Watford 1–2 Leicester – England Championship, 10 Feb 2024

Match facts

Watford Leicester

13 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 3

8 Corners 1

11 Fouls 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (357 league matches this season so far).

Result Leicester to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.70

Expected goals 1.28 – 1.69

Home / Draw / Away

29% 24% 47%

WatfordDrawLeicester

Under / Over 2.5 goals

43% 57%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

41% 59%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

15% 1

23% 2

22% 3

17% 4

18% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.1% 1–2 9.4% 0–1 8.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches

1.37points / match

1.50scored / match

1.30conceded / match

10 11 9

WonDrawnLost 30 played · 45:39

Leicester before this match, all matches

2.40points / match

2.13scored / match

0.77conceded / match

23 3 4

WonDrawnLost 30 played · 64:23

Watford all matches all matches Leicester

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 2.13

1.30 Goals conceded 0.77

2.80 Total goals 2.90

13.70 Shots 14.20

4.40 Shots on target 5.50

12.60 Shots faced 11.00

5.40 Corners 5.07

4.87 Corners against 4.70

12.53 Fouls 9.47

2.37 Yellow cards 1.90

0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.80

0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.27

How often Full Time

33% Wins 77%

37% Draws 10%

30% Losses 13%

90% Over 0.5 goals 100%

73% Over 1.5 goals 80%

50% Over 2.5 goals 57%

33% Over 3.5 goals 33%

23% Over 4.5 goals 20%

10% Over 5.5 goals 0%

53% Both teams scored 53%

27% Clean sheets 37%

30% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

7% Wins 53%

70% Draws 40%

23% Losses 7%

60% Over 0.5 goals 70%

47% Over 1.5 goals 23%

17% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches

1

2

L

5

1

W

2

1

W

1

4

L

1

D

3

D

2

1

W

1

D

1

L

Leicester all matches

3

2

W

3

2

W

3

W

1

D

2

W

4

1

W

1

3

L

1

D

3

1

W

5

W

Watford before this match, at home

1.33points / match

1.67scored / match

1.27conceded / match

5 5 5

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 25:19

Leicester before this match, away

2.33points / match

2.20scored / match

0.93conceded / match

11 2 2

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 33:14

Watford at home away Leicester

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 2.20

1.27 Goals conceded 0.93

2.93 Total goals 3.13

16.00 Shots 12.47

5.40 Shots on target 4.93

9.53 Shots faced 12.20

7.13 Corners 3.73

3.20 Corners against 5.27

11.67 Fouls 10.87

2.00 Yellow cards 2.40

0.93 1st-half goals scored 1.13

0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

33% Wins 73%

33% Draws 13%

33% Losses 13%

93% Over 0.5 goals 100%

73% Over 1.5 goals 87%

53% Over 2.5 goals 60%

47% Over 3.5 goals 40%

27% Over 4.5 goals 27%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

53% Both teams scored 67%

33% Clean sheets 27%

20% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 67%

67% Draws 33%

20% Losses 0%

67% Over 0.5 goals 80%

60% Over 1.5 goals 40%

27% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home

2

3

L

1

W

2

D

5

W

3

2

W

1

D

1

2

L

1

4

L

1

D

1

L

Leicester away

3

1

W

2

1

W

1

L

1

D

2

1

W

3

2

W

1

D

2

W

1

3

L

5

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.02.24	Watford – Cardiff	0–1 (0–1)	1.83	3.60	4.33	2.03	1.83
31.01.24	Sheffield Weds – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.30	2.63	2.00	1.85
20.01.24	Bristol City – Watford	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.25	3.00	2.08	1.73
14.01.24	QPR – Watford	1–2 (0–0)	3.00	3.25	2.45	2.15	1.67
01.01.24	Plymouth – Watford	3–3 (3–2)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.67	2.15
29.12.23	Watford – Stoke	1–1 (1–1)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.05	1.75
26.12.23	Watford – Bristol City	1–4 (0–2)	1.95	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.70
23.12.23	Blackburn – Watford	1–2 (1–0)	2.25	3.40	3.20	1.73	2.08
16.12.23	Preston – Watford	1–5 (1–1)	2.80	3.30	2.55	2.25	1.62
12.12.23	Watford – Ipswich	1–2 (1–1)	2.90	3.40	2.45	2.00	1.85

Leicester all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.02.24	Stoke – Leicester	0–5 (0–2)	4.20	3.75	1.83	1.90	1.95
30.01.24	Leicester – Swansea	3–1 (1–0)	1.33	5.50	8.50	1.53	2.40
22.01.24	Leicester – Ipswich	1–1 (1–0)	1.91	3.60	4.00	1.80	2.00
13.01.24	Coventry – Leicester	3–1 (0–1)	3.80	3.60	1.95	1.88	1.98
01.01.24	Leicester – Huddersfield	4–1 (1–0)	1.20	7.00	12.00	1.53	2.40
29.12.23	Cardiff – Leicester	0–2 (0–1)	5.75	4.00	1.62	1.98	1.88
26.12.23	Ipswich – Leicester	1–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.50	2.25	1.73	2.08
23.12.23	Leicester – Rotherham	3–0 (0–0)	1.17	8.00	15.00	1.44	2.70
18.12.23	Birmingham – Leicester	2–3 (1–2)	6.00	3.80	1.60	1.75	2.05
13.12.23	Leicester – Millwall	3–2 (0–1)	1.36	5.00	8.50	1.73	2.08

Watford at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.02.24	Watford – Cardiff	0–1 (0–1)	1.83	3.60	4.33	2.03	1.83
29.12.23	Watford – Stoke	1–1 (1–1)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.05	1.75
26.12.23	Watford – Bristol City	1–4 (0–2)	1.95	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.70
12.12.23	Watford – Ipswich	1–2 (1–1)	2.90	3.40	2.45	2.00	1.85
09.12.23	Watford – Southampton	1–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.40	2.20	1.98	1.88
28.11.23	Watford – Norwich	3–2 (2–2)	2.15	3.50	3.30	1.88	1.98
11.11.23	Watford – Rotherham	5–0 (2–0)	1.45	4.20	7.50	1.98	1.88
28.10.23	Watford – Millwall	2–2 (1–1)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.20	1.65
21.10.23	Watford – Sheffield Weds	1–0 (0–0)	1.67	3.60	5.25	2.05	1.75
30.09.23	Watford – Middlesbrough	2–3 (1–2)	2.45	3.40	2.90	1.93	1.93

Leicester away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.02.24	Stoke – Leicester	0–5 (0–2)	4.20	3.75	1.83	1.90	1.95
13.01.24	Coventry – Leicester	3–1 (0–1)	3.80	3.60	1.95	1.88	1.98
29.12.23	Cardiff – Leicester	0–2 (0–1)	5.75	4.00	1.62	1.98	1.88
26.12.23	Ipswich – Leicester	1–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.50	2.25	1.73	2.08
18.12.23	Birmingham – Leicester	2–3 (1–2)	6.00	3.80	1.60	1.75	2.05
02.12.23	West Brom – Leicester	1–2 (0–0)	2.88	3.20	2.55	2.10	1.70
29.11.23	Sheffield Weds – Leicester	1–1 (0–1)	5.25	4.20	1.62	1.80	2.00
11.11.23	Middlesbrough – Leicester	1–0 (0–0)	2.90	3.60	2.30	1.70	2.10
28.10.23	QPR – Leicester	1–2 (1–1)	8.00	5.00	1.36	1.65	2.20
21.10.23	Swansea – Leicester	1–3 (1–1)	4.33	4.00	1.75	1.73	2.08

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3

Watford winsDrawsLeicester wins

3matches

4.67goals / match

67%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.11.23E1	Leicester – Watford	2–0 (0–0)	1.57	4.20	5.50	1.93	1.93
15.05.22E0	Watford – Leicester	1–5 (1–2)	3.80	3.50	1.95	1.72	2.10
28.11.21E0	Leicester – Watford	4–2 (3–1)	1.61	4.00	5.50	1.66	2.20

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	30	23	3	4	64	23	+41	72
2	Southampton	29	18	7	4	55	32	+23	61
3	Leeds	30	18	6	6	52	26	+26	60
4	Ipswich	30	17	9	4	55	40	+15	60
5	West Brom	30	14	7	9	43	29	+14	49
6	Hull	29	13	6	10	43	38	+5	45
7	Coventry	30	11	11	8	46	34	+12	44
8	Sunderland	30	13	5	12	41	33	+8	44
9	Norwich	30	13	5	12	48	45	+3	44
10	Preston	30	12	6	12	38	49	-11	42
11	Watford	30	10	11	9	45	39	+6	41
12	Middlesbrough	29	12	5	12	43	42	+1	41
13	Cardiff	29	12	4	13	36	39	-3	40
14	Bristol City	30	10	8	12	33	34	-1	38
15	Plymouth	29	9	9	11	48	47	+1	36
16	Millwall	30	8	9	13	30	38	-8	33
17	Swansea	30	8	9	13	39	48	-9	33
18	Blackburn	29	10	3	16	42	55	-13	33
19	Birmingham	30	8	8	14	34	47	-13	32
20	Stoke	30	8	8	14	28	42	-14	32
21	Huddersfield	30	6	13	11	33	47	-14	31
22	QPR	30	7	7	16	27	41	-14	28
23	Sheffield Weds	31	7	5	19	24	50	-26	26
24	Rotherham	29	3	10	16	25	54	-29	19

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	15	12	1	2	31	9	+22	37
2	Leeds	15	11	4	0	32	11	+21	37
3	Ipswich	15	10	4	1	37	23	+14	34
4	West Brom	15	10	3	2	25	11	+14	33
5	Southampton	14	10	2	2	34	15	+19	32
6	Norwich	15	9	2	4	23	15	+8	29
7	Plymouth	14	8	3	3	36	23	+13	27
8	Sunderland	15	9	0	6	25	18	+7	27
9	Coventry	15	6	8	1	22	13	+9	26
10	Preston	15	8	2	5	23	26	-3	26
11	Hull	15	7	4	4	23	15	+8	25
12	Birmingham	14	5	6	3	20	17	+3	21
13	Bristol City	15	6	3	6	18	17	+1	21
14	Middlesbrough	15	6	3	6	16	16	0	21
15	Watford	15	5	5	5	25	19	+6	20
16	Cardiff	14	6	2	6	18	18	0	20
17	Sheffield Weds	16	5	4	7	17	20	-3	19
18	Huddersfield	15	4	6	5	19	21	-2	18
19	Swansea	15	4	5	6	17	19	-2	17
20	Blackburn	15	5	2	8	20	26	-6	17
21	Millwall	15	4	4	7	14	21	-7	16
22	Stoke	15	4	4	7	11	20	-9	16
23	Rotherham	15	3	6	6	16	20	-4	15
24	QPR	15	3	4	8	15	22	-7	13

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	15	11	2	2	33	14	+19	35
2	Southampton	15	8	5	2	21	17	+4	29
3	Ipswich	15	7	5	3	18	17	+1	26
4	Leeds	15	7	2	6	20	15	+5	23
5	Watford	15	5	6	4	20	20	0	21
6	Middlesbrough	14	6	2	6	27	26	+1	20
7	Hull	14	6	2	6	20	23	-3	20
8	Cardiff	15	6	2	7	18	21	-3	20
9	Coventry	15	5	3	7	24	21	+3	18
10	Sunderland	15	4	5	6	16	15	+1	17
11	Millwall	15	4	5	6	16	17	-1	17
12	Bristol City	15	4	5	6	15	17	-2	17
13	West Brom	15	4	4	7	18	18	0	16
14	Stoke	15	4	4	7	17	22	-5	16
15	Blackburn	14	5	1	8	22	29	-7	16
16	Swansea	15	4	4	7	22	29	-7	16
17	Preston	15	4	4	7	15	23	-8	16
18	Norwich	15	4	3	8	25	30	-5	15
19	QPR	15	4	3	8	12	19	-7	15
20	Huddersfield	15	2	7	6	14	26	-12	13
21	Birmingham	16	3	2	11	14	30	-16	11
22	Plymouth	15	1	6	8	12	24	-12	9
23	Sheffield Weds	15	2	1	12	7	30	-23	7
24	Rotherham	14	0	4	10	9	34	-25	4

Watford Leicester

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Blackburn	29	6	23	1.4	1.9	10	3	16	42	55	33
2	15	Plymouth	29	9	20	1.7	1.6	9	9	11	48	47	36
3	17	Swansea	30	11	19	1.3	1.6	8	9	13	39	48	33
4	4	Ipswich	30	12	18	1.8	1.3	17	9	4	55	40	60
5	9	Norwich	30	12	18	1.6	1.5	13	5	12	48	45	44
6	10	Preston	30	12	18	1.3	1.6	12	6	12	38	49	42
7	1	Leicester	30	13	17	2.1	0.8	23	3	4	64	23	72
8	2	Southampton	29	12	17	1.9	1.1	18	7	4	55	32	61
9	6	Hull	29	12	17	1.5	1.3	13	6	10	43	38	45
10	3	Leeds	30	14	16	1.7	0.9	18	6	6	52	26	60
11	8	Sunderland	30	14	16	1.4	1.1	13	5	12	41	33	44
12	12	Middlesbrough	29	13	16	1.5	1.4	12	5	12	43	42	41
13	23	Sheffield Weds	31	15	16	0.8	1.6	7	5	19	24	50	26
14	7	Coventry	30	15	15	1.5	1.1	11	11	8	46	34	44
15	11	Watford	30	15	15	1.5	1.3	10	11	9	45	39	41
16	13	Cardiff	29	14	15	1.2	1.3	12	4	13	36	39	40
17	19	Birmingham	30	15	15	1.1	1.6	8	8	14	34	47	32
18	21	Huddersfield	30	16	14	1.1	1.6	6	13	11	33	47	31
19	24	Rotherham	29	15	14	0.9	1.9	3	10	16	25	54	19
20	5	West Brom	30	17	13	1.4	1.0	14	7	9	43	29	49
21	22	QPR	30	17	13	0.9	1.4	7	7	16	27	41	28
22	16	Millwall	30	18	12	1.0	1.3	8	9	13	30	38	33
23	20	Stoke	30	18	12	0.9	1.4	8	8	14	28	42	32
24	14	Bristol City	30	19	11	1.1	1.1	10	8	12	33	34	38

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Ipswich	15	3	12	2.5	1.5	10	4	1	37	23	34
2	15	Plymouth	14	2	12	2.6	1.6	8	3	3	36	23	27
3	10	Preston	15	4	11	1.5	1.7	8	2	5	23	26	26
4	18	Blackburn	15	4	11	1.3	1.7	5	2	8	20	26	17
5	2	Southampton	14	4	10	2.4	1.1	10	2	2	34	15	32
6	3	Leeds	15	5	10	2.1	0.7	11	4	0	32	11	37
7	8	Sunderland	15	5	10	1.7	1.2	9	0	6	25	18	27
8	1	Leicester	15	7	8	2.1	0.6	12	1	2	31	9	37
9	11	Watford	15	7	8	1.7	1.3	5	5	5	25	19	20
10	17	Swansea	15	7	8	1.1	1.3	4	5	6	17	19	17
11	19	Birmingham	14	6	8	1.4	1.2	5	6	3	20	17	21
12	21	Huddersfield	15	7	8	1.3	1.4	4	6	5	19	21	18
13	23	Sheffield Weds	16	8	8	1.1	1.2	5	4	7	17	20	19
14	6	Hull	15	8	7	1.5	1.0	7	4	4	23	15	25
15	9	Norwich	15	8	7	1.5	1.0	9	2	4	23	15	29
16	16	Millwall	15	8	7	0.9	1.4	4	4	7	14	21	16
17	22	QPR	15	8	7	1.0	1.5	3	4	8	15	22	13
18	5	West Brom	15	9	6	1.7	0.7	10	3	2	25	11	33
19	13	Cardiff	14	8	6	1.3	1.3	6	2	6	18	18	20
20	20	Stoke	15	9	6	0.7	1.3	4	4	7	11	20	16
21	24	Rotherham	15	9	6	1.1	1.3	3	6	6	16	20	15
22	7	Coventry	15	10	5	1.5	0.9	6	8	1	22	13	26
23	14	Bristol City	15	10	5	1.2	1.1	6	3	6	18	17	21
24	12	Middlesbrough	15	11	4	1.1	1.1	6	3	6	16	16	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Middlesbrough	14	2	12	1.9	1.9	6	2	6	27	26	20
2	18	Blackburn	14	2	12	1.6	2.1	5	1	8	22	29	16
3	9	Norwich	15	4	11	1.7	2.0	4	3	8	25	30	15
4	17	Swansea	15	4	11	1.5	1.9	4	4	7	22	29	16
5	6	Hull	14	4	10	1.4	1.6	6	2	6	20	23	20
6	7	Coventry	15	5	10	1.6	1.4	5	3	7	24	21	18
7	1	Leicester	15	6	9	2.2	0.9	11	2	2	33	14	35
8	13	Cardiff	15	6	9	1.2	1.4	6	2	7	18	21	20
9	15	Plymouth	15	7	8	0.8	1.6	1	6	8	12	24	9
10	23	Sheffield Weds	15	7	8	0.5	2.0	2	1	12	7	30	7
11	24	Rotherham	14	6	8	0.6	2.4	0	4	10	9	34	4
12	2	Southampton	15	8	7	1.4	1.1	8	5	2	21	17	29
13	5	West Brom	15	8	7	1.2	1.2	4	4	7	18	18	16
14	10	Preston	15	8	7	1.0	1.5	4	4	7	15	23	16
15	11	Watford	15	8	7	1.3	1.3	5	6	4	20	20	21
16	19	Birmingham	16	9	7	0.9	1.9	3	2	11	14	30	11
17	3	Leeds	15	9	6	1.3	1.0	7	2	6	20	15	23
18	4	Ipswich	15	9	6	1.2	1.1	7	5	3	18	17	26
19	8	Sunderland	15	9	6	1.1	1.0	4	5	6	16	15	17
20	14	Bristol City	15	9	6	1.0	1.1	4	5	6	15	17	17
21	20	Stoke	15	9	6	1.1	1.5	4	4	7	17	22	16
22	21	Huddersfield	15	9	6	0.9	1.7	2	7	6	14	26	13
23	22	QPR	15	9	6	0.8	1.3	4	3	8	12	19	15
24	16	Millwall	15	10	5	1.1	1.1	4	5	6	16	17	17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.