Millwall 1–0 Watford – England Championship, 2 Mar 2024

Match facts

Millwall Watford

6 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 3

4 Corners 3

12 Fouls 14

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (410 league matches this season so far).

Result Watford to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.85

Expected goals 1.24 – 1.43

Home / Draw / Away

33% 26% 41%

MillwallDrawWatford

Under / Over 2.5 goals

50% 50%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

46% 54%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.3% 0–1 9.9% 1–2 8.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches

1.06points / match

0.97scored / match

1.38conceded / match

9 9 16

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 33:47

Watford before this match, all matches

1.29points / match

1.47scored / match

1.38conceded / match

11 11 12

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 50:47

Millwall all matches all matches Watford

Per match

0.97 Goals scored 1.47

1.38 Goals conceded 1.38

2.35 Total goals 2.85

11.03 Shots 13.38

3.74 Shots on target 4.21

12.53 Shots faced 12.59

4.26 Corners 5.38

5.50 Corners against 4.79

13.03 Fouls 12.50

2.32 Yellow cards 2.29

0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.62

0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.74

How often Full Time

26% Wins 32%

26% Draws 32%

47% Losses 35%

94% Over 0.5 goals 91%

71% Over 1.5 goals 74%

44% Over 2.5 goals 53%

24% Over 3.5 goals 32%

3% Over 4.5 goals 24%

0% Over 5.5 goals 12%

41% Both teams scored 56%

29% Clean sheets 26%

35% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 6%

41% Draws 68%

29% Losses 26%

74% Over 0.5 goals 59%

32% Over 1.5 goals 44%

12% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches

1

W

1

W

1

3

L

2

L

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

4

L

2

L

2

1

W

Watford all matches

1

D

3

D

2

1

W

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

2

4

L

1

W

1

2

L

Millwall before this match, at home

0.94points / match

0.82scored / match

1.59conceded / match

4 4 9

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 14:27

Watford before this match, away

1.41points / match

1.35scored / match

1.41conceded / match

6 6 5

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 23:24

Millwall at home away Watford

Per match

0.82 Goals scored 1.35

1.59 Goals conceded 1.41

2.41 Total goals 2.76

13.82 Shots 11.18

4.53 Shots on target 3.24

10.71 Shots faced 15.76

5.41 Corners 3.82

4.53 Corners against 6.41

13.18 Fouls 13.12

2.18 Yellow cards 2.59

0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.41

0.76 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

24% Wins 35%

24% Draws 35%

53% Losses 29%

100% Over 0.5 goals 88%

76% Over 1.5 goals 71%

47% Over 2.5 goals 47%

18% Over 3.5 goals 24%

0% Over 4.5 goals 24%

0% Over 5.5 goals 24%

35% Both teams scored 53%

24% Clean sheets 24%

41% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 0%

35% Draws 71%

35% Losses 29%

82% Over 0.5 goals 53%

35% Over 1.5 goals 35%

12% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home

1

L

3

L

1

D

1

D

2

W

1

W

1

3

L

1

D

4

L

2

L

Watford away

2

L

2

1

W

5

1

W

2

1

W

3

D

2

1

W

1

D

2

4

L

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.24	Southampton – Millwall	1–2 (1–2)	1.36	5.00	8.00	1.62	2.25
17.02.24	Millwall – Sheffield Weds	0–2 (0–2)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.25	1.62
14.02.24	Millwall – Ipswich	0–4 (0–3)	3.50	3.50	2.05	2.05	1.75
11.02.24	Coventry – Millwall	2–1 (0–1)	1.75	3.80	4.75	2.03	1.83
03.02.24	Hull – Millwall	1–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.50	3.75	2.10	1.70
27.01.24	Millwall – Preston	1–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.10	3.60	2.40	1.53
20.01.24	QPR – Millwall	2–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.40	1.53
13.01.24	Millwall – Middlesbrough	1–3 (1–1)	2.75	3.40	2.55	2.05	1.75
01.01.24	Bristol City – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.60	2.20	1.65
29.12.23	Millwall – Norwich	1–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.50	2.80	2.05	1.75

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.24	Watford – Huddersfield	1–2 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	1.98	1.88
17.02.24	Rotherham – Watford	0–1 (0–0)	4.33	3.50	1.85	2.05	1.75
13.02.24	Norwich – Watford	4–2 (2–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	1.93	1.93
10.02.24	Watford – Leicester	1–2 (0–1)	4.50	4.00	1.70	1.75	2.05
03.02.24	Watford – Cardiff	0–1 (0–1)	1.83	3.60	4.33	2.03	1.83
31.01.24	Sheffield Weds – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.30	2.63	2.00	1.85
20.01.24	Bristol City – Watford	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.25	3.00	2.08	1.73
14.01.24	QPR – Watford	1–2 (0–0)	3.00	3.25	2.45	2.15	1.67
01.01.24	Plymouth – Watford	3–3 (3–2)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.67	2.15
29.12.23	Watford – Stoke	1–1 (1–1)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.05	1.75

Millwall at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.02.24	Millwall – Sheffield Weds	0–2 (0–2)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.25	1.62
14.02.24	Millwall – Ipswich	0–4 (0–3)	3.50	3.50	2.05	2.05	1.75
27.01.24	Millwall – Preston	1–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.10	3.60	2.40	1.53
13.01.24	Millwall – Middlesbrough	1–3 (1–1)	2.75	3.40	2.55	2.05	1.75
29.12.23	Millwall – Norwich	1–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.50	2.80	2.05	1.75
26.12.23	Millwall – QPR	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.25	3.75	2.35	1.57
16.12.23	Millwall – Huddersfield	1–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.60	4.00	2.20	1.65
02.12.23	Millwall – Sunderland	1–1 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.38	1.98	1.88
25.11.23	Millwall – Coventry	0–3 (0–1)	2.63	3.25	2.70	2.10	1.70
04.11.23	Millwall – Southampton	0–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.50	2.05	1.85	2.00

Watford away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.02.24	Rotherham – Watford	0–1 (0–0)	4.33	3.50	1.85	2.05	1.75
13.02.24	Norwich – Watford	4–2 (2–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	1.93	1.93
31.01.24	Sheffield Weds – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.30	2.63	2.00	1.85
20.01.24	Bristol City – Watford	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.25	3.00	2.08	1.73
14.01.24	QPR – Watford	1–2 (0–0)	3.00	3.25	2.45	2.15	1.67
01.01.24	Plymouth – Watford	3–3 (3–2)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.67	2.15
23.12.23	Blackburn – Watford	1–2 (1–0)	2.25	3.40	3.20	1.73	2.08
16.12.23	Preston – Watford	1–5 (1–1)	2.80	3.30	2.55	2.25	1.62
02.12.23	Hull – Watford	1–2 (1–1)	2.10	3.60	3.30	2.08	1.73
25.11.23	Leicester – Watford	2–0 (0–0)	1.57	4.20	5.50	1.93	1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Millwall winsDrawsWatford wins

3matches

3.00goals / match

67%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.10.23E1	Watford – Millwall	2–2 (1–1)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.20	1.65
26.12.22E1	Watford – Millwall	0–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.30	3.75	2.20	1.67
19.10.22E1	Millwall – Watford	3–0 (3–0)	2.60	3.20	2.80	2.20	1.66

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	34	25	3	6	70	29	+41	78
2	Leeds	35	22	7	6	65	28	+37	73
3	Ipswich	34	21	9	4	68	45	+23	72
4	Southampton	34	20	7	7	65	42	+23	67
5	West Brom	35	17	8	10	51	33	+18	59
6	Hull	34	16	7	11	50	43	+7	55
7	Norwich	34	15	7	12	59	51	+8	52
8	Preston	34	15	7	12	47	52	-5	52
9	Coventry	35	13	12	10	52	42	+10	51
10	Sunderland	34	14	5	15	46	39	+7	47
11	Cardiff	35	14	5	16	40	48	-8	47
12	Watford	34	11	11	12	50	47	+3	44
13	Bristol City	35	12	8	15	39	40	-1	44
14	Middlesbrough	33	13	5	15	47	49	-2	44
15	Plymouth	34	10	10	14	53	57	-4	40
16	Blackburn	34	11	6	17	48	60	-12	39
17	Swansea	34	10	9	15	43	55	-12	39
18	Birmingham	33	10	8	15	38	51	-13	38
19	Huddersfield	35	8	14	13	41	56	-15	38
20	Millwall	34	9	9	16	33	47	-14	36
21	QPR	34	9	8	17	32	45	-13	35
22	Stoke	34	9	8	17	31	48	-17	35
23	Sheffield Weds	34	9	5	20	28	53	-25	32
24	Rotherham	34	3	10	21	30	66	-36	19

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	17	13	4	0	38	12	+26	43
2	Leicester	17	13	1	3	34	11	+23	40
3	Ipswich	17	12	4	1	44	27	+17	40
4	West Brom	18	12	3	3	29	14	+15	39
5	Southampton	17	11	2	4	41	22	+19	35
6	Norwich	17	11	2	4	31	18	+13	35
7	Sunderland	17	10	0	7	29	21	+8	30
8	Preston	17	9	3	5	27	29	-2	30
9	Coventry	17	7	8	2	24	17	+7	29
10	Plymouth	17	8	4	5	38	30	+8	28
11	Birmingham	16	7	6	3	23	18	+5	27
12	Hull	17	7	5	5	24	17	+7	26
13	Bristol City	18	7	3	8	21	20	+1	24
14	Cardiff	17	7	3	7	20	21	-1	24
15	Huddersfield	18	5	7	6	22	24	-2	22
16	Sheffield Weds	17	6	4	7	19	21	-2	22
17	Middlesbrough	17	6	3	8	17	20	-3	21
18	Blackburn	17	6	3	8	24	28	-4	21
19	Watford	17	5	5	7	27	23	+4	20
20	Stoke	17	5	4	8	12	21	-9	19
21	QPR	17	4	5	8	19	25	-6	17
22	Swansea	17	4	5	8	18	25	-7	17
23	Millwall	17	4	4	9	14	27	-13	16
24	Rotherham	17	3	6	8	17	23	-6	15

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	17	12	2	3	36	18	+18	38
2	Ipswich	17	9	5	3	24	18	+6	32
3	Southampton	17	9	5	3	24	20	+4	32
4	Leeds	18	9	3	6	27	16	+11	30
5	Hull	17	9	2	6	26	26	0	29
6	Watford	17	6	6	5	23	24	-1	24
7	Middlesbrough	16	7	2	7	30	29	+1	23
8	Cardiff	18	7	2	9	20	27	-7	23
9	Coventry	18	6	4	8	28	25	+3	22
10	Preston	17	6	4	7	20	23	-3	22
11	Swansea	17	6	4	7	25	30	-5	22
12	West Brom	17	5	5	7	22	19	+3	20
13	Millwall	17	5	5	7	19	20	-1	20
14	Bristol City	17	5	5	7	18	20	-2	20
15	QPR	17	5	3	9	13	20	-7	18
16	Blackburn	17	5	3	9	24	32	-8	18
17	Sunderland	17	4	5	8	17	18	-1	17
18	Norwich	17	4	5	8	28	33	-5	17
19	Stoke	17	4	4	9	19	27	-8	16
20	Huddersfield	17	3	7	7	19	32	-13	16
21	Plymouth	17	2	6	9	15	27	-12	12
22	Birmingham	17	3	2	12	15	33	-18	11
23	Sheffield Weds	17	3	1	13	9	32	-23	10
24	Rotherham	17	0	4	13	13	43	-30	4

Millwall Watford

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	16	Blackburn	34	9	25	1.4	1.8	11	6	17	48	60	39
2	15	Plymouth	34	11	23	1.6	1.7	10	10	14	53	57	40
3	3	Ipswich	34	12	22	2.0	1.3	21	9	4	68	45	72
4	17	Swansea	34	12	22	1.3	1.6	10	9	15	43	55	39
5	4	Southampton	34	13	21	1.9	1.2	20	7	7	65	42	67
6	7	Norwich	34	13	21	1.7	1.5	15	7	12	59	51	52
7	8	Preston	34	13	21	1.4	1.5	15	7	12	47	52	52
8	1	Leicester	34	14	20	2.1	0.9	25	3	6	70	29	78
9	6	Hull	34	14	20	1.5	1.3	16	7	11	50	43	55
10	2	Leeds	35	16	19	1.9	0.8	22	7	6	65	28	73
11	9	Coventry	35	16	19	1.5	1.2	13	12	10	52	42	51
12	10	Sunderland	34	15	19	1.4	1.1	14	5	15	46	39	47
13	14	Middlesbrough	33	14	19	1.4	1.5	13	5	15	47	49	44
14	12	Watford	34	16	18	1.5	1.4	11	11	12	50	47	44
15	24	Rotherham	34	16	18	0.9	1.9	3	10	21	30	66	19
16	11	Cardiff	35	18	17	1.1	1.4	14	5	16	40	48	47
17	18	Birmingham	33	16	17	1.2	1.5	10	8	15	38	51	38
18	19	Huddersfield	35	18	17	1.2	1.6	8	14	13	41	56	38
19	23	Sheffield Weds	34	17	17	0.8	1.6	9	5	20	28	53	32
20	5	West Brom	35	20	15	1.5	0.9	17	8	10	51	33	59
21	20	Millwall	34	19	15	1.0	1.4	9	9	16	33	47	36
22	21	QPR	34	19	15	0.9	1.3	9	8	17	32	45	35
23	13	Bristol City	35	21	14	1.1	1.1	12	8	15	39	40	44
24	22	Stoke	34	20	14	0.9	1.4	9	8	17	31	48	35

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Ipswich	17	3	14	2.6	1.6	12	4	1	44	27	40
2	15	Plymouth	17	3	14	2.2	1.8	8	4	5	38	30	28
3	4	Southampton	17	4	13	2.4	1.3	11	2	4	41	22	35
4	8	Preston	17	4	13	1.6	1.7	9	3	5	27	29	30
5	2	Leeds	17	5	12	2.2	0.7	13	4	0	38	12	43
6	10	Sunderland	17	5	12	1.7	1.2	10	0	7	29	21	30
7	16	Blackburn	17	5	12	1.4	1.6	6	3	8	24	28	21
8	12	Watford	17	7	10	1.6	1.4	5	5	7	27	23	20
9	17	Swansea	17	7	10	1.1	1.5	4	5	8	18	25	17
10	1	Leicester	17	8	9	2.0	0.6	13	1	3	34	11	40
11	7	Norwich	17	8	9	1.8	1.1	11	2	4	31	18	35
12	18	Birmingham	16	7	9	1.4	1.1	7	6	3	23	18	27
13	19	Huddersfield	18	9	9	1.2	1.3	5	7	6	22	24	22
14	21	QPR	17	8	9	1.1	1.5	4	5	8	19	25	17
15	23	Sheffield Weds	17	8	9	1.1	1.2	6	4	7	19	21	22
16	20	Millwall	17	9	8	0.8	1.6	4	4	9	14	27	16
17	5	West Brom	18	11	7	1.6	0.8	12	3	3	29	14	39
18	6	Hull	17	10	7	1.4	1.0	7	5	5	24	17	26
19	9	Coventry	17	10	7	1.4	1.0	7	8	2	24	17	29
20	11	Cardiff	17	10	7	1.2	1.2	7	3	7	20	21	24
21	24	Rotherham	17	10	7	1.0	1.4	3	6	8	17	23	15
22	13	Bristol City	18	12	6	1.2	1.1	7	3	8	21	20	24
23	22	Stoke	17	11	6	0.7	1.2	5	4	8	12	21	19
24	14	Middlesbrough	17	12	5	1.0	1.2	6	3	8	17	20	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Middlesbrough	16	2	14	1.9	1.8	7	2	7	30	29	23
2	6	Hull	17	4	13	1.5	1.5	9	2	6	26	26	29
3	16	Blackburn	17	4	13	1.4	1.9	5	3	9	24	32	18
4	7	Norwich	17	5	12	1.6	1.9	4	5	8	28	33	17
5	9	Coventry	18	6	12	1.6	1.4	6	4	8	28	25	22
6	17	Swansea	17	5	12	1.5	1.8	6	4	7	25	30	22
7	1	Leicester	17	6	11	2.1	1.1	12	2	3	36	18	38
8	24	Rotherham	17	6	11	0.8	2.5	0	4	13	13	43	4
9	11	Cardiff	18	8	10	1.1	1.5	7	2	9	20	27	23
10	15	Plymouth	17	8	9	0.9	1.6	2	6	9	15	27	12
11	3	Ipswich	17	9	8	1.4	1.1	9	5	3	24	18	32
12	4	Southampton	17	9	8	1.4	1.2	9	5	3	24	20	32
13	5	West Brom	17	9	8	1.3	1.1	5	5	7	22	19	20
14	8	Preston	17	9	8	1.2	1.4	6	4	7	20	23	22
15	12	Watford	17	9	8	1.4	1.4	6	6	5	23	24	24
16	13	Bristol City	17	9	8	1.1	1.2	5	5	7	18	20	20
17	18	Birmingham	17	9	8	0.9	1.9	3	2	12	15	33	11
18	19	Huddersfield	17	9	8	1.1	1.9	3	7	7	19	32	16
19	22	Stoke	17	9	8	1.1	1.6	4	4	9	19	27	16
20	23	Sheffield Weds	17	9	8	0.5	1.9	3	1	13	9	32	10
21	2	Leeds	18	11	7	1.5	0.9	9	3	6	27	16	30
22	10	Sunderland	17	10	7	1.0	1.1	4	5	8	17	18	17
23	20	Millwall	17	10	7	1.1	1.2	5	5	7	19	20	20
24	21	QPR	17	11	6	0.8	1.2	5	3	9	13	20	18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.