Birmingham 1–3 Stoke – England Championship, 26 Dec 2023

Match facts

Birmingham Stoke

14 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 5

5 Corners 3

10 Fouls 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (286 league matches this season so far).

Result Birmingham to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.90

Expected goals 1.52 – 1.12

Home / Draw / Away

46% 26% 28%

BirminghamDrawStoke

Under / Over 2.5 goals

51% 49%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

47% 53%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.1% 1–0 10.8% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches

1.17points / match

1.26scored / match

1.52conceded / match

7 6 10

WonDrawnLost 23 played · 29:35

Stoke before this match, all matches

1.04points / match

0.91scored / match

1.30conceded / match

6 6 11

WonDrawnLost 23 played · 21:30

Birmingham all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.26 Goals scored 0.91

1.52 Goals conceded 1.30

2.78 Total goals 2.22

12.70 Shots 12.13

4.30 Shots on target 3.00

13.65 Shots faced 11.96

4.61 Corners 6.22

6.30 Corners against 5.17

13.26 Fouls 13.30

2.39 Yellow cards 2.48

0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.48

0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

30% Wins 26%

26% Draws 26%

43% Losses 48%

91% Over 0.5 goals 87%

78% Over 1.5 goals 61%

48% Over 2.5 goals 35%

35% Over 3.5 goals 22%

17% Over 4.5 goals 13%

9% Over 5.5 goals 4%

57% Both teams scored 39%

22% Clean sheets 26%

30% Failed to score 48%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 9%

43% Draws 57%

22% Losses 35%

65% Over 0.5 goals 65%

30% Over 1.5 goals 39%

13% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches

1

3

L

2

D

1

3

L

2

1

W

2

4

L

D

2

L

1

W

2

3

L

3

D

Stoke all matches

2

W

D

3

L

2

4

L

1

2

L

1

L

1

D

1

D

Birmingham before this match, at home

1.73points / match

1.55scored / match

1.09conceded / match

5 4 2

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 17:12

Stoke before this match, away

0.82points / match

1.00scored / match

1.55conceded / match

2 3 6

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 11:17

Birmingham at home away Stoke

Per match

1.55 Goals scored 1.00

1.09 Goals conceded 1.55

2.64 Total goals 2.55

12.27 Shots 10.73

3.91 Shots on target 2.82

13.00 Shots faced 14.73

5.36 Corners 5.64

5.82 Corners against 7.36

13.00 Fouls 12.18

1.73 Yellow cards 2.09

0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.64

0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.91

How often Full Time

45% Wins 18%

36% Draws 27%

18% Losses 55%

82% Over 0.5 goals 91%

73% Over 1.5 goals 73%

55% Over 2.5 goals 36%

36% Over 3.5 goals 27%

18% Over 4.5 goals 18%

0% Over 5.5 goals 9%

64% Both teams scored 45%

27% Clean sheets 18%

27% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 9%

36% Draws 45%

27% Losses 45%

73% Over 0.5 goals 91%

36% Over 1.5 goals 55%

18% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home

2

1

W

1

D

4

1

W

3

1

W

2

L

2

D

2

1

W

D

2

3

L

Stoke away

1

L

1

L

2

D

3

2

W

2

L

2

W

D

2

4

L

1

2

L

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.12.23	Plymouth – Birmingham	3–3 (1–2)	2.15	3.60	3.20	1.67	2.15
18.12.23	Birmingham – Leicester	2–3 (1–2)	6.00	3.80	1.60	1.75	2.05
13.12.23	Cardiff – Birmingham	0–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.80	4.00	2.08	1.73
08.12.23	Coventry – Birmingham	2–0 (1–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.75	2.05
02.12.23	Birmingham – Rotherham	0–0 (0–0)	1.60	3.80	6.00	1.88	1.98
29.11.23	Blackburn – Birmingham	4–2 (0–0)	1.80	3.60	4.33	1.65	2.20
25.11.23	Birmingham – Sheffield Weds	2–1 (1–1)	2.15	3.25	3.50	2.25	1.62
11.11.23	Sunderland – Birmingham	3–1 (1–1)	1.75	3.75	4.50	1.85	2.00
04.11.23	Birmingham – Ipswich	2–2 (1–0)	3.80	3.75	1.91	1.75	2.05
28.10.23	Southampton – Birmingham	3–1 (2–0)	1.60	4.00	5.50	1.80	2.00

Stoke all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.12.23	Stoke – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.60	3.40	2.10	1.70
17.12.23	West Brom – Stoke	1–1 (1–1)	1.75	3.80	4.50	2.10	1.70
12.12.23	Stoke – Swansea	1–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.50	3.60	1.93	1.93
09.12.23	Stoke – Sheffield Weds	0–1 (0–0)	2.00	3.25	4.00	2.25	1.62
02.12.23	Plymouth – Stoke	2–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.50	2.60	1.73	2.08
28.11.23	QPR – Stoke	4–2 (1–1)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.25	1.62
25.11.23	Stoke – Blackburn	0–3 (0–1)	2.20	3.50	3.20	1.75	2.05
11.11.23	Coventry – Stoke	0–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	3.10	2.05	1.80
04.11.23	Stoke – Cardiff	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.10	1.70
28.10.23	Middlesbrough – Stoke	0–2 (0–2)	1.75	4.00	4.33	1.75	2.05

Birmingham at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.12.23	Birmingham – Leicester	2–3 (1–2)	6.00	3.80	1.60	1.75	2.05
02.12.23	Birmingham – Rotherham	0–0 (0–0)	1.60	3.80	6.00	1.88	1.98
25.11.23	Birmingham – Sheffield Weds	2–1 (1–1)	2.15	3.25	3.50	2.25	1.62
04.11.23	Birmingham – Ipswich	2–2 (1–0)	3.80	3.75	1.91	1.75	2.05
25.10.23	Birmingham – Hull	0–2 (0–1)	2.30	3.25	3.20	2.05	1.80
06.10.23	Birmingham – West Brom	3–1 (2–1)	2.75	3.20	2.63	2.25	1.62
03.10.23	Birmingham – Huddersfield	4–1 (2–0)	2.25	3.30	3.30	2.08	1.73
22.09.23	Birmingham – QPR	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.33	2.20	1.67
02.09.23	Birmingham – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.20	3.25	2.38	1.57
26.08.23	Birmingham – Plymouth	2–1 (1–0)	1.85	3.50	4.33	2.00	1.80

Stoke away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.12.23	West Brom – Stoke	1–1 (1–1)	1.75	3.80	4.50	2.10	1.70
02.12.23	Plymouth – Stoke	2–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.50	2.60	1.73	2.08
28.11.23	QPR – Stoke	4–2 (1–1)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.25	1.62
11.11.23	Coventry – Stoke	0–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	3.10	2.05	1.80
28.10.23	Middlesbrough – Stoke	0–2 (0–2)	1.75	4.00	4.33	1.75	2.05
07.10.23	Leicester – Stoke	2–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.33	5.75	1.70	2.10
30.09.23	Bristol City – Stoke	2–3 (2–1)	2.30	3.25	3.20	2.03	1.83
20.09.23	Huddersfield – Stoke	2–2 (1–1)	2.88	3.30	2.50	2.03	1.83
16.09.23	Norwich – Stoke	1–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.50	4.20	1.83	2.03
26.08.23	Millwall – Stoke	1–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.20	2.20	1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 3

Birmingham winsDrawsStoke wins

4matches

1.75goals / match

50%over 2.5

50%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.04.23E1	Birmingham – Stoke	0–0 (0–0)	3.20	3.25	2.30	2.20	1.67
05.11.22E1	Stoke – Birmingham	1–2 (0–1)	2.05	3.50	3.60	2.20	1.66
19.02.22E1	Stoke – Birmingham	2–2 (1–1)	1.80	3.60	4.75	2.10	1.77
14.08.21E1	Birmingham – Stoke	0–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.10	2.80	2.50	1.53

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	23	19	1	3	47	16	+31	58
2	Ipswich	23	16	4	3	47	32	+15	52
3	Southampton	24	14	6	4	43	29	+14	48
4	Leeds	24	13	6	5	42	24	+18	45
5	West Brom	24	11	6	7	35	23	+12	39
6	Sunderland	24	11	3	10	33	27	+6	36
7	Hull	24	10	6	8	36	31	+5	36
8	Bristol City	24	10	5	9	30	27	+3	35
9	Preston	24	10	5	9	31	41	-10	35
10	Watford	24	9	7	8	38	32	+6	34
11	Cardiff	24	10	4	10	32	30	+2	34
12	Norwich	24	10	4	10	41	40	+1	34
13	Coventry	24	8	9	7	33	25	+8	33
14	Middlesbrough	24	10	3	11	35	35	0	33
15	Blackburn	24	10	1	13	35	43	-8	31
16	Plymouth	24	7	7	10	39	40	-1	28
17	Swansea	24	7	7	10	32	37	-5	28
18	Birmingham	23	7	6	10	29	35	-6	27
19	Millwall	24	6	8	10	26	31	-5	26
20	Huddersfield	24	5	10	9	24	38	-14	25
21	Stoke	23	6	6	11	21	30	-9	24
22	QPR	24	5	5	14	20	35	-15	20
23	Sheffield Weds	24	4	4	16	17	39	-22	16
24	Rotherham	24	3	7	14	21	47	-26	16

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	12	10	0	2	23	6	+17	30
2	Leeds	12	8	4	0	26	10	+16	28
3	Ipswich	11	9	1	1	32	19	+13	28
4	Southampton	12	8	2	2	28	14	+14	26
5	West Brom	12	7	3	2	19	10	+9	24
6	Plymouth	12	7	2	3	30	19	+11	23
7	Norwich	12	7	1	4	18	13	+5	22
8	Coventry	12	5	6	1	15	8	+7	21
9	Sunderland	12	7	0	5	20	16	+4	21
10	Cardiff	12	6	2	4	18	13	+5	20
11	Bristol City	12	6	2	4	17	14	+3	20
12	Preston	12	6	2	4	18	23	-5	20
13	Watford	13	5	4	4	24	17	+7	19
14	Hull	12	5	4	3	18	11	+7	19
15	Birmingham	11	5	4	2	17	12	+5	19
16	Middlesbrough	12	6	1	5	13	11	+2	19
17	Stoke	12	4	3	5	10	13	-3	15
18	Blackburn	12	5	0	7	16	21	-5	15
19	Swansea	12	3	5	4	15	15	0	14
20	Rotherham	12	3	5	4	15	16	-1	14
21	Huddersfield	12	3	5	4	13	18	-5	14
22	Millwall	12	3	3	6	11	17	-6	12
23	Sheffield Weds	12	3	3	6	11	17	-6	12
24	QPR	11	2	3	6	10	17	-7	9

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	11	9	1	1	24	10	+14	28
2	Ipswich	12	7	3	2	15	13	+2	24
3	Southampton	12	6	4	2	15	15	0	22
4	Leeds	12	5	2	5	16	14	+2	17
5	Hull	12	5	2	5	18	20	-2	17
6	Blackburn	12	5	1	6	19	22	-3	16
7	West Brom	12	4	3	5	16	13	+3	15
8	Sunderland	12	4	3	5	13	11	+2	15
9	Bristol City	12	4	3	5	13	13	0	15
10	Watford	11	4	3	4	14	15	-1	15
11	Preston	12	4	3	5	13	18	-5	15
12	Millwall	12	3	5	4	15	14	+1	14
13	Middlesbrough	12	4	2	6	22	24	-2	14
14	Cardiff	12	4	2	6	14	17	-3	14
15	Swansea	12	4	2	6	17	22	-5	14
16	Coventry	12	3	3	6	18	17	+1	12
17	Norwich	12	3	3	6	23	27	-4	12
18	QPR	13	3	2	8	10	18	-8	11
19	Huddersfield	12	2	5	5	11	20	-9	11
20	Stoke	11	2	3	6	11	17	-6	9
21	Birmingham	12	2	2	8	12	23	-11	8
22	Plymouth	12	0	5	7	9	21	-12	5
23	Sheffield Weds	12	1	1	10	6	22	-16	4
24	Rotherham	12	0	2	10	6	31	-25	2

Birmingham Stoke

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	15	Blackburn	24	5	19	1.5	1.8	10	1	13	35	43	31
2	16	Plymouth	24	7	17	1.6	1.7	7	7	10	39	40	28
3	9	Preston	24	8	16	1.3	1.7	10	5	9	31	41	35
4	12	Norwich	24	8	16	1.7	1.7	10	4	10	41	40	34
5	2	Ipswich	23	8	15	2.0	1.4	16	4	3	47	32	52
6	17	Swansea	24	9	15	1.3	1.5	7	7	10	32	37	28
7	3	Southampton	24	10	14	1.8	1.2	14	6	4	43	29	48
8	6	Sunderland	24	10	14	1.4	1.1	11	3	10	33	27	36
9	7	Hull	24	10	14	1.5	1.3	10	6	8	36	31	36
10	1	Leicester	23	10	13	2.0	0.7	19	1	3	47	16	58
11	4	Leeds	24	11	13	1.8	1.0	13	6	5	42	24	45
12	10	Watford	24	11	13	1.6	1.3	9	7	8	38	32	34
13	14	Middlesbrough	24	11	13	1.5	1.5	10	3	11	35	35	33
14	24	Rotherham	24	11	13	0.9	2.0	3	7	14	21	47	16
15	11	Cardiff	24	12	12	1.3	1.2	10	4	10	32	30	34
16	23	Sheffield Weds	24	12	12	0.7	1.6	4	4	16	17	39	16
17	5	West Brom	24	13	11	1.5	1.0	11	6	7	35	23	39
18	18	Birmingham	23	12	11	1.3	1.5	7	6	10	29	35	27
19	19	Millwall	24	13	11	1.1	1.3	6	8	10	26	31	26
20	20	Huddersfield	24	13	11	1.0	1.6	5	10	9	24	38	25
21	8	Bristol City	24	14	10	1.2	1.1	10	5	9	30	27	35
22	22	QPR	24	14	10	0.8	1.5	5	5	14	20	35	20
23	13	Coventry	24	15	9	1.4	1.0	8	9	7	33	25	33
24	21	Stoke	23	15	8	0.9	1.3	6	6	11	21	30	24

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Ipswich	11	1	10	2.9	1.7	9	1	1	32	19	28
2	9	Preston	12	2	10	1.5	1.9	6	2	4	18	23	20
3	16	Plymouth	12	2	10	2.5	1.6	7	2	3	30	19	23
4	6	Sunderland	12	3	9	1.7	1.3	7	0	5	20	16	21
5	15	Blackburn	12	3	9	1.3	1.8	5	0	7	16	21	15
6	3	Southampton	12	4	8	2.3	1.2	8	2	2	28	14	26
7	4	Leeds	12	4	8	2.2	0.8	8	4	0	26	10	28
8	10	Watford	13	5	8	1.8	1.3	5	4	4	24	17	19
9	17	Swansea	12	5	7	1.2	1.2	3	5	4	15	15	14
10	1	Leicester	12	6	6	1.9	0.5	10	0	2	23	6	30
11	12	Norwich	12	6	6	1.5	1.1	7	1	4	18	13	22
12	18	Birmingham	11	5	6	1.5	1.1	5	4	2	17	12	19
13	19	Millwall	12	6	6	0.9	1.4	3	3	6	11	17	12
14	20	Huddersfield	12	6	6	1.1	1.5	3	5	4	13	18	14
15	23	Sheffield Weds	12	6	6	0.9	1.4	3	3	6	11	17	12
16	24	Rotherham	12	6	6	1.2	1.3	3	5	4	15	16	14
17	5	West Brom	12	7	5	1.6	0.8	7	3	2	19	10	24
18	7	Hull	12	7	5	1.5	0.9	5	4	3	18	11	19
19	8	Bristol City	12	7	5	1.4	1.2	6	2	4	17	14	20
20	11	Cardiff	12	7	5	1.5	1.1	6	2	4	18	13	20
21	22	QPR	11	6	5	0.9	1.5	2	3	6	10	17	9
22	21	Stoke	12	8	4	0.8	1.1	4	3	5	10	13	15
23	14	Middlesbrough	12	9	3	1.1	0.9	6	1	5	13	11	19
24	13	Coventry	12	10	2	1.2	0.7	5	6	1	15	8	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Norwich	12	2	10	1.9	2.2	3	3	6	23	27	12
2	14	Middlesbrough	12	2	10	1.8	2.0	4	2	6	22	24	14
3	15	Blackburn	12	2	10	1.6	1.8	5	1	6	19	22	16
4	7	Hull	12	3	9	1.5	1.7	5	2	5	18	20	17
5	17	Swansea	12	4	8	1.4	1.8	4	2	6	17	22	14
6	1	Leicester	11	4	7	2.2	0.9	9	1	1	24	10	28
7	11	Cardiff	12	5	7	1.2	1.4	4	2	6	14	17	14
8	13	Coventry	12	5	7	1.5	1.4	3	3	6	18	17	12
9	16	Plymouth	12	5	7	0.8	1.8	0	5	7	9	21	5
10	24	Rotherham	12	5	7	0.5	2.6	0	2	10	6	31	2
11	3	Southampton	12	6	6	1.2	1.2	6	4	2	15	15	22
12	5	West Brom	12	6	6	1.3	1.1	4	3	5	16	13	15
13	9	Preston	12	6	6	1.1	1.5	4	3	5	13	18	15
14	23	Sheffield Weds	12	6	6	0.5	1.8	1	1	10	6	22	4
15	2	Ipswich	12	7	5	1.2	1.1	7	3	2	15	13	24
16	4	Leeds	12	7	5	1.3	1.2	5	2	5	16	14	17
17	6	Sunderland	12	7	5	1.1	0.9	4	3	5	13	11	15
18	8	Bristol City	12	7	5	1.1	1.1	4	3	5	13	13	15
19	10	Watford	11	6	5	1.3	1.4	4	3	4	14	15	15
20	18	Birmingham	12	7	5	1.0	1.9	2	2	8	12	23	8
21	19	Millwall	12	7	5	1.2	1.2	3	5	4	15	14	14
22	20	Huddersfield	12	7	5	0.9	1.7	2	5	5	11	20	11
23	22	QPR	13	8	5	0.8	1.4	3	2	8	10	18	11
24	21	Stoke	11	7	4	1.0	1.5	2	3	6	11	17	9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.