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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Busby

Millwall 0–3 Swansea

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.10 fair 2.25
Draw 3.30 fair 3.87
Away ✓ 3.75 fair 3.37
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.95
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.08 fair 2.05

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Millwall Swansea
22 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 0
18 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (98 league matches this season so far).
Result Millwall to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.47 – 1.15
Home / Draw / Away
MillwallDrawSwansea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 10.7% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
0.88scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 7:8
Swansea before this match, all matches
0.75points / match
1.25scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:12
Millwall all matches all matches Swansea

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 1.25
1.00 Goals conceded 1.50
1.88 Total goals 2.75
12.13 Shots 10.25
3.63 Shots on target 3.50
15.13 Shots faced 11.75
5.13 Corners 4.25
5.88 Corners against 5.25
13.00 Fouls 11.38
1.38 Yellow cards 1.88
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

38% Wins 13%
25% Draws 38%
38% Losses 50%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
38% Over 2.5 goals 50%
13% Over 3.5 goals 13%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 75%
50% Clean sheets 13%
38% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 50%
38% Draws 25%
25% Losses 25%
63% Over 0.5 goals 88%
0% Over 1.5 goals 13%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches
Swansea all matches
Millwall before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:4
Swansea before this match, away
0.25points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:8
Millwall at home away Swansea

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 2.00
2.00 Total goals 3.00
14.75 Shots 10.00
5.00 Shots on target 2.75
13.00 Shots faced 11.50
5.25 Corners 5.00
5.50 Corners against 4.00
13.25 Fouls 11.25
0.75 Yellow cards 1.75
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
0% Draws 25%
50% Losses 75%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
0% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 75%
50% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 50%
25% Draws 25%
25% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home
Swansea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 West Brom – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 2.10 1.73
20.09.23 Millwall – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.733.605.00 2.03 1.83
17.09.23 Millwall – Leeds 0–3 (0–1) 3.003.402.38 2.00 1.80
02.09.23 Birmingham – Millwall 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.203.25 2.38 1.57
26.08.23 Millwall – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.67
20.08.23 Norwich – Millwall 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 2.03 1.83
12.08.23 Millwall – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 1.833.604.33 2.10 1.73
05.08.23 Middlesbrough – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.304.33 2.00 1.80
08.05.23 Millwall – Blackburn 3–4 (3–1) 1.913.753.80 1.90 1.95
28.04.23 Blackpool – Millwall 2–3 (1–1) 3.303.402.20 2.00 1.80

Swansea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 Swansea – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.03 1.83
19.09.23 QPR – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.302.60 2.05 1.80
16.09.23 Cardiff – Swansea 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.252.80 1.95 1.90
02.09.23 Swansea – Bristol City 1–2 (1–0) 2.103.403.50 1.98 1.88
26.08.23 Preston – Swansea 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.302.75 2.20 1.67
19.08.23 Swansea – Coventry 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.303.00 1.93 1.93
12.08.23 West Brom – Swansea 3–2 (1–0) 2.053.403.60 1.95 1.90
05.08.23 Swansea – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.20 1.93 1.93
08.05.23 Swansea – West Brom 3–2 (1–1) 3.203.402.20 1.80 2.00
29.04.23 Hull – Swansea 1–1 (1–1) 3.803.601.95 1.85 2.00

Millwall at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.23 Millwall – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.733.605.00 2.03 1.83
17.09.23 Millwall – Leeds 0–3 (0–1) 3.003.402.38 2.00 1.80
26.08.23 Millwall – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.67
12.08.23 Millwall – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 1.833.604.33 2.10 1.73
08.05.23 Millwall – Blackburn 3–4 (3–1) 1.913.753.80 1.90 1.95
18.04.23 Millwall – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.703.605.25 2.30 1.62
15.04.23 Millwall – Preston 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.304.50 2.50 1.53
07.04.23 Millwall – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.003.00 2.63 1.50
18.03.23 Millwall – Huddersfield 0–1 (0–0) 1.533.758.00 2.20 1.67
14.03.23 Millwall – Swansea 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.80 2.20 1.67

Swansea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.23 QPR – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.302.60 2.05 1.80
16.09.23 Cardiff – Swansea 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.252.80 1.95 1.90
26.08.23 Preston – Swansea 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.302.75 2.20 1.67
12.08.23 West Brom – Swansea 3–2 (1–0) 2.053.403.60 1.95 1.90
29.04.23 Hull – Swansea 1–1 (1–1) 3.803.601.95 1.85 2.00
22.04.23 Norwich – Swansea 0–3 (0–2) 2.003.403.75 1.88 1.98
10.04.23 Wigan – Swansea 0–2 (0–2) 3.003.252.40 2.10 1.73
01.04.23 Cardiff – Swansea 2–3 (1–2) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.67
14.03.23 Millwall – Swansea 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.80 2.20 1.67
04.03.23 Luton – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Millwall winsDrawsSwansea wins
4matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.23E1 Millwall – Swansea 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.80 2.20 1.67
16.08.22E1 Swansea – Millwall 2–2 (2–0) 2.503.203.00 2.30 1.61
05.04.22E1 Millwall – Swansea 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.253.75 2.30 1.61
15.09.21E1 Swansea – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.102.90 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 8 7 0 1 14 5 +9 21
2 Ipswich 8 7 0 1 17 10 +7 21
3 Preston 8 6 2 0 13 6 +7 20
4 Sunderland 9 5 1 3 18 8 +10 16
5 Hull 8 4 3 1 13 8 +5 15
6 Leeds 9 3 4 2 14 10 +4 13
7 Cardiff 8 4 1 3 14 12 +2 13
8 Norwich 8 4 1 3 17 16 +1 13
9 Southampton 9 4 1 4 15 20 -5 13
10 Bristol City 8 3 3 2 9 7 +2 12
11 Birmingham 8 3 3 2 8 7 +1 12
12 Millwall 8 3 2 3 7 8 -1 11
13 Plymouth 8 3 1 4 16 13 +3 10
14 West Brom 8 2 4 2 12 11 +1 10
15 Blackburn 8 3 1 4 12 16 -4 10
16 Watford 8 2 3 3 11 10 +1 9
17 Huddersfield 8 2 3 3 9 13 -4 9
18 Coventry 8 1 5 2 12 11 +1 8
19 QPR 8 2 2 4 7 12 -5 8
20 Stoke 8 2 1 5 8 12 -4 7
21 Swansea 8 1 3 4 10 12 -2 6
22 Middlesbrough 8 1 2 5 7 15 -8 5
23 Rotherham 8 1 2 5 8 17 -9 5
24 Sheffield Weds 9 0 2 7 5 17 -12 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Preston 4 4 0 0 8 4 +4 12
2 Plymouth 4 3 0 1 13 5 +8 9
3 Ipswich 4 3 0 1 12 9 +3 9
4 Cardiff 4 3 0 1 8 5 +3 9
5 Norwich 4 3 0 1 6 4 +2 9
6 Leicester 4 3 0 1 5 3 +2 9
7 Watford 5 2 2 1 8 3 +5 8
8 Birmingham 4 2 2 0 4 2 +2 8
9 West Brom 4 2 1 1 8 6 +2 7
10 Southampton 5 2 1 2 10 11 -1 7
11 Sunderland 4 2 0 2 8 4 +4 6
12 Coventry 4 1 3 0 7 4 +3 6
13 Leeds 4 1 3 0 6 3 +3 6
14 Hull 4 1 3 0 6 4 +2 6
15 Stoke 4 2 0 2 6 6 0 6
16 Millwall 4 2 0 2 4 4 0 6
17 Blackburn 4 2 0 2 6 7 -1 6
18 Swansea 4 1 2 1 6 4 +2 5
19 Bristol City 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5
20 Rotherham 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5
21 Middlesbrough 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
22 Huddersfield 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4
23 QPR 3 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1
24 Sheffield Weds 5 0 1 4 2 8 -6 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 4 4 0 0 9 2 +7 12
2 Ipswich 4 4 0 0 5 1 +4 12
3 Sunderland 5 3 1 1 10 4 +6 10
4 Hull 4 3 0 1 7 4 +3 9
5 Preston 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8
6 Leeds 5 2 1 2 8 7 +1 7
7 Bristol City 4 2 1 1 4 3 +1 7
8 QPR 5 2 1 2 5 7 -2 7
9 Southampton 4 2 0 2 5 9 -4 6
10 Huddersfield 4 1 2 1 5 6 -1 5
11 Millwall 4 1 2 1 3 4 -1 5
12 Norwich 4 1 1 2 11 12 -1 4
13 Cardiff 4 1 1 2 6 7 -1 4
14 Birmingham 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
15 Blackburn 4 1 1 2 6 9 -3 4
16 West Brom 4 0 3 1 4 5 -1 3
17 Coventry 4 0 2 2 5 7 -2 2
18 Swansea 4 0 1 3 4 8 -4 1
19 Watford 3 0 1 2 3 7 -4 1
20 Stoke 4 0 1 3 2 6 -4 1
21 Plymouth 4 0 1 3 3 8 -5 1
22 Middlesbrough 4 0 1 3 4 10 -6 1
23 Sheffield Weds 4 0 1 3 3 9 -6 1
24 Rotherham 4 0 0 4 2 11 -9 0

Millwall   Swansea

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Southampton 9 1 8 1.7 2.2 4 1 4 15 20 13
2 4 Sunderland 9 2 7 2.0 0.9 5 1 3 18 8 16
3 13 Plymouth 8 1 7 2.0 1.6 3 1 4 16 13 10
4 15 Blackburn 8 1 7 1.5 2.0 3 1 4 12 16 10
5 7 Cardiff 8 2 6 1.8 1.5 4 1 3 14 12 13
6 8 Norwich 8 2 6 2.1 2.0 4 1 3 17 16 13
7 23 Rotherham 8 2 6 1.0 2.1 1 2 5 8 17 5
8 6 Leeds 9 4 5 1.6 1.1 3 4 2 14 10 13
9 14 West Brom 8 3 5 1.5 1.4 2 4 2 12 11 10
10 24 Sheffield Weds 9 4 5 0.6 1.9 0 2 7 5 17 2
11 1 Leicester 8 4 4 1.8 0.6 7 0 1 14 5 21
12 2 Ipswich 8 4 4 2.1 1.2 7 0 1 17 10 21
13 3 Preston 8 4 4 1.6 0.8 6 2 0 13 6 20
14 5 Hull 8 4 4 1.6 1.0 4 3 1 13 8 15
15 16 Watford 8 4 4 1.4 1.2 2 3 3 11 10 9
16 17 Huddersfield 8 4 4 1.1 1.6 2 3 3 9 13 9
17 18 Coventry 8 4 4 1.5 1.4 1 5 2 12 11 8
18 19 QPR 8 4 4 0.9 1.5 2 2 4 7 12 8
19 21 Swansea 8 4 4 1.2 1.5 1 3 4 10 12 6
20 22 Middlesbrough 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 1 2 5 7 15 5
21 12 Millwall 8 5 3 0.9 1.0 3 2 3 7 8 11
22 20 Stoke 8 5 3 1.0 1.5 2 1 5 8 12 7
23 10 Bristol City 8 6 2 1.1 0.9 3 3 2 9 7 12
24 11 Birmingham 8 6 2 1.0 0.9 3 3 2 8 7 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Preston 4 0 4 2.0 1.0 4 0 0 8 4 12
2 9 Southampton 5 1 4 2.0 2.2 2 1 2 10 11 7
3 13 Plymouth 4 0 4 3.2 1.2 3 0 1 13 5 9
4 15 Blackburn 4 0 4 1.5 1.8 2 0 2 6 7 6
5 2 Ipswich 4 1 3 3.0 2.2 3 0 1 12 9 9
6 4 Sunderland 4 1 3 2.0 1.0 2 0 2 8 4 6
7 7 Cardiff 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 3 0 1 8 5 9
8 14 West Brom 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 2 1 1 8 6 7
9 23 Rotherham 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5
10 1 Leicester 4 2 2 1.2 0.8 3 0 1 5 3 9
11 6 Leeds 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 1 3 0 6 3 6
12 8 Norwich 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 3 0 1 6 4 9
13 12 Millwall 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 2 0 2 4 4 6
14 16 Watford 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 2 2 1 8 3 8
15 17 Huddersfield 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4
16 18 Coventry 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 1 3 0 7 4 6
17 20 Stoke 4 2 2 1.5 1.5 2 0 2 6 6 6
18 21 Swansea 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 1 2 1 6 4 5
19 24 Sheffield Weds 5 3 2 0.4 1.6 0 1 4 2 8 1
20 5 Hull 4 3 1 1.5 1.0 1 3 0 6 4 6
21 10 Bristol City 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5
22 11 Birmingham 4 3 1 1.0 0.5 2 2 0 4 2 8
23 19 QPR 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 1 2 2 5 1
24 22 Middlesbrough 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Sunderland 5 1 4 2.0 0.8 3 1 1 10 4 10
2 8 Norwich 4 0 4 2.8 3.0 1 1 2 11 12 4
3 9 Southampton 4 0 4 1.2 2.2 2 0 2 5 9 6
4 5 Hull 4 1 3 1.8 1.0 3 0 1 7 4 9
5 6 Leeds 5 2 3 1.6 1.4 2 1 2 8 7 7
6 7 Cardiff 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 1 1 2 6 7 4
7 13 Plymouth 4 1 3 0.8 2.0 0 1 3 3 8 1
8 15 Blackburn 4 1 3 1.5 2.2 1 1 2 6 9 4
9 19 QPR 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 2 1 2 5 7 7
10 22 Middlesbrough 4 1 3 1.0 2.5 0 1 3 4 10 1
11 23 Rotherham 4 1 3 0.5 2.8 0 0 4 2 11 0
12 24 Sheffield Weds 4 1 3 0.8 2.2 0 1 3 3 9 1
13 1 Leicester 4 2 2 2.2 0.5 4 0 0 9 2 12
14 14 West Brom 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 0 3 1 4 5 3
15 16 Watford 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 0 1 2 3 7 1
16 17 Huddersfield 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 2 1 5 6 5
17 18 Coventry 4 2 2 1.2 1.8 0 2 2 5 7 2
18 21 Swansea 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 0 1 3 4 8 1
19 2 Ipswich 4 3 1 1.2 0.2 4 0 0 5 1 12
20 10 Bristol City 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 2 1 1 4 3 7
21 11 Birmingham 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
22 12 Millwall 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 1 2 1 3 4 5
23 20 Stoke 4 3 1 0.5 1.5 0 1 3 2 6 1
24 3 Preston 4 4 0 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51