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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: L Swabey

Ipswich 1–0 Derby

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.75 fair 2.13
Draw 3.75 fair 3.87
Away 4.50 fair 3.69
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 1.90
Over 2.5 2.05 fair 2.11

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ipswich Derby
16 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 0
11 Corners 3
13 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (159 league matches this season so far).
Result Ipswich to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.96
Expected goals 1.50 – 1.07
Home / Draw / Away
IpswichDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 11.5% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Ipswich before this match, all matches
2.14points / match
1.93scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 27:12
Derby before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.25scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 15:11
Ipswich all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.93 Goals scored 1.25
0.86 Goals conceded 0.92
2.79 Total goals 2.17
17.21 Shots 14.58
6.21 Shots on target 4.83
7.50 Shots faced 10.67
7.50 Corners 6.58
3.36 Corners against 4.67
11.43 Fouls 9.42
2.00 Yellow cards 1.42
0.79 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.17

How often Full Time

64% Wins 50%
21% Draws 17%
14% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
86% Over 1.5 goals 67%
64% Over 2.5 goals 50%
21% Over 3.5 goals 8%
7% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 42%
43% Clean sheets 42%
7% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 42%
43% Draws 42%
14% Losses 17%
79% Over 0.5 goals 58%
36% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ipswich all matches
Derby all matches
Ipswich before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 14:6
Derby before this match, away
1.33points / match
0.83scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 5:3
Ipswich at home away Derby

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.83
0.86 Goals conceded 0.50
2.86 Total goals 1.33
18.43 Shots 14.83
6.29 Shots on target 4.83
5.43 Shots faced 9.17
7.86 Corners 6.50
3.00 Corners against 4.33
10.14 Fouls 8.50
1.43 Yellow cards 1.33
0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.17

How often Full Time

57% Wins 33%
29% Draws 33%
14% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
86% Over 1.5 goals 50%
57% Over 2.5 goals 17%
29% Over 3.5 goals 0%
14% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 0%
43% Clean sheets 67%
14% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 33%
57% Draws 50%
14% Losses 17%
86% Over 0.5 goals 50%
57% Over 1.5 goals 17%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ipswich at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ipswich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.10.22 Ipswich – Lincoln 0–1 (0–1) 1.364.759.00 1.90 1.95
08.10.22 Morecambe – Ipswich 1–2 (1–0) 8.504.331.40 1.90 1.95
04.10.22 Ipswich – Cambridge 3–0 (0–0) 1.305.0011.00 1.75 2.05
01.10.22 Ipswich – Portsmouth 3–2 (1–1) 1.803.504.75 1.95 1.90
25.09.22 Plymouth – Ipswich 2–1 (0–1) 3.253.302.25 2.05 1.80
17.09.22 Sheffield Weds – Ipswich 2–2 (0–1) 2.623.252.75 2.10 1.70
13.09.22 Ipswich – Bristol Rvs 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.72 2.07
03.09.22 Accrington – Ipswich 0–2 (0–0) 4.203.601.85 2.00 1.85
27.08.22 Ipswich – Barnsley 2–2 (1–1) 1.613.905.75 2.05 1.80
20.08.22 Shrewsbury – Ipswich 0–3 (0–1) 3.603.302.10 2.25 1.61

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.10.22 Accrington – Derby 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.502.25 1.90 1.95
08.10.22 Derby – Port Vale 1–2 (1–0) 1.663.805.50 2.15 1.73
01.10.22 Cambridge – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.15 2.02 1.83
17.09.22 Derby – Wycombe 2–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.00 1.95 1.90
13.09.22 Lincoln – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 4.503.501.83 2.15 1.66
03.09.22 Derby – Plymouth 2–3 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.05 1.75
27.08.22 Derby – Peterboro 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 1.85 2.00
20.08.22 Fleetwood Town – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.07 1.72
16.08.22 Shrewsbury – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.202.25 2.35 1.57
13.08.22 Derby – Barnsley 2–1 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.15 1.66

Ipswich at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.10.22 Ipswich – Lincoln 0–1 (0–1) 1.364.759.00 1.90 1.95
04.10.22 Ipswich – Cambridge 3–0 (0–0) 1.305.0011.00 1.75 2.05
01.10.22 Ipswich – Portsmouth 3–2 (1–1) 1.803.504.75 1.95 1.90
13.09.22 Ipswich – Bristol Rvs 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.72 2.07
27.08.22 Ipswich – Barnsley 2–2 (1–1) 1.613.905.75 2.05 1.80
13.08.22 Ipswich – Milton Keynes Dons 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.605.00 2.10 1.77
30.07.22 Ipswich – Bolton 1–1 (1–1) 1.903.404.20 2.05 1.80
30.04.22 Ipswich – Charlton 4–0 (2–0) 1.903.603.80 1.83 2.02
19.04.22 Ipswich – Wigan 2–2 (0–1) 2.603.252.80 2.15 1.66
02.04.22 Ipswich – Cambridge 0–1 (0–0) 1.444.507.50 2.00 1.85

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.10.22 Accrington – Derby 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.502.25 1.90 1.95
01.10.22 Cambridge – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.15 2.02 1.83
13.09.22 Lincoln – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 4.503.501.83 2.15 1.66
20.08.22 Fleetwood Town – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.07 1.72
16.08.22 Shrewsbury – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.202.25 2.35 1.57
06.08.22 Charlton – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.202.62 2.10 1.70
30.04.22E1 Blackpool – Derby 0–2 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.98 1.88
18.04.22E1 QPR – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.40 2.10 1.72
09.04.22E1 Swansea – Derby 2–1 (2–1) 2.103.303.75 2.20 1.66
15.03.22E1 Blackburn – Derby 3–1 (0–1) 1.833.304.75 2.50 1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 14 11 1 2 28 14 +14 34
2 Ipswich 14 9 3 2 27 12 +15 30
3 Sheffield Weds 14 9 2 3 27 12 +15 29
4 Peterboro 14 7 1 6 26 17 +9 22
5 Portsmouth 12 6 4 2 22 15 +7 22
6 Barnsley 13 6 3 4 17 12 +5 21
7 Bolton 13 6 3 4 13 8 +5 21
8 Shrewsbury 13 6 3 4 14 14 0 21
9 Derby 12 6 2 4 15 11 +4 20
10 Charlton 14 4 7 3 22 17 +5 19
11 Exeter 14 5 3 6 24 20 +4 18
12 Bristol Rvs 14 5 3 6 22 24 -2 18
13 Wycombe 13 5 2 6 17 17 0 17
14 Lincoln 12 4 5 3 15 16 -1 17
15 Fleetwood Town 13 3 7 3 11 11 0 16
16 Accrington 13 4 4 5 14 19 -5 16
17 Port Vale 13 4 4 5 14 19 -5 16
18 Cambridge 14 5 1 8 15 25 -10 16
19 Oxford 12 4 2 6 13 14 -1 14
20 Cheltenham 13 4 2 7 12 19 -7 14
21 Forest Green 14 3 3 8 14 31 -17 12
22 Milton Keynes Dons 13 3 1 9 13 21 -8 10
23 Burton 14 2 3 9 16 29 -13 9
24 Morecambe 13 1 5 7 10 24 -14 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 7 7 0 0 13 2 +11 21
2 Peterboro 7 5 1 1 17 3 +14 16
3 Bolton 7 5 1 1 10 3 +7 16
4 Charlton 7 4 3 0 16 6 +10 15
5 Sheffield Weds 7 4 2 1 17 8 +9 14
6 Ipswich 7 4 2 1 14 6 +8 14
7 Portsmouth 6 3 3 0 12 6 +6 12
8 Derby 6 4 0 2 10 8 +2 12
9 Cambridge 7 4 0 3 9 11 -2 12
10 Wycombe 6 3 1 2 9 5 +4 10
11 Exeter 7 3 1 3 12 10 +2 10
12 Barnsley 6 3 1 2 8 7 +1 10
13 Shrewsbury 6 3 1 2 7 8 -1 10
14 Port Vale 7 2 3 2 8 8 0 9
15 Accrington 7 2 3 2 10 12 -2 9
16 Cheltenham 7 3 0 4 9 12 -3 9
17 Bristol Rvs 7 2 2 3 10 13 -3 8
18 Lincoln 5 1 4 0 6 4 +2 7
19 Oxford 6 2 1 3 6 7 -1 7
20 Fleetwood Town 7 1 4 2 4 5 -1 7
21 Forest Green 7 2 0 5 5 14 -9 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 1 1 5 6 13 -7 4
23 Burton 7 1 1 5 4 13 -9 4
24 Morecambe 6 0 2 4 3 12 -9 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 7 5 1 1 13 6 +7 16
2 Sheffield Weds 7 5 0 2 10 4 +6 15
3 Plymouth 7 4 1 2 15 12 +3 13
4 Barnsley 7 3 2 2 9 5 +4 11
5 Shrewsbury 7 3 2 2 7 6 +1 11
6 Bristol Rvs 7 3 1 3 12 11 +1 10
7 Portsmouth 6 3 1 2 10 9 +1 10
8 Lincoln 7 3 1 3 9 12 -3 10
9 Fleetwood Town 6 2 3 1 7 6 +1 9
10 Exeter 7 2 2 3 12 10 +2 8
11 Derby 6 2 2 2 5 3 +2 8
12 Oxford 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
13 Accrington 6 2 1 3 4 7 -3 7
14 Wycombe 7 2 1 4 8 12 -4 7
15 Port Vale 6 2 1 3 6 11 -5 7
16 Milton Keynes Dons 6 2 0 4 7 8 -1 6
17 Peterboro 7 2 0 5 9 14 -5 6
18 Morecambe 7 1 3 3 7 12 -5 6
19 Forest Green 7 1 3 3 9 17 -8 6
20 Bolton 6 1 2 3 3 5 -2 5
21 Burton 7 1 2 4 12 16 -4 5
22 Cheltenham 6 1 2 3 3 7 -4 5
23 Charlton 7 0 4 3 6 11 -5 4
24 Cambridge 7 1 1 5 6 14 -8 4

Ipswich   Derby

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 21 Forest Green 14 4 10 1.0 2.2 3 3 8 14 31 12
2 1 Plymouth 14 5 9 2.0 1.0 11 1 2 28 14 34
3 2 Ipswich 14 5 9 1.9 0.9 9 3 2 27 12 30
4 4 Peterboro 14 5 9 1.9 1.2 7 1 6 26 17 22
5 12 Bristol Rvs 14 5 9 1.6 1.7 5 3 6 22 24 18
6 11 Exeter 14 6 8 1.7 1.4 5 3 6 24 20 18
7 13 Wycombe 13 5 8 1.3 1.3 5 2 6 17 17 17
8 17 Port Vale 13 5 8 1.1 1.5 4 4 5 14 19 16
9 18 Cambridge 14 6 8 1.1 1.8 5 1 8 15 25 16
10 24 Morecambe 13 5 8 0.8 1.8 1 5 7 10 24 8
11 3 Sheffield Weds 14 7 7 1.9 0.9 9 2 3 27 12 29
12 5 Portsmouth 12 5 7 1.8 1.2 6 4 2 22 15 22
13 22 Milton Keynes Dons 13 6 7 1.0 1.6 3 1 9 13 21 10
14 23 Burton 14 7 7 1.1 2.1 2 3 9 16 29 9
15 6 Barnsley 13 7 6 1.3 0.9 6 3 4 17 12 21
16 8 Shrewsbury 13 7 6 1.1 1.1 6 3 4 14 14 21
17 9 Derby 12 6 6 1.2 0.9 6 2 4 15 11 20
18 10 Charlton 14 8 6 1.6 1.2 4 7 3 22 17 19
19 16 Accrington 13 7 6 1.1 1.5 4 4 5 14 19 16
20 20 Cheltenham 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 4 2 7 12 19 14
21 19 Oxford 12 7 5 1.1 1.2 4 2 6 13 14 14
22 14 Lincoln 12 8 4 1.2 1.3 4 5 3 15 16 17
23 15 Fleetwood Town 13 10 3 0.8 0.8 3 7 3 11 11 16
24 7 Bolton 13 11 2 1.0 0.6 6 3 4 13 8 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Sheffield Weds 7 2 5 2.4 1.1 4 2 1 17 8 14
2 9 Derby 6 1 5 1.7 1.3 4 0 2 10 8 12
3 21 Forest Green 7 2 5 0.7 2.0 2 0 5 5 14 6
4 2 Ipswich 7 3 4 2.0 0.9 4 2 1 14 6 14
5 4 Peterboro 7 3 4 2.4 0.4 5 1 1 17 3 16
6 5 Portsmouth 6 2 4 2.0 1.0 3 3 0 12 6 12
7 8 Shrewsbury 6 2 4 1.2 1.3 3 1 2 7 8 10
8 11 Exeter 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 3 1 3 12 10 10
9 12 Bristol Rvs 7 3 4 1.4 1.9 2 2 3 10 13 8
10 16 Accrington 7 3 4 1.4 1.7 2 3 2 10 12 9
11 17 Port Vale 7 3 4 1.1 1.1 2 3 2 8 8 9
12 20 Cheltenham 7 3 4 1.3 1.7 3 0 4 9 12 9
13 24 Morecambe 6 2 4 0.5 2.0 0 2 4 3 12 2
14 1 Plymouth 7 4 3 1.9 0.3 7 0 0 13 2 21
15 6 Barnsley 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 3 1 2 8 7 10
16 10 Charlton 7 4 3 2.3 0.9 4 3 0 16 6 15
17 13 Wycombe 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 3 1 2 9 5 10
18 18 Cambridge 7 4 3 1.3 1.6 4 0 3 9 11 12
19 19 Oxford 6 3 3 1.0 1.2 2 1 3 6 7 7
20 22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 4 3 0.9 1.9 1 1 5 6 13 4
21 7 Bolton 7 5 2 1.4 0.4 5 1 1 10 3 16
22 23 Burton 7 5 2 0.6 1.9 1 1 5 4 13 4
23 14 Lincoln 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 1 4 0 6 4 7
24 15 Fleetwood Town 7 6 1 0.6 0.7 1 4 2 4 5 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 7 1 6 2.1 1.7 4 1 2 15 12 13
2 2 Ipswich 7 2 5 1.9 0.9 5 1 1 13 6 16
3 4 Peterboro 7 2 5 1.3 2.0 2 0 5 9 14 6
4 12 Bristol Rvs 7 2 5 1.7 1.6 3 1 3 12 11 10
5 13 Wycombe 7 2 5 1.1 1.7 2 1 4 8 12 7
6 18 Cambridge 7 2 5 0.9 2.0 1 1 5 6 14 4
7 21 Forest Green 7 2 5 1.3 2.4 1 3 3 9 17 6
8 23 Burton 7 2 5 1.7 2.3 1 2 4 12 16 5
9 11 Exeter 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 2 2 3 12 10 8
10 17 Port Vale 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 2 1 3 6 11 7
11 22 Milton Keynes Dons 6 2 4 1.2 1.3 2 0 4 7 8 6
12 24 Morecambe 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 1 3 3 7 12 6
13 5 Portsmouth 6 3 3 1.7 1.5 3 1 2 10 9 10
14 6 Barnsley 7 4 3 1.3 0.7 3 2 2 9 5 11
15 10 Charlton 7 4 3 0.9 1.6 0 4 3 6 11 4
16 14 Lincoln 7 4 3 1.3 1.7 3 1 3 9 12 10
17 3 Sheffield Weds 7 5 2 1.4 0.6 5 0 2 10 4 15
18 8 Shrewsbury 7 5 2 1.0 0.9 3 2 2 7 6 11
19 15 Fleetwood Town 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 2 3 1 7 6 9
20 16 Accrington 6 4 2 0.7 1.2 2 1 3 4 7 7
21 19 Oxford 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
22 20 Cheltenham 6 4 2 0.5 1.2 1 2 3 3 7 5
23 9 Derby 6 5 1 0.8 0.5 2 2 2 5 3 8
24 7 Bolton 6 6 0 0.5 0.8 1 2 3 3 5 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51