Derby 1–0 Cambridge – England League One, 30 Dec 2022

Match facts

Derby Cambridge

14 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 2

2 Corners 4

13 Fouls 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (275 league matches this season so far).

Result Derby to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.96

Expected goals 1.67 – 0.93

Home / Draw / Away

55% 24% 21%

DerbyDrawCambridge

Under / Over 2.5 goals

52% 48%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

51% 49%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

12% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 12.4% 1–1 11.5% 2–0 10.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches

1.59points / match

1.27scored / match

0.77conceded / match

9 8 5

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 28:17

Cambridge before this match, all matches

1.09points / match

0.95scored / match

1.50conceded / match

7 3 12

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 21:33

Derby all matches all matches Cambridge

Per match

1.27 Goals scored 0.95

0.77 Goals conceded 1.50

2.05 Total goals 2.45

13.68 Shots 10.45

4.55 Shots on target 3.18

9.95 Shots faced 12.91

6.23 Corners 4.32

4.64 Corners against 5.27

9.91 Fouls 9.82

1.91 Yellow cards 1.50

0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.45

0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

41% Wins 32%

36% Draws 14%

23% Losses 55%

73% Over 0.5 goals 91%

59% Over 1.5 goals 68%

41% Over 2.5 goals 50%

18% Over 3.5 goals 14%

9% Over 4.5 goals 14%

5% Over 5.5 goals 5%

41% Both teams scored 45%

45% Clean sheets 18%

41% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 18%

50% Draws 41%

14% Losses 41%

55% Over 0.5 goals 73%

27% Over 1.5 goals 27%

5% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches

1

L

D

4

2

W

1

D

3

1

W

D

1

D

4

W

D

Cambridge all matches

1

2

L

2

L

1

L

3

2

W

1

L

D

1

L

1

2

L

D

2

1

W

Derby before this match, at home

2.00points / match

1.80scored / match

1.00conceded / match

6 2 2

WonDrawnLost 10 played · 18:10

Cambridge before this match, away

0.70points / match

1.00scored / match

1.90conceded / match

2 1 7

WonDrawnLost 10 played · 10:19

Derby at home away Cambridge

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 1.00

1.00 Goals conceded 1.90

2.80 Total goals 2.90

13.40 Shots 10.20

4.80 Shots on target 3.30

9.50 Shots faced 14.00

6.30 Corners 4.00

4.20 Corners against 5.50

10.60 Fouls 10.30

2.00 Yellow cards 1.60

1.10 1st-half goals scored 0.60

0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

60% Wins 20%

20% Draws 10%

20% Losses 70%

80% Over 0.5 goals 100%

70% Over 1.5 goals 80%

70% Over 2.5 goals 70%

30% Over 3.5 goals 20%

20% Over 4.5 goals 20%

10% Over 5.5 goals 0%

60% Both teams scored 70%

40% Clean sheets 0%

20% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 20%

40% Draws 50%

10% Losses 30%

60% Over 0.5 goals 80%

40% Over 1.5 goals 40%

10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home

1

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

2

3

L

2

1

W

1

2

L

D

4

2

W

D

4

W

Cambridge away

1

L

1

4

L

1

D

1

2

L

2

1

W

3

L

1

2

L

3

2

W

1

L

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.12.22	Bolton – Derby	0–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.40	2.90	2.02	1.83
17.12.22	Derby – Forest Green	4–0 (2–0)	1.44	4.50	7.50	1.73	2.08
10.12.22	Burton – Derby	1–1 (0–1)	3.30	3.30	2.25	2.00	1.85
03.12.22	Derby – Sheffield Weds	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.40	2.30	2.05	1.75
18.11.22	Portsmouth – Derby	0–0 (0–0)	2.37	3.40	2.90	1.95	1.90
12.11.22	Milton Keynes Dons – Derby	1–3 (1–1)	3.80	3.50	2.00	1.98	1.88
01.11.22	Morecambe – Derby	1–1 (1–0)	4.50	3.40	1.80	1.98	1.88
29.10.22	Derby – Bristol Rvs	4–2 (4–2)	1.72	3.80	4.75	1.75	2.05
25.10.22	Derby – Exeter	0–0 (0–0)	1.90	3.60	4.00	1.88	1.98
21.10.22	Ipswich – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	1.75	3.75	4.50	2.05	1.75

Cambridge all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.22	Cambridge – Shrewsbury	2–1 (0–0)	2.75	3.30	2.60	2.20	1.65
10.12.22	Cambridge – Plymouth	0–0 (0–0)	3.20	3.50	2.20	1.85	2.00
03.12.22	Forest Green – Cambridge	2–1 (1–0)	2.55	3.30	2.80	2.10	1.70
19.11.22	Cambridge – Accrington	0–1 (0–1)	2.37	3.50	2.87	1.93	1.93
12.11.22	Cambridge – Bolton	0–0 (0–0)	3.75	3.50	2.00	1.98	1.88
29.10.22	Peterboro – Cambridge	1–0 (1–0)	1.50	4.33	6.50	1.70	2.10
25.10.22	Wycombe – Cambridge	2–3 (1–2)	1.90	3.75	3.80	1.72	2.07
22.10.22	Cambridge – Port Vale	0–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.40	2.62	2.10	1.70
15.10.22	Cambridge – Sheffield Weds	0–2 (0–1)	4.75	4.00	1.72	1.90	1.95
08.10.22	Bristol Rvs – Cambridge	2–1 (1–1)	2.60	3.50	2.62	1.72	2.07

Derby at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.12.22	Derby – Forest Green	4–0 (2–0)	1.44	4.50	7.50	1.73	2.08
03.12.22	Derby – Sheffield Weds	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.40	2.30	2.05	1.75
29.10.22	Derby – Bristol Rvs	4–2 (4–2)	1.72	3.80	4.75	1.75	2.05
25.10.22	Derby – Exeter	0–0 (0–0)	1.90	3.60	4.00	1.88	1.98
08.10.22	Derby – Port Vale	1–2 (1–0)	1.66	3.80	5.50	2.15	1.73
17.09.22	Derby – Wycombe	2–1 (0–1)	1.90	3.50	4.00	1.95	1.90
03.09.22	Derby – Plymouth	2–3 (2–0)	1.85	3.50	4.50	2.05	1.75
27.08.22	Derby – Peterboro	2–1 (0–0)	1.90	3.60	3.80	1.85	2.00
13.08.22	Derby – Barnsley	2–1 (2–0)	1.85	3.50	4.50	2.15	1.66
30.07.22	Derby – Oxford	1–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	3.30	1.93	1.93

Cambridge away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.12.22	Forest Green – Cambridge	2–1 (1–0)	2.55	3.30	2.80	2.10	1.70
29.10.22	Peterboro – Cambridge	1–0 (1–0)	1.50	4.33	6.50	1.70	2.10
25.10.22	Wycombe – Cambridge	2–3 (1–2)	1.90	3.75	3.80	1.72	2.07
08.10.22	Bristol Rvs – Cambridge	2–1 (1–1)	2.60	3.50	2.62	1.72	2.07
04.10.22	Ipswich – Cambridge	3–0 (0–0)	1.30	5.00	11.00	1.75	2.05
24.09.22	Morecambe – Cambridge	1–2 (1–1)	3.10	3.30	2.37	2.05	1.75
13.09.22	Cheltenham – Cambridge	2–1 (0–1)	3.00	3.50	2.30	1.95	1.90
20.08.22	Charlton – Cambridge	1–1 (1–0)	1.66	4.00	5.00	2.00	1.85
16.08.22	Portsmouth – Cambridge	4–1 (1–1)	1.61	3.80	5.75	1.93	1.93
06.08.22	Oxford – Cambridge	1–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.75	5.25	1.83	2.02

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Derby winsDrawsCambridge wins

1matches

2.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.10.22E2	Cambridge – Derby	0–2 (0–1)	3.50	3.40	2.15	2.02	1.83

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Plymouth	24	16	5	3	43	25	+18	53
2	Ipswich	24	14	7	3	46	24	+22	49
3	Sheffield Weds	24	14	7	3	40	18	+22	49
4	Barnsley	22	12	4	6	30	18	+12	40
5	Bolton	22	10	6	6	26	19	+7	36
6	Peterboro	23	11	2	10	39	28	+11	35
7	Derby	22	9	8	5	28	17	+11	35
8	Wycombe	24	10	5	9	30	26	+4	35
9	Port Vale	23	9	5	9	24	31	-7	32
10	Portsmouth	21	7	10	4	28	24	+4	31
11	Exeter	24	8	7	9	37	36	+1	31
12	Bristol Rvs	24	8	7	9	38	41	-3	31
13	Oxford	23	7	8	8	29	26	+3	29
14	Shrewsbury	23	8	5	10	23	26	-3	29
15	Cheltenham	22	8	4	10	17	23	-6	28
16	Lincoln	21	6	9	6	21	26	-5	27
17	Fleetwood Town	23	5	11	7	25	25	0	26
18	Charlton	23	5	10	8	33	34	-1	25
19	Cambridge	22	7	3	12	21	33	-12	24
20	Burton	24	5	7	12	32	45	-13	22
21	Accrington	22	5	7	10	21	34	-13	22
22	Milton Keynes Dons	23	6	3	14	22	33	-11	21
23	Forest Green	24	5	5	14	20	46	-26	20
24	Morecambe	23	3	9	11	19	34	-15	18

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Plymouth	12	11	0	1	22	8	+14	33
2	Peterboro	11	8	1	2	24	6	+18	25
3	Sheffield Weds	12	7	4	1	25	11	+14	25
4	Ipswich	12	7	4	1	22	9	+13	25
5	Bolton	12	7	3	2	16	8	+8	24
6	Barnsley	11	7	1	3	17	10	+7	22
7	Wycombe	12	6	3	3	19	12	+7	21
8	Derby	10	6	2	2	18	10	+8	20
9	Exeter	12	5	3	4	18	16	+2	18
10	Port Vale	11	5	3	3	13	11	+2	18
11	Charlton	12	4	5	3	22	16	+6	17
12	Shrewsbury	12	5	2	5	13	14	-1	17
13	Cambridge	12	5	2	5	11	14	-3	17
14	Portsmouth	11	3	7	1	16	12	+4	16
15	Bristol Rvs	12	4	4	4	19	21	-2	16
16	Cheltenham	11	5	1	5	11	13	-2	16
17	Oxford	11	4	3	4	16	12	+4	15
18	Lincoln	10	2	8	0	11	8	+3	14
19	Burton	12	3	4	5	14	19	-5	13
20	Forest Green	12	4	0	8	9	20	-11	12
21	Fleetwood Town	11	2	5	4	10	10	0	11
22	Accrington	11	2	5	4	14	18	-4	11
23	Morecambe	11	2	5	4	9	15	-6	11
24	Milton Keynes Dons	12	2	2	8	10	20	-10	8

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Ipswich	12	7	3	2	24	15	+9	24
2	Sheffield Weds	12	7	3	2	15	7	+8	24
3	Plymouth	12	5	5	2	21	17	+4	20
4	Barnsley	11	5	3	3	13	8	+5	18
5	Derby	12	3	6	3	10	7	+3	15
6	Fleetwood Town	12	3	6	3	15	15	0	15
7	Portsmouth	10	4	3	3	12	12	0	15
8	Bristol Rvs	12	4	3	5	19	20	-1	15
9	Oxford	12	3	5	4	13	14	-1	14
10	Wycombe	12	4	2	6	11	14	-3	14
11	Port Vale	12	4	2	6	11	20	-9	14
12	Exeter	12	3	4	5	19	20	-1	13
13	Milton Keynes Dons	11	4	1	6	12	13	-1	13
14	Lincoln	11	4	1	6	10	18	-8	13
15	Bolton	10	3	3	4	10	11	-1	12
16	Shrewsbury	11	3	3	5	10	12	-2	12
17	Cheltenham	11	3	3	5	6	10	-4	12
18	Accrington	11	3	2	6	7	16	-9	11
19	Peterboro	12	3	1	8	15	22	-7	10
20	Burton	12	2	3	7	18	26	-8	9
21	Charlton	11	1	5	5	11	18	-7	8
22	Forest Green	12	1	5	6	11	26	-15	8
23	Cambridge	10	2	1	7	10	19	-9	7
24	Morecambe	12	1	4	7	10	19	-9	7

Derby Cambridge

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Bristol Rvs	24	9	15	1.6	1.7	8	7	9	38	41	31
2	1	Plymouth	24	10	14	1.8	1.0	16	5	3	43	25	53
3	2	Ipswich	24	10	14	1.9	1.0	14	7	3	46	24	49
4	6	Peterboro	23	9	14	1.7	1.2	11	2	10	39	28	35
5	20	Burton	24	11	13	1.3	1.9	5	7	12	32	45	22
6	23	Forest Green	24	11	13	0.8	1.9	5	5	14	20	46	20
7	11	Exeter	24	12	12	1.5	1.5	8	7	9	37	36	31
8	8	Wycombe	24	13	11	1.2	1.1	10	5	9	30	26	35
9	9	Port Vale	23	12	11	1.0	1.3	9	5	9	24	31	32
10	19	Cambridge	22	11	11	1.0	1.5	7	3	12	21	33	24
11	13	Oxford	23	13	10	1.3	1.1	7	8	8	29	26	29
12	17	Fleetwood Town	23	13	10	1.1	1.1	5	11	7	25	25	26
13	18	Charlton	23	13	10	1.4	1.5	5	10	8	33	34	25
14	22	Milton Keynes Dons	23	13	10	1.0	1.4	6	3	14	22	33	21
15	24	Morecambe	23	13	10	0.8	1.5	3	9	11	19	34	18
16	3	Sheffield Weds	24	15	9	1.7	0.8	14	7	3	40	18	49
17	4	Barnsley	22	13	9	1.4	0.8	12	4	6	30	18	40
18	7	Derby	22	13	9	1.3	0.8	9	8	5	28	17	35
19	14	Shrewsbury	23	14	9	1.0	1.1	8	5	10	23	26	29
20	21	Accrington	22	13	9	1.0	1.5	5	7	10	21	34	22
21	10	Portsmouth	21	13	8	1.3	1.1	7	10	4	28	24	31
22	5	Bolton	22	15	7	1.2	0.9	10	6	6	26	19	36
23	15	Cheltenham	22	16	6	0.8	1.0	8	4	10	17	23	28
24	16	Lincoln	21	15	6	1.0	1.2	6	9	6	21	26	27

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Derby	10	3	7	1.8	1.0	6	2	2	18	10	20
2	12	Bristol Rvs	12	5	7	1.6	1.8	4	4	4	19	21	16
3	23	Forest Green	12	5	7	0.8	1.7	4	0	8	9	20	12
4	1	Plymouth	12	6	6	1.8	0.7	11	0	1	22	8	33
5	2	Ipswich	12	6	6	1.8	0.8	7	4	1	22	9	25
6	3	Sheffield Weds	12	6	6	2.1	0.9	7	4	1	25	11	25
7	6	Peterboro	11	5	6	2.2	0.5	8	1	2	24	6	25
8	8	Wycombe	12	6	6	1.6	1.0	6	3	3	19	12	21
9	11	Exeter	12	6	6	1.5	1.3	5	3	4	18	16	18
10	13	Oxford	11	5	6	1.5	1.1	4	3	4	16	12	15
11	4	Barnsley	11	6	5	1.5	0.9	7	1	3	17	10	22
12	9	Port Vale	11	6	5	1.2	1.0	5	3	3	13	11	18
13	10	Portsmouth	11	6	5	1.5	1.1	3	7	1	16	12	16
14	14	Shrewsbury	12	7	5	1.1	1.2	5	2	5	13	14	17
15	18	Charlton	12	7	5	1.8	1.3	4	5	3	22	16	17
16	20	Burton	12	7	5	1.2	1.6	3	4	5	14	19	13
17	21	Accrington	11	6	5	1.3	1.6	2	5	4	14	18	11
18	22	Milton Keynes Dons	12	7	5	0.8	1.7	2	2	8	10	20	8
19	5	Bolton	12	8	4	1.3	0.7	7	3	2	16	8	24
20	15	Cheltenham	11	7	4	1.0	1.2	5	1	5	11	13	16
21	17	Fleetwood Town	11	7	4	0.9	0.9	2	5	4	10	10	11
22	19	Cambridge	12	8	4	0.9	1.2	5	2	5	11	14	17
23	24	Morecambe	11	7	4	0.8	1.4	2	5	4	9	15	11
24	16	Lincoln	10	8	2	1.1	0.8	2	8	0	11	8	14

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Plymouth	12	4	8	1.8	1.4	5	5	2	21	17	20
2	2	Ipswich	12	4	8	2.0	1.2	7	3	2	24	15	24
3	6	Peterboro	12	4	8	1.2	1.8	3	1	8	15	22	10
4	12	Bristol Rvs	12	4	8	1.6	1.7	4	3	5	19	20	15
5	20	Burton	12	4	8	1.5	2.2	2	3	7	18	26	9
6	19	Cambridge	10	3	7	1.0	1.9	2	1	7	10	19	7
7	9	Port Vale	12	6	6	0.9	1.7	4	2	6	11	20	14
8	11	Exeter	12	6	6	1.6	1.7	3	4	5	19	20	13
9	17	Fleetwood Town	12	6	6	1.2	1.2	3	6	3	15	15	15
10	23	Forest Green	12	6	6	0.9	2.2	1	5	6	11	26	8
11	24	Morecambe	12	6	6	0.8	1.6	1	4	7	10	19	7
12	8	Wycombe	12	7	5	0.9	1.2	4	2	6	11	14	14
13	18	Charlton	11	6	5	1.0	1.6	1	5	5	11	18	8
14	22	Milton Keynes Dons	11	6	5	1.1	1.2	4	1	6	12	13	13
15	4	Barnsley	11	7	4	1.2	0.7	5	3	3	13	8	18
16	13	Oxford	12	8	4	1.1	1.2	3	5	4	13	14	14
17	14	Shrewsbury	11	7	4	0.9	1.1	3	3	5	10	12	12
18	16	Lincoln	11	7	4	0.9	1.6	4	1	6	10	18	13
19	21	Accrington	11	7	4	0.6	1.5	3	2	6	7	16	11
20	3	Sheffield Weds	12	9	3	1.2	0.6	7	3	2	15	7	24
21	5	Bolton	10	7	3	1.0	1.1	3	3	4	10	11	12
22	10	Portsmouth	10	7	3	1.2	1.2	4	3	3	12	12	15
23	7	Derby	12	10	2	0.8	0.6	3	6	3	10	7	15
24	15	Cheltenham	11	9	2	0.5	0.9	3	3	5	6	10	12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.