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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Martin

Sheffield United 1–1 Derby

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2026/2027

Home 1.76 fair 2.00
Draw ✓ 3.60 fair 4.17
Away 4.33 fair 3.83
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.20
Over 2.5 1.80 fair 1.83

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sheffield United Derby
25 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 4
2.99 Expected goals (xG) 1.16
7 Corners 7
8 Fouls 17
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (133 league matches this season so far).
Result Sheffield United to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.70 – 1.16
Home / Draw / Away
Sheffield UnitedDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 1–0 9.7% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Sheffield United before this match, all matches
1.36points / match
1.36scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 15:14
Derby before this match, all matches
0.55points / match
0.82scored / match
1.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 9:20
Sheffield United all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 0.82
1.27 Goals conceded 1.82
2.64 Total goals 2.64
1.10 xG created 0.96
1.49 xG allowed 1.65
9.36 Shots 12.73
3.27 Shots on target 3.82
15.91 Shots faced 14.18
3.27 Corners 5.55
6.82 Corners against 5.27
11.55 Fouls 12.64
2.00 Yellow cards 2.27
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

36% Wins 9%
27% Draws 27%
36% Losses 64%
82% Over 0.5 goals 100%
64% Over 1.5 goals 82%
64% Over 2.5 goals 55%
36% Over 3.5 goals 18%
18% Over 4.5 goals 9%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
55% Both teams scored 55%
36% Clean sheets 9%
27% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 27%
55% Draws 18%
18% Losses 55%
64% Over 0.5 goals 91%
36% Over 1.5 goals 36%
27% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sheffield United all matches
Derby all matches
Sheffield United before this match, at home
1.40points / match
1.40scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:6
Derby before this match, away
0.80points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:10
Sheffield United at home away Derby

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 1.00
1.20 Goals conceded 2.00
2.60 Total goals 3.00
0.92 xG created 0.85
1.79 xG allowed 1.52
8.60 Shots 11.80
3.40 Shots on target 4.20
15.20 Shots faced 13.80
3.20 Corners 4.20
5.60 Corners against 5.20
12.00 Fouls 13.80
1.60 Yellow cards 2.40
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

40% Wins 20%
20% Draws 20%
40% Losses 60%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 100%
60% Over 2.5 goals 60%
40% Over 3.5 goals 20%
20% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 60%
40% Clean sheets 20%
40% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 40%
60% Draws 0%
20% Losses 60%
60% Over 0.5 goals 100%
40% Over 1.5 goals 20%
20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sheffield United at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sheffield United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.10.26 Bristol City – Sheffield United 0–1 (0–1) 2.013.503.50 1.80 2.00
14.10.26 Portsmouth – Sheffield United 3–2 (1–0) 2.203.253.20 1.91 1.91
10.10.26 Sheffield United – Lincoln 3–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.40 2.00 1.80
19.09.26 Stoke – Sheffield United 2–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.91 1.91
13.09.26 Sheffield United – Wolves 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.502.10 1.73 2.10
08.09.26 Blackburn – Sheffield United 1–2 (1–2) 3.003.402.25 1.88 1.98
05.09.26 Sheffield United – Norwich 1–3 (1–2) 2.553.302.57 1.80 2.00
01.09.26 Sheffield United – Bolton 3–2 (1–1) 1.573.905.25 1.73 2.10
29.08.26 Cardiff – Sheffield United 2–2 (2–2) 2.553.502.50 1.73 2.10
22.08.26 Swansea – Sheffield United 0–0 (0–0) 2.323.402.82 1.90 1.95

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.10.26 Derby – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.853.402.30 1.91 1.91
14.10.26 QPR – Derby 4–1 (3–0) 1.663.804.50 1.80 2.00
10.10.26 Derby – Wrexham 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.202.57 2.00 1.80
19.09.26 Burnley – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.88 1.98
12.09.26 Derby – Birmingham 1–2 (1–1) 3.403.302.10 2.10 1.73
09.09.26 Derby – West Brom 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.252.30 1.98 1.88
05.09.26 West Ham – Derby 3–0 (1–0) 1.335.007.50 1.67 2.20
01.09.26 Portsmouth – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 1.863.404.00 2.00 1.85
29.08.26 Derby – Swansea 0–3 (0–2) 2.203.253.20 2.10 1.73
22.08.26 Derby – Cardiff 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.503.75 2.03 1.83

Sheffield United at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 Sheffield United – Lincoln 3–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.40 2.00 1.80
13.09.26 Sheffield United – Wolves 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.502.10 1.73 2.10
05.09.26 Sheffield United – Norwich 1–3 (1–2) 2.553.302.57 1.80 2.00
01.09.26 Sheffield United – Bolton 3–2 (1–1) 1.573.905.25 1.73 2.10
15.08.26 Sheffield United – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.75 2.03 1.83
25.04.26 Sheffield United – Preston 2–3 (0–2) 1.574.504.33 1.67 2.20
22.04.26 Sheffield United – Blackburn 1–3 (0–3) 1.713.504.75 1.90 1.95
11.04.26 Sheffield United – Hull 2–1 (0–1) 1.763.704.10 1.67 2.20
03.04.26 Sheffield United – Swansea 3–3 (1–1) 1.963.603.50 1.93 1.93
21.03.26 Sheffield United – Wrexham 1–2 (0–0) 1.913.403.90 1.83 2.03

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.10.26 QPR – Derby 4–1 (3–0) 1.663.804.50 1.80 2.00
19.09.26 Burnley – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.88 1.98
05.09.26 West Ham – Derby 3–0 (1–0) 1.335.007.50 1.67 2.20
01.09.26 Portsmouth – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 1.863.404.00 2.00 1.85
15.08.26 Charlton – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 2.653.202.65 2.20 1.67
25.04.26 QPR – Derby 2–3 (1–1) 2.853.502.20 1.80 2.00
21.04.26 Norwich – Derby 2–1 (1–0) 1.963.503.60 1.83 2.03
11.04.26 Southampton – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.804.20 1.80 2.00
03.04.26 Coventry – Derby 3–2 (1–1) 1.534.006.00 1.73 2.10
16.03.26 Portsmouth – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 2.153.203.40 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sheffield United winsDrawsDerby wins
6matches
2.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.05.26E1 Derby – Sheffield United 1–2 (1–0) 1.793.803.90 1.62 2.30
01.11.25E1 Sheffield United – Derby 1–3 (0–1) 1.763.504.33 2.20 1.67
01.02.25E1 Derby – Sheffield United 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.102.15 2.20 1.67
21.09.24E1 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.105.50 1.80 2.00
15.01.22E1 Derby – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.30 1.61
25.09.21E1 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 12 7 4 1 27 17 +10 25
2 Swansea 11 7 2 2 16 8 +8 23
3 West Ham 11 6 4 1 30 12 +18 22
4 Southampton 11 6 3 2 21 10 +11 21
5 Birmingham 11 5 5 1 20 11 +9 20
6 West Brom 11 6 2 3 15 12 +3 20
7 Stoke 11 6 1 4 18 16 +2 19
8 Wolves 11 5 3 3 19 16 +3 18
9 QPR 11 4 5 2 15 12 +3 17
10 Blackburn 11 4 3 4 17 16 +1 15
11 Sheffield United 11 4 3 4 15 14 +1 15
12 Millwall 11 4 3 4 18 18 0 15
13 Portsmouth 11 4 3 4 14 14 0 15
14 Wrexham 11 3 5 3 15 16 -1 14
15 Bristol City 11 4 2 5 12 15 -3 14
16 Charlton 11 3 5 3 10 15 -5 14
17 Bolton 12 4 2 6 16 23 -7 14
18 Lincoln 11 3 3 5 9 19 -10 12
19 Cardiff 11 2 5 4 18 17 +1 11
20 Watford 11 3 2 6 10 19 -9 11
21 Norwich 11 3 0 8 17 21 -4 9
22 Burnley 11 1 5 5 16 21 -5 8
23 Derby 11 1 3 7 9 20 -11 6
24 Preston 11 1 1 9 9 24 -15 4
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Southampton 6 5 1 0 16 4 +12 16
2 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 0 14 9 +5 14
3 Swansea 6 3 2 1 7 3 +4 11
4 West Brom 6 3 2 1 9 6 +3 11
5 West Ham 5 3 1 1 15 5 +10 10
6 Birmingham 6 2 4 0 14 7 +7 10
7 Watford 6 3 1 2 8 9 -1 10
8 Cardiff 5 2 3 0 12 6 +6 9
9 Stoke 5 3 0 2 10 6 +4 9
10 Blackburn 5 3 0 2 9 7 +2 9
11 Charlton 5 2 3 0 4 2 +2 9
12 Millwall 6 2 2 2 11 8 +3 8
13 QPR 5 2 2 1 8 5 +3 8
14 Wrexham 6 2 2 2 10 8 +2 8
15 Wolves 5 2 2 1 9 7 +2 8
16 Sheffield United 5 2 1 2 7 6 +1 7
17 Portsmouth 5 2 1 2 8 9 -1 7
18 Norwich 6 2 0 4 10 10 0 6
19 Bristol City 6 2 0 4 3 6 -3 6
20 Bolton 6 2 0 4 7 12 -5 6
21 Burnley 6 0 4 2 8 10 -2 4
22 Preston 5 1 0 4 4 9 -5 3
23 Derby 6 0 2 4 4 10 -6 2
24 Lincoln 5 0 2 3 3 12 -9 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Ham 6 3 3 0 15 7 +8 12
2 Swansea 5 4 0 1 9 5 +4 12
3 Middlesbrough 6 3 2 1 13 8 +5 11
4 Birmingham 5 3 1 1 6 4 +2 10
5 Wolves 6 3 1 2 10 9 +1 10
6 Lincoln 6 3 1 2 6 7 -1 10
7 Stoke 6 3 1 2 8 10 -2 10
8 QPR 6 2 3 1 7 7 0 9
9 West Brom 5 3 0 2 6 6 0 9
10 Portsmouth 6 2 2 2 6 5 +1 8
11 Bristol City 5 2 2 1 9 9 0 8
12 Sheffield United 6 2 2 2 8 8 0 8
13 Bolton 6 2 2 2 9 11 -2 8
14 Millwall 5 2 1 2 7 10 -3 7
15 Blackburn 6 1 3 2 8 9 -1 6
16 Wrexham 5 1 3 1 5 8 -3 6
17 Southampton 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
18 Charlton 6 1 2 3 6 13 -7 5
19 Burnley 5 1 1 3 8 11 -3 4
20 Derby 5 1 1 3 5 10 -5 4
21 Norwich 5 1 0 4 7 11 -4 3
22 Cardiff 6 0 2 4 6 11 -5 2
23 Watford 5 0 1 4 2 10 -8 1
24 Preston 6 0 1 5 5 15 -10 1

Sheffield United   Derby

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Middlesbrough 12 3 9 2.2 1.4 7 4 1 27 17 25
2 10 Blackburn 11 2 9 1.5 1.5 4 3 4 17 16 15
3 3 West Ham 11 3 8 2.7 1.1 6 4 1 30 12 22
4 5 Birmingham 11 3 8 1.8 1.0 5 5 1 20 11 20
5 7 Stoke 11 3 8 1.6 1.5 6 1 4 18 16 19
6 12 Millwall 11 3 8 1.6 1.6 4 3 4 18 18 15
7 17 Bolton 12 4 8 1.3 1.9 4 2 6 16 23 14
8 21 Norwich 11 3 8 1.5 1.9 3 0 8 17 21 9
9 22 Burnley 11 3 8 1.5 1.9 1 5 5 16 21 8
10 24 Preston 11 3 8 0.8 2.2 1 1 9 9 24 4
11 8 Wolves 11 4 7 1.7 1.5 5 3 3 19 16 18
12 11 Sheffield United 11 4 7 1.4 1.3 4 3 4 15 14 15
13 19 Cardiff 11 4 7 1.6 1.5 2 5 4 18 17 11
14 2 Swansea 11 5 6 1.5 0.7 7 2 2 16 8 23
15 4 Southampton 11 5 6 1.9 0.9 6 3 2 21 10 21
16 9 QPR 11 5 6 1.4 1.1 4 5 2 15 12 17
17 14 Wrexham 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 3 5 3 15 16 14
18 18 Lincoln 11 5 6 0.8 1.7 3 3 5 9 19 12
19 23 Derby 11 5 6 0.8 1.8 1 3 7 9 20 6
20 6 West Brom 11 6 5 1.4 1.1 6 2 3 15 12 20
21 13 Portsmouth 11 6 5 1.3 1.3 4 3 4 14 14 15
22 15 Bristol City 11 6 5 1.1 1.4 4 2 5 12 15 14
23 16 Charlton 11 6 5 0.9 1.4 3 5 3 10 15 14
24 20 Watford 11 6 5 0.9 1.7 3 2 6 10 19 11
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Middlesbrough 6 1 5 2.3 1.5 4 2 0 14 9 14
2 5 Birmingham 6 1 5 2.3 1.2 2 4 0 14 7 10
3 10 Blackburn 5 0 5 1.8 1.4 3 0 2 9 7 9
4 12 Millwall 6 1 5 1.8 1.3 2 2 2 11 8 8
5 3 West Ham 5 1 4 3.0 1.0 3 1 1 15 5 10
6 4 Southampton 6 2 4 2.7 0.7 5 1 0 16 4 16
7 7 Stoke 5 1 4 2.0 1.2 3 0 2 10 6 9
8 14 Wrexham 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 2 2 2 10 8 8
9 17 Bolton 6 2 4 1.2 2.0 2 0 4 7 12 6
10 20 Watford 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 3 1 2 8 9 10
11 21 Norwich 6 2 4 1.7 1.7 2 0 4 10 10 6
12 22 Burnley 6 2 4 1.3 1.7 0 4 2 8 10 4
13 8 Wolves 5 2 3 1.8 1.4 2 2 1 9 7 8
14 9 QPR 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 2 2 1 8 5 8
15 11 Sheffield United 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 2 1 2 7 6 7
16 13 Portsmouth 5 2 3 1.6 1.8 2 1 2 8 9 7
17 18 Lincoln 5 2 3 0.6 2.4 0 2 3 3 12 2
18 19 Cardiff 5 2 3 2.4 1.2 2 3 0 12 6 9
19 23 Derby 6 3 3 0.7 1.7 0 2 4 4 10 2
20 24 Preston 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 0 4 4 9 3
21 2 Swansea 6 4 2 1.2 0.5 3 2 1 7 3 11
22 6 West Brom 6 4 2 1.5 1.0 3 2 1 9 6 11
23 15 Bristol City 6 5 1 0.5 1.0 2 0 4 3 6 6
24 16 Charlton 5 4 1 0.8 0.4 2 3 0 4 2 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 24 Preston 6 1 5 0.8 2.5 0 1 5 5 15 1
2 1 Middlesbrough 6 2 4 2.2 1.3 3 2 1 13 8 11
3 2 Swansea 5 1 4 1.8 1.0 4 0 1 9 5 12
4 3 West Ham 6 2 4 2.5 1.2 3 3 0 15 7 12
5 7 Stoke 6 2 4 1.3 1.7 3 1 2 8 10 10
6 8 Wolves 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 3 1 2 10 9 10
7 10 Blackburn 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 1 3 2 8 9 6
8 11 Sheffield United 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 2 8 8 8
9 15 Bristol City 5 1 4 1.8 1.8 2 2 1 9 9 8
10 16 Charlton 6 2 4 1.0 2.2 1 2 3 6 13 5
11 17 Bolton 6 2 4 1.5 1.8 2 2 2 9 11 8
12 19 Cardiff 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 0 2 4 6 11 2
13 21 Norwich 5 1 4 1.4 2.2 1 0 4 7 11 3
14 22 Burnley 5 1 4 1.6 2.2 1 1 3 8 11 4
15 5 Birmingham 5 2 3 1.2 0.8 3 1 1 6 4 10
16 6 West Brom 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 3 0 2 6 6 9
17 9 QPR 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 3 1 7 7 9
18 12 Millwall 5 2 3 1.4 2.0 2 1 2 7 10 7
19 18 Lincoln 6 3 3 1.0 1.2 3 1 2 6 7 10
20 23 Derby 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 3 5 10 4
21 4 Southampton 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
22 13 Portsmouth 6 4 2 1.0 0.8 2 2 2 6 5 8
23 14 Wrexham 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 3 1 5 8 6
24 20 Watford 5 4 1 0.4 2.0 0 1 4 2 10 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51