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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Webb

West Brom 1–0 Birmingham

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.70 fair 1.78
Draw 4.00 fair 4.33
Away 4.75 fair 4.85
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.90 fair 2.11
Over 2.5 1.95 fair 1.90

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

West Brom Birmingham
10 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 8
12 Fouls 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (344 league matches this season so far).
Result West Brom to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.79 – 0.99
Home / Draw / Away
West BromDrawBirmingham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11.1% 1–1 11% 2–0 9.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

West Brom before this match, all matches
1.61points / match
1.43scored / match
0.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 40:27
Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.21scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 34:44
West Brom all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 1.21
0.96 Goals conceded 1.57
2.39 Total goals 2.79
11.93 Shots 12.11
3.43 Shots on target 4.18
10.21 Shots faced 13.64
6.14 Corners 4.36
4.68 Corners against 6.36
8.14 Fouls 13.14
1.82 Yellow cards 2.29
0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

46% Wins 29%
21% Draws 29%
32% Losses 43%
89% Over 0.5 goals 89%
68% Over 1.5 goals 79%
43% Over 2.5 goals 54%
25% Over 3.5 goals 36%
11% Over 4.5 goals 14%
4% Over 5.5 goals 7%
46% Both teams scored 57%
43% Clean sheets 21%
21% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 32%
50% Draws 43%
21% Losses 25%
61% Over 0.5 goals 68%
29% Over 1.5 goals 36%
14% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

West Brom all matches
Birmingham all matches
West Brom before this match, at home
2.14points / match
1.71scored / match
0.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 24:11
Birmingham before this match, away
0.79points / match
1.00scored / match
1.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 14:27
West Brom at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 1.00
0.79 Goals conceded 1.93
2.50 Total goals 2.93
13.29 Shots 12.43
4.07 Shots on target 4.43
9.00 Shots faced 15.29
6.64 Corners 3.71
5.50 Corners against 7.14
7.57 Fouls 13.07
1.36 Yellow cards 2.71
0.79 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

64% Wins 21%
21% Draws 14%
14% Losses 64%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
64% Over 1.5 goals 86%
43% Over 2.5 goals 50%
29% Over 3.5 goals 29%
21% Over 4.5 goals 14%
7% Over 5.5 goals 14%
50% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 14%
14% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 36%
50% Draws 43%
7% Losses 21%
64% Over 0.5 goals 64%
29% Over 1.5 goals 29%
14% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

West Brom at home
Birmingham away

Last 10 matches before this match

West Brom all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.24 Norwich – West Brom 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.402.55 1.98 1.88
13.01.24 West Brom – Blackburn 4–1 (3–0) 1.734.004.75 1.75 2.05
01.01.24 Swansea – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 3.403.252.20 2.08 1.73
29.12.23 West Brom – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.70
26.12.23 West Brom – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.00 1.80 2.00
23.12.23 Middlesbrough – West Brom 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.253.30 2.05 1.75
17.12.23 West Brom – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 2.10 1.70
12.12.23 Rotherham – West Brom 0–2 (0–0) 5.253.801.70 2.05 1.75
09.12.23 Sunderland – West Brom 2–1 (0–0) 2.253.253.20 2.05 1.80
02.12.23 West Brom – Leicester 1–2 (0–0) 2.883.202.55 2.10 1.70

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.24 Stoke – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 2.05 1.80
13.01.24 Birmingham – Swansea 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.503.10 1.80 2.00
01.01.24 Leeds – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.509.50 1.50 2.50
29.12.23 Birmingham – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.302.55 2.05 1.75
26.12.23 Birmingham – Stoke 1–3 (0–2) 2.603.302.75 2.05 1.75
23.12.23 Plymouth – Birmingham 3–3 (1–2) 2.153.603.20 1.67 2.15
18.12.23 Birmingham – Leicester 2–3 (1–2) 6.003.801.60 1.75 2.05
13.12.23 Cardiff – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.804.00 2.08 1.73
08.12.23 Coventry – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.75 2.05
02.12.23 Birmingham – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.603.806.00 1.88 1.98

West Brom at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.01.24 West Brom – Blackburn 4–1 (3–0) 1.734.004.75 1.75 2.05
29.12.23 West Brom – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.70
26.12.23 West Brom – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.00 1.80 2.00
17.12.23 West Brom – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 2.10 1.70
02.12.23 West Brom – Leicester 1–2 (0–0) 2.883.202.55 2.10 1.70
25.11.23 West Brom – Ipswich 2–0 (1–0) 2.603.502.55 1.88 1.98
04.11.23 West Brom – Hull 3–1 (1–1) 2.053.203.80 2.05 1.75
24.10.23 West Brom – QPR 2–0 (0–0) 1.604.005.25 1.95 1.90
21.10.23 West Brom – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.00 1.67 2.15
03.10.23 West Brom – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 2.10 1.70

Birmingham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.24 Stoke – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 2.05 1.80
01.01.24 Leeds – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.509.50 1.50 2.50
23.12.23 Plymouth – Birmingham 3–3 (1–2) 2.153.603.20 1.67 2.15
13.12.23 Cardiff – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.804.00 2.08 1.73
08.12.23 Coventry – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.75 2.05
29.11.23 Blackburn – Birmingham 4–2 (0–0) 1.803.604.33 1.65 2.20
11.11.23 Sunderland – Birmingham 3–1 (1–1) 1.753.754.50 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.604.005.50 1.80 2.00
21.10.23 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.90 1.95
30.09.23 Norwich – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

West Brom winsDrawsBirmingham wins
5matches
2.60goals / match
40%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.10.23E1 Birmingham – West Brom 3–1 (2–1) 2.753.202.63 2.25 1.62
10.02.23E1 Birmingham – West Brom 2–0 (1–0) 3.803.402.00 2.20 1.67
14.09.22E1 West Brom – Birmingham 2–3 (1–1) 1.444.338.00 1.85 2.00
03.04.22E1 Birmingham – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 3.753.302.05 2.10 1.72
15.10.21E1 West Brom – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.614.005.50 1.88 1.98

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 29 22 3 4 59 23 +36 69
2 Leeds 30 18 6 6 52 26 +26 60
3 Ipswich 28 17 8 3 51 35 +16 59
4 Southampton 28 17 7 4 53 32 +21 58
5 West Brom 28 13 6 9 40 27 +13 45
6 Coventry 29 11 11 7 45 32 +13 44
7 Sunderland 29 13 4 12 40 32 +8 43
8 Hull 28 12 6 10 42 38 +4 42
9 Watford 29 10 11 8 45 38 +7 41
10 Norwich 29 12 5 12 46 44 +2 41
11 Middlesbrough 28 12 4 12 42 41 +1 40
12 Preston 29 11 6 12 35 47 -12 39
13 Bristol City 30 10 8 12 33 34 -1 38
14 Cardiff 28 11 4 13 35 39 -4 37
15 Plymouth 28 8 9 11 47 47 0 33
16 Millwall 29 8 9 12 30 37 -7 33
17 Swansea 29 8 9 12 39 47 -8 33
18 Blackburn 28 10 3 15 41 53 -12 33
19 Stoke 29 8 8 13 28 37 -9 32
20 Birmingham 28 8 8 12 34 44 -10 32
21 Huddersfield 29 5 13 11 29 47 -18 28
22 QPR 29 6 7 16 25 40 -15 25
23 Sheffield Weds 29 6 5 18 22 46 -24 23
24 Rotherham 28 3 10 15 25 52 -27 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 15 12 1 2 31 9 +22 37
2 Leeds 15 11 4 0 32 11 +21 37
3 Ipswich 14 10 3 1 35 21 +14 33
4 Southampton 14 10 2 2 34 15 +19 32
5 West Brom 14 9 3 2 24 11 +13 30
6 Plymouth 14 8 3 3 36 23 +13 27
7 Sunderland 15 9 0 6 25 18 +7 27
8 Coventry 15 6 8 1 22 13 +9 26
9 Norwich 14 8 2 4 21 14 +7 26
10 Preston 14 7 2 5 20 24 -4 23
11 Hull 14 6 4 4 22 15 +7 22
12 Birmingham 14 5 6 3 20 17 +3 21
13 Bristol City 15 6 3 6 18 17 +1 21
14 Watford 14 5 5 4 25 18 +7 20
15 Cardiff 14 6 2 6 18 18 0 20
16 Middlesbrough 14 6 2 6 15 15 0 20
17 Swansea 14 4 5 5 17 18 -1 17
18 Blackburn 14 5 2 7 19 24 -5 17
19 Stoke 14 4 4 6 11 15 -4 16
20 Sheffield Weds 15 4 4 7 15 20 -5 16
21 Millwall 15 4 4 7 14 21 -7 16
22 Rotherham 14 3 6 5 16 18 -2 15
23 Huddersfield 14 3 6 5 15 21 -6 15
24 QPR 15 3 4 8 15 22 -7 13
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 14 10 2 2 28 14 +14 32
2 Southampton 14 7 5 2 19 17 +2 26
3 Ipswich 14 7 5 2 16 14 +2 26
4 Leeds 15 7 2 6 20 15 +5 23
5 Watford 15 5 6 4 20 20 0 21
6 Middlesbrough 14 6 2 6 27 26 +1 20
7 Hull 14 6 2 6 20 23 -3 20
8 Coventry 14 5 3 6 23 19 +4 18
9 Millwall 14 4 5 5 16 16 0 17
10 Bristol City 15 4 5 6 15 17 -2 17
11 Cardiff 14 5 2 7 17 21 -4 17
12 Sunderland 14 4 4 6 15 14 +1 16
13 Stoke 15 4 4 7 17 22 -5 16
14 Blackburn 14 5 1 8 22 29 -7 16
15 Swansea 15 4 4 7 22 29 -7 16
16 Preston 15 4 4 7 15 23 -8 16
17 West Brom 14 4 3 7 16 16 0 15
18 Norwich 15 4 3 8 25 30 -5 15
19 Huddersfield 15 2 7 6 14 26 -12 13
20 QPR 14 3 3 8 10 18 -8 12
21 Birmingham 14 3 2 9 14 27 -13 11
22 Sheffield Weds 14 2 1 11 7 26 -19 7
23 Plymouth 14 0 6 8 11 24 -13 6
24 Rotherham 14 0 4 10 9 34 -25 4

West Brom   Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Blackburn 28 6 22 1.5 1.9 10 3 15 41 53 33
2 15 Plymouth 28 8 20 1.7 1.7 8 9 11 47 47 33
3 17 Swansea 29 10 19 1.3 1.6 8 9 12 39 47 33
4 4 Southampton 28 11 17 1.9 1.1 17 7 4 53 32 58
5 8 Hull 28 11 17 1.5 1.4 12 6 10 42 38 42
6 10 Norwich 29 12 17 1.6 1.5 12 5 12 46 44 41
7 12 Preston 29 12 17 1.2 1.6 11 6 12 35 47 39
8 1 Leicester 29 13 16 2.0 0.8 22 3 4 59 23 69
9 2 Leeds 30 14 16 1.7 0.9 18 6 6 52 26 60
10 3 Ipswich 28 12 16 1.8 1.2 17 8 3 51 35 59
11 7 Sunderland 29 13 16 1.4 1.1 13 4 12 40 32 43
12 11 Middlesbrough 28 12 16 1.5 1.5 12 4 12 42 41 40
13 9 Watford 29 14 15 1.6 1.3 10 11 8 45 38 41
14 14 Cardiff 28 13 15 1.2 1.4 11 4 13 35 39 37
15 20 Birmingham 28 13 15 1.2 1.6 8 8 12 34 44 32
16 23 Sheffield Weds 29 14 15 0.8 1.6 6 5 18 22 46 23
17 6 Coventry 29 15 14 1.6 1.1 11 11 7 45 32 44
18 24 Rotherham 28 14 14 0.9 1.9 3 10 15 25 52 19
19 21 Huddersfield 29 16 13 1.0 1.6 5 13 11 29 47 28
20 5 West Brom 28 16 12 1.4 1.0 13 6 9 40 27 45
21 16 Millwall 29 17 12 1.0 1.3 8 9 12 30 37 33
22 22 QPR 29 17 12 0.9 1.4 6 7 16 25 40 25
23 13 Bristol City 30 19 11 1.1 1.1 10 8 12 33 34 38
24 19 Stoke 29 18 11 1.0 1.3 8 8 13 28 37 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Plymouth 14 2 12 2.6 1.6 8 3 3 36 23 27
2 3 Ipswich 14 3 11 2.5 1.5 10 3 1 35 21 33
3 2 Leeds 15 5 10 2.1 0.7 11 4 0 32 11 37
4 4 Southampton 14 4 10 2.4 1.1 10 2 2 34 15 32
5 7 Sunderland 15 5 10 1.7 1.2 9 0 6 25 18 27
6 12 Preston 14 4 10 1.4 1.7 7 2 5 20 24 23
7 18 Blackburn 14 4 10 1.4 1.7 5 2 7 19 24 17
8 1 Leicester 15 7 8 2.1 0.6 12 1 2 31 9 37
9 9 Watford 14 6 8 1.8 1.3 5 5 4 25 18 20
10 17 Swansea 14 6 8 1.2 1.3 4 5 5 17 18 17
11 20 Birmingham 14 6 8 1.4 1.2 5 6 3 20 17 21
12 23 Sheffield Weds 15 7 8 1.0 1.3 4 4 7 15 20 16
13 8 Hull 14 7 7 1.6 1.1 6 4 4 22 15 22
14 16 Millwall 15 8 7 0.9 1.4 4 4 7 14 21 16
15 21 Huddersfield 14 7 7 1.1 1.5 3 6 5 15 21 15
16 22 QPR 15 8 7 1.0 1.5 3 4 8 15 22 13
17 5 West Brom 14 8 6 1.7 0.8 9 3 2 24 11 30
18 10 Norwich 14 8 6 1.5 1.0 8 2 4 21 14 26
19 14 Cardiff 14 8 6 1.3 1.3 6 2 6 18 18 20
20 24 Rotherham 14 8 6 1.1 1.3 3 6 5 16 18 15
21 6 Coventry 15 10 5 1.5 0.9 6 8 1 22 13 26
22 13 Bristol City 15 10 5 1.2 1.1 6 3 6 18 17 21
23 19 Stoke 14 9 5 0.8 1.1 4 4 6 11 15 16
24 11 Middlesbrough 14 10 4 1.1 1.1 6 2 6 15 15 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Middlesbrough 14 2 12 1.9 1.9 6 2 6 27 26 20
2 18 Blackburn 14 2 12 1.6 2.1 5 1 8 22 29 16
3 10 Norwich 15 4 11 1.7 2.0 4 3 8 25 30 15
4 17 Swansea 15 4 11 1.5 1.9 4 4 7 22 29 16
5 8 Hull 14 4 10 1.4 1.6 6 2 6 20 23 20
6 6 Coventry 14 5 9 1.6 1.4 5 3 6 23 19 18
7 14 Cardiff 14 5 9 1.2 1.5 5 2 7 17 21 17
8 1 Leicester 14 6 8 2.0 1.0 10 2 2 28 14 32
9 15 Plymouth 14 6 8 0.8 1.7 0 6 8 11 24 6
10 24 Rotherham 14 6 8 0.6 2.4 0 4 10 9 34 4
11 4 Southampton 14 7 7 1.4 1.2 7 5 2 19 17 26
12 9 Watford 15 8 7 1.3 1.3 5 6 4 20 20 21
13 12 Preston 15 8 7 1.0 1.5 4 4 7 15 23 16
14 20 Birmingham 14 7 7 1.0 1.9 3 2 9 14 27 11
15 23 Sheffield Weds 14 7 7 0.5 1.9 2 1 11 7 26 7
16 2 Leeds 15 9 6 1.3 1.0 7 2 6 20 15 23
17 5 West Brom 14 8 6 1.1 1.1 4 3 7 16 16 15
18 7 Sunderland 14 8 6 1.1 1.0 4 4 6 15 14 16
19 13 Bristol City 15 9 6 1.0 1.1 4 5 6 15 17 17
20 19 Stoke 15 9 6 1.1 1.5 4 4 7 17 22 16
21 21 Huddersfield 15 9 6 0.9 1.7 2 7 6 14 26 13
22 3 Ipswich 14 9 5 1.1 1.0 7 5 2 16 14 26
23 16 Millwall 14 9 5 1.1 1.1 4 5 5 16 16 17
24 22 QPR 14 9 5 0.7 1.3 3 3 8 10 18 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40