Watford 1–0 Sunderland – England Championship, 27 Apr 2024

Match facts

Watford Sunderland

10 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 6

3 Corners 3

11 Fouls 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (528 league matches this season so far).

Result Watford to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.97

Expected goals 1.35 – 1.15

Home / Draw / Away

41% 27% 32%

WatfordDrawSunderland

Under / Over 2.5 goals

54% 46%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

49% 51%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

21% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.7% 1–0 11% 0–1 9.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches

1.20points / match

1.34scored / match

1.32conceded / match

12 17 15

WonDrawnLost 44 played · 59:58

Sunderland before this match, all matches

1.27points / match

1.18scored / match

1.16conceded / match

16 8 20

WonDrawnLost 44 played · 52:51

Watford all matches all matches Sunderland

Per match

1.34 Goals scored 1.18

1.32 Goals conceded 1.16

2.66 Total goals 2.34

13.41 Shots 14.45

4.16 Shots on target 4.84

12.55 Shots faced 10.98

5.27 Corners 6.14

4.82 Corners against 4.45

12.84 Fouls 10.25

2.23 Yellow cards 2.02

0.59 1st-half goals scored 0.57

0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

27% Wins 36%

39% Draws 18%

34% Losses 45%

86% Over 0.5 goals 89%

68% Over 1.5 goals 64%

50% Over 2.5 goals 48%

32% Over 3.5 goals 23%

20% Over 4.5 goals 7%

9% Over 5.5 goals 5%

55% Both teams scored 45%

30% Clean sheets 30%

30% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

9% Wins 23%

64% Draws 50%

27% Losses 27%

59% Over 0.5 goals 66%

41% Over 1.5 goals 39%

18% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches

1

L

1

D

1

2

L

1

W

2

D

2

D

2

3

L

D

Sunderland all matches

1

L

1

L

2

4

L

D

2

W

1

5

L

D

1

W

1

L

Watford before this match, at home

1.09points / match

1.41scored / match

1.27conceded / match

5 9 8

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 31:28

Sunderland before this match, away

1.09points / match

1.00scored / match

1.05conceded / match

6 6 10

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 22:23

Watford at home away Sunderland

Per match

1.41 Goals scored 1.00

1.27 Goals conceded 1.05

2.68 Total goals 2.05

15.45 Shots 14.23

4.77 Shots on target 4.55

9.68 Shots faced 11.64

6.73 Corners 6.09

3.45 Corners against 4.41

12.36 Fouls 9.82

2.05 Yellow cards 2.45

0.77 1st-half goals scored 0.59

0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

23% Wins 27%

41% Draws 27%

36% Losses 45%

86% Over 0.5 goals 86%

73% Over 1.5 goals 59%

55% Over 2.5 goals 36%

36% Over 3.5 goals 14%

18% Over 4.5 goals 5%

0% Over 5.5 goals 5%

59% Both teams scored 45%

32% Clean sheets 32%

23% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 23%

64% Draws 50%

23% Losses 27%

64% Over 0.5 goals 68%

50% Over 1.5 goals 41%

23% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home

1

4

L

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

D

1

2

L

2

D

Sunderland away

1

D

1

2

L

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

1

L

2

4

L

2

W

D

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.04.24	Watford – Hull	0–0 (0–0)	2.90	3.50	2.38	1.83	2.03
13.04.24	Southampton – Watford	3–2 (2–1)	1.44	5.00	6.50	1.53	2.50
10.04.24	Ipswich – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	1.50	4.33	6.50	1.62	2.30
06.04.24	Watford – Preston	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.75	2.10	1.73
01.04.24	West Brom – Watford	2–2 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.33	2.08	1.73
29.03.24	Watford – Leeds	2–2 (2–1)	6.00	4.33	1.55	1.70	2.10
16.03.24	Birmingham – Watford	0–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.25	3.00	1.93	1.93
09.03.24	Watford – Coventry	1–2 (1–1)	2.88	3.40	2.40	1.85	2.00
06.03.24	Watford – Swansea	1–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.50	3.25	1.93	1.93
02.03.24	Millwall – Watford	1–0 (1–0)	2.38	3.30	3.00	2.10	1.70

Sunderland all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.04.24	Sunderland – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.25	3.50	2.20	1.67
13.04.24	West Brom – Sunderland	0–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.80	4.20	2.10	1.73
09.04.24	Leeds – Sunderland	0–0 (0–0)	1.36	4.75	9.00	1.57	2.38
06.04.24	Sunderland – Bristol City	0–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.20	3.10	2.30	1.62
01.04.24	Sunderland – Blackburn	1–5 (0–2)	2.10	3.40	3.60	1.95	1.90
29.03.24	Cardiff – Sunderland	0–2 (0–2)	2.55	3.10	2.90	2.25	1.62
16.03.24	Sunderland – QPR	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.25	3.00	2.15	1.67
09.03.24	Southampton – Sunderland	4–2 (2–0)	1.44	4.50	7.00	1.57	2.35
05.03.24	Sunderland – Leicester	0–1 (0–1)	3.80	3.75	1.91	1.85	2.00
02.03.24	Norwich – Sunderland	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.60	4.00	1.83	2.03

Watford at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.04.24	Watford – Hull	0–0 (0–0)	2.90	3.50	2.38	1.83	2.03
06.04.24	Watford – Preston	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.75	2.10	1.73
29.03.24	Watford – Leeds	2–2 (2–1)	6.00	4.33	1.55	1.70	2.10
09.03.24	Watford – Coventry	1–2 (1–1)	2.88	3.40	2.40	1.85	2.00
06.03.24	Watford – Swansea	1–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.50	3.25	1.93	1.93
24.02.24	Watford – Huddersfield	1–2 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	1.98	1.88
10.02.24	Watford – Leicester	1–2 (0–1)	4.50	4.00	1.70	1.75	2.05
03.02.24	Watford – Cardiff	0–1 (0–1)	1.83	3.60	4.33	2.03	1.83
29.12.23	Watford – Stoke	1–1 (1–1)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.05	1.75
26.12.23	Watford – Bristol City	1–4 (0–2)	1.95	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.70

Sunderland away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.04.24	West Brom – Sunderland	0–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.80	4.20	2.10	1.73
09.04.24	Leeds – Sunderland	0–0 (0–0)	1.36	4.75	9.00	1.57	2.38
29.03.24	Cardiff – Sunderland	0–2 (0–2)	2.55	3.10	2.90	2.25	1.62
09.03.24	Southampton – Sunderland	4–2 (2–0)	1.44	4.50	7.00	1.57	2.35
02.03.24	Norwich – Sunderland	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.60	4.00	1.83	2.03
17.02.24	Birmingham – Sunderland	2–1 (0–1)	2.80	3.30	2.55	2.03	1.83
14.02.24	Huddersfield – Sunderland	1–0 (1–0)	3.60	3.30	2.10	2.05	1.75
04.02.24	Middlesbrough – Sunderland	1–1 (0–0)	2.00	3.50	3.75	1.85	2.00
13.01.24	Ipswich – Sunderland	2–1 (1–1)	2.10	3.40	3.50	2.00	1.85
29.12.23	Rotherham – Sunderland	1–1 (0–0)	6.50	4.20	1.53	1.93	1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Watford winsDrawsSunderland wins

3matches

3.33goals / match

67%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.10.23E1	Sunderland – Watford	2–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	4.00	1.80	2.00
29.04.23E1	Sunderland – Watford	2–2 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.93	1.93
17.09.22E1	Watford – Sunderland	2–2 (1–1)	2.00	3.50	3.75	2.00	1.80

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	44	30	4	10	86	39	+47	94
2	Leeds	45	27	9	9	80	41	+39	90
3	Ipswich	43	26	11	6	85	53	+32	89
4	Southampton	44	25	9	10	85	61	+24	84
5	West Brom	44	20	12	12	67	44	+23	72
6	Norwich	44	21	9	14	77	61	+16	72
7	Hull	44	19	12	13	65	56	+9	69
8	Coventry	43	17	12	14	68	55	+13	63
9	Middlesbrough	44	18	9	17	64	60	+4	63
10	Preston	44	18	9	17	56	61	-5	63
11	Cardiff	44	19	5	20	50	61	-11	62
12	Bristol City	44	16	11	17	51	47	+4	59
13	Sunderland	44	16	8	20	52	51	+1	56
14	Swansea	44	15	11	18	57	62	-5	56
15	Watford	44	12	17	15	59	58	+1	53
16	QPR	45	14	11	20	45	57	-12	53
17	Millwall	44	14	11	19	43	55	-12	53
18	Stoke	44	13	11	20	44	60	-16	50
19	Blackburn	44	13	10	21	58	74	-16	49
20	Plymouth	44	12	12	20	58	69	-11	48
21	Sheffield Weds	44	13	8	23	39	68	-29	47
22	Birmingham	44	12	10	22	48	64	-16	46
23	Huddersfield	44	9	17	18	47	74	-27	44
24	Rotherham	44	4	12	28	32	85	-53	24

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	22	16	5	1	44	14	+30	53
2	Leicester	22	17	1	4	47	16	+31	52
3	Ipswich	22	15	6	1	57	32	+25	51
4	Southampton	22	15	3	4	54	28	+26	48
5	Norwich	22	15	3	4	41	20	+21	48
6	West Brom	22	14	4	4	35	17	+18	46
7	Preston	22	11	4	7	35	33	+2	37
8	Coventry	21	9	8	4	34	23	+11	35
9	Bristol City	22	10	4	8	29	21	+8	34
10	Birmingham	22	9	6	7	30	25	+5	33
11	Cardiff	22	10	3	9	26	28	-2	33
12	Hull	22	8	8	6	32	24	+8	32
13	Plymouth	22	9	5	8	40	35	+5	32
14	Sunderland	22	10	2	10	30	28	+2	32
15	Middlesbrough	22	9	4	9	27	25	+2	31
16	Swansea	22	8	5	9	26	27	-1	29
17	Millwall	22	8	5	9	21	29	-8	29
18	Sheffield Weds	22	7	7	8	24	27	-3	28
19	QPR	23	7	6	10	28	32	-4	27
20	Stoke	22	7	6	9	20	27	-7	27
21	Huddersfield	22	6	7	9	25	35	-10	25
22	Watford	22	5	9	8	31	28	+3	24
23	Blackburn	22	6	6	10	27	34	-7	24
24	Rotherham	22	4	8	10	19	26	-7	20

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	22	13	3	6	39	23	+16	42
2	Ipswich	21	11	5	5	28	21	+7	38
3	Leeds	23	11	4	8	36	27	+9	37
4	Hull	22	11	4	7	33	32	+1	37
5	Southampton	22	10	6	6	31	33	-2	36
6	Middlesbrough	22	9	5	8	37	35	+2	32
7	Watford	22	7	8	7	28	30	-2	29
8	Cardiff	22	9	2	11	24	33	-9	29
9	Coventry	22	8	4	10	34	32	+2	28
10	Swansea	22	7	6	9	31	35	-4	27
11	West Brom	22	6	8	8	32	27	+5	26
12	Preston	22	7	5	10	21	28	-7	26
13	QPR	22	7	5	10	17	25	-8	26
14	Bristol City	22	6	7	9	22	26	-4	25
15	Blackburn	22	7	4	11	31	40	-9	25
16	Sunderland	22	6	6	10	22	23	-1	24
17	Millwall	22	6	6	10	22	26	-4	24
18	Norwich	22	6	6	10	36	41	-5	24
19	Stoke	22	6	5	11	24	33	-9	23
20	Huddersfield	22	3	10	9	22	39	-17	19
21	Sheffield Weds	22	6	1	15	15	41	-26	19
22	Plymouth	22	3	7	12	18	34	-16	16
23	Birmingham	22	3	4	15	18	39	-21	13
24	Rotherham	22	0	4	18	13	59	-46	4

Watford Sunderland

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Southampton	44	15	29	1.9	1.4	25	9	10	85	61	84
2	19	Blackburn	44	15	29	1.3	1.7	13	10	21	58	74	49
3	6	Norwich	44	17	27	1.8	1.4	21	9	14	77	61	72
4	8	Coventry	43	16	27	1.6	1.3	17	12	14	68	55	63
5	1	Leicester	44	18	26	2.0	0.9	30	4	10	86	39	94
6	3	Ipswich	43	17	26	2.0	1.2	26	11	6	85	53	89
7	7	Hull	44	18	26	1.5	1.3	19	12	13	65	56	69
8	10	Preston	44	19	25	1.3	1.4	18	9	17	56	61	63
9	14	Swansea	44	19	25	1.3	1.4	15	11	18	57	62	56
10	20	Plymouth	44	19	25	1.3	1.6	12	12	20	58	69	48
11	2	Leeds	45	21	24	1.8	0.9	27	9	9	80	41	90
12	9	Middlesbrough	44	22	22	1.5	1.4	18	9	17	64	60	63
13	11	Cardiff	44	22	22	1.1	1.4	19	5	20	50	61	62
14	15	Watford	44	22	22	1.3	1.3	12	17	15	59	58	53
15	24	Rotherham	44	22	22	0.7	1.9	4	12	28	32	85	24
16	13	Sunderland	44	23	21	1.2	1.2	16	8	20	52	51	56
17	22	Birmingham	44	23	21	1.1	1.5	12	10	22	48	64	46
18	23	Huddersfield	44	23	21	1.1	1.7	9	17	18	47	74	44
19	5	West Brom	44	24	20	1.5	1.0	20	12	12	67	44	72
20	16	QPR	45	25	20	1.0	1.3	14	11	20	45	57	53
21	21	Sheffield Weds	44	24	20	0.9	1.5	13	8	23	39	68	47
22	18	Stoke	44	25	19	1.0	1.4	13	11	20	44	60	50
23	17	Millwall	44	27	17	1.0	1.2	14	11	19	43	55	53
24	12	Bristol City	44	28	16	1.2	1.1	16	11	17	51	47	59

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Ipswich	22	5	17	2.6	1.5	15	6	1	57	32	51
2	4	Southampton	22	5	17	2.5	1.3	15	3	4	54	28	48
3	10	Preston	22	6	16	1.6	1.5	11	4	7	35	33	37
4	1	Leicester	22	8	14	2.1	0.7	17	1	4	47	16	52
5	20	Plymouth	22	8	14	1.8	1.6	9	5	8	40	35	32
6	2	Leeds	22	9	13	2.0	0.6	16	5	1	44	14	53
7	13	Sunderland	22	9	13	1.4	1.3	10	2	10	30	28	32
8	19	Blackburn	22	9	13	1.2	1.5	6	6	10	27	34	24
9	14	Swansea	22	10	12	1.2	1.2	8	5	9	26	27	29
10	15	Watford	22	10	12	1.4	1.3	5	9	8	31	28	24
11	16	QPR	23	11	12	1.2	1.4	7	6	10	28	32	27
12	23	Huddersfield	22	10	12	1.1	1.6	6	7	9	25	35	25
13	6	Norwich	22	11	11	1.9	0.9	15	3	4	41	20	48
14	8	Coventry	21	10	11	1.6	1.1	9	8	4	34	23	35
15	22	Birmingham	22	11	11	1.4	1.1	9	6	7	30	25	33
16	7	Hull	22	12	10	1.5	1.1	8	8	6	32	24	32
17	11	Cardiff	22	12	10	1.2	1.3	10	3	9	26	28	33
18	21	Sheffield Weds	22	12	10	1.1	1.2	7	7	8	24	27	28
19	17	Millwall	22	13	9	1.0	1.3	8	5	9	21	29	29
20	18	Stoke	22	13	9	0.9	1.2	7	6	9	20	27	27
21	5	West Brom	22	14	8	1.6	0.8	14	4	4	35	17	46
22	24	Rotherham	22	14	8	0.9	1.2	4	8	10	19	26	20
23	9	Middlesbrough	22	15	7	1.2	1.1	9	4	9	27	25	31
24	12	Bristol City	22	15	7	1.3	1.0	10	4	8	29	21	34

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Norwich	22	6	16	1.6	1.9	6	6	10	36	41	24
2	7	Hull	22	6	16	1.5	1.5	11	4	7	33	32	37
3	8	Coventry	22	6	16	1.5	1.5	8	4	10	34	32	28
4	19	Blackburn	22	6	16	1.4	1.8	7	4	11	31	40	25
5	9	Middlesbrough	22	7	15	1.7	1.6	9	5	8	37	35	32
6	24	Rotherham	22	8	14	0.6	2.7	0	4	18	13	59	4
7	14	Swansea	22	9	13	1.4	1.6	7	6	9	31	35	27
8	1	Leicester	22	10	12	1.8	1.0	13	3	6	39	23	42
9	4	Southampton	22	10	12	1.4	1.5	10	6	6	31	33	36
10	5	West Brom	22	10	12	1.5	1.2	6	8	8	32	27	26
11	11	Cardiff	22	10	12	1.1	1.5	9	2	11	24	33	29
12	2	Leeds	23	12	11	1.6	1.2	11	4	8	36	27	37
13	20	Plymouth	22	11	11	0.8	1.5	3	7	12	18	34	16
14	15	Watford	22	12	10	1.3	1.4	7	8	7	28	30	29
15	18	Stoke	22	12	10	1.1	1.5	6	5	11	24	33	23
16	21	Sheffield Weds	22	12	10	0.7	1.9	6	1	15	15	41	19
17	22	Birmingham	22	12	10	0.8	1.8	3	4	15	18	39	13
18	3	Ipswich	21	12	9	1.3	1.0	11	5	5	28	21	38
19	10	Preston	22	13	9	1.0	1.3	7	5	10	21	28	26
20	12	Bristol City	22	13	9	1.0	1.2	6	7	9	22	26	25
21	23	Huddersfield	22	13	9	1.0	1.8	3	10	9	22	39	19
22	13	Sunderland	22	14	8	1.0	1.0	6	6	10	22	23	24
23	16	QPR	22	14	8	0.8	1.1	7	5	10	17	25	26
24	17	Millwall	22	14	8	1.0	1.2	6	6	10	22	26	24

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.