Watford 2–0 Luton – England Championship, 23 Feb 2025

Match facts

Watford Luton

10 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 2

4 Corners 6

13 Fouls 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (404 league matches this season so far).

Result Watford to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.92

Expected goals 1.79 – 0.98

Home / Draw / Away

56% 23% 21%

WatfordDrawLuton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

48% 52%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

48% 52%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

15% 4

15% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 11.2% 1–1 11% 2–0 10%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches

1.36points / match

1.30scored / match

1.45conceded / match

13 6 14

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 43:48

Luton before this match, all matches

0.85points / match

0.94scored / match

1.61conceded / match

7 7 19

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 31:53

Watford all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.30 Goals scored 0.94

1.45 Goals conceded 1.61

2.76 Total goals 2.55

11.33 Shots 11.21

3.85 Shots on target 3.45

13.48 Shots faced 12.73

5.06 Corners 6.03

5.33 Corners against 4.88

12.45 Fouls 12.27

2.15 Yellow cards 1.88

0.39 1st-half goals scored 0.48

0.76 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

39% Wins 21%

18% Draws 21%

42% Losses 58%

97% Over 0.5 goals 94%

76% Over 1.5 goals 70%

64% Over 2.5 goals 48%

21% Over 3.5 goals 21%

9% Over 4.5 goals 15%

3% Over 5.5 goals 6%

61% Both teams scored 55%

21% Clean sheets 18%

21% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 27%

39% Draws 42%

42% Losses 30%

73% Over 0.5 goals 67%

30% Over 1.5 goals 33%

12% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches

1

3

L

1

2

L

1

D

2

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

L

2

D

4

L

1

W

Luton all matches

1

2

L

1

L

1

2

L

D

2

3

L

1

L

1

D

2

L

1

L

1

D

Watford before this match, at home

1.81points / match

1.25scored / match

1.06conceded / match

9 2 5

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 20:17

Luton before this match, away

0.31points / match

0.75scored / match

2.13conceded / match

1 2 13

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 12:34

Watford at home away Luton

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 0.75

1.06 Goals conceded 2.13

2.31 Total goals 2.88

12.13 Shots 9.50

4.19 Shots on target 3.06

12.44 Shots faced 14.38

5.50 Corners 4.88

4.50 Corners against 5.56

11.81 Fouls 12.63

2.19 Yellow cards 2.13

0.31 1st-half goals scored 0.56

0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.94

How often Full Time

56% Wins 6%

13% Draws 13%

31% Losses 81%

94% Over 0.5 goals 94%

69% Over 1.5 goals 75%

63% Over 2.5 goals 50%

6% Over 3.5 goals 31%

0% Over 4.5 goals 25%

0% Over 5.5 goals 13%

56% Both teams scored 50%

31% Clean sheets 13%

19% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 25%

50% Draws 25%

38% Losses 50%

63% Over 0.5 goals 88%

25% Over 1.5 goals 50%

13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home

1

W

1

W

D

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

L

4

L

Luton away

1

5

L

3

L

2

4

L

2

L

1

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

3

L

1

D

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.02.25	Middlesbrough – Watford	0–1 (0–1)	1.60	3.90	5.50	1.62	2.30
11.02.25	Watford – Leeds	0–4 (0–3)	10.00	4.75	1.33	1.73	2.10
08.02.25	Sunderland – Watford	2–2 (1–1)	1.50	4.33	5.75	1.83	2.03
01.02.25	Watford – Norwich	0–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.30	2.63	1.88	1.98
25.01.25	Coventry – Watford	2–1 (1–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	1.83	2.03
21.01.25	Watford – Preston	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.20	1.67
18.01.25	Derby – Watford	0–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.73
14.01.25	Cardiff – Watford	1–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.30	3.20	2.10	1.73
04.01.25	Watford – Sheffield United	1–2 (1–1)	2.75	3.50	2.40	2.10	1.73
01.01.25	QPR – Watford	3–1 (2–0)	2.55	3.40	2.70	2.00	1.80

Luton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.02.25	Luton – Plymouth	1–1 (0–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	2.00	1.80
15.02.25	Luton – Sheffield United	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.50	2.15	2.20	1.67
12.02.25	Sunderland – Luton	2–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.80	5.00	2.00	1.85
01.02.25	Sheffield Weds – Luton	1–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.25	3.70	2.20	1.67
25.01.25	Luton – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.25	2.63	1.50
21.01.25	Oxford – Luton	3–2 (1–2)	2.90	3.20	2.50	2.30	1.62
18.01.25	Luton – Preston	0–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.50	2.20	1.67
06.01.25	QPR – Luton	2–1 (1–1)	2.40	3.25	2.90	2.20	1.67
01.01.25	Luton – Norwich	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	3.40	2.70	1.93	1.93
29.12.24	Swansea – Luton	2–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.50	3.10	2.03	1.83

Watford at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.02.25	Watford – Leeds	0–4 (0–3)	10.00	4.75	1.33	1.73	2.10
01.02.25	Watford – Norwich	0–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.30	2.63	1.88	1.98
21.01.25	Watford – Preston	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.20	1.67
04.01.25	Watford – Sheffield United	1–2 (1–1)	2.75	3.50	2.40	2.10	1.73
29.12.24	Watford – Cardiff	1–2 (1–2)	1.95	3.40	3.90	1.88	1.98
26.12.24	Watford – Portsmouth	2–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.33	1.85	2.00
15.12.24	Watford – West Brom	2–1 (1–0)	2.75	3.25	2.55	2.10	1.73
30.11.24	Watford – QPR	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.60	4.00	1.93	1.93
26.11.24	Watford – Bristol City	1–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	3.25	2.00	1.85
08.11.24	Watford – Oxford	1–0 (0–0)	1.67	3.70	5.00	1.93	1.93

Luton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.02.25	Sunderland – Luton	2–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.80	5.00	2.00	1.85
01.02.25	Sheffield Weds – Luton	1–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.25	3.70	2.20	1.67
21.01.25	Oxford – Luton	3–2 (1–2)	2.90	3.20	2.50	2.30	1.62
06.01.25	QPR – Luton	2–1 (1–1)	2.40	3.25	2.90	2.20	1.67
29.12.24	Swansea – Luton	2–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.50	3.10	2.03	1.83
26.12.24	Bristol City – Luton	1–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.40	3.10	2.05	1.80
14.12.24	Blackburn – Luton	2–0 (2–0)	2.15	3.40	3.30	2.00	1.80
30.11.24	Norwich – Luton	4–2 (2–1)	2.00	3.70	3.40	1.80	2.00
27.11.24	Leeds – Luton	3–0 (2–0)	1.42	4.20	8.00	1.80	2.00
09.11.24	Middlesbrough – Luton	5–1 (2–0)	1.73	4.00	4.33	1.73	2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

Watford winsDrawsLuton wins

3matches

3.00goals / match

67%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.10.24E1	Luton – Watford	3–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.20	4.00	1.73	2.10
01.04.23E1	Luton – Watford	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.25	3.60	2.38	1.57
23.10.22E1	Watford – Luton	4–0 (2–0)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.72

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	33	21	9	3	68	20	+48	72
2	Sheffield United	33	22	6	5	47	23	+24	72
3	Burnley	34	18	14	2	43	9	+34	68
4	Sunderland	34	17	11	6	50	31	+19	62
5	West Brom	34	12	15	7	44	31	+13	51
6	Blackburn	34	15	6	13	39	34	+5	51
7	Coventry	34	14	8	12	46	42	+4	50
8	Bristol City	34	12	13	9	43	38	+5	49
9	Norwich	34	12	11	11	55	47	+8	47
10	Millwall	34	11	12	11	34	34	0	45
11	Watford	33	13	6	14	43	48	-5	45
12	Sheffield Weds	34	12	9	13	46	54	-8	45
13	Middlesbrough	33	12	8	13	51	45	+6	44
14	QPR	34	11	11	12	40	43	-3	44
15	Preston	34	9	15	10	36	41	-5	42
16	Swansea	34	11	7	16	37	46	-9	40
17	Portsmouth	34	10	9	15	43	56	-13	39
18	Oxford	34	9	11	14	34	49	-15	38
19	Stoke	33	8	11	14	33	44	-11	35
20	Hull	33	8	9	16	33	43	-10	33
21	Cardiff	33	7	12	14	36	55	-19	33
22	Plymouth	34	6	12	16	36	68	-32	30
23	Derby	34	7	8	19	33	47	-14	29
24	Luton	33	7	7	19	31	53	-22	28

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	17	14	2	1	44	8	+36	44
2	Sheffield United	16	12	2	2	24	10	+14	38
3	Sunderland	17	10	6	1	28	13	+15	36
4	Burnley	17	9	8	0	22	4	+18	35
5	Bristol City	17	9	5	3	25	13	+12	32
6	Blackburn	17	10	2	5	24	14	+10	32
7	West Brom	17	8	7	2	23	11	+12	31
8	Norwich	17	8	6	3	41	23	+18	30
9	Coventry	17	9	3	5	28	20	+8	30
10	Portsmouth	17	8	5	4	26	16	+10	29
11	Watford	16	9	2	5	20	17	+3	29
12	Oxford	17	8	5	4	24	22	+2	29
13	Preston	17	6	9	2	19	14	+5	27
14	Middlesbrough	17	7	5	5	24	19	+5	26
15	QPR	17	7	5	5	26	22	+4	26
16	Millwall	17	7	4	6	19	15	+4	25
17	Plymouth	17	6	7	4	30	28	+2	25
18	Swansea	17	6	5	6	24	19	+5	23
19	Luton	17	6	5	6	19	19	0	23
20	Stoke	16	5	7	4	21	18	+3	22
21	Sheffield Weds	17	5	7	5	26	25	+1	22
22	Derby	17	6	3	8	19	16	+3	21
23	Cardiff	16	6	3	7	19	20	-1	21
24	Hull	17	2	7	8	17	23	-6	13

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	17	10	4	3	23	13	+10	34
2	Burnley	17	9	6	2	21	5	+16	33
3	Leeds	16	7	7	2	24	12	+12	28
4	Sunderland	17	7	5	5	22	18	+4	26
5	Sheffield Weds	17	7	2	8	20	29	-9	23
6	West Brom	17	4	8	5	21	20	+1	20
7	Coventry	17	5	5	7	18	22	-4	20
8	Hull	16	6	2	8	16	20	-4	20
9	Millwall	17	4	8	5	15	19	-4	20
10	Blackburn	17	5	4	8	15	20	-5	19
11	Middlesbrough	16	5	3	8	27	26	+1	18
12	QPR	17	4	6	7	14	21	-7	18
13	Bristol City	17	3	8	6	18	25	-7	17
14	Norwich	17	4	5	8	14	24	-10	17
15	Swansea	17	5	2	10	13	27	-14	17
16	Watford	17	4	4	9	23	31	-8	16
17	Preston	17	3	6	8	17	27	-10	15
18	Stoke	17	3	4	10	12	26	-14	13
19	Cardiff	17	1	9	7	17	35	-18	12
20	Portsmouth	17	2	4	11	17	40	-23	10
21	Oxford	17	1	6	10	10	27	-17	9
22	Derby	17	1	5	11	14	31	-17	8
23	Luton	16	1	2	13	12	34	-22	5
24	Plymouth	17	0	5	12	6	40	-34	5

Watford Luton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Portsmouth	34	11	23	1.3	1.6	10	9	15	43	56	39
2	11	Watford	33	12	21	1.3	1.5	13	6	14	43	48	45
3	12	Sheffield Weds	34	15	19	1.4	1.6	12	9	13	46	54	45
4	7	Coventry	34	16	18	1.4	1.2	14	8	12	46	42	50
5	22	Plymouth	34	16	18	1.1	2.0	6	12	16	36	68	30
6	9	Norwich	34	17	17	1.6	1.4	12	11	11	55	47	47
7	16	Swansea	34	17	17	1.1	1.4	11	7	16	37	46	40
8	4	Sunderland	34	18	16	1.5	0.9	17	11	6	50	31	62
9	13	Middlesbrough	33	17	16	1.5	1.4	12	8	13	51	45	44
10	14	QPR	34	18	16	1.2	1.3	11	11	12	40	43	44
11	24	Luton	33	17	16	0.9	1.6	7	7	19	31	53	28
12	15	Preston	34	19	15	1.1	1.2	9	15	10	36	41	42
13	1	Leeds	33	19	14	2.1	0.6	21	9	3	68	20	72
14	8	Bristol City	34	20	14	1.3	1.1	12	13	9	43	38	49
15	21	Cardiff	33	19	14	1.1	1.7	7	12	14	36	55	33
16	23	Derby	34	20	14	1.0	1.4	7	8	19	33	47	29
17	5	West Brom	34	21	13	1.3	0.9	12	15	7	44	31	51
18	6	Blackburn	34	21	13	1.1	1.0	15	6	13	39	34	51
19	19	Stoke	33	20	13	1.0	1.3	8	11	14	33	44	35
20	18	Oxford	34	22	12	1.0	1.4	9	11	14	34	49	38
21	20	Hull	33	21	12	1.0	1.3	8	9	16	33	43	33
22	2	Sheffield United	33	22	11	1.4	0.7	22	6	5	47	23	72
23	10	Millwall	34	25	9	1.0	1.0	11	12	11	34	34	45
24	3	Burnley	34	27	7	1.3	0.3	18	14	2	43	9	68

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Coventry	17	5	12	1.6	1.2	9	3	5	28	20	30
2	9	Norwich	17	6	11	2.4	1.4	8	6	3	41	23	30
3	17	Portsmouth	17	6	11	1.5	0.9	8	5	4	26	16	29
4	22	Plymouth	17	6	11	1.8	1.6	6	7	4	30	28	25
5	1	Leeds	17	7	10	2.6	0.5	14	2	1	44	8	44
6	11	Watford	16	6	10	1.2	1.1	9	2	5	20	17	29
7	14	QPR	17	7	10	1.5	1.3	7	5	5	26	22	26
8	4	Sunderland	17	9	8	1.6	0.8	10	6	1	28	13	36
9	16	Swansea	17	9	8	1.4	1.1	6	5	6	24	19	23
10	24	Luton	17	9	8	1.1	1.1	6	5	6	19	19	23
11	8	Bristol City	17	10	7	1.5	0.8	9	5	3	25	13	32
12	12	Sheffield Weds	17	10	7	1.5	1.5	5	7	5	26	25	22
13	19	Stoke	16	9	7	1.3	1.1	5	7	4	21	18	22
14	6	Blackburn	17	11	6	1.4	0.8	10	2	5	24	14	32
15	13	Middlesbrough	17	11	6	1.4	1.1	7	5	5	24	19	26
16	18	Oxford	17	11	6	1.4	1.3	8	5	4	24	22	29
17	20	Hull	17	11	6	1.0	1.4	2	7	8	17	23	13
18	23	Derby	17	11	6	1.1	0.9	6	3	8	19	16	21
19	2	Sheffield United	16	11	5	1.5	0.6	12	2	2	24	10	38
20	5	West Brom	17	12	5	1.4	0.6	8	7	2	23	11	31
21	10	Millwall	17	12	5	1.1	0.9	7	4	6	19	15	25
22	15	Preston	17	12	5	1.1	0.8	6	9	2	19	14	27
23	21	Cardiff	16	11	5	1.2	1.2	6	3	7	19	20	21
24	3	Burnley	17	13	4	1.3	0.2	9	8	0	22	4	35

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Sheffield Weds	17	5	12	1.2	1.7	7	2	8	20	29	23
2	17	Portsmouth	17	5	12	1.0	2.4	2	4	11	17	40	10
3	11	Watford	17	6	11	1.4	1.8	4	4	9	23	31	16
4	13	Middlesbrough	16	6	10	1.7	1.6	5	3	8	27	26	18
5	15	Preston	17	7	10	1.0	1.6	3	6	8	17	27	15
6	16	Swansea	17	8	9	0.8	1.6	5	2	10	13	27	17
7	21	Cardiff	17	8	9	1.0	2.1	1	9	7	17	35	12
8	4	Sunderland	17	9	8	1.3	1.1	7	5	5	22	18	26
9	5	West Brom	17	9	8	1.2	1.2	4	8	5	21	20	20
10	23	Derby	17	9	8	0.8	1.8	1	5	11	14	31	8
11	24	Luton	16	8	8	0.8	2.1	1	2	13	12	34	5
12	6	Blackburn	17	10	7	0.9	1.2	5	4	8	15	20	19
13	8	Bristol City	17	10	7	1.1	1.5	3	8	6	18	25	17
14	22	Plymouth	17	10	7	0.4	2.4	0	5	12	6	40	5
15	2	Sheffield United	17	11	6	1.4	0.8	10	4	3	23	13	34
16	7	Coventry	17	11	6	1.1	1.3	5	5	7	18	22	20
17	9	Norwich	17	11	6	0.8	1.4	4	5	8	14	24	17
18	14	QPR	17	11	6	0.8	1.2	4	6	7	14	21	18
19	18	Oxford	17	11	6	0.6	1.6	1	6	10	10	27	9
20	19	Stoke	17	11	6	0.7	1.5	3	4	10	12	26	13
21	20	Hull	16	10	6	1.0	1.2	6	2	8	16	20	20
22	1	Leeds	16	12	4	1.5	0.8	7	7	2	24	12	28
23	10	Millwall	17	13	4	0.9	1.1	4	8	5	15	19	20
24	3	Burnley	17	14	3	1.2	0.3	9	6	2	21	5	33

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.