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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Reeves

Norwich 2–1 Derby

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.96 fair 2.60
Draw 3.50 fair 3.91
Away 3.60 fair 2.78
Under 2.5 2.03 fair 2.07
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 1.93

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Norwich Derby
14 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 8
3 Corners 4
9 Fouls 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (516 league matches this season so far).
Result Norwich to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.40 – 1.35
Home / Draw / Away
NorwichDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 1–0 9% 0–1 8.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Norwich before this match, all matches
1.42points / match
1.37scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 43 played · 59:52
Derby before this match, all matches
1.53points / match
1.44scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 43 played · 62:53
Norwich all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.37 Goals scored 1.44
1.21 Goals conceded 1.23
2.58 Total goals 2.67
12.51 Shots 10.81
4.40 Shots on target 3.44
11.98 Shots faced 12.42
5.40 Corners 4.51
5.12 Corners against 5.37
10.05 Fouls 12.33
1.88 Yellow cards 2.30
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.51 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

42% Wins 44%
16% Draws 21%
42% Losses 35%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
81% Over 1.5 goals 74%
47% Over 2.5 goals 49%
16% Over 3.5 goals 23%
12% Over 4.5 goals 12%
2% Over 5.5 goals 5%
58% Both teams scored 63%
21% Clean sheets 28%
21% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 40%
40% Draws 35%
28% Losses 26%
65% Over 0.5 goals 79%
30% Over 1.5 goals 26%
9% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Norwich all matches
Derby all matches
Norwich before this match, at home
1.24points / match
1.14scored / match
1.24conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 24:26
Derby before this match, away
1.43points / match
1.52scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 32:28
Norwich at home away Derby

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 1.52
1.24 Goals conceded 1.33
2.38 Total goals 2.86
13.57 Shots 9.90
4.24 Shots on target 3.24
10.38 Shots faced 14.00
5.86 Corners 3.48
4.33 Corners against 6.38
9.86 Fouls 12.86
1.43 Yellow cards 2.57
0.48 1st-half goals scored 0.81
0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

38% Wins 43%
10% Draws 14%
52% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
81% Over 1.5 goals 76%
43% Over 2.5 goals 62%
10% Over 3.5 goals 29%
5% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
52% Both teams scored 62%
19% Clean sheets 24%
29% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 48%
43% Draws 29%
29% Losses 24%
57% Over 0.5 goals 81%
29% Over 1.5 goals 24%
5% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Norwich at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Norwich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.26 Bristol City – Norwich 2–4 (1–0) 2.573.402.50 1.91 1.91
11.04.26 Norwich – Ipswich 0–2 (0–2) 2.853.602.20 1.90 1.95
06.04.26 Millwall – Norwich 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.303.25 1.88 1.98
03.04.26 Norwich – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–0) 1.913.603.75 2.10 1.73
21.03.26 Charlton – Norwich 0–1 (0–1) 3.403.302.10 2.00 1.80
18.03.26 Southampton – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.503.75 1.73 2.10
14.03.26 Norwich – Preston 2–0 (2–0) 1.624.004.75 1.85 2.00
11.03.26 Norwich – Sheffield United 2–1 (0–1) 2.503.502.55 1.80 2.00
28.02.26 Leicester – Norwich 0–2 (0–0) 2.403.402.70 1.80 2.00
25.02.26 Norwich – Sheffield Weds 2–0 (2–0) 1.156.5015.00 1.50 2.63

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.26 Derby – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 1.863.404.10 2.10 1.73
11.04.26 Southampton – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.804.20 1.80 2.00
06.04.26 Derby – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 1.863.503.90 2.03 1.83
03.04.26 Coventry – Derby 3–2 (1–1) 1.534.006.00 1.73 2.10
21.03.26 Derby – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.252.50 1.98 1.88
16.03.26 Portsmouth – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 2.153.203.40 2.20 1.67
10.03.26 Millwall – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 2.05 1.80
07.03.26 Derby – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (2–1) 1.245.2512.00 1.73 2.10
28.02.26 Derby – Blackburn 3–1 (0–1) 2.103.303.30 2.20 1.67
24.02.26 Hull – Derby 4–2 (2–2) 2.553.202.70 2.10 1.73

Norwich at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26 Norwich – Ipswich 0–2 (0–2) 2.853.602.20 1.90 1.95
03.04.26 Norwich – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–0) 1.913.603.75 2.10 1.73
14.03.26 Norwich – Preston 2–0 (2–0) 1.624.004.75 1.85 2.00
11.03.26 Norwich – Sheffield United 2–1 (0–1) 2.503.502.55 1.80 2.00
25.02.26 Norwich – Sheffield Weds 2–0 (2–0) 1.156.5015.00 1.50 2.63
21.02.26 Norwich – Birmingham 1–2 (0–2) 2.503.402.65 1.91 1.91
07.02.26 Norwich – Blackburn 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.503.75 2.00 1.80
26.01.26 Norwich – Coventry 2–1 (0–1) 2.823.502.30 1.67 2.20
04.01.26 Norwich – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.05 1.93 1.93
29.12.25 Norwich – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.65 1.80 2.00

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26 Southampton – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.804.20 1.80 2.00
03.04.26 Coventry – Derby 3–2 (1–1) 1.534.006.00 1.73 2.10
16.03.26 Portsmouth – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 2.153.203.40 2.20 1.67
10.03.26 Millwall – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 2.05 1.80
24.02.26 Hull – Derby 4–2 (2–2) 2.553.202.70 2.10 1.73
21.02.26 Watford – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.40 2.20 1.67
30.01.26 Bristol City – Derby 0–5 (0–3) 2.153.303.30 2.10 1.73
20.01.26 Charlton – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 2.653.002.75 2.50 1.53
17.01.26 Preston – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.103.40 2.38 1.57
29.12.25 Leicester – Derby 2–1 (2–1) 2.053.253.50 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Norwich winsDrawsDerby wins
3matches
2.67goals / match
33%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.25E1 Derby – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.052.82 2.20 1.67
08.02.25E1 Norwich – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.98 1.88
28.09.24E1 Derby – Norwich 2–3 (0–1) 2.633.602.50 1.98 1.88

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 43 25 11 7 85 43 +42 86
2 Ipswich 42 21 13 8 73 44 +29 76
3 Millwall 43 22 10 11 58 47 +11 76
4 Southampton 43 21 12 10 75 51 +24 75
5 Middlesbrough 43 20 13 10 64 44 +20 73
6 Hull 43 20 9 14 65 61 +4 69
7 Wrexham 43 18 13 12 65 60 +5 67
8 Derby 43 19 9 15 62 53 +9 66
9 Norwich 43 18 7 18 59 52 +7 61
10 Bristol City 43 16 10 17 54 55 -1 58
11 QPR 43 16 10 17 58 65 -7 58
12 Sheffield United 43 17 6 20 61 59 +2 57
13 Birmingham 43 15 12 16 52 53 -1 57
14 Watford 43 14 15 14 52 53 -1 57
15 Swansea 43 16 9 18 51 56 -5 57
16 Preston 43 14 15 14 50 55 -5 57
17 Stoke 43 15 10 18 49 48 +1 55
18 Portsmouth 43 13 12 18 44 57 -13 51
19 Charlton 43 12 14 17 40 52 -12 50
20 West Brom 43 12 13 18 44 56 -12 49
21 Blackburn 44 12 13 19 39 54 -15 49
22 Leicester 43 11 14 18 54 65 -11 47
23 Oxford 43 10 14 19 41 55 -14 44
24 Sheffield Weds 43 1 12 30 26 83 -57 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 21 15 4 2 43 17 +26 49
2 Ipswich 22 13 8 1 40 17 +23 47
3 Southampton 21 12 6 3 34 15 +19 42
4 Millwall 22 12 3 7 31 25 +6 39
5 Birmingham 21 10 8 3 35 20 +15 38
6 Watford 22 10 7 5 30 23 +7 37
7 Middlesbrough 21 10 6 5 28 17 +11 36
8 Swansea 22 10 6 6 31 26 +5 36
9 Derby 22 10 6 6 30 25 +5 36
10 Wrexham 22 10 6 6 39 35 +4 36
11 Hull 22 10 5 7 33 33 0 35
12 Stoke 21 9 6 6 32 22 +10 33
13 QPR 21 10 3 8 37 32 +5 33
14 Sheffield United 21 9 4 8 35 27 +8 31
15 Preston 22 8 7 7 27 27 0 31
16 West Brom 21 7 9 5 25 25 0 30
17 Portsmouth 22 8 5 9 24 22 +2 29
18 Bristol City 22 8 4 10 31 31 0 28
19 Charlton 21 8 4 9 20 23 -3 28
20 Norwich 21 8 2 11 24 26 -2 26
21 Leicester 21 7 5 9 28 31 -3 26
22 Oxford 21 6 8 7 20 25 -5 26
23 Blackburn 22 4 9 9 19 26 -7 21
24 Sheffield Weds 22 0 7 15 12 43 -31 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 22 10 7 5 42 26 +16 37
2 Middlesbrough 22 10 7 5 36 27 +9 37
3 Millwall 21 10 7 4 27 22 +5 37
4 Norwich 22 10 5 7 35 26 +9 35
5 Hull 21 10 4 7 32 28 +4 34
6 Southampton 22 9 6 7 41 36 +5 33
7 Wrexham 21 8 7 6 26 25 +1 31
8 Derby 21 9 3 9 32 28 +4 30
9 Bristol City 21 8 6 7 23 24 -1 30
10 Ipswich 20 8 5 7 33 27 +6 29
11 Blackburn 22 8 4 10 20 28 -8 28
12 Preston 21 6 8 7 23 28 -5 26
13 Sheffield United 22 8 2 12 26 32 -6 26
14 QPR 22 6 7 9 21 33 -12 25
15 Charlton 22 4 10 8 20 29 -9 22
16 Stoke 22 6 4 12 17 26 -9 22
17 Portsmouth 21 5 7 9 20 35 -15 22
18 Leicester 22 4 9 9 26 34 -8 21
19 Swansea 21 6 3 12 20 30 -10 21
20 Watford 21 4 8 9 22 30 -8 20
21 West Brom 22 5 4 13 19 31 -12 19
22 Birmingham 22 5 4 13 17 33 -16 19
23 Oxford 22 4 6 12 21 30 -9 18
24 Sheffield Weds 21 1 5 15 14 40 -26 8

Norwich   Derby

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Hull 43 16 27 1.5 1.4 20 9 14 65 61 69
2 1 Coventry 43 17 26 2.0 1.0 25 11 7 85 43 86
3 4 Southampton 43 17 26 1.7 1.2 21 12 10 75 51 75
4 11 QPR 43 17 26 1.3 1.5 16 10 17 58 65 58
5 12 Sheffield United 43 19 24 1.4 1.4 17 6 20 61 59 57
6 22 Leicester 43 19 24 1.3 1.5 11 14 18 54 65 47
7 5 Middlesbrough 43 20 23 1.5 1.0 20 13 10 64 44 73
8 24 Sheffield Weds 43 21 22 0.6 1.9 1 12 30 26 83 15
9 2 Ipswich 42 21 21 1.7 1.0 21 13 8 73 44 76
10 3 Millwall 43 22 21 1.3 1.1 22 10 11 58 47 76
11 7 Wrexham 43 22 21 1.5 1.4 18 13 12 65 60 67
12 8 Derby 43 22 21 1.4 1.2 19 9 15 62 53 66
13 15 Swansea 43 22 21 1.2 1.3 16 9 18 51 56 57
14 9 Norwich 43 23 20 1.4 1.2 18 7 18 59 52 61
15 23 Oxford 43 23 20 1.0 1.3 10 14 19 41 55 44
16 10 Bristol City 43 24 19 1.3 1.3 16 10 17 54 55 58
17 13 Birmingham 43 24 19 1.2 1.2 15 12 16 52 53 57
18 14 Watford 43 24 19 1.2 1.2 14 15 14 52 53 57
19 16 Preston 43 24 19 1.2 1.3 14 15 14 50 55 57
20 20 West Brom 43 24 19 1.0 1.3 12 13 18 44 56 49
21 17 Stoke 43 25 18 1.1 1.1 15 10 18 49 48 55
22 18 Portsmouth 43 25 18 1.0 1.3 13 12 18 44 57 51
23 21 Blackburn 44 27 17 0.9 1.2 12 13 19 39 54 49
24 19 Charlton 43 28 15 0.9 1.2 12 14 17 40 52 50
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 QPR 21 5 16 1.8 1.5 10 3 8 37 32 33
2 12 Sheffield United 21 6 15 1.7 1.3 9 4 8 35 27 31
3 1 Coventry 21 8 13 2.0 0.8 15 4 2 43 17 49
4 6 Hull 22 9 13 1.5 1.5 10 5 7 33 33 35
5 2 Ipswich 22 10 12 1.8 0.8 13 8 1 40 17 47
6 3 Millwall 22 10 12 1.4 1.1 12 3 7 31 25 39
7 7 Wrexham 22 10 12 1.8 1.6 10 6 6 39 35 36
8 10 Bristol City 22 11 11 1.4 1.4 8 4 10 31 31 28
9 15 Swansea 22 11 11 1.4 1.2 10 6 6 31 26 36
10 17 Stoke 21 10 11 1.5 1.0 9 6 6 32 22 33
11 22 Leicester 21 10 11 1.3 1.5 7 5 9 28 31 26
12 4 Southampton 21 11 10 1.6 0.7 12 6 3 34 15 42
13 16 Preston 22 12 10 1.2 1.2 8 7 7 27 27 31
14 24 Sheffield Weds 22 12 10 0.5 2.0 0 7 15 12 43 7
15 5 Middlesbrough 21 12 9 1.3 0.8 10 6 5 28 17 36
16 9 Norwich 21 12 9 1.1 1.2 8 2 11 24 26 26
17 13 Birmingham 21 12 9 1.7 1.0 10 8 3 35 20 38
18 14 Watford 22 13 9 1.4 1.0 10 7 5 30 23 37
19 18 Portsmouth 22 13 9 1.1 1.0 8 5 9 24 22 29
20 20 West Brom 21 12 9 1.2 1.2 7 9 5 25 25 30
21 23 Oxford 21 12 9 1.0 1.2 6 8 7 20 25 26
22 8 Derby 22 14 8 1.4 1.1 10 6 6 30 25 36
23 19 Charlton 21 13 8 1.0 1.1 8 4 9 20 23 28
24 21 Blackburn 22 15 7 0.9 1.2 4 9 9 19 26 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Southampton 22 6 16 1.9 1.6 9 6 7 41 36 33
2 5 Middlesbrough 22 8 14 1.6 1.2 10 7 5 36 27 37
3 6 Hull 21 7 14 1.5 1.3 10 4 7 32 28 34
4 1 Coventry 22 9 13 1.9 1.2 10 7 5 42 26 37
5 8 Derby 21 8 13 1.5 1.3 9 3 9 32 28 30
6 22 Leicester 22 9 13 1.2 1.5 4 9 9 26 34 21
7 24 Sheffield Weds 21 9 12 0.7 1.9 1 5 15 14 40 8
8 9 Norwich 22 11 11 1.6 1.2 10 5 7 35 26 35
9 23 Oxford 22 11 11 1.0 1.4 4 6 12 21 30 18
10 11 QPR 22 12 10 1.0 1.5 6 7 9 21 33 25
11 13 Birmingham 22 12 10 0.8 1.5 5 4 13 17 33 19
12 14 Watford 21 11 10 1.0 1.4 4 8 9 22 30 20
13 15 Swansea 21 11 10 1.0 1.4 6 3 12 20 30 21
14 20 West Brom 22 12 10 0.9 1.4 5 4 13 19 31 19
15 21 Blackburn 22 12 10 0.9 1.3 8 4 10 20 28 28
16 2 Ipswich 20 11 9 1.6 1.4 8 5 7 33 27 29
17 3 Millwall 21 12 9 1.3 1.0 10 7 4 27 22 37
18 7 Wrexham 21 12 9 1.2 1.2 8 7 6 26 25 31
19 12 Sheffield United 22 13 9 1.2 1.5 8 2 12 26 32 26
20 16 Preston 21 12 9 1.1 1.3 6 8 7 23 28 26
21 18 Portsmouth 21 12 9 1.0 1.7 5 7 9 20 35 22
22 10 Bristol City 21 13 8 1.1 1.1 8 6 7 23 24 30
23 17 Stoke 22 15 7 0.8 1.2 6 4 12 17 26 22
24 19 Charlton 22 15 7 0.9 1.3 4 10 8 20 29 22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51