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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: B Toner

Derby 1–0 Norwich

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.50 fair 2.62
Draw 3.05 fair 3.87
Away 2.82 fair 2.78
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 2.02
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 1.98

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Norwich
8 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 13
13 Fouls 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (119 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.83
Expected goals 1.37 – 1.32
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawNorwich
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 9.3% 0–1 8.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
0.80points / match
1.10scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 11:16
Norwich before this match, all matches
0.80points / match
1.10scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 11:15
Derby all matches all matches Norwich

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 1.10
1.60 Goals conceded 1.50
2.70 Total goals 2.60
8.00 Shots 11.80
2.50 Shots on target 3.70
14.20 Shots faced 16.40
4.20 Corners 4.10
5.30 Corners against 6.60
12.70 Fouls 9.20
3.00 Yellow cards 2.00
0.30 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

10% Wins 20%
50% Draws 20%
40% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
70% Over 1.5 goals 80%
30% Over 2.5 goals 50%
30% Over 3.5 goals 20%
10% Over 4.5 goals 10%
10% Over 5.5 goals 0%
70% Both teams scored 70%
10% Clean sheets 10%
20% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 50%
50% Draws 20%
50% Losses 30%
70% Over 0.5 goals 80%
20% Over 1.5 goals 30%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Norwich all matches
Derby before this match, at home
0.60points / match
1.20scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:9
Norwich before this match, away
1.60points / match
1.40scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:6
Derby at home away Norwich

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 1.40
1.80 Goals conceded 1.20
3.00 Total goals 2.60
10.40 Shots 9.60
3.20 Shots on target 3.40
13.00 Shots faced 20.20
4.20 Corners 4.20
4.20 Corners against 8.60
12.20 Fouls 10.20
2.60 Yellow cards 3.00
0.60 1st-half goals scored 1.20
1.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

0% Wins 40%
60% Draws 40%
40% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
20% Over 2.5 goals 40%
20% Over 3.5 goals 20%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
80% Both teams scored 80%
0% Clean sheets 20%
20% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 80%
40% Draws 0%
60% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
40% Over 1.5 goals 40%
20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Norwich away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.25 Oxford – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.052.95 2.50 1.53
04.10.25 Derby – Southampton 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.302.05 2.20 1.67
30.09.25 Derby – Charlton 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.252.65 2.63 1.50
27.09.25 Wrexham – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.303.50 2.38 1.57
20.09.25 Derby – Preston 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.103.10 2.75 1.44
13.09.25 West Brom – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 1.713.504.75 2.30 1.62
30.08.25 Ipswich – Derby 2–2 (1–0) 1.493.906.50 2.00 1.80
22.08.25 Derby – Bristol City 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.202.38 2.38 1.57
16.08.25 Derby – Coventry 3–5 (2–2) 3.103.202.38 2.30 1.62
09.08.25 Stoke – Derby 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.50 1.53

Norwich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.25 Norwich – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.57 1.83 2.03
05.10.25 Ipswich – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 1.533.905.75 1.73 2.10
01.10.25 Norwich – West Brom 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.50 2.00 1.85
27.09.25 Stoke – Norwich 1–1 (0–1) 1.963.603.50 1.93 1.93
20.09.25 Norwich – Wrexham 2–3 (1–0) 1.713.804.33 1.73 2.10
13.09.25 Coventry – Norwich 1–1 (0–1) 1.683.904.33 1.67 2.20
30.08.25 Blackburn – Norwich 0–2 (0–1) 2.253.403.00 2.10 1.73
23.08.25 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 2.253.403.10 1.93 1.93
16.08.25 Portsmouth – Norwich 1–2 (0–2) 2.453.402.75 1.98 1.88
09.08.25 Norwich – Millwall 1–2 (0–0) 2.003.303.80 2.10 1.73

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.25 Derby – Southampton 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.302.05 2.20 1.67
30.09.25 Derby – Charlton 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.252.65 2.63 1.50
20.09.25 Derby – Preston 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.103.10 2.75 1.44
22.08.25 Derby – Bristol City 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.202.38 2.38 1.57
16.08.25 Derby – Coventry 3–5 (2–2) 3.103.202.38 2.30 1.62
03.05.25 Derby – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.004.20 2.50 1.53
18.04.25 Derby – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.602.903.00 2.75 1.44
08.04.25 Derby – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.301.82 2.75 1.44
02.04.25 Derby – Preston 2–0 (0–0) 2.253.003.60 2.75 1.44
11.03.25 Derby – Coventry 2–0 (1–0) 3.403.202.20 2.32 1.53

Norwich away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.25 Ipswich – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 1.533.905.75 1.73 2.10
27.09.25 Stoke – Norwich 1–1 (0–1) 1.963.603.50 1.93 1.93
13.09.25 Coventry – Norwich 1–1 (0–1) 1.683.904.33 1.67 2.20
30.08.25 Blackburn – Norwich 0–2 (0–1) 2.253.403.00 2.10 1.73
16.08.25 Portsmouth – Norwich 1–2 (0–2) 2.453.402.75 1.98 1.88
26.04.25 Middlesbrough – Norwich 0–0 (0–0) 1.554.335.25 1.53 2.50
21.04.25 Millwall – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 2.203.403.20 2.20 1.67
11.04.25 Burnley – Norwich 2–1 (2–0) 1.603.905.50 2.00 1.80
05.04.25 Plymouth – Norwich 2–1 (2–0) 4.333.601.80 1.93 1.93
14.03.25 Bristol City – Norwich 2–1 (2–0) 2.103.403.60 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsNorwich wins
2matches
3.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.25E1 Norwich – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.98 1.88
28.09.24E1 Derby – Norwich 2–3 (0–1) 2.633.602.50 1.98 1.88

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 10 6 4 0 29 7 +22 22
2 Middlesbrough 10 6 3 1 14 7 +7 21
3 Stoke 10 5 3 2 12 6 +6 18
4 Leicester 10 4 5 1 14 9 +5 17
5 West Brom 10 5 2 3 11 11 0 17
6 Millwall 10 5 2 3 11 13 -2 17
7 Bristol City 10 4 4 2 16 10 +6 16
8 Preston 10 4 4 2 12 9 +3 16
9 Charlton 10 4 3 3 10 9 +1 15
10 Hull 10 4 3 3 17 18 -1 15
11 QPR 10 4 3 3 14 16 -2 15
12 Ipswich 9 3 4 2 16 10 +6 13
13 Swansea 10 3 4 3 10 10 0 13
14 Portsmouth 10 3 4 3 9 10 -1 13
15 Southampton 10 2 6 2 11 12 -1 12
16 Watford 10 3 3 4 11 12 -1 12
17 Birmingham 10 3 3 4 10 14 -4 12
18 Wrexham 10 2 4 4 14 16 -2 10
19 Oxford 10 2 3 5 11 13 -2 9
20 Norwich 10 2 2 6 11 15 -4 8
21 Derby 10 1 5 4 11 16 -5 8
22 Blackburn 9 2 1 6 7 13 -6 7
23 Sheffield United 10 2 0 8 4 16 -12 6
24 Sheffield Weds 10 1 3 6 9 22 -13 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 0 6 2 +4 13
2 Coventry 5 3 2 0 13 2 +11 11
3 Ipswich 5 3 2 0 13 5 +8 11
4 Preston 5 3 2 0 7 3 +4 11
5 Charlton 5 3 1 1 7 3 +4 10
6 Stoke 5 3 1 1 6 3 +3 10
7 Watford 5 3 1 1 8 6 +2 10
8 Hull 5 3 1 1 9 8 +1 10
9 Leicester 5 2 3 0 6 3 +3 9
10 QPR 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8
11 Birmingham 5 2 2 1 7 6 +1 8
12 West Brom 5 2 2 1 5 4 +1 8
13 Portsmouth 5 2 1 2 5 6 -1 7
14 Southampton 5 1 3 1 4 4 0 6
15 Swansea 5 1 3 1 6 7 -1 6
16 Millwall 5 2 0 3 4 9 -5 6
17 Bristol City 5 1 2 2 7 8 -1 5
18 Oxford 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
19 Wrexham 5 0 3 2 7 10 -3 3
20 Derby 5 0 3 2 6 9 -3 3
21 Sheffield United 5 1 0 4 3 8 -5 3
22 Blackburn 4 0 1 3 3 7 -4 1
23 Sheffield Weds 5 0 1 4 1 14 -13 1
24 Norwich 5 0 0 5 4 9 -5 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 5 3 2 0 16 5 +11 11
2 Bristol City 5 3 2 0 9 2 +7 11
3 Millwall 5 3 2 0 7 4 +3 11
4 West Brom 5 3 0 2 6 7 -1 9
5 Middlesbrough 5 2 2 1 8 5 +3 8
6 Stoke 5 2 2 1 6 3 +3 8
7 Leicester 5 2 2 1 8 6 +2 8
8 Norwich 5 2 2 1 7 6 +1 8
9 Wrexham 5 2 1 2 7 6 +1 7
10 Swansea 5 2 1 2 4 3 +1 7
11 QPR 5 2 1 2 8 12 -4 7
12 Portsmouth 5 1 3 1 4 4 0 6
13 Southampton 5 1 3 1 7 8 -1 6
14 Blackburn 5 2 0 3 4 6 -2 6
15 Sheffield Weds 5 1 2 2 8 8 0 5
16 Preston 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
17 Hull 5 1 2 2 8 10 -2 5
18 Derby 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5
19 Charlton 5 1 2 2 3 6 -3 5
20 Oxford 5 1 1 3 6 7 -1 4
21 Birmingham 5 1 1 3 3 8 -5 4
22 Sheffield United 5 1 0 4 1 8 -7 3
23 Ipswich 4 0 2 2 3 5 -2 2
24 Watford 5 0 2 3 3 6 -3 2

Derby   Norwich

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Hull 10 2 8 1.7 1.8 4 3 3 17 18 15
2 24 Sheffield Weds 10 3 7 0.9 2.2 1 3 6 9 22 6
3 1 Coventry 10 4 6 2.9 0.7 6 4 0 29 7 22
4 11 QPR 10 4 6 1.4 1.6 4 3 3 14 16 15
5 2 Middlesbrough 10 5 5 1.4 0.7 6 3 1 14 7 21
6 6 Millwall 10 5 5 1.1 1.3 5 2 3 11 13 17
7 7 Bristol City 10 5 5 1.6 1.0 4 4 2 16 10 16
8 12 Ipswich 9 4 5 1.8 1.1 3 4 2 16 10 13
9 15 Southampton 10 5 5 1.1 1.2 2 6 2 11 12 12
10 16 Watford 10 5 5 1.1 1.2 3 3 4 11 12 12
11 18 Wrexham 10 5 5 1.4 1.6 2 4 4 14 16 10
12 19 Oxford 10 5 5 1.1 1.3 2 3 5 11 13 9
13 20 Norwich 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 2 2 6 11 15 8
14 4 Leicester 10 6 4 1.4 0.9 4 5 1 14 9 17
15 5 West Brom 10 6 4 1.1 1.1 5 2 3 11 11 17
16 8 Preston 10 6 4 1.2 0.9 4 4 2 12 9 16
17 17 Birmingham 10 6 4 1.0 1.4 3 3 4 10 14 12
18 22 Blackburn 9 5 4 0.8 1.4 2 1 6 7 13 7
19 3 Stoke 10 7 3 1.2 0.6 5 3 2 12 6 18
20 9 Charlton 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 4 3 3 10 9 15
21 13 Swansea 10 7 3 1.0 1.0 3 4 3 10 10 13
22 14 Portsmouth 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 3 4 3 9 10 13
23 21 Derby 10 7 3 1.1 1.6 1 5 4 11 16 8
24 23 Sheffield United 10 7 3 0.4 1.6 2 0 8 4 16 6
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Hull 5 1 4 1.8 1.6 3 1 1 9 8 10
2 12 Ipswich 5 1 4 2.6 1.0 3 2 0 13 5 11
3 16 Watford 5 1 4 1.6 1.2 3 1 1 8 6 10
4 6 Millwall 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 2 0 3 4 9 6
5 7 Bristol City 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 1 2 2 7 8 5
6 18 Wrexham 5 2 3 1.4 2.0 0 3 2 7 10 3
7 20 Norwich 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 0 0 5 4 9 0
8 24 Sheffield Weds 5 2 3 0.2 2.8 0 1 4 1 14 1
9 1 Coventry 5 3 2 2.6 0.4 3 2 0 13 2 11
10 2 Middlesbrough 5 3 2 1.2 0.4 4 1 0 6 2 13
11 8 Preston 5 3 2 1.4 0.6 3 2 0 7 3 11
12 9 Charlton 5 3 2 1.4 0.6 3 1 1 7 3 10
13 11 QPR 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8
14 13 Swansea 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 1 3 1 6 7 6
15 14 Portsmouth 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 2 1 2 5 6 7
16 15 Southampton 5 3 2 0.8 0.8 1 3 1 4 4 6
17 17 Birmingham 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 2 1 7 6 8
18 19 Oxford 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
19 22 Blackburn 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 1 3 3 7 1
20 23 Sheffield United 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 0 4 3 8 3
21 3 Stoke 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 3 1 1 6 3 10
22 4 Leicester 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 2 3 0 6 3 9
23 5 West Brom 5 4 1 1.0 0.8 2 2 1 5 4 8
24 21 Derby 5 4 1 1.2 1.8 0 3 2 6 9 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 5 1 4 3.2 1.0 3 2 0 16 5 11
2 10 Hull 5 1 4 1.6 2.0 1 2 2 8 10 5
3 11 QPR 5 1 4 1.6 2.4 2 1 2 8 12 7
4 24 Sheffield Weds 5 1 4 1.6 1.6 1 2 2 8 8 5
5 2 Middlesbrough 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 2 2 1 8 5 8
6 4 Leicester 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 2 2 1 8 6 8
7 5 West Brom 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 3 0 2 6 7 9
8 15 Southampton 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 1 3 1 7 8 6
9 19 Oxford 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 1 1 3 6 7 4
10 3 Stoke 5 3 2 1.2 0.6 2 2 1 6 3 8
11 6 Millwall 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 3 2 0 7 4 11
12 7 Bristol City 5 3 2 1.8 0.4 3 2 0 9 2 11
13 8 Preston 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
14 17 Birmingham 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 1 3 3 8 4
15 18 Wrexham 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 1 2 7 6 7
16 20 Norwich 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 2 1 7 6 8
17 21 Derby 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5
18 22 Blackburn 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 2 0 3 4 6 6
19 9 Charlton 5 4 1 0.6 1.2 1 2 2 3 6 5
20 12 Ipswich 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 0 2 2 3 5 2
21 13 Swansea 5 4 1 0.8 0.6 2 1 2 4 3 7
22 14 Portsmouth 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 1 3 1 4 4 6
23 16 Watford 5 4 1 0.6 1.2 0 2 3 3 6 2
24 23 Sheffield United 5 4 1 0.2 1.6 1 0 4 1 8 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51