Watford 1–1 Stoke – England Championship, 29 Dec 2023

Match facts

Watford Stoke

13 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 4

5 Corners 4

7 Fouls 10

4 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (289 league matches this season so far).

Result Watford to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.80

Expected goals 1.67 – 1.15

Home / Draw / Away

50% 24% 26%

WatfordDrawStoke

Under / Over 2.5 goals

46% 54%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

44% 56%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

16% 4

16% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.4% 1–0 9.9% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches

1.42points / match

1.58scored / match

1.33conceded / match

9 7 8

WonDrawnLost 24 played · 38:32

Stoke before this match, all matches

1.13points / match

1.00scored / match

1.29conceded / match

7 6 11

WonDrawnLost 24 played · 24:31

Watford all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.58 Goals scored 1.00

1.33 Goals conceded 1.29

2.92 Total goals 2.29

13.75 Shots 12.08

4.54 Shots on target 3.08

11.38 Shots faced 12.04

5.21 Corners 6.08

4.63 Corners against 5.17

12.46 Fouls 13.25

2.21 Yellow cards 2.50

0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.54

0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

38% Wins 29%

29% Draws 25%

33% Losses 46%

92% Over 0.5 goals 88%

75% Over 1.5 goals 63%

54% Over 2.5 goals 38%

38% Over 3.5 goals 25%

25% Over 4.5 goals 13%

8% Over 5.5 goals 4%

50% Both teams scored 42%

29% Clean sheets 25%

29% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

8% Wins 13%

71% Draws 54%

21% Losses 33%

58% Over 0.5 goals 67%

46% Over 1.5 goals 42%

17% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches

D

5

W

2

L

3

2

W

2

1

W

1

D

1

2

L

5

1

W

2

1

W

1

4

L

Stoke all matches

D

3

L

2

4

L

1

2

L

1

L

1

D

1

D

3

1

W

Watford before this match, at home

1.46points / match

1.85scored / match

1.31conceded / match

5 4 4

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 24:17

Stoke before this match, away

1.00points / match

1.17scored / match

1.50conceded / match

3 3 6

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 14:18

Watford at home away Stoke

Per match

1.85 Goals scored 1.17

1.31 Goals conceded 1.50

3.15 Total goals 2.67

16.15 Shots 10.75

5.31 Shots on target 3.00

9.15 Shots faced 14.67

7.08 Corners 5.42

3.23 Corners against 7.17

11.69 Fouls 12.17

1.77 Yellow cards 2.17

1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.75

0.77 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

38% Wins 25%

31% Draws 25%

31% Losses 50%

92% Over 0.5 goals 92%

77% Over 1.5 goals 75%

62% Over 2.5 goals 42%

54% Over 3.5 goals 33%

31% Over 4.5 goals 17%

0% Over 5.5 goals 8%

54% Both teams scored 50%

38% Clean sheets 17%

15% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 17%

69% Draws 42%

15% Losses 42%

62% Over 0.5 goals 92%

62% Over 1.5 goals 58%

31% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home

2

W

2

D

2

3

L

1

W

2

D

5

W

3

2

W

1

D

1

2

L

1

4

L

Stoke away

1

L

2

D

3

2

W

2

L

2

W

D

2

4

L

1

2

L

1

D

3

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.23	Watford – Bristol City	1–4 (0–2)	1.95	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.70
23.12.23	Blackburn – Watford	1–2 (1–0)	2.25	3.40	3.20	1.73	2.08
16.12.23	Preston – Watford	1–5 (1–1)	2.80	3.30	2.55	2.25	1.62
12.12.23	Watford – Ipswich	1–2 (1–1)	2.90	3.40	2.45	2.00	1.85
09.12.23	Watford – Southampton	1–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.40	2.20	1.98	1.88
02.12.23	Hull – Watford	1–2 (1–1)	2.10	3.60	3.30	2.08	1.73
28.11.23	Watford – Norwich	3–2 (2–2)	2.15	3.50	3.30	1.88	1.98
25.11.23	Leicester – Watford	2–0 (0–0)	1.57	4.20	5.50	1.93	1.93
11.11.23	Watford – Rotherham	5–0 (2–0)	1.45	4.20	7.50	1.98	1.88
04.11.23	Huddersfield – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.08	1.73

Stoke all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.23	Birmingham – Stoke	1–3 (0–2)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.05	1.75
23.12.23	Stoke – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.60	3.40	2.10	1.70
17.12.23	West Brom – Stoke	1–1 (1–1)	1.75	3.80	4.50	2.10	1.70
12.12.23	Stoke – Swansea	1–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.50	3.60	1.93	1.93
09.12.23	Stoke – Sheffield Weds	0–1 (0–0)	2.00	3.25	4.00	2.25	1.62
02.12.23	Plymouth – Stoke	2–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.50	2.60	1.73	2.08
28.11.23	QPR – Stoke	4–2 (1–1)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.25	1.62
25.11.23	Stoke – Blackburn	0–3 (0–1)	2.20	3.50	3.20	1.75	2.05
11.11.23	Coventry – Stoke	0–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	3.10	2.05	1.80
04.11.23	Stoke – Cardiff	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.10	1.70

Watford at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.23	Watford – Bristol City	1–4 (0–2)	1.95	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.70
12.12.23	Watford – Ipswich	1–2 (1–1)	2.90	3.40	2.45	2.00	1.85
09.12.23	Watford – Southampton	1–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.40	2.20	1.98	1.88
28.11.23	Watford – Norwich	3–2 (2–2)	2.15	3.50	3.30	1.88	1.98
11.11.23	Watford – Rotherham	5–0 (2–0)	1.45	4.20	7.50	1.98	1.88
28.10.23	Watford – Millwall	2–2 (1–1)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.20	1.65
21.10.23	Watford – Sheffield Weds	1–0 (0–0)	1.67	3.60	5.25	2.05	1.75
30.09.23	Watford – Middlesbrough	2–3 (1–2)	2.45	3.40	2.90	1.93	1.93
20.09.23	Watford – West Brom	2–2 (2–2)	2.20	3.25	3.40	2.00	1.85
16.09.23	Watford – Birmingham	2–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.30	4.00	2.10	1.73

Stoke away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.23	Birmingham – Stoke	1–3 (0–2)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.05	1.75
17.12.23	West Brom – Stoke	1–1 (1–1)	1.75	3.80	4.50	2.10	1.70
02.12.23	Plymouth – Stoke	2–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.50	2.60	1.73	2.08
28.11.23	QPR – Stoke	4–2 (1–1)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.25	1.62
11.11.23	Coventry – Stoke	0–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	3.10	2.05	1.80
28.10.23	Middlesbrough – Stoke	0–2 (0–2)	1.75	4.00	4.33	1.75	2.05
07.10.23	Leicester – Stoke	2–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.33	5.75	1.70	2.10
30.09.23	Bristol City – Stoke	2–3 (2–1)	2.30	3.25	3.20	2.03	1.83
20.09.23	Huddersfield – Stoke	2–2 (1–1)	2.88	3.30	2.50	2.03	1.83
16.09.23	Norwich – Stoke	1–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.50	4.20	1.83	2.03

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Watford winsDrawsStoke wins

3matches

2.33goals / match

33%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.08.23E1	Stoke – Watford	1–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.30	3.25	2.03	1.83
08.05.23E1	Watford – Stoke	2–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.20	3.00	1.73	2.10
02.10.22E1	Stoke – Watford	0–4 (0–1)	2.50	3.25	2.90	2.10	1.72

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	24	19	2	3	48	17	+31	59
2	Ipswich	24	16	5	3	48	33	+15	53
3	Southampton	25	15	6	4	45	30	+15	51
4	Leeds	24	13	6	5	42	24	+18	45
5	West Brom	24	11	6	7	35	23	+12	39
6	Sunderland	24	11	3	10	33	27	+6	36
7	Hull	24	10	6	8	36	31	+5	36
8	Bristol City	24	10	5	9	30	27	+3	35
9	Preston	24	10	5	9	31	41	-10	35
10	Watford	24	9	7	8	38	32	+6	34
11	Cardiff	24	10	4	10	32	30	+2	34
12	Norwich	24	10	4	10	41	40	+1	34
13	Coventry	24	8	9	7	33	25	+8	33
14	Middlesbrough	24	10	3	11	35	35	0	33
15	Blackburn	24	10	1	13	35	43	-8	31
16	Plymouth	25	7	7	11	40	42	-2	28
17	Swansea	24	7	7	10	32	37	-5	28
18	Stoke	24	7	6	11	24	31	-7	27
19	Birmingham	24	7	6	11	30	38	-8	27
20	Millwall	24	6	8	10	26	31	-5	26
21	Huddersfield	24	5	10	9	24	38	-14	25
22	QPR	24	5	5	14	20	35	-15	20
23	Sheffield Weds	24	4	4	16	17	39	-22	16
24	Rotherham	24	3	7	14	21	47	-26	16

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	12	10	0	2	23	6	+17	30
2	Southampton	13	9	2	2	30	15	+15	29
3	Ipswich	12	9	2	1	33	20	+13	29
4	Leeds	12	8	4	0	26	10	+16	28
5	West Brom	12	7	3	2	19	10	+9	24
6	Plymouth	12	7	2	3	30	19	+11	23
7	Norwich	12	7	1	4	18	13	+5	22
8	Coventry	12	5	6	1	15	8	+7	21
9	Sunderland	12	7	0	5	20	16	+4	21
10	Cardiff	12	6	2	4	18	13	+5	20
11	Bristol City	12	6	2	4	17	14	+3	20
12	Preston	12	6	2	4	18	23	-5	20
13	Watford	13	5	4	4	24	17	+7	19
14	Hull	12	5	4	3	18	11	+7	19
15	Birmingham	12	5	4	3	18	15	+3	19
16	Middlesbrough	12	6	1	5	13	11	+2	19
17	Stoke	12	4	3	5	10	13	-3	15
18	Blackburn	12	5	0	7	16	21	-5	15
19	Swansea	12	3	5	4	15	15	0	14
20	Rotherham	12	3	5	4	15	16	-1	14
21	Huddersfield	12	3	5	4	13	18	-5	14
22	Millwall	12	3	3	6	11	17	-6	12
23	Sheffield Weds	12	3	3	6	11	17	-6	12
24	QPR	11	2	3	6	10	17	-7	9

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	12	9	2	1	25	11	+14	29
2	Ipswich	12	7	3	2	15	13	+2	24
3	Southampton	12	6	4	2	15	15	0	22
4	Leeds	12	5	2	5	16	14	+2	17
5	Hull	12	5	2	5	18	20	-2	17
6	Blackburn	12	5	1	6	19	22	-3	16
7	West Brom	12	4	3	5	16	13	+3	15
8	Sunderland	12	4	3	5	13	11	+2	15
9	Bristol City	12	4	3	5	13	13	0	15
10	Watford	11	4	3	4	14	15	-1	15
11	Preston	12	4	3	5	13	18	-5	15
12	Millwall	12	3	5	4	15	14	+1	14
13	Middlesbrough	12	4	2	6	22	24	-2	14
14	Cardiff	12	4	2	6	14	17	-3	14
15	Swansea	12	4	2	6	17	22	-5	14
16	Coventry	12	3	3	6	18	17	+1	12
17	Norwich	12	3	3	6	23	27	-4	12
18	Stoke	12	3	3	6	14	18	-4	12
19	QPR	13	3	2	8	10	18	-8	11
20	Huddersfield	12	2	5	5	11	20	-9	11
21	Birmingham	12	2	2	8	12	23	-11	8
22	Plymouth	13	0	5	8	10	23	-13	5
23	Sheffield Weds	12	1	1	10	6	22	-16	4
24	Rotherham	12	0	2	10	6	31	-25	2

Watford Stoke

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	15	Blackburn	24	5	19	1.5	1.8	10	1	13	35	43	31
2	16	Plymouth	25	7	18	1.6	1.7	7	7	11	40	42	28
3	9	Preston	24	8	16	1.3	1.7	10	5	9	31	41	35
4	12	Norwich	24	8	16	1.7	1.7	10	4	10	41	40	34
5	2	Ipswich	24	9	15	2.0	1.4	16	5	3	48	33	53
6	3	Southampton	25	10	15	1.8	1.2	15	6	4	45	30	51
7	17	Swansea	24	9	15	1.3	1.5	7	7	10	32	37	28
8	6	Sunderland	24	10	14	1.4	1.1	11	3	10	33	27	36
9	7	Hull	24	10	14	1.5	1.3	10	6	8	36	31	36
10	1	Leicester	24	11	13	2.0	0.7	19	2	3	48	17	59
11	4	Leeds	24	11	13	1.8	1.0	13	6	5	42	24	45
12	10	Watford	24	11	13	1.6	1.3	9	7	8	38	32	34
13	14	Middlesbrough	24	11	13	1.5	1.5	10	3	11	35	35	33
14	24	Rotherham	24	11	13	0.9	2.0	3	7	14	21	47	16
15	11	Cardiff	24	12	12	1.3	1.2	10	4	10	32	30	34
16	19	Birmingham	24	12	12	1.2	1.6	7	6	11	30	38	27
17	23	Sheffield Weds	24	12	12	0.7	1.6	4	4	16	17	39	16
18	5	West Brom	24	13	11	1.5	1.0	11	6	7	35	23	39
19	20	Millwall	24	13	11	1.1	1.3	6	8	10	26	31	26
20	21	Huddersfield	24	13	11	1.0	1.6	5	10	9	24	38	25
21	8	Bristol City	24	14	10	1.2	1.1	10	5	9	30	27	35
22	22	QPR	24	14	10	0.8	1.5	5	5	14	20	35	20
23	13	Coventry	24	15	9	1.4	1.0	8	9	7	33	25	33
24	18	Stoke	24	15	9	1.0	1.3	7	6	11	24	31	27

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Ipswich	12	2	10	2.8	1.7	9	2	1	33	20	29
2	9	Preston	12	2	10	1.5	1.9	6	2	4	18	23	20
3	16	Plymouth	12	2	10	2.5	1.6	7	2	3	30	19	23
4	3	Southampton	13	4	9	2.3	1.2	9	2	2	30	15	29
5	6	Sunderland	12	3	9	1.7	1.3	7	0	5	20	16	21
6	15	Blackburn	12	3	9	1.3	1.8	5	0	7	16	21	15
7	4	Leeds	12	4	8	2.2	0.8	8	4	0	26	10	28
8	10	Watford	13	5	8	1.8	1.3	5	4	4	24	17	19
9	17	Swansea	12	5	7	1.2	1.2	3	5	4	15	15	14
10	19	Birmingham	12	5	7	1.5	1.2	5	4	3	18	15	19
11	1	Leicester	12	6	6	1.9	0.5	10	0	2	23	6	30
12	12	Norwich	12	6	6	1.5	1.1	7	1	4	18	13	22
13	20	Millwall	12	6	6	0.9	1.4	3	3	6	11	17	12
14	21	Huddersfield	12	6	6	1.1	1.5	3	5	4	13	18	14
15	23	Sheffield Weds	12	6	6	0.9	1.4	3	3	6	11	17	12
16	24	Rotherham	12	6	6	1.2	1.3	3	5	4	15	16	14
17	5	West Brom	12	7	5	1.6	0.8	7	3	2	19	10	24
18	7	Hull	12	7	5	1.5	0.9	5	4	3	18	11	19
19	8	Bristol City	12	7	5	1.4	1.2	6	2	4	17	14	20
20	11	Cardiff	12	7	5	1.5	1.1	6	2	4	18	13	20
21	22	QPR	11	6	5	0.9	1.5	2	3	6	10	17	9
22	18	Stoke	12	8	4	0.8	1.1	4	3	5	10	13	15
23	14	Middlesbrough	12	9	3	1.1	0.9	6	1	5	13	11	19
24	13	Coventry	12	10	2	1.2	0.7	5	6	1	15	8	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Norwich	12	2	10	1.9	2.2	3	3	6	23	27	12
2	14	Middlesbrough	12	2	10	1.8	2.0	4	2	6	22	24	14
3	15	Blackburn	12	2	10	1.6	1.8	5	1	6	19	22	16
4	7	Hull	12	3	9	1.5	1.7	5	2	5	18	20	17
5	16	Plymouth	13	5	8	0.8	1.8	0	5	8	10	23	5
6	17	Swansea	12	4	8	1.4	1.8	4	2	6	17	22	14
7	1	Leicester	12	5	7	2.1	0.9	9	2	1	25	11	29
8	11	Cardiff	12	5	7	1.2	1.4	4	2	6	14	17	14
9	13	Coventry	12	5	7	1.5	1.4	3	3	6	18	17	12
10	24	Rotherham	12	5	7	0.5	2.6	0	2	10	6	31	2
11	3	Southampton	12	6	6	1.2	1.2	6	4	2	15	15	22
12	5	West Brom	12	6	6	1.3	1.1	4	3	5	16	13	15
13	9	Preston	12	6	6	1.1	1.5	4	3	5	13	18	15
14	23	Sheffield Weds	12	6	6	0.5	1.8	1	1	10	6	22	4
15	2	Ipswich	12	7	5	1.2	1.1	7	3	2	15	13	24
16	4	Leeds	12	7	5	1.3	1.2	5	2	5	16	14	17
17	6	Sunderland	12	7	5	1.1	0.9	4	3	5	13	11	15
18	8	Bristol City	12	7	5	1.1	1.1	4	3	5	13	13	15
19	10	Watford	11	6	5	1.3	1.4	4	3	4	14	15	15
20	18	Stoke	12	7	5	1.2	1.5	3	3	6	14	18	12
21	19	Birmingham	12	7	5	1.0	1.9	2	2	8	12	23	8
22	20	Millwall	12	7	5	1.2	1.2	3	5	4	15	14	14
23	21	Huddersfield	12	7	5	0.9	1.7	2	5	5	11	20	11
24	22	QPR	13	8	5	0.8	1.4	3	2	8	10	18	11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.