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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: K Stroud

Southampton 5–0 Swansea

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.40 fair 2.06
Draw 5.00 fair 4.30
Away 7.50 fair 3.54
Under 2.5 2.35 fair 2.46
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Southampton Swansea
11 Shots 4
9 Shots on target 1
3 Corners 1
15 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (278 league matches this season so far).
Result Southampton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 1.77 – 1.30
Home / Draw / Away
SouthamptonDrawSwansea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 9.4% 1–0 8.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Southampton before this match, all matches
1.96points / match
1.65scored / match
1.26conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 38:29
Swansea before this match, all matches
1.22points / match
1.39scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 32:32
Southampton all matches all matches Swansea

Per match

1.65 Goals scored 1.39
1.26 Goals conceded 1.39
2.91 Total goals 2.78
15.22 Shots 11.52
5.61 Shots on target 4.00
11.43 Shots faced 14.13
7.43 Corners 5.00
4.70 Corners against 5.26
10.22 Fouls 10.65
2.61 Yellow cards 1.83
0.91 1st-half goals scored 0.61
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

57% Wins 30%
26% Draws 30%
17% Losses 39%
100% Over 0.5 goals 96%
78% Over 1.5 goals 87%
57% Over 2.5 goals 61%
30% Over 3.5 goals 26%
13% Over 4.5 goals 9%
4% Over 5.5 goals 0%
65% Both teams scored 74%
26% Clean sheets 17%
9% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

48% Wins 35%
35% Draws 35%
17% Losses 30%
78% Over 0.5 goals 78%
39% Over 1.5 goals 26%
17% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton all matches
Swansea all matches
Southampton before this match, at home
2.09points / match
2.09scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 23:14
Swansea before this match, away
1.27points / match
1.55scored / match
1.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 17:17
Southampton at home away Swansea

Per match

2.09 Goals scored 1.55
1.27 Goals conceded 1.55
3.36 Total goals 3.09
16.09 Shots 11.00
6.36 Shots on target 3.91
10.64 Shots faced 15.18
7.91 Corners 4.82
4.00 Corners against 5.82
9.36 Fouls 10.00
2.82 Yellow cards 1.73
1.27 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

64% Wins 36%
18% Draws 18%
18% Losses 45%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
82% Over 1.5 goals 91%
64% Over 2.5 goals 64%
45% Over 3.5 goals 36%
18% Over 4.5 goals 18%
9% Over 5.5 goals 0%
64% Both teams scored 73%
27% Clean sheets 18%
9% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

55% Wins 45%
18% Draws 18%
27% Losses 36%
91% Over 0.5 goals 82%
55% Over 1.5 goals 18%
27% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton at home
Swansea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.23 QPR – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 5.253.601.73 1.93 1.93
16.12.23 Southampton – Blackburn 4–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.53 2.40
13.12.23 Coventry – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.402.55 1.83 2.03
09.12.23 Watford – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 1.98 1.88
02.12.23 Southampton – Cardiff 2–0 (2–0) 1.624.005.25 1.80 2.00
29.11.23 Southampton – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.25 1.73 2.08
25.11.23 Huddersfield – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 4.753.801.70 1.83 2.03
11.11.23 Southampton – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.90 1.95
04.11.23 Millwall – Southampton 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.604.005.50 1.80 2.00

Swansea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.23 Swansea – Preston 2–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.50 2.05 1.75
16.12.23 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.502.20 1.73 2.08
12.12.23 Stoke – Swansea 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 1.93 1.93
09.12.23 Rotherham – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 3.303.402.15 1.98 1.88
02.12.23 Swansea – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.404.00 1.88 1.98
29.11.23 Leeds – Swansea 3–1 (2–1) 1.365.258.50 1.53 2.40
25.11.23 Swansea – Hull 2–2 (2–0) 2.603.202.80 2.00 1.85
11.11.23 Ipswich – Swansea 3–2 (2–1) 1.534.335.50 1.62 2.25
04.11.23 Swansea – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.63 1.75 2.05
28.10.23 Blackburn – Swansea 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.60 2.30

Southampton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.12.23 Southampton – Blackburn 4–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.53 2.40
02.12.23 Southampton – Cardiff 2–0 (2–0) 1.624.005.25 1.80 2.00
29.11.23 Southampton – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.25 1.73 2.08
11.11.23 Southampton – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.90 1.95
28.10.23 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.604.005.50 1.80 2.00
07.10.23 Southampton – Rotherham 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.60 2.30
30.09.23 Southampton – Leeds 3–1 (3–0) 3.003.502.30 1.60 2.30
19.09.23 Southampton – Ipswich 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.10 1.67 2.20
15.09.23 Southampton – Leicester 1–4 (1–3) 2.453.402.80 1.73 2.10
26.08.23 Southampton – QPR 2–1 (1–1) 1.364.759.00 1.62 2.30

Swansea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.12.23 Stoke – Swansea 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 1.93 1.93
09.12.23 Rotherham – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 3.303.402.15 1.98 1.88
29.11.23 Leeds – Swansea 3–1 (2–1) 1.365.258.50 1.53 2.40
11.11.23 Ipswich – Swansea 3–2 (2–1) 1.534.335.50 1.62 2.25
28.10.23 Blackburn – Swansea 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.60 2.30
07.10.23 Plymouth – Swansea 1–3 (1–0) 2.403.402.88 1.70 2.10
30.09.23 Millwall – Swansea 0–3 (0–1) 2.103.303.75 2.08 1.73
19.09.23 QPR – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.302.60 2.05 1.80
16.09.23 Cardiff – Swansea 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.252.80 1.95 1.90
26.08.23 Preston – Swansea 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.302.75 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leicester 23 19 1 3 47 16 +31 58 DWWWWW
2 Ipswich 23 16 4 3 47 32 +15 52 WWWWDL
3 Leeds 24 13 6 5 42 24 +18 45 WWLDWL
4 Southampton 23 13 6 4 38 29 +9 45 WWDDWW
5 West Brom 23 10 6 7 34 23 +11 36 WLLWDL
6 Hull 23 10 6 7 36 30 +6 36 WLLWWL
7 Preston 24 10 5 9 31 41 -10 35 LDWLLW
8 Watford 23 9 7 7 37 28 +9 34 WWDLWW
9 Norwich 23 10 4 9 41 39 +2 34 LWDWDW
10 Sunderland 23 10 3 10 32 27 +5 33 LDWWLL
11 Cardiff 23 10 3 10 30 28 +2 33 LLWLLW
12 Middlesbrough 23 10 3 10 35 34 +1 33 WLLLWW
13 Bristol City 23 9 5 9 26 26 0 32 LLDLWW
14 Blackburn 23 10 1 12 35 40 -5 31 WLLWLL
15 Coventry 23 7 9 7 31 25 +6 30 WLWDDW
16 Swansea 23 7 7 9 32 32 0 28 LDWDLW
17 Plymouth 23 7 6 10 37 38 -1 27 LWLDWD
18 Birmingham 23 7 6 10 29 35 -6 27 LDLWLD
19 Millwall 24 6 8 10 26 31 -5 26 DLLDDW
20 Stoke 23 6 6 11 21 30 -9 24 LLLDDD
21 Huddersfield 23 4 10 9 21 38 -17 22 WDDLDL
22 QPR 24 5 5 14 20 35 -15 20 WWDLLL
23 Sheffield Weds 23 4 4 15 17 37 -20 16 DWWLWL
24 Rotherham 23 2 7 14 20 47 -27 13 LDLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leicester 12 10 0 2 23 6 +17 30 WLWWWW
2 Leeds 12 8 4 0 26 10 +16 28 WWWWDW
3 Ipswich 11 9 1 1 32 19 +13 28 WWWWWD
4 Plymouth 12 7 2 3 30 19 +11 23 WDWWWD
5 Southampton 11 7 2 2 23 14 +9 23 DWWWWW
6 Norwich 12 7 1 4 18 13 +5 22 LLWDWW
7 West Brom 11 6 3 2 18 10 +8 21 DWWWLD
8 Sunderland 12 7 0 5 20 16 +4 21 WWLWWL
9 Bristol City 12 6 2 4 17 14 +3 20 LWWLWW
10 Preston 12 6 2 4 18 23 -5 20 DWLLLW
11 Watford 12 5 4 3 23 13 +10 19 WDWWDL
12 Hull 11 5 4 2 18 10 +8 19 LWWWLW
13 Birmingham 11 5 4 2 17 12 +5 19 WLDWDL
14 Cardiff 11 6 1 4 16 11 +5 19 DWLLWL
15 Middlesbrough 12 6 1 5 13 11 +2 19 LWWLLW
16 Coventry 11 4 6 1 13 8 +5 18 DLDWWD
17 Stoke 12 4 3 5 10 13 -3 15 WDLLDD
18 Blackburn 12 5 0 7 16 21 -5 15 LLWLWL
19 Swansea 12 3 5 4 15 15 0 14 LDDDLW
20 Millwall 12 3 3 6 11 17 -6 12 LLLDDW
21 Sheffield Weds 12 3 3 6 11 17 -6 12 WLDWWL
22 Rotherham 11 2 5 4 14 16 -2 11 WDDDLL
23 Huddersfield 11 2 5 4 10 18 -8 11 WLDDDL
24 QPR 11 2 3 6 10 17 -7 9 LDWWDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leicester 11 9 1 1 24 10 +14 28 WWLDWW
2 Ipswich 12 7 3 2 15 13 +2 24 DDLWWL
3 Southampton 12 6 4 2 15 15 0 22 DWDDDW
4 Leeds 12 5 2 5 16 14 +2 17 LWDWLL
5 Hull 12 5 2 5 18 20 -2 17 WLDLWL
6 Blackburn 11 5 1 5 19 19 0 16 WWWWLL
7 West Brom 12 4 3 5 16 13 +3 15 WLWLWL
8 Watford 11 4 3 4 14 15 -1 15 WDLWWW
9 Preston 12 4 3 5 13 18 -5 15 LWLDWL
10 Millwall 12 3 5 4 15 14 +1 14 DWLLLD
11 Swansea 11 4 2 5 17 17 0 14 WWLLWD
12 Middlesbrough 11 4 2 5 22 23 -1 14 WWDLLW
13 Cardiff 12 4 2 6 14 17 -3 14 WDWLLW
14 Coventry 12 3 3 6 18 17 +1 12 LLWLDW
15 Sunderland 11 3 3 5 12 11 +1 12 LLDLDL
16 Norwich 11 3 3 5 23 26 -3 12 DLWLWD
17 Bristol City 11 3 3 5 9 12 -3 12 LLDLDL
18 QPR 13 3 2 8 10 18 -8 11 LDLWLL
19 Huddersfield 12 2 5 5 11 20 -9 11 LLWDDL
20 Stoke 11 2 3 6 11 17 -6 9 LWDLLD
21 Birmingham 12 2 2 8 12 23 -11 8 LLLLWD
22 Plymouth 11 0 4 7 7 19 -12 4 DLLLLD
23 Sheffield Weds 11 1 1 9 6 20 -14 4 LLLLWL
24 Rotherham 12 0 2 10 6 31 -25 2 LLLDLL

Southampton   Swansea

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 14 Blackburn 23 5 18 1.5 1.7 10 1 12 35 40 31 OOUOOO
2 7 Preston 24 8 16 1.3 1.7 10 5 9 31 41 35 UUOOOO
3 9 Norwich 23 7 16 1.8 1.7 10 4 9 41 39 34 OOUOOU
4 17 Plymouth 23 7 16 1.6 1.7 7 6 10 37 38 27 UOOUOO
5 2 Ipswich 23 8 15 2.0 1.4 16 4 3 47 32 52 OOUOOO
6 6 Hull 23 9 14 1.6 1.3 10 6 7 36 30 36 OOUOOO
7 10 Sunderland 23 9 14 1.4 1.2 10 3 10 32 27 33 OUOUUO
8 16 Swansea 23 9 14 1.4 1.4 7 7 9 32 32 28 OUOUOO
9 1 Leicester 23 10 13 2.0 0.7 19 1 3 47 16 58 UOOOOO
10 3 Leeds 24 11 13 1.8 1.0 13 6 5 42 24 45 OUUUOO
11 4 Southampton 23 10 13 1.7 1.3 13 6 4 38 29 45 UUUUOU
12 12 Middlesbrough 23 10 13 1.5 1.5 10 3 10 35 34 33 OOUOOU
13 24 Rotherham 23 10 13 0.9 2.0 2 7 14 20 47 13 OUOUOO
14 8 Watford 23 11 12 1.6 1.2 9 7 7 37 28 34 OOUOOO
15 23 Sheffield Weds 23 11 12 0.7 1.6 4 4 15 17 37 16 UOUOOO
16 5 West Brom 23 12 11 1.5 1.0 10 6 7 34 23 36 UOOUUU
17 11 Cardiff 23 12 11 1.3 1.2 10 3 10 30 28 33 UUUUOO
18 18 Birmingham 23 12 11 1.3 1.5 7 6 10 29 35 27 OUUUOO
19 19 Millwall 24 13 11 1.1 1.3 6 8 10 26 31 26 UUOUUU
20 21 Huddersfield 23 13 10 0.9 1.7 4 10 9 21 38 22 OUUOUU
21 22 QPR 24 14 10 0.8 1.5 5 5 14 20 35 20 UUUOUU
22 13 Bristol City 23 14 9 1.1 1.1 9 5 9 26 26 32 UOUOUO
23 15 Coventry 23 14 9 1.3 1.1 7 9 7 31 25 30 UOUUUO
24 20 Stoke 23 15 8 0.9 1.3 6 6 11 21 30 24 OOUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Ipswich 11 1 10 2.9 1.7 9 1 1 32 19 28 OOOOOO
2 7 Preston 12 2 10 1.5 1.9 6 2 4 18 23 20 OOOUOO
3 17 Plymouth 12 2 10 2.5 1.6 7 2 3 30 19 23 OOUOOO
4 10 Sunderland 12 3 9 1.7 1.3 7 0 5 20 16 21 OOOOUO
5 14 Blackburn 12 3 9 1.3 1.8 5 0 7 16 21 15 UOOUOO
6 3 Leeds 12 4 8 2.2 0.8 8 4 0 26 10 28 OOOOUO
7 4 Southampton 11 4 7 2.1 1.3 7 2 2 23 14 23 UOOUUO
8 8 Watford 12 5 7 1.9 1.1 5 4 3 23 13 19 UOOOUO
9 16 Swansea 12 5 7 1.2 1.2 3 5 4 15 15 14 UUOUOO
10 1 Leicester 12 6 6 1.9 0.5 10 0 2 23 6 30 UUUOOO
11 9 Norwich 12 6 6 1.5 1.1 7 1 4 18 13 22 OOUUOU
12 18 Birmingham 11 5 6 1.5 1.1 5 4 2 17 12 19 OUOOUO
13 19 Millwall 12 6 6 0.9 1.4 3 3 6 11 17 12 OUOUUU
14 23 Sheffield Weds 12 6 6 0.9 1.4 3 3 6 11 17 12 UOUOOO
15 24 Rotherham 11 5 6 1.3 1.5 2 5 4 14 16 11 UUOUOU
16 5 West Brom 11 6 5 1.6 0.9 6 3 2 18 10 21 UUOUOU
17 6 Hull 11 6 5 1.6 0.9 5 4 2 18 10 19 OUUOOO
18 13 Bristol City 12 7 5 1.4 1.2 6 2 4 17 14 20 UUOOUO
19 21 Huddersfield 11 6 5 0.9 1.6 2 5 4 10 18 11 OOUUUO
20 22 QPR 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 2 3 6 10 17 9 OUOUUU
21 11 Cardiff 11 7 4 1.5 1.0 6 1 4 16 11 19 UUOUUU
22 20 Stoke 12 8 4 0.8 1.1 4 3 5 10 13 15 UUOUUU
23 12 Middlesbrough 12 9 3 1.1 0.9 6 1 5 13 11 19 UUOUOU
24 15 Coventry 11 9 2 1.2 0.7 4 6 1 13 8 18 UUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 9 Norwich 11 1 10 2.1 2.4 3 3 5 23 26 12 UOOOOO
2 12 Middlesbrough 11 1 10 2.0 2.1 4 2 5 22 23 14 OOOOOO
3 6 Hull 12 3 9 1.5 1.7 5 2 5 18 20 17 UOOUOO
4 14 Blackburn 11 2 9 1.7 1.7 5 1 5 19 19 16 OOOOOO
5 1 Leicester 11 4 7 2.2 0.9 9 1 1 24 10 28 OOUUOO
6 11 Cardiff 12 5 7 1.2 1.4 4 2 6 14 17 14 OUOUOO
7 15 Coventry 12 5 7 1.5 1.4 3 3 6 18 17 12 UOOOUO
8 16 Swansea 11 4 7 1.5 1.5 4 2 5 17 17 14 OUOOOU
9 24 Rotherham 12 5 7 0.5 2.6 0 2 10 6 31 2 UOOUOO
10 4 Southampton 12 6 6 1.2 1.2 6 4 2 15 15 22 OUUUUU
11 5 West Brom 12 6 6 1.3 1.1 4 3 5 16 13 15 UOUOUU
12 7 Preston 12 6 6 1.1 1.5 4 3 5 13 18 15 UOOUOO
13 17 Plymouth 11 5 6 0.6 1.7 0 4 7 7 19 4 UOOUOU
14 23 Sheffield Weds 11 5 6 0.5 1.8 1 1 9 6 20 4 UOUOUO
15 2 Ipswich 12 7 5 1.2 1.1 7 3 2 15 13 24 OOUUOO
16 3 Leeds 12 7 5 1.3 1.2 5 2 5 16 14 17 UUUUUO
17 8 Watford 11 6 5 1.3 1.4 4 3 4 14 15 15 UUUOOO
18 10 Sunderland 11 6 5 1.1 1.0 3 3 5 12 11 12 OUUUUU
19 18 Birmingham 12 7 5 1.0 1.9 2 2 8 12 23 8 OOOUUO
20 19 Millwall 12 7 5 1.2 1.2 3 5 4 15 14 14 OOOUOU
21 21 Huddersfield 12 7 5 0.9 1.7 2 5 5 11 20 11 OUOUUU
22 22 QPR 13 8 5 0.8 1.4 3 2 8 10 18 11 UUUUOU
23 13 Bristol City 11 7 4 0.8 1.1 3 3 5 9 12 12 OUUUUO
24 20 Stoke 11 7 4 1.0 1.5 2 3 6 11 17 9 UUUOOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47