Birmingham 0–1 Watford – England Championship, 16 Mar 2024

Match facts

Birmingham Watford

27 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 4

7 Corners 6

11 Fouls 12

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (444 league matches this season so far).

Result Birmingham to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.75

Expected goals 1.43 – 1.40

Home / Draw / Away

38% 25% 37%

BirminghamDrawWatford

Under / Over 2.5 goals

46% 54%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

43% 57%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

16% 4

16% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.8% 1–0 8.4% 2–1 8.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches

1.05points / match

1.14scored / match

1.57conceded / match

10 9 18

WonDrawnLost 37 played · 42:58

Watford before this match, all matches

1.22points / match

1.41scored / match

1.38conceded / match

11 12 14

WonDrawnLost 37 played · 52:51

Birmingham all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 1.41

1.57 Goals conceded 1.38

2.70 Total goals 2.78

12.65 Shots 13.65

3.95 Shots on target 4.16

14.05 Shots faced 12.24

4.54 Corners 5.41

6.30 Corners against 4.70

12.78 Fouls 12.68

2.22 Yellow cards 2.27

0.51 1st-half goals scored 0.59

0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.76

How often Full Time

27% Wins 30%

24% Draws 32%

49% Losses 38%

92% Over 0.5 goals 92%

73% Over 1.5 goals 73%

49% Over 2.5 goals 51%

32% Over 3.5 goals 30%

14% Over 4.5 goals 22%

8% Over 5.5 goals 11%

54% Both teams scored 57%

19% Clean sheets 24%

35% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 5%

43% Draws 65%

30% Losses 30%

68% Over 0.5 goals 62%

32% Over 1.5 goals 43%

11% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches

2

1

W

1

L

2

L

1

W

2

1

W

1

3

L

3

4

L

1

D

1

L

1

L

Watford all matches

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

2

4

L

1

W

1

2

L

1

L

1

D

1

2

L

Birmingham before this match, at home

1.50points / match

1.44scored / match

1.28conceded / match

7 6 5

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 26:23

Watford before this match, away

1.33points / match

1.28scored / match

1.39conceded / match

6 6 6

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 23:25

Birmingham at home away Watford

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.28

1.28 Goals conceded 1.39

2.72 Total goals 2.67

12.28 Shots 11.22

3.72 Shots on target 3.22

12.39 Shots faced 15.22

5.00 Corners 3.78

5.94 Corners against 6.28

12.89 Fouls 13.17

1.94 Yellow cards 2.50

0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.39

0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.72

How often Full Time

39% Wins 33%

33% Draws 33%

28% Losses 33%

83% Over 0.5 goals 89%

67% Over 1.5 goals 67%

56% Over 2.5 goals 44%

39% Over 3.5 goals 22%

17% Over 4.5 goals 22%

6% Over 5.5 goals 22%

61% Both teams scored 50%

28% Clean sheets 22%

28% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 0%

39% Draws 67%

33% Losses 33%

72% Over 0.5 goals 56%

39% Over 1.5 goals 33%

17% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home

2

1

W

D

2

3

L

1

3

L

D

2

D

1

W

2

1

W

3

4

L

1

L

Watford away

2

1

W

5

1

W

2

1

W

3

D

2

1

W

1

D

2

4

L

1

W

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.03.24	Birmingham – Middlesbrough	0–1 (0–1)	2.80	3.60	2.40	1.80	2.00
09.03.24	Millwall – Birmingham	1–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.20	3.40	2.15	1.67
05.03.24	Hull – Birmingham	1–1 (1–0)	1.73	4.00	4.75	1.67	2.15
02.03.24	Birmingham – Southampton	3–4 (2–1)	4.00	3.80	1.85	1.62	2.25
24.02.24	Ipswich – Birmingham	3–1 (1–1)	1.55	4.33	5.50	1.60	2.30
17.02.24	Birmingham – Sunderland	2–1 (0–1)	2.80	3.30	2.55	2.03	1.83
13.02.24	Birmingham – Blackburn	1–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.60	3.00	1.57	2.35
09.02.24	Sheffield Weds – Birmingham	2–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.30	3.25	2.03	1.83
03.02.24	West Brom – Birmingham	1–0 (0–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.95	1.90
20.01.24	Stoke – Birmingham	1–2 (0–1)	1.91	3.60	4.00	2.05	1.80

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.03.24	Watford – Coventry	1–2 (1–1)	2.88	3.40	2.40	1.85	2.00
06.03.24	Watford – Swansea	1–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.50	3.25	1.93	1.93
02.03.24	Millwall – Watford	1–0 (1–0)	2.38	3.30	3.00	2.10	1.70
24.02.24	Watford – Huddersfield	1–2 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	1.98	1.88
17.02.24	Rotherham – Watford	0–1 (0–0)	4.33	3.50	1.85	2.05	1.75
13.02.24	Norwich – Watford	4–2 (2–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	1.93	1.93
10.02.24	Watford – Leicester	1–2 (0–1)	4.50	4.00	1.70	1.75	2.05
03.02.24	Watford – Cardiff	0–1 (0–1)	1.83	3.60	4.33	2.03	1.83
31.01.24	Sheffield Weds – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.30	2.63	2.00	1.85
20.01.24	Bristol City – Watford	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.25	3.00	2.08	1.73

Birmingham at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.03.24	Birmingham – Middlesbrough	0–1 (0–1)	2.80	3.60	2.40	1.80	2.00
02.03.24	Birmingham – Southampton	3–4 (2–1)	4.00	3.80	1.85	1.62	2.25
17.02.24	Birmingham – Sunderland	2–1 (0–1)	2.80	3.30	2.55	2.03	1.83
13.02.24	Birmingham – Blackburn	1–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.60	3.00	1.57	2.35
13.01.24	Birmingham – Swansea	2–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.50	3.10	1.80	2.00
29.12.23	Birmingham – Bristol City	0–0 (0–0)	2.75	3.30	2.55	2.05	1.75
26.12.23	Birmingham – Stoke	1–3 (0–2)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.05	1.75
18.12.23	Birmingham – Leicester	2–3 (1–2)	6.00	3.80	1.60	1.75	2.05
02.12.23	Birmingham – Rotherham	0–0 (0–0)	1.60	3.80	6.00	1.88	1.98
25.11.23	Birmingham – Sheffield Weds	2–1 (1–1)	2.15	3.25	3.50	2.25	1.62

Watford away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.03.24	Millwall – Watford	1–0 (1–0)	2.38	3.30	3.00	2.10	1.70
17.02.24	Rotherham – Watford	0–1 (0–0)	4.33	3.50	1.85	2.05	1.75
13.02.24	Norwich – Watford	4–2 (2–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	1.93	1.93
31.01.24	Sheffield Weds – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.30	2.63	2.00	1.85
20.01.24	Bristol City – Watford	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.25	3.00	2.08	1.73
14.01.24	QPR – Watford	1–2 (0–0)	3.00	3.25	2.45	2.15	1.67
01.01.24	Plymouth – Watford	3–3 (3–2)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.67	2.15
23.12.23	Blackburn – Watford	1–2 (1–0)	2.25	3.40	3.20	1.73	2.08
16.12.23	Preston – Watford	1–5 (1–1)	2.80	3.30	2.55	2.25	1.62
02.12.23	Hull – Watford	1–2 (1–1)	2.10	3.60	3.30	2.08	1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

Birmingham winsDrawsWatford wins

3matches

2.33goals / match

33%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.09.23E1	Watford – Birmingham	2–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.30	4.00	2.10	1.73
14.03.23E1	Watford – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	1.83	3.60	4.33	2.38	1.57
16.08.22E1	Birmingham – Watford	1–1 (1–0)	3.60	3.40	2.00	2.10	1.72

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	37	26	4	7	74	33	+41	82
2	Leeds	37	24	7	6	68	28	+40	79
3	Ipswich	37	23	9	5	74	49	+25	78
4	Southampton	36	22	7	7	73	47	+26	73
5	West Brom	37	18	9	10	57	36	+21	63
6	Norwich	37	17	7	13	66	54	+12	58
7	Hull	37	16	10	11	53	46	+7	58
8	Coventry	37	15	12	10	59	43	+16	57
9	Middlesbrough	37	16	5	16	53	52	+1	53
10	Preston	36	15	8	13	48	54	-6	53
11	Cardiff	38	16	5	17	43	51	-8	53
12	Sunderland	37	14	5	18	48	45	+3	47
13	Bristol City	37	13	8	16	42	43	-1	47
14	Swansea	38	12	10	16	48	58	-10	46
15	Watford	37	11	12	14	52	51	+1	45
16	Millwall	37	11	10	16	36	48	-12	43
17	Plymouth	37	10	11	16	54	61	-7	41
18	Blackburn	37	11	8	18	51	64	-13	41
19	Stoke	37	11	8	18	35	50	-15	41
20	QPR	37	10	9	18	36	50	-14	39
21	Birmingham	37	10	9	18	42	58	-16	39
22	Huddersfield	37	8	14	15	42	61	-19	38
23	Sheffield Weds	37	11	5	21	30	55	-25	38
24	Rotherham	37	3	10	24	30	77	-47	19

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	18	14	4	0	39	12	+27	46
2	Ipswich	18	13	4	1	47	29	+18	43
3	Norwich	19	13	2	4	37	18	+19	41
4	Leicester	18	13	1	4	35	13	+22	40
5	West Brom	18	12	3	3	29	14	+15	39
6	Southampton	18	12	2	4	45	24	+21	38
7	Coventry	18	8	8	2	29	17	+12	32
8	Preston	19	9	4	6	28	31	-3	31
9	Sunderland	18	10	0	8	29	22	+7	30
10	Cardiff	19	9	3	7	23	22	+1	30
11	Hull	19	7	7	5	27	20	+7	28
12	Plymouth	18	8	4	6	38	32	+6	28
13	Birmingham	18	7	6	5	26	23	+3	27
14	Bristol City	19	8	3	8	22	20	+2	27
15	Sheffield Weds	19	7	4	8	20	23	-3	25
16	Middlesbrough	18	7	3	8	20	21	-1	24
17	Blackburn	19	6	5	8	26	30	-4	23
18	Swansea	19	6	5	8	22	26	-4	23
19	Huddersfield	19	5	7	7	23	28	-5	22
20	Stoke	18	6	4	8	14	21	-7	22
21	Millwall	19	6	4	9	16	27	-11	22
22	Watford	19	5	6	8	29	26	+3	21
23	QPR	19	4	6	9	21	29	-8	18
24	Rotherham	18	3	6	9	17	24	-7	15

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	19	13	3	3	39	20	+19	42
2	Ipswich	19	10	5	4	27	20	+7	35
3	Southampton	18	10	5	3	28	23	+5	35
4	Leeds	19	10	3	6	29	16	+13	33
5	Hull	18	9	3	6	26	26	0	30
6	Middlesbrough	19	9	2	8	33	31	+2	29
7	Coventry	19	7	4	8	30	26	+4	25
8	West Brom	19	6	6	7	28	22	+6	24
9	Watford	18	6	6	6	23	25	-2	24
10	Swansea	19	6	5	8	26	32	-6	23
11	Cardiff	19	7	2	10	20	29	-9	23
12	Preston	17	6	4	7	20	23	-3	22
13	Millwall	18	5	6	7	20	21	-1	21
14	QPR	18	6	3	9	15	21	-6	21
15	Bristol City	18	5	5	8	20	23	-3	20
16	Stoke	19	5	4	10	21	29	-8	19
17	Blackburn	18	5	3	10	25	34	-9	18
18	Sunderland	19	4	5	10	19	23	-4	17
19	Norwich	18	4	5	9	29	36	-7	17
20	Huddersfield	18	3	7	8	19	33	-14	16
21	Plymouth	19	2	7	10	16	29	-13	13
22	Sheffield Weds	18	4	1	13	10	32	-22	13
23	Birmingham	19	3	3	13	16	35	-19	12
24	Rotherham	19	0	4	15	13	53	-40	4

Birmingham Watford

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Blackburn	37	11	26	1.4	1.7	11	8	18	51	64	41
2	3	Ipswich	37	13	24	2.0	1.3	23	9	5	74	49	78
3	4	Southampton	36	13	23	2.0	1.3	22	7	7	73	47	73
4	6	Norwich	37	14	23	1.8	1.5	17	7	13	66	54	58
5	14	Swansea	38	15	23	1.3	1.5	12	10	16	48	58	46
6	17	Plymouth	37	14	23	1.5	1.6	10	11	16	54	61	41
7	1	Leicester	37	15	22	2.0	0.9	26	4	7	74	33	82
8	10	Preston	36	14	22	1.3	1.5	15	8	13	48	54	53
9	7	Hull	37	16	21	1.4	1.2	16	10	11	53	46	58
10	8	Coventry	37	16	21	1.6	1.2	15	12	10	59	43	57
11	9	Middlesbrough	37	17	20	1.4	1.4	16	5	16	53	52	53
12	12	Sunderland	37	17	20	1.3	1.2	14	5	18	48	45	47
13	24	Rotherham	37	17	20	0.8	2.1	3	10	24	30	77	19
14	2	Leeds	37	18	19	1.8	0.8	24	7	6	68	28	79
15	15	Watford	37	18	19	1.4	1.4	11	12	14	52	51	45
16	11	Cardiff	38	20	18	1.1	1.3	16	5	17	43	51	53
17	21	Birmingham	37	19	18	1.1	1.6	10	9	18	42	58	39
18	22	Huddersfield	37	19	18	1.1	1.6	8	14	15	42	61	38
19	5	West Brom	37	20	17	1.5	1.0	18	9	10	57	36	63
20	20	QPR	37	20	17	1.0	1.4	10	9	18	36	50	39
21	23	Sheffield Weds	37	20	17	0.8	1.5	11	5	21	30	55	38
22	13	Bristol City	37	22	15	1.1	1.2	13	8	16	42	43	47
23	16	Millwall	37	22	15	1.0	1.3	11	10	16	36	48	43
24	19	Stoke	37	22	15	0.9	1.4	11	8	18	35	50	41

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Ipswich	18	3	15	2.6	1.6	13	4	1	47	29	43
2	4	Southampton	18	4	14	2.5	1.3	12	2	4	45	24	38
3	10	Preston	19	5	14	1.5	1.6	9	4	6	28	31	31
4	17	Plymouth	18	4	14	2.1	1.8	8	4	6	38	32	28
5	2	Leeds	18	6	12	2.2	0.7	14	4	0	39	12	46
6	12	Sunderland	18	6	12	1.6	1.2	10	0	8	29	22	30
7	18	Blackburn	19	7	12	1.4	1.6	6	5	8	26	30	23
8	14	Swansea	19	8	11	1.2	1.4	6	5	8	22	26	23
9	15	Watford	19	8	11	1.5	1.4	5	6	8	29	26	21
10	1	Leicester	18	8	10	1.9	0.7	13	1	4	35	13	40
11	6	Norwich	19	9	10	1.9	0.9	13	2	4	37	18	41
12	20	QPR	19	9	10	1.1	1.5	4	6	9	21	29	18
13	21	Birmingham	18	8	10	1.4	1.3	7	6	5	26	23	27
14	22	Huddersfield	19	9	10	1.2	1.5	5	7	7	23	28	22
15	23	Sheffield Weds	19	10	9	1.1	1.2	7	4	8	20	23	25
16	7	Hull	19	11	8	1.4	1.1	7	7	5	27	20	28
17	8	Coventry	18	10	8	1.6	0.9	8	8	2	29	17	32
18	11	Cardiff	19	11	8	1.2	1.2	9	3	7	23	22	30
19	16	Millwall	19	11	8	0.8	1.4	6	4	9	16	27	22
20	5	West Brom	18	11	7	1.6	0.8	12	3	3	29	14	39
21	24	Rotherham	18	11	7	0.9	1.3	3	6	9	17	24	15
22	9	Middlesbrough	18	12	6	1.1	1.2	7	3	8	20	21	24
23	13	Bristol City	19	13	6	1.2	1.1	8	3	8	22	20	27
24	19	Stoke	18	12	6	0.8	1.2	6	4	8	14	21	22

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Middlesbrough	19	5	14	1.7	1.6	9	2	8	33	31	29
2	18	Blackburn	18	4	14	1.4	1.9	5	3	10	25	34	18
3	6	Norwich	18	5	13	1.6	2.0	4	5	9	29	36	17
4	7	Hull	18	5	13	1.4	1.4	9	3	6	26	26	30
5	8	Coventry	19	6	13	1.6	1.4	7	4	8	30	26	25
6	24	Rotherham	19	6	13	0.7	2.8	0	4	15	13	53	4
7	1	Leicester	19	7	12	2.1	1.1	13	3	3	39	20	42
8	14	Swansea	19	7	12	1.4	1.7	6	5	8	26	32	23
9	5	West Brom	19	9	10	1.5	1.2	6	6	7	28	22	24
10	11	Cardiff	19	9	10	1.1	1.5	7	2	10	20	29	23
11	3	Ipswich	19	10	9	1.4	1.1	10	5	4	27	20	35
12	4	Southampton	18	9	9	1.6	1.3	10	5	3	28	23	35
13	13	Bristol City	18	9	9	1.1	1.3	5	5	8	20	23	20
14	17	Plymouth	19	10	9	0.8	1.5	2	7	10	16	29	13
15	19	Stoke	19	10	9	1.1	1.5	5	4	10	21	29	19
16	10	Preston	17	9	8	1.2	1.4	6	4	7	20	23	22
17	12	Sunderland	19	11	8	1.0	1.2	4	5	10	19	23	17
18	15	Watford	18	10	8	1.3	1.4	6	6	6	23	25	24
19	21	Birmingham	19	11	8	0.8	1.8	3	3	13	16	35	12
20	22	Huddersfield	18	10	8	1.1	1.8	3	7	8	19	33	16
21	23	Sheffield Weds	18	10	8	0.6	1.8	4	1	13	10	32	13
22	2	Leeds	19	12	7	1.5	0.8	10	3	6	29	16	33
23	16	Millwall	18	11	7	1.1	1.2	5	6	7	20	21	21
24	20	QPR	18	11	7	0.8	1.2	6	3	9	15	21	21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.