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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: M Donohue

Southampton 1–1 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.57 fair 1.87
Draw ✓ 4.50 fair 4.75
Away 5.25 fair 3.92
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.60 fair 3.11
Over 2.5 1.48 fair 1.47

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Southampton Middlesbrough
13 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
8 Corners 5
5 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (455 league matches this season so far).
Result Southampton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.51
Expected goals 2.09 – 1.40
Home / Draw / Away
SouthamptonDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.3% 1–1 8.9% 2–0 6.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Southampton before this match, all matches
2.03points / match
2.03scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 73:47
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.42points / match
1.39scored / match
1.37conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 38 played · 53:52
Southampton all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

2.03 Goals scored 1.39
1.31 Goals conceded 1.37
3.33 Total goals 2.76
15.92 Shots 13.68
6.06 Shots on target 4.92
11.17 Shots faced 11.50
7.94 Corners 6.05
4.19 Corners against 4.97
10.11 Fouls 10.76
2.36 Yellow cards 1.79
0.92 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

61% Wins 42%
19% Draws 16%
19% Losses 42%
100% Over 0.5 goals 97%
86% Over 1.5 goals 82%
64% Over 2.5 goals 53%
39% Over 3.5 goals 26%
19% Over 4.5 goals 13%
11% Over 5.5 goals 5%
67% Both teams scored 55%
28% Clean sheets 24%
6% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 21%
31% Draws 42%
22% Losses 37%
78% Over 0.5 goals 66%
44% Over 1.5 goals 37%
19% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Southampton before this match, at home
2.11points / match
2.50scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 45:24
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.53points / match
1.74scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 33:31
Southampton at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 1.74
1.33 Goals conceded 1.63
3.83 Total goals 3.37
16.33 Shots 13.42
6.67 Shots on target 4.74
10.56 Shots faced 11.95
7.89 Corners 5.21
3.44 Corners against 5.37
9.83 Fouls 10.21
2.67 Yellow cards 2.00
1.06 1st-half goals scored 0.58
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.84

How often Full Time

67% Wins 47%
11% Draws 11%
22% Losses 42%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 89%
78% Over 2.5 goals 74%
50% Over 3.5 goals 37%
28% Over 4.5 goals 26%
17% Over 5.5 goals 11%
67% Both teams scored 68%
28% Clean sheets 16%
6% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 21%
17% Draws 32%
33% Losses 47%
89% Over 0.5 goals 74%
56% Over 1.5 goals 37%
22% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.24 Southampton – Sunderland 4–2 (2–0) 1.444.507.00 1.57 2.35
02.03.24 Birmingham – Southampton 3–4 (2–1) 4.003.801.85 1.62 2.25
24.02.24 Southampton – Millwall 1–2 (1–2) 1.365.008.00 1.62 2.25
20.02.24 Southampton – Hull 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.335.50 1.53 2.40
16.02.24 West Brom – Southampton 0–2 (0–1) 2.883.602.30 1.75 2.05
13.02.24 Bristol City – Southampton 3–1 (0–0) 4.203.601.80 1.93 1.93
10.02.24 Southampton – Huddersfield 5–3 (0–2) 1.305.5010.00 1.60 2.30
03.02.24 Rotherham – Southampton 0–2 (0–2) 9.505.001.33 1.62 2.25
20.01.24 Swansea – Southampton 1–3 (1–3) 5.004.001.67 1.65 2.20
13.01.24 Southampton – Sheffield Weds 4–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.00 1.70 2.10

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.24 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 1.75 2.05
12.03.24 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00
09.03.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.98 1.88
06.03.24 Middlesbrough – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.08
02.03.24 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.302.60 1.95 1.90
24.02.24 Middlesbrough – Plymouth 0–2 (0–2) 1.444.507.00 1.53 2.40
17.02.24 Leicester – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.505.00 1.65 2.20
14.02.24 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.402.20 2.05 1.75
10.02.24 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 1–2 (0–2) 1.704.004.50 1.95 1.90
04.02.24 Middlesbrough – Sunderland 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.85 2.00

Southampton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.24 Southampton – Sunderland 4–2 (2–0) 1.444.507.00 1.57 2.35
24.02.24 Southampton – Millwall 1–2 (1–2) 1.365.008.00 1.62 2.25
20.02.24 Southampton – Hull 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.335.50 1.53 2.40
10.02.24 Southampton – Huddersfield 5–3 (0–2) 1.305.5010.00 1.60 2.30
13.01.24 Southampton – Sheffield Weds 4–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.00 1.70 2.10
29.12.23 Southampton – Plymouth 2–1 (0–0) 1.335.757.50 1.40 2.88
26.12.23 Southampton – Swansea 5–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.57 2.35
16.12.23 Southampton – Blackburn 4–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.53 2.40
02.12.23 Southampton – Cardiff 2–0 (2–0) 1.624.005.25 1.80 2.00
29.11.23 Southampton – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.25 1.73 2.08

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.03.24 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00
09.03.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.98 1.88
02.03.24 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.302.60 1.95 1.90
17.02.24 Leicester – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.505.00 1.65 2.20
14.02.24 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.402.20 2.05 1.75
13.01.24 Millwall – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.753.402.55 2.05 1.75
29.12.23 Huddersfield – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–0) 4.333.801.75 1.95 1.90
26.12.23 Rotherham – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 5.754.001.60 1.75 2.05
16.12.23 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.502.20 1.73 2.08
02.12.23 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–2) 1.734.004.50 1.62 2.25

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Southampton winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23E1 Middlesbrough – Southampton 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.402.80 1.73 2.10

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 38 25 7 6 70 28 +42 82
2 Leicester 38 26 4 8 74 34 +40 82
3 Ipswich 38 24 9 5 80 49 +31 81
4 Southampton 36 22 7 7 73 47 +26 73
5 West Brom 39 19 10 10 60 37 +23 67
6 Norwich 38 18 7 13 69 54 +15 61
7 Hull 37 16 10 11 53 46 +7 58
8 Coventry 37 15 12 10 59 43 +16 57
9 Preston 37 16 8 13 49 54 -5 56
10 Middlesbrough 38 16 6 16 53 52 +1 54
11 Cardiff 38 16 5 17 43 51 -8 53
12 Bristol City 39 14 8 17 43 45 -2 50
13 Sunderland 38 14 6 18 48 45 +3 48
14 Watford 38 12 12 14 53 51 +2 48
15 Swansea 38 12 10 16 48 58 -10 46
16 Millwall 39 11 11 17 37 51 -14 44
17 Blackburn 38 11 9 18 51 64 -13 42
18 Plymouth 38 10 11 17 54 62 -8 41
19 Stoke 38 11 8 19 35 53 -18 41
20 QPR 38 10 10 18 36 50 -14 40
21 Birmingham 38 10 9 19 42 59 -17 39
22 Huddersfield 38 8 15 15 42 61 -19 39
23 Sheffield Weds 38 11 5 22 30 61 -31 38
24 Rotherham 38 3 11 24 30 77 -47 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 19 15 4 0 41 12 +29 49
2 Ipswich 19 14 4 1 53 29 +24 46
3 West Brom 19 13 3 3 31 14 +17 42
4 Norwich 19 13 2 4 37 18 +19 41
5 Leicester 18 13 1 4 35 13 +22 40
6 Southampton 18 12 2 4 45 24 +21 38
7 Coventry 18 8 8 2 29 17 +12 32
8 Sunderland 19 10 1 8 29 22 +7 31
9 Preston 19 9 4 6 28 31 -3 31
10 Bristol City 20 9 3 8 23 20 +3 30
11 Cardiff 19 9 3 7 23 22 +1 30
12 Hull 19 7 7 5 27 20 +7 28
13 Plymouth 19 8 4 7 38 33 +5 28
14 Birmingham 19 7 6 6 26 24 +2 27
15 Middlesbrough 19 7 4 8 20 21 -1 25
16 Sheffield Weds 19 7 4 8 20 23 -3 25
17 Blackburn 19 6 5 8 26 30 -4 23
18 Swansea 19 6 5 8 22 26 -4 23
19 Millwall 20 6 5 9 17 28 -11 23
20 Huddersfield 19 5 7 7 23 28 -5 22
21 Stoke 19 6 4 9 14 24 -10 22
22 Watford 19 5 6 8 29 26 +3 21
23 QPR 19 4 6 9 21 29 -8 18
24 Rotherham 19 3 7 9 17 24 -7 16
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 20 13 3 4 39 21 +18 42
2 Ipswich 19 10 5 4 27 20 +7 35
3 Southampton 18 10 5 3 28 23 +5 35
4 Leeds 19 10 3 6 29 16 +13 33
5 Hull 18 9 3 6 26 26 0 30
6 Middlesbrough 19 9 2 8 33 31 +2 29
7 Watford 19 7 6 6 24 25 -1 27
8 West Brom 20 6 7 7 29 23 +6 25
9 Coventry 19 7 4 8 30 26 +4 25
10 Preston 18 7 4 7 21 23 -2 25
11 Swansea 19 6 5 8 26 32 -6 23
12 Cardiff 19 7 2 10 20 29 -9 23
13 QPR 19 6 4 9 15 21 -6 22
14 Millwall 19 5 6 8 20 23 -3 21
15 Norwich 19 5 5 9 32 36 -4 20
16 Bristol City 19 5 5 9 20 25 -5 20
17 Stoke 19 5 4 10 21 29 -8 19
18 Blackburn 19 5 4 10 25 34 -9 19
19 Sunderland 19 4 5 10 19 23 -4 17
20 Huddersfield 19 3 8 8 19 33 -14 17
21 Plymouth 19 2 7 10 16 29 -13 13
22 Sheffield Weds 19 4 1 14 10 38 -28 13
23 Birmingham 19 3 3 13 16 35 -19 12
24 Rotherham 19 0 4 15 13 53 -40 4

Southampton   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Blackburn 38 12 26 1.3 1.7 11 9 18 51 64 42
2 3 Ipswich 38 13 25 2.1 1.3 24 9 5 80 49 81
3 6 Norwich 38 14 24 1.8 1.4 18 7 13 69 54 61
4 4 Southampton 36 13 23 2.0 1.3 22 7 7 73 47 73
5 15 Swansea 38 15 23 1.3 1.5 12 10 16 48 58 46
6 18 Plymouth 38 15 23 1.4 1.6 10 11 17 54 62 41
7 2 Leicester 38 16 22 1.9 0.9 26 4 8 74 34 82
8 9 Preston 37 15 22 1.3 1.5 16 8 13 49 54 56
9 7 Hull 37 16 21 1.4 1.2 16 10 11 53 46 58
10 8 Coventry 37 16 21 1.6 1.2 15 12 10 59 43 57
11 10 Middlesbrough 38 18 20 1.4 1.4 16 6 16 53 52 54
12 13 Sunderland 38 18 20 1.3 1.2 14 6 18 48 45 48
13 24 Rotherham 38 18 20 0.8 2.0 3 11 24 30 77 20
14 1 Leeds 38 19 19 1.8 0.7 25 7 6 70 28 82
15 14 Watford 38 19 19 1.4 1.3 12 12 14 53 51 48
16 11 Cardiff 38 20 18 1.1 1.3 16 5 17 43 51 53
17 21 Birmingham 38 20 18 1.1 1.6 10 9 19 42 59 39
18 22 Huddersfield 38 20 18 1.1 1.6 8 15 15 42 61 39
19 23 Sheffield Weds 38 20 18 0.8 1.6 11 5 22 30 61 38
20 5 West Brom 39 22 17 1.5 0.9 19 10 10 60 37 67
21 20 QPR 38 21 17 0.9 1.3 10 10 18 36 50 40
22 19 Stoke 38 22 16 0.9 1.4 11 8 19 35 53 41
23 12 Bristol City 39 24 15 1.1 1.2 14 8 17 43 45 50
24 16 Millwall 39 24 15 0.9 1.3 11 11 17 37 51 44
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Ipswich 19 3 16 2.8 1.5 14 4 1 53 29 46
2 4 Southampton 18 4 14 2.5 1.3 12 2 4 45 24 38
3 9 Preston 19 5 14 1.5 1.6 9 4 6 28 31 31
4 18 Plymouth 19 5 14 2.0 1.7 8 4 7 38 33 28
5 1 Leeds 19 7 12 2.2 0.6 15 4 0 41 12 49
6 13 Sunderland 19 7 12 1.5 1.2 10 1 8 29 22 31
7 17 Blackburn 19 7 12 1.4 1.6 6 5 8 26 30 23
8 14 Watford 19 8 11 1.5 1.4 5 6 8 29 26 21
9 15 Swansea 19 8 11 1.2 1.4 6 5 8 22 26 23
10 2 Leicester 18 8 10 1.9 0.7 13 1 4 35 13 40
11 6 Norwich 19 9 10 1.9 0.9 13 2 4 37 18 41
12 20 QPR 19 9 10 1.1 1.5 4 6 9 21 29 18
13 21 Birmingham 19 9 10 1.4 1.3 7 6 6 26 24 27
14 22 Huddersfield 19 9 10 1.2 1.5 5 7 7 23 28 22
15 23 Sheffield Weds 19 10 9 1.1 1.2 7 4 8 20 23 25
16 7 Hull 19 11 8 1.4 1.1 7 7 5 27 20 28
17 8 Coventry 18 10 8 1.6 0.9 8 8 2 29 17 32
18 11 Cardiff 19 11 8 1.2 1.2 9 3 7 23 22 30
19 16 Millwall 20 12 8 0.8 1.4 6 5 9 17 28 23
20 5 West Brom 19 12 7 1.6 0.7 13 3 3 31 14 42
21 19 Stoke 19 12 7 0.7 1.3 6 4 9 14 24 22
22 24 Rotherham 19 12 7 0.9 1.3 3 7 9 17 24 16
23 10 Middlesbrough 19 13 6 1.1 1.1 7 4 8 20 21 25
24 12 Bristol City 20 14 6 1.1 1.0 9 3 8 23 20 30
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Norwich 19 5 14 1.7 1.9 5 5 9 32 36 20
2 10 Middlesbrough 19 5 14 1.7 1.6 9 2 8 33 31 29
3 17 Blackburn 19 5 14 1.3 1.8 5 4 10 25 34 19
4 7 Hull 18 5 13 1.4 1.4 9 3 6 26 26 30
5 8 Coventry 19 6 13 1.6 1.4 7 4 8 30 26 25
6 24 Rotherham 19 6 13 0.7 2.8 0 4 15 13 53 4
7 2 Leicester 20 8 12 1.9 1.1 13 3 4 39 21 42
8 15 Swansea 19 7 12 1.4 1.7 6 5 8 26 32 23
9 5 West Brom 20 10 10 1.4 1.1 6 7 7 29 23 25
10 11 Cardiff 19 9 10 1.1 1.5 7 2 10 20 29 23
11 3 Ipswich 19 10 9 1.4 1.1 10 5 4 27 20 35
12 4 Southampton 18 9 9 1.6 1.3 10 5 3 28 23 35
13 12 Bristol City 19 10 9 1.1 1.3 5 5 9 20 25 20
14 18 Plymouth 19 10 9 0.8 1.5 2 7 10 16 29 13
15 19 Stoke 19 10 9 1.1 1.5 5 4 10 21 29 19
16 23 Sheffield Weds 19 10 9 0.5 2.0 4 1 14 10 38 13
17 9 Preston 18 10 8 1.2 1.3 7 4 7 21 23 25
18 13 Sunderland 19 11 8 1.0 1.2 4 5 10 19 23 17
19 14 Watford 19 11 8 1.3 1.3 7 6 6 24 25 27
20 21 Birmingham 19 11 8 0.8 1.8 3 3 13 16 35 12
21 22 Huddersfield 19 11 8 1.0 1.7 3 8 8 19 33 17
22 1 Leeds 19 12 7 1.5 0.8 10 3 6 29 16 33
23 16 Millwall 19 12 7 1.1 1.2 5 6 8 20 23 21
24 20 QPR 19 12 7 0.8 1.1 6 4 9 15 21 22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51