 4 20 13 21
3 8 Preston 10 2 8 1.5 1.7 5 2 3 15 17 17
4 10 Blackburn 11 3 8 1.4 1.7 5 0 6 15 19 15
5 18 Plymouth 10 2 8 2.4 1.4 6 1 3 24 14 19
6 3 Leeds 10 3 7 2.1 0.9 7 3 0 21 9 24
7 12 Watford 12 5 7 1.9 1.1 5 4 3 23 13 19
8 4 Southampton 10 4 6 1.9 1.4 6 2 2 19 14 20
9 9 Norwich 11 5 6 1.5 1.2 6 1 4 16 13 19
10 20 Millwall 10 4 6 0.8 1.6 2 2 6 8 16 8
11 24 Rotherham 11 5 6 1.3 1.5 2 5 4 14 16 11
12 1 Leicester 11 6 5 1.8 0.5 9 0 2 20 6 27
13 5 West Brom 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 6 2 2 17 9 20
14 16 Birmingham 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 5 4 1 15 9 19
15 17 Swansea 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 2 5 3 12 12 11
16 21 Huddersfield 11 6 5 0.9 1.6 2 5 4 10 18 11
17 22 QPR 10 5 5 1.0 1.6 2 3 5 10 16 9
18 7 Hull 10 6 4 1.5 1.0 4 4 2 15 10 16
19 11 Cardiff 11 7 4 1.5 1.0 6 1 4 16 11 19
20 15 Bristol City 10 6 4 1.3 1.2 4 2 4 13 12 14
21 19 Stoke 11 7 4 0.9 1.2 4 2 5 10 13 14
22 23 Sheffield Weds 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 5 8 14 9
23 13 Middlesbrough 11 8 3 1.1 1.0 5 1 5 12 11 16
24 14 Coventry 11 9 2 1.2 0.7 4 6 1 13 8 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Norwich 11 1 10 2.1 2.4 3 3 5 23 26 12
2 13 Middlesbrough 10 1 9 2.0 2.2 3 2 5 20 22 11
3 7 Hull 11 3 8 1.5 1.5 5 2 4 16 17 17
4 10 Blackburn 10 2 8 1.9 1.5 5 1 4 19 15 16
5 17 Swansea 11 4 7 1.5 1.5 4 2 5 17 17 14
6 1 Leicester 10 4 6 2.1 0.8 8 1 1 21 8 25
7 4 Southampton 11 5 6 1.3 1.4 5 4 2 14 15 19
8 5 West Brom 11 5 6 1.5 1.1 4 3 4 16 12 15
9 14 Coventry 10 4 6 1.4 1.6 2 2 6 14 16 8
10 18 Plymouth 11 5 6 0.6 1.7 0 4 7 7 19 4
11 23 Sheffield Weds 11 5 6 0.5 1.8 1 1 9 6 20 4
12 6 Sunderland 10 5 5 1.2 1.0 3 3 4 12 10 12
13 8 Preston 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 4 3 4 12 16 15
14 11 Cardiff 10 5 5 1.2 1.3 3 2 5 12 13 11
15 20 Millwall 11 6 5 1.4 1.3 3 4 4 15 14 13
16 21 Huddersfield 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 2 4 4 10 17 10
17 24 Rotherham 10 5 5 0.4 2.5 0 2 8 4 25 2
18 2 Ipswich 11 7 4 1.4 0.8 7 3 1 15 9 24
19 3 Leeds 11 7 4 1.4 1.1 5 2 4 15 12 17
20 15 Bristol City 11 7 4 0.8 1.1 3 3 5 9 12 12
21 16 Birmingham 11 7 4 0.8 1.8 2 1 8 9 20 7
22 19 Stoke 10 6 4 1.0 1.6 2 2 6 10 16 8
23 22 QPR 11 7 4 0.8 1.3 3 2 6 9 14 11
24 12 Watford 9 6 3 0.8 1.4 2 3 4 7 13 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51