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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: M Donohue

Luton 1–0 Cardiff

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.85 fair 2.06
Draw 3.50 fair 4.03
Away 4.20 fair 3.75
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.03 fair 2.05
Over 2.5 1.83 fair 1.95

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Cardiff
8 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 6
12 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (165 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.60 – 1.12
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawCardiff
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 1–0 10.5% 2–1 9.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
0.92points / match
1.15scored / match
1.62conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 15:21
Cardiff before this match, all matches
1.15points / match
1.00scored / match
1.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 13:19
Luton all matches all matches Cardiff

Per match

1.15 Goals scored 1.00
1.62 Goals conceded 1.46
2.77 Total goals 2.46
12.46 Shots 12.31
4.00 Shots on target 4.38
13.31 Shots faced 12.31
7.38 Corners 5.08
4.77 Corners against 4.92
13.15 Fouls 11.85
2.23 Yellow cards 2.08
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.46
0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

23% Wins 31%
23% Draws 23%
54% Losses 46%
92% Over 0.5 goals 92%
77% Over 1.5 goals 77%
62% Over 2.5 goals 31%
31% Over 3.5 goals 23%
15% Over 4.5 goals 23%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
62% Both teams scored 31%
23% Clean sheets 31%
23% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 23%
23% Draws 31%
38% Losses 46%
77% Over 0.5 goals 69%
23% Over 1.5 goals 31%
8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Cardiff all matches
Luton before this match, at home
1.14points / match
1.57scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 11:12
Cardiff before this match, away
0.50points / match
0.50scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 3:12
Luton at home away Cardiff

Per match

1.57 Goals scored 0.50
1.71 Goals conceded 2.00
3.29 Total goals 2.50
13.29 Shots 10.50
4.14 Shots on target 2.83
11.57 Shots faced 13.83
7.00 Corners 4.67
4.29 Corners against 5.67
13.14 Fouls 12.00
2.14 Yellow cards 2.33
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.17
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

29% Wins 0%
29% Draws 50%
43% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
86% Over 2.5 goals 33%
29% Over 3.5 goals 33%
14% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
86% Both teams scored 50%
14% Clean sheets 17%
0% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 0%
29% Draws 33%
29% Losses 67%
71% Over 0.5 goals 67%
29% Over 1.5 goals 33%
14% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Cardiff away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.24 Luton – West Brom 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.50 2.00 1.85
26.10.24 Coventry – Luton 3–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.20 1.83 2.03
23.10.24 Luton – Sunderland 1–2 (0–0) 2.553.302.75 1.98 1.88
19.10.24 Luton – Watford 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.204.00 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Sheffield United – Luton 2–0 (1–0) 1.903.703.90 1.90 1.95
01.10.24 Luton – Oxford 2–2 (2–1) 1.673.904.50 1.88 1.98
27.09.24 Plymouth – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 4.003.701.85 1.62 2.30
21.09.24 Luton – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 1.85 2.00
14.09.24 Millwall – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 2.00 1.80
30.08.24 Luton – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.503.70 1.75 2.05

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 Cardiff – Norwich 2–1 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 1.73 2.10
26.10.24 West Brom – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 1.653.905.00 2.03 1.83
22.10.24 Cardiff – Portsmouth 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.20 1.98 1.88
19.10.24 Cardiff – Plymouth 5–0 (2–0) 2.053.503.50 1.83 2.03
06.10.24 Bristol City – Cardiff 1–1 (0–0) 1.753.904.20 2.00 1.85
01.10.24 Cardiff – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.202.40 2.63 1.50
28.09.24 Hull – Cardiff 4–1 (2–1) 1.854.103.50 1.93 1.93
21.09.24 Cardiff – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 5.254.001.62 1.93 1.93
14.09.24 Derby – Cardiff 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.403.00 2.10 1.73
31.08.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 3.903.751.85 1.90 1.95

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.24 Luton – West Brom 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.50 2.00 1.85
23.10.24 Luton – Sunderland 1–2 (0–0) 2.553.302.75 1.98 1.88
19.10.24 Luton – Watford 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.204.00 1.73 2.10
01.10.24 Luton – Oxford 2–2 (2–1) 1.673.904.50 1.88 1.98
21.09.24 Luton – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 1.85 2.00
30.08.24 Luton – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.503.70 1.75 2.05
12.08.24 Luton – Burnley 1–4 (0–2) 2.383.402.88 1.88 1.98
19.05.24E0 Luton – Fulham 2–4 (1–2) 2.903.902.20 1.44 2.75
03.05.24E0 Luton – Everton 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.602.55 1.73 2.10
20.04.24E0 Luton – Brentford 1–5 (0–2) 3.103.752.15 1.57 2.38

Cardiff away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24 West Brom – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 1.653.905.00 2.03 1.83
06.10.24 Bristol City – Cardiff 1–1 (0–0) 1.753.904.20 2.00 1.85
28.09.24 Hull – Cardiff 4–1 (2–1) 1.854.103.50 1.93 1.93
14.09.24 Derby – Cardiff 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.403.00 2.10 1.73
25.08.24 Swansea – Cardiff 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.503.90 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 Burnley – Cardiff 5–0 (2–0) 1.454.207.00 1.73 2.08
04.05.24 Rotherham – Cardiff 5–2 (2–1) 3.403.402.20 2.10 1.73
13.04.24 Millwall – Cardiff 3–1 (2–1) 1.833.304.75 2.50 1.53
10.04.24 Birmingham – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 2.10 1.73
01.04.24 Coventry – Cardiff 1–2 (1–1) 1.534.206.25 1.75 2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Luton winsDrawsCardiff wins
4matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.23E1 Luton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.404.20 2.30 1.62
30.08.22E1 Cardiff – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.553.202.90 2.50 1.53
18.04.22E1 Cardiff – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.873.102.62 2.20 1.66
27.11.21E1 Luton – Cardiff 1–2 (0–1) 1.903.504.00 2.05 1.80

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 14 9 3 2 18 7 +11 30
2 Sunderland 13 9 2 2 23 9 +14 29
3 Leeds 14 7 5 2 22 9 +13 26
4 Burnley 13 6 5 2 17 6 +11 23
5 Millwall 14 6 4 4 17 12 +5 22
6 Watford 14 7 1 6 22 22 0 22
7 West Brom 13 5 6 2 14 8 +6 21
8 Middlesbrough 14 6 3 5 18 16 +2 21
9 Swansea 14 5 4 5 11 9 +2 19
10 Blackburn 14 5 4 5 16 16 0 19
11 Bristol City 14 4 7 3 18 19 -1 19
12 Norwich 14 4 6 4 23 20 +3 18
13 Derby 14 5 3 6 18 18 0 18
14 Stoke 14 5 3 6 17 18 -1 18
15 Sheffield Weds 14 5 3 6 17 24 -7 18
16 Oxford 14 4 5 5 17 17 0 17
17 Coventry 14 4 3 7 18 19 -1 15
18 Hull 14 3 6 5 15 18 -3 15
19 Cardiff 13 4 3 6 13 19 -6 15
20 Plymouth 14 4 3 7 14 25 -11 15
21 Preston 13 3 5 5 14 20 -6 14
22 Luton 13 3 3 7 15 21 -6 12
23 QPR 14 1 7 6 12 23 -11 10
24 Portsmouth 14 1 6 7 13 27 -14 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 7 5 1 1 15 5 +10 16
2 Sunderland 6 5 1 0 12 2 +10 16
3 Watford 6 5 1 0 11 4 +7 16
4 Sheffield United 6 5 1 0 9 2 +7 16
5 Millwall 8 5 1 2 12 6 +6 16
6 Blackburn 8 5 1 2 12 7 +5 16
7 Oxford 8 4 3 1 10 5 +5 15
8 Plymouth 7 4 2 1 13 9 +4 14
9 Derby 6 4 1 1 10 4 +6 13
10 Burnley 6 3 3 0 9 2 +7 12
11 Swansea 7 3 3 1 7 3 +4 12
12 Cardiff 7 4 0 3 10 7 +3 12
13 Stoke 7 3 2 2 14 10 +4 11
14 Preston 7 3 2 2 8 7 +1 11
15 Sheffield Weds 8 3 2 3 12 13 -1 11
16 Middlesbrough 7 3 2 2 7 8 -1 11
17 Norwich 6 2 4 0 15 8 +7 10
18 Bristol City 7 2 4 1 9 8 +1 10
19 Coventry 7 3 0 4 12 11 +1 9
20 West Brom 6 2 3 1 2 1 +1 9
21 Luton 7 2 2 3 11 12 -1 8
22 Hull 7 1 4 2 7 7 0 7
23 QPR 8 0 4 4 7 15 -8 4
24 Portsmouth 6 0 3 3 3 9 -6 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 8 4 2 2 9 5 +4 14
2 Sunderland 7 4 1 2 11 7 +4 13
3 West Brom 7 3 3 1 12 7 +5 12
4 Burnley 7 3 2 2 8 4 +4 11
5 Middlesbrough 7 3 1 3 11 8 +3 10
6 Leeds 7 2 4 1 7 4 +3 10
7 Bristol City 7 2 3 2 9 11 -2 9
8 Hull 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8
9 Norwich 8 2 2 4 8 12 -4 8
10 Swansea 7 2 1 4 4 6 -2 7
11 Stoke 7 2 1 4 3 8 -5 7
12 Sheffield Weds 6 2 1 3 5 11 -6 7
13 Millwall 6 1 3 2 5 6 -1 6
14 Coventry 7 1 3 3 6 8 -2 6
15 QPR 6 1 3 2 5 8 -3 6
16 Watford 8 2 0 6 11 18 -7 6
17 Portsmouth 8 1 3 4 10 18 -8 6
18 Derby 8 1 2 5 8 14 -6 5
19 Luton 6 1 1 4 4 9 -5 4
20 Blackburn 6 0 3 3 4 9 -5 3
21 Preston 6 0 3 3 6 13 -7 3
22 Cardiff 6 0 3 3 3 12 -9 3
23 Oxford 6 0 2 4 7 12 -5 2
24 Plymouth 7 0 1 6 1 16 -15 1

Luton   Cardiff

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Watford 14 4 10 1.6 1.6 7 1 6 22 22 22
2 15 Sheffield Weds 14 6 8 1.2 1.7 5 3 6 17 24 18
3 17 Coventry 14 6 8 1.3 1.4 4 3 7 18 19 15
4 22 Luton 13 5 8 1.2 1.6 3 3 7 15 21 12
5 24 Portsmouth 14 6 8 0.9 1.9 1 6 7 13 27 9
6 11 Bristol City 14 7 7 1.3 1.4 4 7 3 18 19 19
7 12 Norwich 14 7 7 1.6 1.4 4 6 4 23 20 18
8 20 Plymouth 14 7 7 1.0 1.8 4 3 7 14 25 15
9 21 Preston 13 6 7 1.1 1.5 3 5 5 14 20 14
10 2 Sunderland 13 7 6 1.8 0.7 9 2 2 23 9 29
11 10 Blackburn 14 8 6 1.1 1.1 5 4 5 16 16 19
12 13 Derby 14 8 6 1.3 1.3 5 3 6 18 18 18
13 14 Stoke 14 8 6 1.2 1.3 5 3 6 17 18 18
14 16 Oxford 14 8 6 1.2 1.2 4 5 5 17 17 17
15 23 QPR 14 8 6 0.9 1.6 1 7 6 12 23 10
16 3 Leeds 14 9 5 1.6 0.6 7 5 2 22 9 26
17 8 Middlesbrough 14 9 5 1.3 1.1 6 3 5 18 16 21
18 5 Millwall 14 10 4 1.2 0.9 6 4 4 17 12 22
19 7 West Brom 13 9 4 1.1 0.6 5 6 2 14 8 21
20 18 Hull 14 10 4 1.1 1.3 3 6 5 15 18 15
21 19 Cardiff 13 9 4 1.0 1.5 4 3 6 13 19 15
22 4 Burnley 13 10 3 1.3 0.5 6 5 2 17 6 23
23 9 Swansea 14 11 3 0.8 0.6 5 4 5 11 9 19
24 1 Sheffield United 14 12 2 1.3 0.5 9 3 2 18 7 30
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Coventry 7 1 6 1.7 1.6 3 0 4 12 11 9
2 22 Luton 7 1 6 1.6 1.7 2 2 3 11 12 8
3 14 Stoke 7 2 5 2.0 1.4 3 2 2 14 10 11
4 3 Leeds 7 3 4 2.1 0.7 5 1 1 15 5 16
5 6 Watford 6 2 4 1.8 0.7 5 1 0 11 4 16
6 12 Norwich 6 2 4 2.5 1.3 2 4 0 15 8 10
7 20 Plymouth 7 3 4 1.9 1.3 4 2 1 13 9 14
8 23 QPR 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 0 4 4 7 15 4
9 5 Millwall 8 5 3 1.5 0.8 5 1 2 12 6 16
10 10 Blackburn 8 5 3 1.5 0.9 5 1 2 12 7 16
11 11 Bristol City 7 4 3 1.3 1.1 2 4 1 9 8 10
12 15 Sheffield Weds 8 5 3 1.5 1.6 3 2 3 12 13 11
13 21 Preston 7 4 3 1.1 1.0 3 2 2 8 7 11
14 24 Portsmouth 6 3 3 0.5 1.5 0 3 3 3 9 3
15 2 Sunderland 6 4 2 2.0 0.3 5 1 0 12 2 16
16 4 Burnley 6 4 2 1.5 0.3 3 3 0 9 2 12
17 8 Middlesbrough 7 5 2 1.0 1.1 3 2 2 7 8 11
18 13 Derby 6 4 2 1.7 0.7 4 1 1 10 4 13
19 16 Oxford 8 6 2 1.2 0.6 4 3 1 10 5 15
20 19 Cardiff 7 5 2 1.4 1.0 4 0 3 10 7 12
21 1 Sheffield United 6 5 1 1.5 0.3 5 1 0 9 2 16
22 9 Swansea 7 6 1 1.0 0.4 3 3 1 7 3 12
23 18 Hull 7 6 1 1.0 1.0 1 4 2 7 7 7
24 7 West Brom 6 6 0 0.3 0.2 2 3 1 2 1 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Watford 8 2 6 1.4 2.2 2 0 6 11 18 6
2 15 Sheffield Weds 6 1 5 0.8 1.8 2 1 3 5 11 7
3 24 Portsmouth 8 3 5 1.2 2.2 1 3 4 10 18 6
4 2 Sunderland 7 3 4 1.6 1.0 4 1 2 11 7 13
5 7 West Brom 7 3 4 1.7 1.0 3 3 1 12 7 12
6 11 Bristol City 7 3 4 1.3 1.6 2 3 2 9 11 9
7 13 Derby 8 4 4 1.0 1.8 1 2 5 8 14 5
8 16 Oxford 6 2 4 1.2 2.0 0 2 4 7 12 2
9 21 Preston 6 2 4 1.0 2.2 0 3 3 6 13 3
10 8 Middlesbrough 7 4 3 1.6 1.1 3 1 3 11 8 10
11 10 Blackburn 6 3 3 0.7 1.5 0 3 3 4 9 3
12 12 Norwich 8 5 3 1.0 1.5 2 2 4 8 12 8
13 18 Hull 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 2 2 3 8 11 8
14 20 Plymouth 7 4 3 0.1 2.3 0 1 6 1 16 1
15 9 Swansea 7 5 2 0.6 0.9 2 1 4 4 6 7
16 17 Coventry 7 5 2 0.9 1.1 1 3 3 6 8 6
17 19 Cardiff 6 4 2 0.5 2.0 0 3 3 3 12 3
18 22 Luton 6 4 2 0.7 1.5 1 1 4 4 9 4
19 23 QPR 6 4 2 0.8 1.3 1 3 2 5 8 6
20 1 Sheffield United 8 7 1 1.1 0.6 4 2 2 9 5 14
21 3 Leeds 7 6 1 1.0 0.6 2 4 1 7 4 10
22 4 Burnley 7 6 1 1.1 0.6 3 2 2 8 4 11
23 5 Millwall 6 5 1 0.8 1.0 1 3 2 5 6 6
24 14 Stoke 7 6 1 0.4 1.1 2 1 4 3 8 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51