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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Bell

Leeds 4–0 Bristol City

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.60 fair 1.50
Draw 3.90 fair 5.03
Away 5.75 fair 7.55
Under 2.5 2.03 fair 2.16
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 1.86

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Bristol City
23 Shots 3
12 Shots on target 1
11 Corners 1
6 Fouls 4
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (539 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.89
Expected goals 2.05 – 0.78
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawBristol City
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 12.4% 1–0 12.1% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
2.14points / match
2.02scored / match
0.66conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 89:29
Bristol City before this match, all matches
1.52points / match
1.30scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 57:49
Leeds all matches all matches Bristol City

Per match

2.02 Goals scored 1.30
0.66 Goals conceded 1.11
2.68 Total goals 2.41
16.18 Shots 13.09
5.59 Shots on target 4.25
6.82 Shots faced 11.73
7.05 Corners 5.45
3.05 Corners against 4.07
10.41 Fouls 10.43
1.52 Yellow cards 1.66
0.95 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.41 1st-half goals conceded 0.39

How often Full Time

61% Wins 39%
30% Draws 36%
9% Losses 25%
93% Over 0.5 goals 95%
77% Over 1.5 goals 80%
43% Over 2.5 goals 43%
27% Over 3.5 goals 16%
11% Over 4.5 goals 2%
11% Over 5.5 goals 2%
36% Both teams scored 57%
55% Clean sheets 23%
16% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 25%
25% Draws 45%
25% Losses 30%
82% Over 0.5 goals 59%
34% Over 1.5 goals 20%
16% Over 2.5 goals 2%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Bristol City all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
2.50points / match
2.59scored / match
0.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 57:12
Bristol City before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.05scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 23:31
Leeds at home away Bristol City

Per match

2.59 Goals scored 1.05
0.55 Goals conceded 1.41
3.14 Total goals 2.45
18.41 Shots 11.41
6.41 Shots on target 3.50
5.36 Shots faced 13.91
8.18 Corners 5.05
2.64 Corners against 4.64
10.18 Fouls 11.64
1.36 Yellow cards 1.91
1.27 1st-half goals scored 0.27
0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

77% Wins 18%
18% Draws 45%
5% Losses 36%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
95% Over 1.5 goals 86%
59% Over 2.5 goals 36%
27% Over 3.5 goals 23%
14% Over 4.5 goals 0%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
36% Both teams scored 55%
59% Clean sheets 14%
5% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

68% Wins 18%
18% Draws 45%
14% Losses 36%
86% Over 0.5 goals 59%
41% Over 1.5 goals 18%
18% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Bristol City away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.04.25 Leeds – Stoke 6–0 (5–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.67 2.20
18.04.25 Oxford – Leeds 0–1 (0–1) 8.005.001.36 1.83 2.03
12.04.25 Leeds – Preston 2–1 (2–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.67 2.20
08.04.25 Middlesbrough – Leeds 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.901.67 1.80 2.00
05.04.25 Luton – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 5.254.101.60 2.00 1.85
29.03.25 Leeds – Swansea 2–2 (1–0) 1.226.0012.00 1.73 2.10
15.03.25 QPR – Leeds 2–2 (2–1) 6.004.331.50 2.00 1.85
12.03.25 Leeds – Millwall 2–0 (1–0) 1.295.2510.00 1.98 1.88
09.03.25 Portsmouth – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 7.504.501.40 1.73 2.10
01.03.25 Leeds – West Brom 1–1 (1–1) 1.364.509.00 1.80 2.00

Bristol City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.04.25 Luton – Bristol City 3–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.80 2.20 1.67
18.04.25 Bristol City – Sunderland 2–1 (0–1) 2.303.502.90 2.10 1.73
12.04.25 QPR – Bristol City 1–1 (1–1) 3.103.402.25 2.20 1.67
08.04.25 Bristol City – West Brom 2–1 (0–0) 2.403.402.87 2.10 1.73
05.04.25 Bristol City – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.504.50 2.03 1.83
29.03.25 Burnley – Bristol City 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.505.00 2.30 1.62
14.03.25 Bristol City – Norwich 2–1 (2–0) 2.103.403.60 1.95 1.90
11.03.25 Sheffield United – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.253.80 2.05 1.68
08.03.25 Bristol City – Hull 1–1 (0–1) 1.903.503.90 2.15 1.62
04.03.25 Millwall – Bristol City 0–2 (0–0) 2.753.002.75 2.75 1.44

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.04.25 Leeds – Stoke 6–0 (5–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.67 2.20
12.04.25 Leeds – Preston 2–1 (2–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.67 2.20
29.03.25 Leeds – Swansea 2–2 (1–0) 1.226.0012.00 1.73 2.10
12.03.25 Leeds – Millwall 2–0 (1–0) 1.295.2510.00 1.98 1.88
01.03.25 Leeds – West Brom 1–1 (1–1) 1.364.509.00 1.80 2.00
17.02.25 Leeds – Sunderland 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.006.00 1.93 1.93
01.02.25 Leeds – Cardiff 7–0 (2–0) 1.295.509.00 1.73 2.10
22.01.25 Leeds – Norwich 2–0 (1–0) 1.384.508.00 1.68 2.05
19.01.25 Leeds – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.007.50 1.80 2.00
01.01.25 Leeds – Blackburn 1–1 (0–0) 1.365.007.50 1.90 1.95

Bristol City away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.04.25 Luton – Bristol City 3–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.80 2.20 1.67
12.04.25 QPR – Bristol City 1–1 (1–1) 3.103.402.25 2.20 1.67
29.03.25 Burnley – Bristol City 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.505.00 2.30 1.62
11.03.25 Sheffield United – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.253.80 2.05 1.68
04.03.25 Millwall – Bristol City 0–2 (0–0) 2.753.002.75 2.75 1.44
15.02.25 Cardiff – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.252.55 2.10 1.73
01.02.25 Oxford – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.302.25 2.20 1.67
22.01.25 Sheffield Weds – Bristol City 2–2 (1–0) 2.503.202.88 2.10 1.73
18.01.25 Coventry – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.50 1.98 1.88
01.01.25 Plymouth – Bristol City 2–2 (0–1) 4.003.751.83 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leeds winsDrawsBristol City wins
3matches
1.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24E1 Bristol City – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.601.82 1.93 1.93
02.02.24E1 Bristol City – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.801.73 2.03 1.83
07.10.23E1 Leeds – Bristol City 2–1 (1–1) 1.574.205.75 1.70 2.10

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 45 27 16 2 66 15 +51 97
2 Leeds 44 27 13 4 89 29 +60 94
3 Sheffield United 45 28 7 10 62 35 +27 91
4 Sunderland 45 21 13 11 58 43 +15 76
5 Bristol City 44 17 16 11 57 49 +8 67
6 Coventry 45 19 9 17 62 58 +4 66
7 Millwall 45 18 12 15 46 46 0 66
8 Blackburn 45 19 8 18 52 47 +5 65
9 Middlesbrough 45 18 10 17 64 54 +10 64
10 West Brom 45 14 19 12 52 44 +8 61
11 Swansea 45 17 9 19 48 53 -5 60
12 Sheffield Weds 45 15 12 18 59 68 -9 57
13 Watford 45 16 8 21 52 60 -8 56
14 Norwich 45 13 15 17 67 66 +1 54
15 QPR 45 13 14 18 52 63 -11 53
16 Portsmouth 45 14 11 20 57 70 -13 53
17 Oxford 45 13 13 19 46 62 -16 52
18 Stoke 45 12 14 19 45 62 -17 50
19 Derby 45 13 10 22 48 56 -8 49
20 Preston 45 10 19 16 46 57 -11 49
21 Luton 45 13 10 22 42 64 -22 49
22 Hull 45 12 12 21 43 53 -10 48
23 Plymouth 45 11 13 21 50 86 -36 46
24 Cardiff 45 9 17 19 46 69 -23 44
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 22 17 4 1 57 12 +45 55
2 Burnley 22 13 9 0 32 7 +25 48
3 Sheffield United 22 15 3 4 32 16 +16 48
4 Bristol City 22 13 6 3 34 18 +16 45
5 Sunderland 22 12 7 3 32 17 +15 43
6 Coventry 22 13 3 6 38 24 +14 42
7 Blackburn 23 12 4 7 34 23 +11 40
8 Millwall 23 12 4 7 27 19 +8 40
9 Portsmouth 22 11 6 5 32 20 +12 39
10 Middlesbrough 23 11 6 6 31 23 +8 39
11 Watford 22 12 3 7 26 21 +5 39
12 West Brom 22 10 8 4 28 17 +11 38
13 Oxford 23 11 5 7 31 29 +2 38
14 Norwich 22 9 8 5 48 32 +16 35
15 Swansea 22 10 5 7 30 21 +9 35
16 Luton 23 9 7 7 25 22 +3 34
17 Plymouth 22 9 7 6 39 37 +2 34
18 Stoke 23 8 9 6 29 25 +4 33
19 Preston 23 7 12 4 26 22 +4 33
20 Derby 22 9 4 9 25 18 +7 31
21 QPR 23 7 8 8 31 34 -3 29
22 Cardiff 23 7 6 10 24 27 -3 27
23 Sheffield Weds 23 6 8 9 30 32 -2 26
24 Hull 23 5 8 10 24 28 -4 23
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 23 14 7 2 34 8 +26 49
2 Sheffield United 23 13 4 6 30 19 +11 43
3 Leeds 22 10 9 3 32 17 +15 39
4 Sunderland 23 9 6 8 26 26 0 33
5 Sheffield Weds 22 9 4 9 29 36 -7 31
6 Millwall 22 6 8 8 19 27 -8 26
7 Middlesbrough 22 7 4 11 33 31 +2 25
8 Hull 22 7 4 11 19 25 -6 25
9 Blackburn 22 7 4 11 18 24 -6 25
10 Swansea 23 7 4 12 18 32 -14 25
11 QPR 22 6 6 10 21 29 -8 24
12 Coventry 23 6 6 11 24 34 -10 24
13 West Brom 23 4 11 8 24 27 -3 23
14 Bristol City 22 4 10 8 23 31 -8 22
15 Norwich 23 4 7 12 19 34 -15 19
16 Derby 23 4 6 13 23 38 -15 18
17 Watford 23 4 5 14 26 39 -13 17
18 Cardiff 22 2 11 9 22 42 -20 17
19 Stoke 22 4 5 13 16 37 -21 17
20 Preston 22 3 7 12 20 35 -15 16
21 Luton 22 4 3 15 17 42 -25 15
22 Oxford 22 2 8 12 15 33 -18 14
23 Portsmouth 23 3 5 15 25 50 -25 14
24 Plymouth 23 2 6 15 11 49 -38 12

Leeds   Bristol City

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Portsmouth 45 17 28 1.3 1.6 14 11 20 57 70 53
2 23 Plymouth 45 18 27 1.1 1.9 11 13 21 50 86 46
3 13 Watford 45 19 26 1.2 1.3 16 8 21 52 60 56
4 6 Coventry 45 21 24 1.4 1.3 19 9 17 62 58 66
5 12 Sheffield Weds 45 21 24 1.3 1.5 15 12 18 59 68 57
6 15 QPR 45 21 24 1.2 1.4 13 14 18 52 63 53
7 14 Norwich 45 22 23 1.5 1.5 13 15 17 67 66 54
8 9 Middlesbrough 45 24 21 1.4 1.2 18 10 17 64 54 64
9 20 Preston 45 24 21 1.0 1.3 10 19 16 46 57 49
10 4 Sunderland 45 25 20 1.3 1.0 21 13 11 58 43 76
11 11 Swansea 45 25 20 1.1 1.2 17 9 19 48 53 60
12 2 Leeds 44 25 19 2.0 0.7 27 13 4 89 29 94
13 5 Bristol City 44 25 19 1.3 1.1 17 16 11 57 49 67
14 21 Luton 45 26 19 0.9 1.4 13 10 22 42 64 49
15 24 Cardiff 45 26 19 1.0 1.5 9 17 19 46 69 44
16 8 Blackburn 45 27 18 1.2 1.0 19 8 18 52 47 65
17 19 Derby 45 27 18 1.1 1.2 13 10 22 48 56 49
18 18 Stoke 45 28 17 1.0 1.4 12 14 19 45 62 50
19 3 Sheffield United 45 29 16 1.4 0.8 28 7 10 62 35 91
20 10 West Brom 45 29 16 1.2 1.0 14 19 12 52 44 61
21 17 Oxford 45 29 16 1.0 1.4 13 13 19 46 62 52
22 1 Burnley 45 31 14 1.5 0.3 27 16 2 66 15 97
23 22 Hull 45 31 14 1.0 1.2 12 12 21 43 53 48
24 7 Millwall 45 32 13 1.0 1.0 18 12 15 46 46 66
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 23 Plymouth 22 6 16 1.8 1.7 9 7 6 39 37 34
2 6 Coventry 22 7 15 1.7 1.1 13 3 6 38 24 42
3 15 QPR 23 9 14 1.3 1.5 7 8 8 31 34 29
4 2 Leeds 22 9 13 2.6 0.5 17 4 1 57 12 55
5 14 Norwich 22 9 13 2.2 1.5 9 8 5 48 32 35
6 16 Portsmouth 22 9 13 1.5 0.9 11 6 5 32 20 39
7 13 Watford 22 10 12 1.2 1.0 12 3 7 26 21 39
8 5 Bristol City 22 11 11 1.5 0.8 13 6 3 34 18 45
9 8 Blackburn 23 13 10 1.5 1.0 12 4 7 34 23 40
10 4 Sunderland 22 13 9 1.5 0.8 12 7 3 32 17 43
11 9 Middlesbrough 23 14 9 1.3 1.0 11 6 6 31 23 39
12 11 Swansea 22 13 9 1.4 1.0 10 5 7 30 21 35
13 12 Sheffield Weds 23 14 9 1.3 1.4 6 8 9 30 32 26
14 18 Stoke 23 14 9 1.3 1.1 8 9 6 29 25 33
15 20 Preston 23 14 9 1.1 1.0 7 12 4 26 22 33
16 21 Luton 23 14 9 1.1 1.0 9 7 7 25 22 34
17 17 Oxford 23 15 8 1.3 1.3 11 5 7 31 29 38
18 22 Hull 23 15 8 1.0 1.2 5 8 10 24 28 23
19 1 Burnley 22 15 7 1.5 0.3 13 9 0 32 7 48
20 3 Sheffield United 22 15 7 1.5 0.7 15 3 4 32 16 48
21 7 Millwall 23 16 7 1.2 0.8 12 4 7 27 19 40
22 10 West Brom 22 15 7 1.3 0.8 10 8 4 28 17 38
23 19 Derby 22 15 7 1.1 0.8 9 4 9 25 18 31
24 24 Cardiff 23 16 7 1.0 1.2 7 6 10 24 27 27
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Sheffield Weds 22 7 15 1.3 1.6 9 4 9 29 36 31
2 16 Portsmouth 23 8 15 1.1 2.2 3 5 15 25 50 14
3 13 Watford 23 9 14 1.1 1.7 4 5 14 26 39 17
4 9 Middlesbrough 22 10 12 1.5 1.4 7 4 11 33 31 25
5 20 Preston 22 10 12 0.9 1.6 3 7 12 20 35 16
6 24 Cardiff 22 10 12 1.0 1.9 2 11 9 22 42 17
7 4 Sunderland 23 12 11 1.1 1.1 9 6 8 26 26 33
8 11 Swansea 23 12 11 0.8 1.4 7 4 12 18 32 25
9 19 Derby 23 12 11 1.0 1.7 4 6 13 23 38 18
10 23 Plymouth 23 12 11 0.5 2.1 2 6 15 11 49 12
11 14 Norwich 23 13 10 0.8 1.5 4 7 12 19 34 19
12 15 QPR 22 12 10 1.0 1.3 6 6 10 21 29 24
13 21 Luton 22 12 10 0.8 1.9 4 3 15 17 42 15
14 3 Sheffield United 23 14 9 1.3 0.8 13 4 6 30 19 43
15 6 Coventry 23 14 9 1.0 1.5 6 6 11 24 34 24
16 10 West Brom 23 14 9 1.0 1.2 4 11 8 24 27 23
17 5 Bristol City 22 14 8 1.0 1.4 4 10 8 23 31 22
18 8 Blackburn 22 14 8 0.8 1.1 7 4 11 18 24 25
19 17 Oxford 22 14 8 0.7 1.5 2 8 12 15 33 14
20 18 Stoke 22 14 8 0.7 1.7 4 5 13 16 37 17
21 1 Burnley 23 16 7 1.5 0.3 14 7 2 34 8 49
22 2 Leeds 22 16 6 1.5 0.8 10 9 3 32 17 39
23 7 Millwall 22 16 6 0.9 1.2 6 8 8 19 27 26
24 22 Hull 22 16 6 0.9 1.1 7 4 11 19 25 25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40