Portsmouth 1–0 Leeds – England Championship, 9 Mar 2025

Match facts

Portsmouth Leeds

13 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 4

7 Corners 6

9 Fouls 9

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (431 league matches this season so far).

Result Leeds to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.88

Expected goals 1.10 – 1.60

Home / Draw / Away

26% 25% 49%

PortsmouthDrawLeeds

Under / Over 2.5 goals

49% 51%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

47% 53%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

14% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.8% 0–1 10.8% 1–2 9.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Portsmouth before this match, all matches

1.11points / match

1.23scored / match

1.63conceded / match

10 9 16

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 43:57

Leeds before this match, all matches

2.17points / match

2.06scored / match

0.63conceded / match

22 10 3

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 72:22

Portsmouth all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 2.06

1.63 Goals conceded 0.63

2.86 Total goals 2.69

11.11 Shots 16.97

3.60 Shots on target 5.77

13.77 Shots faced 6.40

5.86 Corners 7.49

5.63 Corners against 3.06

12.37 Fouls 10.74

2.40 Yellow cards 1.54

0.66 1st-half goals scored 0.83

0.86 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

29% Wins 63%

26% Draws 29%

46% Losses 9%

89% Over 0.5 goals 91%

77% Over 1.5 goals 80%

66% Over 2.5 goals 43%

31% Over 3.5 goals 26%

11% Over 4.5 goals 11%

9% Over 5.5 goals 11%

54% Both teams scored 34%

20% Clean sheets 57%

37% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

34% Wins 46%

31% Draws 26%

34% Losses 29%

74% Over 0.5 goals 80%

43% Over 1.5 goals 31%

29% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Portsmouth all matches

2

1

W

3

1

W

1

5

L

1

L

D

1

2

L

2

1

W

2

W

2

1

W

1

L

Leeds all matches

3

D

3

W

2

W

D

7

W

2

W

4

W

2

1

W

3

1

W

1

D

Portsmouth before this match, at home

1.71points / match

1.53scored / match

0.94conceded / match

8 5 4

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 26:16

Leeds before this match, away

1.82points / match

1.59scored / match

0.76conceded / match

8 7 2

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 27:13

Portsmouth at home away Leeds

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 1.59

0.94 Goals conceded 0.76

2.47 Total goals 2.35

13.82 Shots 15.29

4.53 Shots on target 5.06

10.35 Shots faced 7.47

7.82 Corners 6.00

4.29 Corners against 3.65

12.29 Fouls 10.76

2.00 Yellow cards 1.76

0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.59

0.41 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

47% Wins 47%

29% Draws 41%

24% Losses 12%

76% Over 0.5 goals 82%

71% Over 1.5 goals 65%

65% Over 2.5 goals 29%

29% Over 3.5 goals 29%

6% Over 4.5 goals 12%

0% Over 5.5 goals 12%

53% Both teams scored 35%

35% Clean sheets 53%

35% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 29%

35% Draws 29%

24% Losses 41%

65% Over 0.5 goals 76%

29% Over 1.5 goals 24%

18% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Portsmouth at home

3

W

D

4

1

W

4

W

2

1

W

3

1

W

1

L

D

2

1

W

2

1

W

Leeds away

4

3

W

1

L

1

D

2

W

1

W

3

D

2

W

4

W

3

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Portsmouth all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	Luton – Portsmouth	1–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.40	2.05	1.80
22.02.25	Portsmouth – QPR	2–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.25	2.90	2.10	1.73
15.02.25	Oxford – Portsmouth	0–2 (0–0)	2.35	3.20	3.10	2.20	1.67
11.02.25	Portsmouth – Cardiff	2–1 (2–1)	2.25	3.30	3.20	2.20	1.67
08.02.25	Sheffield United – Portsmouth	2–1 (1–1)	1.50	4.50	5.75	1.88	1.98
01.02.25	Portsmouth – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	5.00	3.40	1.75	2.20	1.67
28.01.25	Portsmouth – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.00	3.10	2.63	1.50
25.01.25	West Brom – Portsmouth	5–1 (4–0)	1.62	3.90	5.00	1.98	1.88
22.01.25	Portsmouth – Stoke	3–1 (2–1)	2.45	3.25	2.88	2.00	1.85
18.01.25	Portsmouth – Middlesbrough	2–1 (0–1)	4.50	3.60	1.75	1.67	2.20

Leeds all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	Leeds – West Brom	1–1 (1–1)	1.36	4.50	9.00	1.80	2.00
24.02.25	Sheffield United – Leeds	1–3 (1–0)	3.90	3.70	1.85	2.05	1.80
17.02.25	Leeds – Sunderland	2–1 (0–1)	1.53	4.00	6.00	1.93	1.93
11.02.25	Watford – Leeds	0–4 (0–3)	10.00	4.75	1.33	1.73	2.10
05.02.25	Coventry – Leeds	0–2 (0–2)	4.00	3.60	1.85	1.93	1.93
01.02.25	Leeds – Cardiff	7–0 (2–0)	1.29	5.50	9.00	1.73	2.10
27.01.25	Burnley – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.30	2.30	2.50	1.53
22.01.25	Leeds – Norwich	2–0 (1–0)	1.38	4.50	8.00	1.68	2.05
19.01.25	Leeds – Sheffield Weds	3–0 (1–0)	1.36	5.00	7.50	1.80	2.00
04.01.25	Hull – Leeds	3–3 (1–0)	5.50	4.20	1.55	1.93	1.93

Portsmouth at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.02.25	Portsmouth – QPR	2–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.25	2.90	2.10	1.73
11.02.25	Portsmouth – Cardiff	2–1 (2–1)	2.25	3.30	3.20	2.20	1.67
01.02.25	Portsmouth – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	5.00	3.40	1.75	2.20	1.67
28.01.25	Portsmouth – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.00	3.10	2.63	1.50
22.01.25	Portsmouth – Stoke	3–1 (2–1)	2.45	3.25	2.88	2.00	1.85
18.01.25	Portsmouth – Middlesbrough	2–1 (0–1)	4.50	3.60	1.75	1.67	2.20
01.01.25	Portsmouth – Swansea	4–0 (2–0)	2.88	3.40	2.38	1.95	1.90
21.12.24	Portsmouth – Coventry	4–1 (2–1)	3.90	3.60	1.91	1.80	2.00
10.12.24	Portsmouth – Norwich	0–0 (0–0)	3.30	3.40	2.15	1.93	1.93
07.12.24	Portsmouth – Bristol City	3–0 (1–0)	3.20	3.40	2.20	1.95	1.90

Leeds away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.25	Sheffield United – Leeds	1–3 (1–0)	3.90	3.70	1.85	2.05	1.80
11.02.25	Watford – Leeds	0–4 (0–3)	10.00	4.75	1.33	1.73	2.10
05.02.25	Coventry – Leeds	0–2 (0–2)	4.00	3.60	1.85	1.93	1.93
27.01.25	Burnley – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.30	2.30	2.50	1.53
04.01.25	Hull – Leeds	3–3 (1–0)	5.50	4.20	1.55	1.93	1.93
29.12.24	Derby – Leeds	0–1 (0–0)	5.00	4.20	1.60	2.10	1.73
26.12.24	Stoke – Leeds	0–2 (0–1)	6.25	4.20	1.50	1.90	1.95
14.12.24	Preston – Leeds	1–1 (1–0)	4.75	4.00	1.67	2.10	1.73
30.11.24	Blackburn – Leeds	1–0 (1–0)	4.20	3.70	1.80	2.00	1.85
24.11.24	Swansea – Leeds	3–4 (2–1)	4.10	3.90	1.80	2.10	1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Portsmouth winsDrawsLeeds wins

1matches

6.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.08.24E1	Leeds – Portsmouth	3–3 (1–2)	1.36	5.00	8.00	1.60	2.30

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	36	24	6	6	51	27	+24	78
2	Leeds	35	22	10	3	72	22	+50	76
3	Burnley	36	20	14	2	49	10	+39	74
4	Sunderland	36	19	11	6	54	33	+21	68
5	Coventry	36	16	8	12	52	46	+6	56
6	West Brom	36	13	16	7	46	32	+14	55
7	Bristol City	36	13	14	9	46	39	+7	53
8	Blackburn	36	15	7	14	41	37	+4	52
9	Middlesbrough	36	14	8	14	55	47	+8	50
10	Norwich	36	12	13	11	57	49	+8	49
11	Watford	36	14	7	15	46	50	-4	49
12	Millwall	36	12	12	12	36	37	-1	48
13	Sheffield Weds	36	13	9	14	50	56	-6	48
14	QPR	36	11	11	14	41	46	-5	44
15	Swansea	36	12	8	16	38	46	-8	44
16	Preston	36	9	16	11	36	42	-6	43
17	Portsmouth	35	10	9	16	43	57	-14	39
18	Oxford	36	9	12	15	37	53	-16	39
19	Hull	36	9	10	17	36	45	-9	37
20	Stoke	36	8	12	16	36	50	-14	36
21	Cardiff	36	8	12	16	39	59	-20	36
22	Derby	36	8	8	20	35	49	-14	32
23	Luton	36	8	7	21	32	59	-27	31
24	Plymouth	36	6	12	18	36	73	-37	30

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	18	14	3	1	45	9	+36	45
2	Sheffield United	18	13	2	3	26	13	+13	41
3	Sunderland	18	11	6	1	30	14	+16	39
4	Burnley	18	10	8	0	26	4	+22	38
5	West Brom	18	9	7	2	24	11	+13	34
6	Bristol City	18	9	6	3	26	14	+12	33
7	Blackburn	18	10	3	5	25	15	+10	33
8	Coventry	18	10	3	5	31	22	+9	33
9	Watford	18	10	2	6	23	19	+4	32
10	Norwich	18	8	7	3	42	24	+18	31
11	Portsmouth	17	8	5	4	26	16	+10	29
12	Middlesbrough	18	8	5	5	25	19	+6	29
13	Oxford	18	8	5	5	26	25	+1	29
14	Preston	18	6	10	2	19	14	+5	28
15	Swansea	18	7	5	6	25	19	+6	26
16	QPR	18	7	5	6	27	24	+3	26
17	Luton	18	7	5	6	20	19	+1	26
18	Millwall	18	7	4	7	19	17	+2	25
19	Plymouth	18	6	7	5	30	31	-1	25
20	Derby	18	7	3	8	21	17	+4	24
21	Cardiff	18	7	3	8	21	22	-1	24
22	Stoke	18	5	8	5	22	21	+1	23
23	Sheffield Weds	18	5	7	6	27	27	0	22
24	Hull	18	3	7	8	19	23	-4	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	18	11	4	3	25	14	+11	37
2	Burnley	18	10	6	2	23	6	+17	36
3	Leeds	17	8	7	2	27	13	+14	31
4	Sunderland	18	8	5	5	24	19	+5	29
5	Sheffield Weds	18	8	2	8	23	29	-6	26
6	Coventry	18	6	5	7	21	24	-3	23
7	Millwall	18	5	8	5	17	20	-3	23
8	Middlesbrough	18	6	3	9	30	28	+2	21
9	West Brom	18	4	9	5	22	21	+1	21
10	Hull	18	6	3	9	17	22	-5	21
11	Bristol City	18	4	8	6	20	25	-5	20
12	Blackburn	18	5	4	9	16	22	-6	19
13	QPR	18	4	6	8	14	22	-8	18
14	Norwich	18	4	6	8	15	25	-10	18
15	Swansea	18	5	3	10	13	27	-14	18
16	Watford	18	4	5	9	23	31	-8	17
17	Preston	18	3	6	9	17	28	-11	15
18	Stoke	18	3	4	11	14	29	-15	13
19	Cardiff	18	1	9	8	18	37	-19	12
20	Oxford	18	1	7	10	11	28	-17	10
21	Portsmouth	18	2	4	12	17	41	-24	10
22	Derby	18	1	5	12	14	32	-18	8
23	Luton	18	1	2	15	12	40	-28	5
24	Plymouth	18	0	5	13	6	42	-36	5

Portsmouth Leeds

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Portsmouth	35	12	23	1.2	1.6	10	9	16	43	57	39
2	11	Watford	36	14	22	1.3	1.4	14	7	15	46	50	49
3	13	Sheffield Weds	36	15	21	1.4	1.6	13	9	14	50	56	48
4	5	Coventry	36	16	20	1.4	1.3	16	8	12	52	46	56
5	24	Plymouth	36	17	19	1.0	2.0	6	12	18	36	73	30
6	4	Sunderland	36	18	18	1.5	0.9	19	11	6	54	33	68
7	9	Middlesbrough	36	19	17	1.5	1.3	14	8	14	55	47	50
8	10	Norwich	36	19	17	1.6	1.4	12	13	11	57	49	49
9	14	QPR	36	19	17	1.1	1.3	11	11	14	41	46	44
10	15	Swansea	36	19	17	1.1	1.3	12	8	16	38	46	44
11	23	Luton	36	19	17	0.9	1.6	8	7	21	32	59	31
12	21	Cardiff	36	20	16	1.1	1.6	8	12	16	39	59	36
13	2	Leeds	35	20	15	2.1	0.6	22	10	3	72	22	76
14	16	Preston	36	21	15	1.0	1.2	9	16	11	36	42	43
15	20	Stoke	36	21	15	1.0	1.4	8	12	16	36	50	36
16	22	Derby	36	21	15	1.0	1.4	8	8	20	35	49	32
17	7	Bristol City	36	22	14	1.3	1.1	13	14	9	46	39	53
18	8	Blackburn	36	22	14	1.1	1.0	15	7	14	41	37	52
19	1	Sheffield United	36	23	13	1.4	0.8	24	6	6	51	27	78
20	6	West Brom	36	23	13	1.3	0.9	13	16	7	46	32	55
21	18	Oxford	36	23	13	1.0	1.5	9	12	15	37	53	39
22	19	Hull	36	24	12	1.0	1.2	9	10	17	36	45	37
23	12	Millwall	36	26	10	1.0	1.0	12	12	12	36	37	48
24	3	Burnley	36	27	9	1.4	0.3	20	14	2	49	10	74

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Coventry	18	5	13	1.7	1.2	10	3	5	31	22	33
2	24	Plymouth	18	6	12	1.7	1.7	6	7	5	30	31	25
3	10	Norwich	18	7	11	2.3	1.3	8	7	3	42	24	31
4	11	Watford	18	7	11	1.3	1.1	10	2	6	23	19	32
5	14	QPR	18	7	11	1.5	1.3	7	5	6	27	24	26
6	17	Portsmouth	17	6	11	1.5	0.9	8	5	4	26	16	29
7	2	Leeds	18	8	10	2.5	0.5	14	3	1	45	9	45
8	4	Sunderland	18	9	9	1.7	0.8	11	6	1	30	14	39
9	13	Sheffield Weds	18	10	8	1.5	1.5	5	7	6	27	27	22
10	15	Swansea	18	10	8	1.4	1.1	7	5	6	25	19	26
11	20	Stoke	18	10	8	1.2	1.2	5	8	5	22	21	23
12	23	Luton	18	10	8	1.1	1.1	7	5	6	20	19	26
13	7	Bristol City	18	11	7	1.4	0.8	9	6	3	26	14	33
14	18	Oxford	18	11	7	1.4	1.4	8	5	5	26	25	29
15	22	Derby	18	11	7	1.2	0.9	7	3	8	21	17	24
16	1	Sheffield United	18	12	6	1.4	0.7	13	2	3	26	13	41
17	8	Blackburn	18	12	6	1.4	0.8	10	3	5	25	15	33
18	9	Middlesbrough	18	12	6	1.4	1.1	8	5	5	25	19	29
19	19	Hull	18	12	6	1.1	1.3	3	7	8	19	23	16
20	21	Cardiff	18	12	6	1.2	1.2	7	3	8	21	22	24
21	3	Burnley	18	13	5	1.4	0.2	10	8	0	26	4	38
22	6	West Brom	18	13	5	1.3	0.6	9	7	2	24	11	34
23	12	Millwall	18	13	5	1.1	0.9	7	4	7	19	17	25
24	16	Preston	18	13	5	1.1	0.8	6	10	2	19	14	28

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Sheffield Weds	18	5	13	1.3	1.6	8	2	8	23	29	26
2	17	Portsmouth	18	6	12	0.9	2.3	2	4	12	17	41	10
3	9	Middlesbrough	18	7	11	1.7	1.6	6	3	9	30	28	21
4	11	Watford	18	7	11	1.3	1.7	4	5	9	23	31	17
5	16	Preston	18	8	10	0.9	1.6	3	6	9	17	28	15
6	21	Cardiff	18	8	10	1.0	2.1	1	9	8	18	37	12
7	4	Sunderland	18	9	9	1.3	1.1	8	5	5	24	19	29
8	15	Swansea	18	9	9	0.7	1.5	5	3	10	13	27	18
9	23	Luton	18	9	9	0.7	2.2	1	2	15	12	40	5
10	6	West Brom	18	10	8	1.2	1.2	4	9	5	22	21	21
11	8	Blackburn	18	10	8	0.9	1.2	5	4	9	16	22	19
12	22	Derby	18	10	8	0.8	1.8	1	5	12	14	32	8
13	1	Sheffield United	18	11	7	1.4	0.8	11	4	3	25	14	37
14	5	Coventry	18	11	7	1.2	1.3	6	5	7	21	24	23
15	7	Bristol City	18	11	7	1.1	1.4	4	8	6	20	25	20
16	20	Stoke	18	11	7	0.8	1.6	3	4	11	14	29	13
17	24	Plymouth	18	11	7	0.3	2.3	0	5	13	6	42	5
18	10	Norwich	18	12	6	0.8	1.4	4	6	8	15	25	18
19	14	QPR	18	12	6	0.8	1.2	4	6	8	14	22	18
20	18	Oxford	18	12	6	0.6	1.6	1	7	10	11	28	10
21	19	Hull	18	12	6	0.9	1.2	6	3	9	17	22	21
22	2	Leeds	17	12	5	1.6	0.8	8	7	2	27	13	31
23	12	Millwall	18	13	5	0.9	1.1	5	8	5	17	20	23
24	3	Burnley	18	14	4	1.3	0.3	10	6	2	23	6	36

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.