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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: O Langford

Swansea 1–3 Southampton

Full time · half time 1–3 · season 2023/2024

Home 5.00 fair 2.79
Draw 4.00 fair 4.02
Away ✓ 1.67 fair 2.55
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.21
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.65 fair 1.83

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Swansea Southampton
15 Shots 21
6 Shots on target 10
3 Corners 8
10 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (325 league matches this season so far).
Result Southampton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.72
Expected goals 1.40 – 1.47
Home / Draw / Away
SwanseaDrawSouthampton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–2 8.6% 0–1 8.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Swansea before this match, all matches
1.22points / match
1.37scored / match
1.52conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 37:41
Southampton before this match, all matches
2.04points / match
1.85scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 50:31
Swansea all matches all matches Southampton

Per match

1.37 Goals scored 1.85
1.52 Goals conceded 1.15
2.89 Total goals 3.00
11.00 Shots 15.67
3.85 Shots on target 5.78
14.00 Shots faced 10.67
4.74 Corners 7.74
5.41 Corners against 4.30
10.74 Fouls 10.19
2.04 Yellow cards 2.52
0.59 1st-half goals scored 0.85
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.48

How often Full Time

30% Wins 59%
33% Draws 26%
37% Losses 15%
96% Over 0.5 goals 100%
85% Over 1.5 goals 81%
63% Over 2.5 goals 59%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
11% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 4%
70% Both teams scored 63%
19% Clean sheets 30%
15% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 48%
41% Draws 37%
30% Losses 15%
78% Over 0.5 goals 74%
30% Over 1.5 goals 33%
7% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swansea all matches
Southampton all matches
Swansea before this match, at home
1.31points / match
1.23scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:15
Southampton before this match, away
1.77points / match
1.23scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:16
Swansea at home away Southampton

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 1.23
1.15 Goals conceded 1.23
2.38 Total goals 2.46
11.85 Shots 14.92
4.08 Shots on target 4.85
12.92 Shots faced 11.77
5.00 Corners 7.38
4.77 Corners against 5.00
11.15 Fouls 10.77
1.92 Yellow cards 2.23
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.54
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

31% Wins 46%
38% Draws 38%
31% Losses 15%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
77% Over 1.5 goals 77%
54% Over 2.5 goals 46%
15% Over 3.5 goals 15%
0% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
69% Both teams scored 69%
23% Clean sheets 23%
15% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 38%
54% Draws 54%
23% Losses 8%
69% Over 0.5 goals 62%
31% Over 1.5 goals 23%
0% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swansea at home
Southampton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Swansea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.01.24 Birmingham – Swansea 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.503.10 1.80 2.00
01.01.24 Swansea – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 3.403.252.20 2.08 1.73
29.12.23 Coventry – Swansea 2–2 (1–1) 1.753.804.33 1.73 2.08
26.12.23 Southampton – Swansea 5–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.57 2.35
22.12.23 Swansea – Preston 2–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.50 2.05 1.75
16.12.23 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.502.20 1.73 2.08
12.12.23 Stoke – Swansea 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 1.93 1.93
09.12.23 Rotherham – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 3.303.402.15 1.98 1.88
02.12.23 Swansea – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.404.00 1.88 1.98
29.11.23 Leeds – Swansea 3–1 (2–1) 1.365.258.50 1.53 2.40

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.01.24 Southampton – Sheffield Weds 4–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.00 1.70 2.10
01.01.24 Norwich – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.502.15 1.70 2.10
29.12.23 Southampton – Plymouth 2–1 (0–0) 1.335.757.50 1.40 2.88
26.12.23 Southampton – Swansea 5–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.57 2.35
23.12.23 QPR – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 5.253.601.73 1.93 1.93
16.12.23 Southampton – Blackburn 4–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.53 2.40
13.12.23 Coventry – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.402.55 1.83 2.03
09.12.23 Watford – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 1.98 1.88
02.12.23 Southampton – Cardiff 2–0 (2–0) 1.624.005.25 1.80 2.00
29.11.23 Southampton – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.25 1.73 2.08

Swansea at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.24 Swansea – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 3.403.252.20 2.08 1.73
22.12.23 Swansea – Preston 2–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.50 2.05 1.75
16.12.23 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.502.20 1.73 2.08
02.12.23 Swansea – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.404.00 1.88 1.98
25.11.23 Swansea – Hull 2–2 (2–0) 2.603.202.80 2.00 1.85
04.11.23 Swansea – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.63 1.75 2.05
24.10.23 Swansea – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 2.05 1.75
21.10.23 Swansea – Leicester 1–3 (1–1) 4.334.001.75 1.73 2.08
04.10.23 Swansea – Norwich 2–1 (1–1) 2.903.302.45 1.80 2.00
23.09.23 Swansea – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.03 1.83

Southampton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.24 Norwich – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.502.15 1.70 2.10
23.12.23 QPR – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 5.253.601.73 1.93 1.93
13.12.23 Coventry – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.402.55 1.83 2.03
09.12.23 Watford – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 1.98 1.88
25.11.23 Huddersfield – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 4.753.801.70 1.83 2.03
04.11.23 Millwall – Southampton 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.85 2.00
25.10.23 Preston – Southampton 2–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.10 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Hull – Southampton 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.402.38 1.73 2.08
03.10.23 Stoke – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.60 1.80 2.00
23.09.23 Middlesbrough – Southampton 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.402.80 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Swansea winsDrawsSouthampton wins
1matches
5.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.23E1 Southampton – Swansea 5–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.57 2.35

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leicester 27 21 2 4 55 21 +34 65 WWDWWL
2 Ipswich 27 17 7 3 50 34 +16 58 DLDDDW
3 Southampton 27 16 7 4 50 31 +19 55 WWWWDW
4 Leeds 27 15 6 6 48 25 +23 51 DWLLWW
5 West Brom 27 13 6 8 40 25 +15 45 DLWWLW
6 Hull 28 12 6 10 42 38 +4 42 LLWLLW
7 Coventry 27 10 10 7 41 29 +12 40 DWWDWW
8 Sunderland 28 12 4 12 37 31 +6 40 LWDWLL
9 Watford 27 10 9 8 44 37 +7 39 WWLDDW
10 Middlesbrough 27 12 3 12 41 40 +1 39 WWLWLW
11 Norwich 27 11 5 11 44 43 +1 38 DWLLDW
12 Preston 27 11 5 11 33 44 -11 38 LLWLLW
13 Cardiff 27 11 4 12 34 36 -2 37 LWDLWL
14 Bristol City 27 10 6 11 30 30 0 36 WWWDLL
15 Swansea 27 8 9 10 37 41 -4 33 LWLDWD
16 Millwall 27 8 8 11 29 34 -5 32 DDWWWL
17 Stoke 27 8 8 11 26 32 -6 32 DDWDDW
18 Blackburn 27 10 2 15 40 52 -12 32 LLLLDL
19 Plymouth 27 7 9 11 44 46 -2 30 WDDLDD
20 Birmingham 27 7 8 12 32 43 -11 29 LDLDLD
21 Huddersfield 27 5 11 11 27 45 -18 26 DLWLLD
22 Sheffield Weds 27 6 4 17 21 44 -23 22 WLLWWL
23 QPR 27 5 6 16 22 39 -17 21 LLLDLL
24 Rotherham 27 3 9 15 24 51 -27 18 LLWDDL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leicester 13 11 0 2 27 7 +20 33 LWWWWW
2 Ipswich 14 10 3 1 35 21 +14 33 WWDDDW
3 Southampton 14 10 2 2 34 15 +19 32 WWWWWW
4 Leeds 13 9 4 0 29 10 +19 31 WWWDWW
5 West Brom 14 9 3 2 24 11 +13 30 WLDWWW
6 Coventry 14 6 7 1 20 11 +9 25 WWDWDW
7 Plymouth 13 7 3 3 33 22 +11 24 DWWWDD
8 Sunderland 14 8 0 6 22 17 +5 24 LWWLWL
9 Norwich 13 7 2 4 19 14 +5 23 LWDWWD
10 Preston 14 7 2 5 20 24 -4 23 LLLWLW
11 Hull 14 6 4 4 22 15 +7 22 WLWLWL
12 Birmingham 14 5 6 3 20 17 +3 21 WDLLDD
13 Watford 14 5 5 4 25 18 +7 20 WWDLLD
14 Bristol City 13 6 2 5 17 15 +2 20 WWLWWL
15 Cardiff 14 6 2 6 18 18 0 20 LWLDLL
16 Middlesbrough 13 6 1 6 14 14 0 19 WWLLWL
17 Swansea 13 4 5 4 16 15 +1 17 DDDLWW
18 Stoke 13 4 4 5 10 13 -3 16 DLLDDD
19 Blackburn 13 5 1 7 18 23 -5 16 LWLWLD
20 Rotherham 14 3 6 5 16 18 -2 15 DLLWDL
21 Sheffield Weds 13 4 3 6 14 18 -4 15 LDWWLW
22 Huddersfield 14 3 6 5 15 21 -6 15 DDLWLD
23 Millwall 14 4 3 7 13 20 -7 15 LDDWWL
24 QPR 13 2 3 8 12 21 -9 9 WWDLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leicester 14 10 2 2 28 14 +14 32 DWWDWL
2 Ipswich 13 7 4 2 15 13 +2 25 DLWWLD
3 Southampton 13 6 5 2 16 16 0 23 WDDDWD
4 Leeds 14 6 2 6 19 15 +4 20 DWLLLW
5 Middlesbrough 14 6 2 6 27 26 +1 20 LLWLWW
6 Hull 14 6 2 6 20 23 -3 20 DLWLLW
7 Watford 13 5 4 4 19 19 0 19 LWWWDW
8 Millwall 13 4 5 4 16 14 +2 17 WLLLDW
9 Cardiff 13 5 2 6 16 18 -2 17 DWLLWW
10 Sunderland 14 4 4 6 15 14 +1 16 LDLWDL
11 Bristol City 14 4 4 6 13 15 -2 16 LDLWDL
12 Stoke 14 4 4 6 16 19 -3 16 LLDWDW
13 Swansea 14 4 4 6 21 26 -5 16 LWDLDD
14 Blackburn 14 5 1 8 22 29 -7 16 WLLLLL
15 Coventry 13 4 3 6 21 18 +3 15 LWLDWW
16 West Brom 13 4 3 6 16 14 +2 15 LWLWLL
17 Norwich 14 4 3 7 25 29 -4 15 LWDLLW
18 Preston 13 4 3 6 13 20 -7 15 WLDWLL
19 QPR 14 3 3 8 10 18 -8 12 DLWLLD
20 Huddersfield 13 2 5 6 12 24 -12 11 LWDDLL
21 Birmingham 13 2 2 9 12 26 -14 8 LLLWDL
22 Sheffield Weds 14 2 1 11 7 26 -19 7 LWLLWL
23 Plymouth 14 0 6 8 11 24 -13 6 LLDDLD
24 Rotherham 13 0 3 10 8 33 -25 3 LLDLLD

Swansea   Southampton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 18 Blackburn 27 5 22 1.5 1.9 10 2 15 40 52 32 OOOOOO
2 19 Plymouth 27 8 19 1.6 1.7 7 9 11 44 46 30 OOOOOU
3 6 Hull 28 11 17 1.5 1.4 12 6 10 42 38 42 OUOOOU
4 11 Norwich 27 10 17 1.6 1.6 11 5 11 44 43 38 OUUUUO
5 15 Swansea 27 10 17 1.4 1.5 8 9 10 37 41 33 OOOOUO
6 2 Ipswich 27 11 16 1.9 1.3 17 7 3 50 34 58 OOUUUO
7 3 Southampton 27 11 16 1.9 1.1 16 7 4 50 31 55 OUOOUO
8 10 Middlesbrough 27 11 16 1.5 1.5 12 3 12 41 40 39 OUUOOO
9 12 Preston 27 11 16 1.2 1.6 11 5 11 33 44 38 OOOUUU
10 1 Leicester 27 12 15 2.0 0.8 21 2 4 55 21 65 OOUUOO
11 4 Leeds 27 12 15 1.8 0.9 15 6 6 48 25 51 UOOUOO
12 8 Sunderland 28 13 15 1.3 1.1 12 4 12 37 31 40 OUUUOU
13 9 Watford 27 12 15 1.6 1.4 10 9 8 44 37 39 OOOUOO
14 13 Cardiff 27 13 14 1.3 1.3 11 4 12 34 36 37 OOOUOO
15 20 Birmingham 27 13 14 1.2 1.6 7 8 12 32 43 29 OOOUOO
16 22 Sheffield Weds 27 13 14 0.8 1.6 6 4 17 21 44 22 OOUUOO
17 24 Rotherham 27 13 14 0.9 1.9 3 9 15 24 51 18 OOUUOU
18 21 Huddersfield 27 14 13 1.0 1.7 5 11 11 27 45 26 UUOOOU
19 5 West Brom 27 15 12 1.5 0.9 13 6 8 40 25 45 UUUUUO
20 7 Coventry 27 15 12 1.5 1.1 10 10 7 41 29 40 UOUOOO
21 16 Millwall 27 15 12 1.1 1.3 8 8 11 29 34 32 UUUUUO
22 23 QPR 27 15 12 0.8 1.4 5 6 16 22 39 21 OUUUOO
23 14 Bristol City 27 17 10 1.1 1.1 10 6 11 30 30 36 UOOUUU
24 17 Stoke 27 18 9 1.0 1.2 8 8 11 26 32 32 UUOUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Ipswich 14 3 11 2.5 1.5 10 3 1 35 21 33 OOOUUO
2 19 Plymouth 13 2 11 2.5 1.7 7 3 3 33 22 24 OUOOOO
3 3 Southampton 14 4 10 2.4 1.1 10 2 2 34 15 32 UUOOOO
4 12 Preston 14 4 10 1.4 1.7 7 2 5 20 24 23 OUOOUU
5 18 Blackburn 13 3 10 1.4 1.8 5 1 7 18 23 16 OOUOOO
6 4 Leeds 13 4 9 2.2 0.8 9 4 0 29 10 31 OOOUOO
7 8 Sunderland 14 5 9 1.6 1.2 8 0 6 22 17 24 OOUOUU
8 9 Watford 14 6 8 1.8 1.3 5 5 4 25 18 20 OOUOOU
9 20 Birmingham 14 6 8 1.4 1.2 5 6 3 20 17 21 OUOOUO
10 1 Leicester 13 6 7 2.1 0.5 11 0 2 27 7 33 UUOOOO
11 6 Hull 14 7 7 1.6 1.1 6 4 4 22 15 22 OOOUOO
12 15 Swansea 13 6 7 1.2 1.2 4 5 4 16 15 17 UOUOOU
13 16 Millwall 14 7 7 0.9 1.4 4 3 7 13 20 15 OUUUUO
14 21 Huddersfield 14 7 7 1.1 1.5 3 6 5 15 21 15 UUOOOU
15 22 Sheffield Weds 13 6 7 1.1 1.4 4 3 6 14 18 15 OUOOOO
16 23 QPR 13 6 7 0.9 1.6 2 3 8 12 21 9 OUUUOO
17 5 West Brom 14 8 6 1.7 0.8 9 3 2 24 11 30 UOUUUO
18 11 Norwich 13 7 6 1.5 1.1 7 2 4 19 14 23 OUUOUU
19 13 Cardiff 14 8 6 1.3 1.3 6 2 6 18 18 20 UUUOUO
20 24 Rotherham 14 8 6 1.1 1.3 3 6 5 16 18 15 UOUUUU
21 14 Bristol City 13 8 5 1.3 1.2 6 2 5 17 15 20 UOOUOU
22 7 Coventry 14 10 4 1.4 0.8 6 7 1 20 11 25 UUUUOO
23 10 Middlesbrough 13 9 4 1.1 1.1 6 1 6 14 14 19 UOUOUO
24 17 Stoke 13 9 4 0.8 1.0 4 4 5 10 13 16 UOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 10 Middlesbrough 14 2 12 1.9 1.9 6 2 6 27 26 20 OOOUOO
2 18 Blackburn 14 2 12 1.6 2.1 5 1 8 22 29 16 OOOOOO
3 11 Norwich 14 3 11 1.8 2.1 4 3 7 25 29 15 OOOUUO
4 6 Hull 14 4 10 1.4 1.6 6 2 6 20 23 20 OUOOOU
5 15 Swansea 14 4 10 1.5 1.9 4 4 6 21 26 16 OOUOOO
6 1 Leicester 14 6 8 2.0 1.0 10 2 2 28 14 32 UOOUUO
7 7 Coventry 13 5 8 1.6 1.4 4 3 6 21 18 15 OOOUOO
8 13 Cardiff 13 5 8 1.2 1.4 5 2 6 16 18 17 UOUOOO
9 19 Plymouth 14 6 8 0.8 1.7 0 6 8 11 24 6 UOUOOU
10 24 Rotherham 13 5 8 0.6 2.5 0 3 10 8 33 3 OOUOOO
11 9 Watford 13 6 7 1.5 1.5 5 4 4 19 19 19 UOOOOO
12 22 Sheffield Weds 14 7 7 0.5 1.9 2 1 11 7 26 7 OUOUUO
13 3 Southampton 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 6 5 2 16 16 23 UUUUUU
14 4 Leeds 14 8 6 1.4 1.1 6 2 6 19 15 20 UUUOUO
15 5 West Brom 13 7 6 1.2 1.1 4 3 6 16 14 15 OUOUUU
16 8 Sunderland 14 8 6 1.1 1.0 4 4 6 15 14 16 UUUUUO
17 12 Preston 13 7 6 1.0 1.5 4 3 6 13 20 15 OOUOOU
18 20 Birmingham 13 7 6 0.9 2.0 2 2 9 12 26 8 OOUUOO
19 21 Huddersfield 13 7 6 0.9 1.8 2 5 6 12 24 11 UOUUUO
20 2 Ipswich 13 8 5 1.2 1.0 7 4 2 15 13 25 OUUOOU
21 14 Bristol City 14 9 5 0.9 1.1 4 4 6 13 15 16 UUOOUU
22 16 Millwall 13 8 5 1.2 1.1 4 5 4 16 14 17 OOUOUU
23 17 Stoke 14 9 5 1.1 1.4 4 4 6 16 19 16 OOUOUU
24 23 QPR 14 9 5 0.7 1.3 3 3 8 10 18 12 UUUOUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47