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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: D Rock

Sheffield Weds 4–2 Burton

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.50 fair 1.72
Draw 4.20 fair 4.74
Away 6.50 fair 4.82
Under 2.5 2.05 fair 2.62
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 1.62

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sheffield Weds Burton
16 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
7 Corners 1
9 Fouls 7
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (183 league matches this season so far).
Result Sheffield Weds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.69
Expected goals 2.05 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
Sheffield WedsDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.9% 1–1 9.6% 2–0 8.6%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Sheffield Weds before this match, all matches
1.94points / match
1.81scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 29:14
Burton before this match, all matches
0.75points / match
1.13scored / match
1.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 18:31
Sheffield Weds all matches all matches Burton

Per match

1.81 Goals scored 1.13
0.88 Goals conceded 1.94
2.69 Total goals 3.06
14.63 Shots 12.50
5.19 Shots on target 3.50
10.31 Shots faced 14.00
5.94 Corners 5.88
3.69 Corners against 5.31
11.63 Fouls 11.25
1.63 Yellow cards 1.31
0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

56% Wins 19%
25% Draws 19%
19% Losses 63%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
81% Over 1.5 goals 81%
44% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
13% Over 4.5 goals 19%
6% Over 5.5 goals 13%
38% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 13%
13% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 25%
31% Draws 50%
13% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 50%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
13% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sheffield Weds all matches
Burton all matches
Sheffield Weds before this match, at home
1.88points / match
2.25scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 18:9
Burton before this match, away
0.63points / match
1.63scored / match
2.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:18
Sheffield Weds at home away Burton

Per match

2.25 Goals scored 1.63
1.13 Goals conceded 2.25
3.38 Total goals 3.88
14.63 Shots 12.88
5.38 Shots on target 3.75
8.63 Shots faced 15.88
6.63 Corners 5.75
1.88 Corners against 4.75
11.25 Fouls 12.50
1.38 Yellow cards 1.63
1.13 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

50% Wins 13%
38% Draws 25%
13% Losses 63%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 100%
63% Over 2.5 goals 75%
50% Over 3.5 goals 25%
25% Over 4.5 goals 25%
13% Over 5.5 goals 25%
50% Both teams scored 75%
38% Clean sheets 13%
13% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

63% Wins 25%
13% Draws 50%
25% Losses 25%
88% Over 0.5 goals 50%
25% Over 1.5 goals 38%
25% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sheffield Weds at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sheffield Weds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.22 Sheffield Weds – Bristol Rvs 1–1 (1–0) 1.504.336.50 1.66 2.15
22.10.22 Lincoln – Sheffield Weds 1–1 (0–1) 4.753.601.75 2.02 1.83
15.10.22 Cambridge – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–1) 4.754.001.72 1.90 1.95
08.10.22 Sheffield Weds – Cheltenham 3–0 (1–0) 1.404.758.00 1.70 2.10
04.10.22 Plymouth – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (1–1) 2.903.302.37 1.93 1.93
01.10.22 Port Vale – Sheffield Weds 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.401.95 2.02 1.83
24.09.22 Sheffield Weds – Wycombe 3–1 (2–1) 1.613.806.00 1.95 1.90
17.09.22 Sheffield Weds – Ipswich 2–2 (0–1) 2.623.252.75 2.10 1.70
13.09.22 Morecambe – Sheffield Weds 0–3 (0–0) 8.504.501.40 1.88 1.98
03.09.22 Sheffield Weds – Barnsley 0–2 (0–1) 1.614.005.50 1.98 1.88

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.22 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.663.755.25 1.80 2.00
22.10.22 Burton – Cheltenham 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 1.95 1.90
15.10.22 Burton – Morecambe 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.755.00 1.80 2.00
08.10.22 Peterboro – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.61 2.25
04.10.22 Burton – Fleetwood Town 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.753.40 1.93 1.93
01.10.22 Burton – Forest Green 3–2 (1–0) 1.853.604.20 1.95 1.90
24.09.22 Shrewsbury – Burton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 2.10 1.70
17.09.22 Exeter – Burton 0–2 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 1.85 2.00
13.09.22 Burton – Portsmouth 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.601.90 1.75 2.05
03.09.22 Oxford – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.604.105.50 1.70 2.10

Sheffield Weds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.22 Sheffield Weds – Bristol Rvs 1–1 (1–0) 1.504.336.50 1.66 2.15
08.10.22 Sheffield Weds – Cheltenham 3–0 (1–0) 1.404.758.00 1.70 2.10
24.09.22 Sheffield Weds – Wycombe 3–1 (2–1) 1.613.806.00 1.95 1.90
17.09.22 Sheffield Weds – Ipswich 2–2 (0–1) 2.623.252.75 2.10 1.70
03.09.22 Sheffield Weds – Barnsley 0–2 (0–1) 1.614.005.50 1.98 1.88
27.08.22 Sheffield Weds – Forest Green 5–0 (4–0) 1.614.005.50 1.93 1.93
13.08.22 Sheffield Weds – Charlton 1–0 (0–0) 1.614.005.50 2.05 1.75
30.07.22 Sheffield Weds – Portsmouth 3–3 (1–0) 1.664.005.00 1.95 1.90
30.04.22 Sheffield Weds – Portsmouth 4–1 (3–1) 1.614.005.50 1.80 2.00
19.04.22 Sheffield Weds – Crewe 1–0 (0–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.70 2.10

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.22 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.663.755.25 1.80 2.00
08.10.22 Peterboro – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.61 2.25
24.09.22 Shrewsbury – Burton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 2.10 1.70
17.09.22 Exeter – Burton 0–2 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 1.85 2.00
03.09.22 Oxford – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.604.105.50 1.70 2.10
27.08.22 Cambridge – Burton 4–3 (1–2) 2.153.603.20 1.85 2.00
13.08.22 Accrington – Burton 4–4 (0–2) 1.953.504.00 1.90 1.95
30.07.22 Wycombe – Burton 3–0 (3–0) 1.753.604.75 1.93 1.93
23.04.22 Doncaster – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.502.25 1.95 1.90
15.04.22 Accrington – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.80 1.80 2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sheffield Weds winsDrawsBurton wins
2matches
4.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.22E2 Sheffield Weds – Burton 5–2 (2–1) 1.653.805.50 1.95 1.90
05.02.22E2 Burton – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–1) 2.873.302.50 2.20 1.65

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 16 12 2 2 32 17 +15 38
2 Ipswich 16 11 3 2 31 14 +17 36
3 Sheffield Weds 16 9 4 3 29 14 +15 31
4 Peterboro 16 9 1 6 31 19 +12 28
5 Bolton 15 8 3 4 18 11 +7 27
6 Portsmouth 14 7 5 2 24 16 +8 26
7 Exeter 16 6 4 6 26 21 +5 22
8 Charlton 16 5 7 4 23 19 +4 22
9 Barnsley 15 6 3 6 17 14 +3 21
10 Derby 14 6 3 5 15 12 +3 21
11 Lincoln 14 5 6 3 17 17 0 21
12 Shrewsbury 15 6 3 6 15 17 -2 21
13 Wycombe 15 6 2 7 20 20 0 20
14 Bristol Rvs 16 5 5 6 25 27 -2 20
15 Port Vale 15 5 4 6 17 22 -5 19
16 Cambridge 16 6 1 9 18 28 -10 19
17 Fleetwood Town 15 3 8 4 13 14 -1 17
18 Cheltenham 15 5 2 8 13 20 -7 17
19 Accrington 15 4 4 7 17 25 -8 16
20 Oxford 14 4 3 7 15 17 -2 15
21 Milton Keynes Dons 15 4 1 10 15 22 -7 13
22 Forest Green 16 3 4 9 15 33 -18 13
23 Burton 16 3 3 10 18 31 -13 12
24 Morecambe 15 2 5 8 11 25 -14 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 8 8 0 0 15 3 +12 24
2 Peterboro 8 6 1 1 20 4 +16 19
3 Bolton 8 6 1 1 12 4 +8 19
4 Ipswich 8 5 2 1 15 6 +9 17
5 Sheffield Weds 8 4 3 1 18 9 +9 15
6 Charlton 8 4 3 1 16 8 +8 15
7 Portsmouth 7 3 4 0 13 7 +6 13
8 Exeter 8 4 1 3 14 11 +3 13
9 Derby 7 4 1 2 10 8 +2 13
10 Cheltenham 8 4 0 4 10 12 -2 12
11 Cambridge 8 4 0 4 9 12 -3 12
12 Wycombe 7 3 1 3 11 8 +3 10
13 Barnsley 7 3 1 3 8 8 0 10
14 Shrewsbury 7 3 1 3 7 9 -2 10
15 Port Vale 8 2 3 3 10 11 -1 9
16 Accrington 8 2 3 3 12 15 -3 9
17 Bristol Rvs 8 2 3 3 12 15 -3 9
18 Lincoln 6 1 5 0 7 5 +2 8
19 Fleetwood Town 8 1 5 2 5 6 -1 8
20 Oxford 7 2 1 4 7 9 -2 7
21 Burton 8 2 1 5 5 13 -8 7
22 Forest Green 8 2 0 6 5 15 -10 6
23 Morecambe 7 1 2 4 4 12 -8 5
24 Milton Keynes Dons 8 1 1 6 6 14 -8 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 8 6 1 1 16 8 +8 19
2 Sheffield Weds 8 5 1 2 11 5 +6 16
3 Plymouth 8 4 2 2 17 14 +3 14
4 Portsmouth 7 4 1 2 11 9 +2 13
5 Lincoln 8 4 1 3 10 12 -2 13
6 Barnsley 8 3 2 3 9 6 +3 11
7 Bristol Rvs 8 3 2 3 13 12 +1 11
8 Shrewsbury 8 3 2 3 8 8 0 11
9 Wycombe 8 3 1 4 9 12 -3 10
10 Port Vale 7 3 1 3 7 11 -4 10
11 Exeter 8 2 3 3 12 10 +2 9
12 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 0 4 9 8 +1 9
13 Fleetwood Town 7 2 3 2 8 8 0 9
14 Peterboro 8 3 0 5 11 15 -4 9
15 Derby 7 2 2 3 5 4 +1 8
16 Oxford 7 2 2 3 8 8 0 8
17 Bolton 7 2 2 3 6 7 -1 8
18 Charlton 8 1 4 3 7 11 -4 7
19 Accrington 7 2 1 4 5 10 -5 7
20 Cambridge 8 2 1 5 9 16 -7 7
21 Forest Green 8 1 4 3 10 18 -8 7
22 Morecambe 8 1 3 4 7 13 -6 6
23 Burton 8 1 2 5 13 18 -5 5
24 Cheltenham 7 1 2 4 3 8 -5 5

Sheffield Weds   Burton

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 16 5 11 2.0 1.1 12 2 2 32 17 38
2 4 Peterboro 16 5 11 1.9 1.2 9 1 6 31 19 28
3 2 Ipswich 16 6 10 1.9 0.9 11 3 2 31 14 36
4 14 Bristol Rvs 16 6 10 1.6 1.7 5 5 6 25 27 20
5 22 Forest Green 16 6 10 0.9 2.1 3 4 9 15 33 13
6 7 Exeter 16 7 9 1.6 1.3 6 4 6 26 21 22
7 13 Wycombe 15 6 9 1.3 1.3 6 2 7 20 20 20
8 15 Port Vale 15 6 9 1.1 1.5 5 4 6 17 22 19
9 16 Cambridge 16 7 9 1.1 1.8 6 1 9 18 28 19
10 19 Accrington 15 7 8 1.1 1.7 4 4 7 17 25 16
11 23 Burton 16 8 8 1.1 1.9 3 3 10 18 31 12
12 24 Morecambe 15 7 8 0.7 1.7 2 5 8 11 25 11
13 3 Sheffield Weds 16 9 7 1.8 0.9 9 4 3 29 14 31
14 6 Portsmouth 14 7 7 1.7 1.1 7 5 2 24 16 26
15 12 Shrewsbury 15 8 7 1.0 1.1 6 3 6 15 17 21
16 21 Milton Keynes Dons 15 8 7 1.0 1.5 4 1 10 15 22 13
17 8 Charlton 16 10 6 1.4 1.2 5 7 4 23 19 22
18 9 Barnsley 15 9 6 1.1 0.9 6 3 6 17 14 21
19 10 Derby 14 8 6 1.1 0.9 6 3 5 15 12 21
20 18 Cheltenham 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 5 2 8 13 20 17
21 20 Oxford 14 8 6 1.1 1.2 4 3 7 15 17 15
22 5 Bolton 15 11 4 1.2 0.7 8 3 4 18 11 27
23 11 Lincoln 14 10 4 1.2 1.2 5 6 3 17 17 21
24 17 Fleetwood Town 15 11 4 0.9 0.9 3 8 4 13 14 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Sheffield Weds 8 3 5 2.2 1.1 4 3 1 18 9 15
2 4 Peterboro 8 3 5 2.5 0.5 6 1 1 20 4 19
3 7 Exeter 8 3 5 1.8 1.4 4 1 3 14 11 13
4 10 Derby 7 2 5 1.4 1.1 4 1 2 10 8 13
5 14 Bristol Rvs 8 3 5 1.5 1.9 2 3 3 12 15 9
6 15 Port Vale 8 3 5 1.2 1.4 2 3 3 10 11 9
7 19 Accrington 8 3 5 1.5 1.9 2 3 3 12 15 9
8 22 Forest Green 8 3 5 0.6 1.9 2 0 6 5 15 6
9 1 Plymouth 8 4 4 1.9 0.4 8 0 0 15 3 24
10 2 Ipswich 8 4 4 1.9 0.8 5 2 1 15 6 17
11 6 Portsmouth 7 3 4 1.9 1.0 3 4 0 13 7 13
12 12 Shrewsbury 7 3 4 1.0 1.3 3 1 3 7 9 10
13 13 Wycombe 7 3 4 1.6 1.1 3 1 3 11 8 10
14 18 Cheltenham 8 4 4 1.2 1.5 4 0 4 10 12 12
15 20 Oxford 7 3 4 1.0 1.3 2 1 4 7 9 7
16 24 Morecambe 7 3 4 0.6 1.7 1 2 4 4 12 5
17 5 Bolton 8 5 3 1.5 0.5 6 1 1 12 4 19
18 8 Charlton 8 5 3 2.0 1.0 4 3 1 16 8 15
19 9 Barnsley 7 4 3 1.1 1.1 3 1 3 8 8 10
20 16 Cambridge 8 5 3 1.1 1.5 4 0 4 9 12 12
21 21 Milton Keynes Dons 8 5 3 0.8 1.8 1 1 6 6 14 4
22 23 Burton 8 6 2 0.6 1.6 2 1 5 5 13 7
23 11 Lincoln 6 5 1 1.2 0.8 1 5 0 7 5 8
24 17 Fleetwood Town 8 7 1 0.6 0.8 1 5 2 5 6 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 8 1 7 2.1 1.8 4 2 2 17 14 14
2 2 Ipswich 8 2 6 2.0 1.0 6 1 1 16 8 19
3 4 Peterboro 8 2 6 1.4 1.9 3 0 5 11 15 9
4 16 Cambridge 8 2 6 1.1 2.0 2 1 5 9 16 7
5 23 Burton 8 2 6 1.6 2.2 1 2 5 13 18 5
6 13 Wycombe 8 3 5 1.1 1.5 3 1 4 9 12 10
7 14 Bristol Rvs 8 3 5 1.6 1.5 3 2 3 13 12 11
8 22 Forest Green 8 3 5 1.2 2.2 1 4 3 10 18 7
9 7 Exeter 8 4 4 1.5 1.2 2 3 3 12 10 9
10 15 Port Vale 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 3 1 3 7 11 10
11 21 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 4 1.3 1.1 3 0 4 9 8 9
12 24 Morecambe 8 4 4 0.9 1.6 1 3 4 7 13 6
13 6 Portsmouth 7 4 3 1.6 1.3 4 1 2 11 9 13
14 8 Charlton 8 5 3 0.9 1.4 1 4 3 7 11 7
15 9 Barnsley 8 5 3 1.1 0.8 3 2 3 9 6 11
16 11 Lincoln 8 5 3 1.2 1.5 4 1 3 10 12 13
17 12 Shrewsbury 8 5 3 1.0 1.0 3 2 3 8 8 11
18 17 Fleetwood Town 7 4 3 1.1 1.1 2 3 2 8 8 9
19 19 Accrington 7 4 3 0.7 1.4 2 1 4 5 10 7
20 3 Sheffield Weds 8 6 2 1.4 0.6 5 1 2 11 5 16
21 18 Cheltenham 7 5 2 0.4 1.1 1 2 4 3 8 5
22 20 Oxford 7 5 2 1.1 1.1 2 2 3 8 8 8
23 5 Bolton 7 6 1 0.9 1.0 2 2 3 6 7 8
24 10 Derby 7 6 1 0.7 0.6 2 2 3 5 4 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51