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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Hooper

QPR 1–2 Watford

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.00 fair 3.06
Draw 3.25 fair 3.91
Away ✓ 2.45 fair 2.40
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 2.05
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.15 fair 1.95

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

QPR Watford
16 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 2
8 Corners 4
17 Fouls 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (323 league matches this season so far).
Result Watford to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.82
Expected goals 1.26 – 1.46
Home / Draw / Away
QPRDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 0–1 9.6% 1–2 8.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

QPR before this match, all matches
0.81points / match
0.81scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 21:37
Watford before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.62scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 42:36
QPR all matches all matches Watford

Per match

0.81 Goals scored 1.62
1.42 Goals conceded 1.38
2.23 Total goals 3.00
10.38 Shots 13.88
3.35 Shots on target 4.62
12.46 Shots faced 12.23
5.00 Corners 5.19
5.77 Corners against 4.77
12.08 Fouls 12.23
2.15 Yellow cards 2.31
0.35 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.77

How often Full Time

19% Wins 35%
23% Draws 35%
58% Losses 31%
85% Over 0.5 goals 92%
69% Over 1.5 goals 77%
42% Over 2.5 goals 54%
19% Over 3.5 goals 38%
4% Over 4.5 goals 27%
4% Over 5.5 goals 12%
42% Both teams scored 54%
27% Clean sheets 27%
46% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 8%
50% Draws 69%
35% Losses 23%
65% Over 0.5 goals 62%
27% Over 1.5 goals 50%
8% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR all matches
Watford all matches
QPR before this match, at home
0.75points / match
0.92scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 11:19
Watford before this match, away
1.33points / match
1.42scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 17:18
QPR at home away Watford

Per match

0.92 Goals scored 1.42
1.58 Goals conceded 1.50
2.50 Total goals 2.92
13.00 Shots 11.50
4.17 Shots on target 3.75
13.58 Shots faced 15.42
5.00 Corners 3.17
5.25 Corners against 6.50
12.08 Fouls 13.25
2.00 Yellow cards 2.75
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

17% Wins 33%
25% Draws 33%
58% Losses 33%
83% Over 0.5 goals 92%
67% Over 1.5 goals 75%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
33% Over 3.5 goals 25%
8% Over 4.5 goals 25%
8% Over 5.5 goals 25%
50% Both teams scored 50%
25% Clean sheets 17%
42% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

8% Wins 0%
58% Draws 67%
33% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 58%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.24 QPR – Cardiff 1–2 (0–1) 2.303.103.40 2.40 1.53
29.12.23 Ipswich – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.454.756.00 1.73 2.08
26.12.23 Millwall – QPR 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.253.75 2.35 1.57
23.12.23 QPR – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 5.253.601.73 1.93 1.93
16.12.23 Sheffield Weds – QPR 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.253.30 2.35 1.57
13.12.23 QPR – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.753.60 1.75 2.05
09.12.23 QPR – Hull 2–0 (1–0) 3.203.252.30 2.10 1.70
01.12.23 Preston – QPR 0–2 (0–0) 2.203.253.50 2.30 1.60
28.11.23 QPR – Stoke 4–2 (1–1) 3.103.402.30 2.25 1.62
25.11.23 Norwich – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.804.50 1.75 2.05

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.24 Plymouth – Watford 3–3 (3–2) 3.103.602.20 1.67 2.15
29.12.23 Watford – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.303.50 2.05 1.75
26.12.23 Watford – Bristol City 1–4 (0–2) 1.953.404.20 2.10 1.70
23.12.23 Blackburn – Watford 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 1.73 2.08
16.12.23 Preston – Watford 1–5 (1–1) 2.803.302.55 2.25 1.62
12.12.23 Watford – Ipswich 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.402.45 2.00 1.85
09.12.23 Watford – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 1.98 1.88
02.12.23 Hull – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 2.08 1.73
28.11.23 Watford – Norwich 3–2 (2–2) 2.153.503.30 1.88 1.98
25.11.23 Leicester – Watford 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.93 1.93

QPR at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.24 QPR – Cardiff 1–2 (0–1) 2.303.103.40 2.40 1.53
23.12.23 QPR – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 5.253.601.73 1.93 1.93
13.12.23 QPR – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.753.60 1.75 2.05
09.12.23 QPR – Hull 2–0 (1–0) 3.203.252.30 2.10 1.70
28.11.23 QPR – Stoke 4–2 (1–1) 3.103.402.30 2.25 1.62
11.11.23 QPR – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.63 2.10 1.70
28.10.23 QPR – Leicester 1–2 (1–1) 8.005.001.36 1.65 2.20
07.10.23 QPR – Blackburn 0–4 (0–2) 3.003.502.30 1.75 2.05
30.09.23 QPR – Coventry 1–3 (0–0) 3.103.302.38 2.00 1.85
19.09.23 QPR – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.302.60 2.05 1.80

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.24 Plymouth – Watford 3–3 (3–2) 3.103.602.20 1.67 2.15
23.12.23 Blackburn – Watford 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 1.73 2.08
16.12.23 Preston – Watford 1–5 (1–1) 2.803.302.55 2.25 1.62
02.12.23 Hull – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 2.08 1.73
25.11.23 Leicester – Watford 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.93 1.93
04.11.23 Huddersfield – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.30 2.08 1.73
24.10.23 Swansea – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 2.05 1.75
07.10.23 Cardiff – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.302.90 2.05 1.75
04.10.23 Sunderland – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 1.80 2.00
23.09.23 Leeds – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 1.733.804.75 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

QPR winsDrawsWatford wins
3matches
3.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.08.23E1 Watford – QPR 4–0 (4–0) 1.853.604.20 2.00 1.85
11.03.23E1 QPR – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.252.30 2.10 1.73
27.08.22E1 Watford – QPR 2–3 (1–2) 1.903.404.33 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 27 21 2 4 55 21 +34 65
2 Ipswich 27 17 7 3 50 34 +16 58
3 Southampton 27 16 7 4 50 31 +19 55
4 Leeds 27 15 6 6 48 25 +23 51
5 West Brom 27 13 6 8 40 25 +15 45
6 Coventry 27 10 10 7 41 29 +12 40
7 Sunderland 27 12 4 11 37 30 +7 40
8 Hull 27 11 6 10 41 38 +3 39
9 Middlesbrough 27 12 3 12 41 40 +1 39
10 Norwich 27 11 5 11 44 43 +1 38
11 Preston 27 11 5 11 33 44 -11 38
12 Cardiff 27 11 4 12 34 36 -2 37
13 Watford 26 9 9 8 42 36 +6 36
14 Bristol City 27 10 6 11 30 30 0 36
15 Swansea 27 8 9 10 37 41 -4 33
16 Millwall 27 8 8 11 29 34 -5 32
17 Stoke 27 8 8 11 26 32 -6 32
18 Blackburn 27 10 2 15 40 52 -12 32
19 Plymouth 27 7 9 11 44 46 -2 30
20 Birmingham 27 7 8 12 32 43 -11 29
21 Huddersfield 27 5 11 11 27 45 -18 26
22 Sheffield Weds 27 6 4 17 21 44 -23 22
23 QPR 26 5 6 15 21 37 -16 21
24 Rotherham 27 3 9 15 24 51 -27 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 13 11 0 2 27 7 +20 33
2 Ipswich 14 10 3 1 35 21 +14 33
3 Southampton 14 10 2 2 34 15 +19 32
4 Leeds 13 9 4 0 29 10 +19 31
5 West Brom 14 9 3 2 24 11 +13 30
6 Coventry 14 6 7 1 20 11 +9 25
7 Plymouth 13 7 3 3 33 22 +11 24
8 Sunderland 13 8 0 5 22 16 +6 24
9 Norwich 13 7 2 4 19 14 +5 23
10 Preston 14 7 2 5 20 24 -4 23
11 Hull 14 6 4 4 22 15 +7 22
12 Birmingham 14 5 6 3 20 17 +3 21
13 Watford 14 5 5 4 25 18 +7 20
14 Bristol City 13 6 2 5 17 15 +2 20
15 Cardiff 14 6 2 6 18 18 0 20
16 Middlesbrough 13 6 1 6 14 14 0 19
17 Swansea 13 4 5 4 16 15 +1 17
18 Stoke 13 4 4 5 10 13 -3 16
19 Blackburn 13 5 1 7 18 23 -5 16
20 Rotherham 14 3 6 5 16 18 -2 15
21 Sheffield Weds 13 4 3 6 14 18 -4 15
22 Huddersfield 14 3 6 5 15 21 -6 15
23 Millwall 14 4 3 7 13 20 -7 15
24 QPR 12 2 3 7 11 19 -8 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 14 10 2 2 28 14 +14 32
2 Ipswich 13 7 4 2 15 13 +2 25
3 Southampton 13 6 5 2 16 16 0 23
4 Leeds 14 6 2 6 19 15 +4 20
5 Middlesbrough 14 6 2 6 27 26 +1 20
6 Millwall 13 4 5 4 16 14 +2 17
7 Cardiff 13 5 2 6 16 18 -2 17
8 Hull 13 5 2 6 19 23 -4 17
9 Sunderland 14 4 4 6 15 14 +1 16
10 Watford 12 4 4 4 17 18 -1 16
11 Bristol City 14 4 4 6 13 15 -2 16
12 Stoke 14 4 4 6 16 19 -3 16
13 Swansea 14 4 4 6 21 26 -5 16
14 Blackburn 14 5 1 8 22 29 -7 16
15 Coventry 13 4 3 6 21 18 +3 15
16 West Brom 13 4 3 6 16 14 +2 15
17 Norwich 14 4 3 7 25 29 -4 15
18 Preston 13 4 3 6 13 20 -7 15
19 QPR 14 3 3 8 10 18 -8 12
20 Huddersfield 13 2 5 6 12 24 -12 11
21 Birmingham 13 2 2 9 12 26 -14 8
22 Sheffield Weds 14 2 1 11 7 26 -19 7
23 Plymouth 14 0 6 8 11 24 -13 6
24 Rotherham 13 0 3 10 8 33 -25 3

QPR   Watford

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Blackburn 27 5 22 1.5 1.9 10 2 15 40 52 32
2 19 Plymouth 27 8 19 1.6 1.7 7 9 11 44 46 30
3 8 Hull 27 10 17 1.5 1.4 11 6 10 41 38 39
4 10 Norwich 27 10 17 1.6 1.6 11 5 11 44 43 38
5 15 Swansea 27 10 17 1.4 1.5 8 9 10 37 41 33
6 2 Ipswich 27 11 16 1.9 1.3 17 7 3 50 34 58
7 3 Southampton 27 11 16 1.9 1.1 16 7 4 50 31 55
8 9 Middlesbrough 27 11 16 1.5 1.5 12 3 12 41 40 39
9 11 Preston 27 11 16 1.2 1.6 11 5 11 33 44 38
10 1 Leicester 27 12 15 2.0 0.8 21 2 4 55 21 65
11 4 Leeds 27 12 15 1.8 0.9 15 6 6 48 25 51
12 7 Sunderland 27 12 15 1.4 1.1 12 4 11 37 30 40
13 12 Cardiff 27 13 14 1.3 1.3 11 4 12 34 36 37
14 13 Watford 26 12 14 1.6 1.4 9 9 8 42 36 36
15 20 Birmingham 27 13 14 1.2 1.6 7 8 12 32 43 29
16 22 Sheffield Weds 27 13 14 0.8 1.6 6 4 17 21 44 22
17 24 Rotherham 27 13 14 0.9 1.9 3 9 15 24 51 18
18 21 Huddersfield 27 14 13 1.0 1.7 5 11 11 27 45 26
19 5 West Brom 27 15 12 1.5 0.9 13 6 8 40 25 45
20 6 Coventry 27 15 12 1.5 1.1 10 10 7 41 29 40
21 16 Millwall 27 15 12 1.1 1.3 8 8 11 29 34 32
22 23 QPR 26 15 11 0.8 1.4 5 6 15 21 37 21
23 14 Bristol City 27 17 10 1.1 1.1 10 6 11 30 30 36
24 17 Stoke 27 18 9 1.0 1.2 8 8 11 26 32 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 14 3 11 2.5 1.5 10 3 1 35 21 33
2 19 Plymouth 13 2 11 2.5 1.7 7 3 3 33 22 24
3 3 Southampton 14 4 10 2.4 1.1 10 2 2 34 15 32
4 11 Preston 14 4 10 1.4 1.7 7 2 5 20 24 23
5 18 Blackburn 13 3 10 1.4 1.8 5 1 7 18 23 16
6 4 Leeds 13 4 9 2.2 0.8 9 4 0 29 10 31
7 7 Sunderland 13 4 9 1.7 1.2 8 0 5 22 16 24
8 13 Watford 14 6 8 1.8 1.3 5 5 4 25 18 20
9 20 Birmingham 14 6 8 1.4 1.2 5 6 3 20 17 21
10 1 Leicester 13 6 7 2.1 0.5 11 0 2 27 7 33
11 8 Hull 14 7 7 1.6 1.1 6 4 4 22 15 22
12 15 Swansea 13 6 7 1.2 1.2 4 5 4 16 15 17
13 16 Millwall 14 7 7 0.9 1.4 4 3 7 13 20 15
14 21 Huddersfield 14 7 7 1.1 1.5 3 6 5 15 21 15
15 22 Sheffield Weds 13 6 7 1.1 1.4 4 3 6 14 18 15
16 5 West Brom 14 8 6 1.7 0.8 9 3 2 24 11 30
17 10 Norwich 13 7 6 1.5 1.1 7 2 4 19 14 23
18 12 Cardiff 14 8 6 1.3 1.3 6 2 6 18 18 20
19 23 QPR 12 6 6 0.9 1.6 2 3 7 11 19 9
20 24 Rotherham 14 8 6 1.1 1.3 3 6 5 16 18 15
21 14 Bristol City 13 8 5 1.3 1.2 6 2 5 17 15 20
22 6 Coventry 14 10 4 1.4 0.8 6 7 1 20 11 25
23 9 Middlesbrough 13 9 4 1.1 1.1 6 1 6 14 14 19
24 17 Stoke 13 9 4 0.8 1.0 4 4 5 10 13 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Middlesbrough 14 2 12 1.9 1.9 6 2 6 27 26 20
2 18 Blackburn 14 2 12 1.6 2.1 5 1 8 22 29 16
3 10 Norwich 14 3 11 1.8 2.1 4 3 7 25 29 15
4 8 Hull 13 3 10 1.5 1.8 5 2 6 19 23 17
5 15 Swansea 14 4 10 1.5 1.9 4 4 6 21 26 16
6 1 Leicester 14 6 8 2.0 1.0 10 2 2 28 14 32
7 6 Coventry 13 5 8 1.6 1.4 4 3 6 21 18 15
8 12 Cardiff 13 5 8 1.2 1.4 5 2 6 16 18 17
9 19 Plymouth 14 6 8 0.8 1.7 0 6 8 11 24 6
10 24 Rotherham 13 5 8 0.6 2.5 0 3 10 8 33 3
11 22 Sheffield Weds 14 7 7 0.5 1.9 2 1 11 7 26 7
12 3 Southampton 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 6 5 2 16 16 23
13 4 Leeds 14 8 6 1.4 1.1 6 2 6 19 15 20
14 5 West Brom 13 7 6 1.2 1.1 4 3 6 16 14 15
15 7 Sunderland 14 8 6 1.1 1.0 4 4 6 15 14 16
16 11 Preston 13 7 6 1.0 1.5 4 3 6 13 20 15
17 13 Watford 12 6 6 1.4 1.5 4 4 4 17 18 16
18 20 Birmingham 13 7 6 0.9 2.0 2 2 9 12 26 8
19 21 Huddersfield 13 7 6 0.9 1.8 2 5 6 12 24 11
20 2 Ipswich 13 8 5 1.2 1.0 7 4 2 15 13 25
21 14 Bristol City 14 9 5 0.9 1.1 4 4 6 13 15 16
22 16 Millwall 13 8 5 1.2 1.1 4 5 4 16 14 17
23 17 Stoke 14 9 5 1.1 1.4 4 4 6 16 19 16
24 23 QPR 14 9 5 0.7 1.3 3 3 8 10 18 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51