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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: S Stockbridge

Burton 0–4 Shrewsbury

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.30 fair 2.65
Draw 3.20 fair 3.86
Away ✓ 3.30 fair 2.75
Under 2.5 1.70 fair 2.00
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.00

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Shrewsbury
9 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 7
9 Corners 2
8 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (293 league matches this season so far).
Result Burton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.35 – 1.32
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawShrewsbury
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 9.3% 0–1 9.1%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
0.88points / match
1.28scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 32:50
Shrewsbury before this match, all matches
1.21points / match
0.96scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 23:29
Burton all matches all matches Shrewsbury

Per match

1.28 Goals scored 0.96
2.00 Goals conceded 1.21
3.28 Total goals 2.17
12.08 Shots 9.88
3.76 Shots on target 2.67
13.56 Shots faced 12.96
6.04 Corners 4.83
5.28 Corners against 6.13
11.24 Fouls 10.96
1.32 Yellow cards 1.75
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.72 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

20% Wins 33%
28% Draws 21%
52% Losses 46%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
88% Over 1.5 goals 67%
56% Over 2.5 goals 42%
32% Over 3.5 goals 8%
24% Over 4.5 goals 8%
16% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 46%
12% Clean sheets 21%
32% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 25%
36% Draws 46%
32% Losses 29%
68% Over 0.5 goals 71%
32% Over 1.5 goals 25%
20% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Shrewsbury all matches
Burton before this match, at home
1.08points / match
1.17scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 14:19
Shrewsbury before this match, away
1.09points / match
0.91scored / match
1.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 10:12
Burton at home away Shrewsbury

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 0.91
1.58 Goals conceded 1.09
2.75 Total goals 2.00
13.17 Shots 9.91
4.25 Shots on target 2.27
11.75 Shots faced 13.45
7.25 Corners 3.55
4.92 Corners against 6.36
10.67 Fouls 11.36
1.08 Yellow cards 1.73
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

25% Wins 27%
33% Draws 27%
42% Losses 45%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
75% Over 1.5 goals 73%
42% Over 2.5 goals 36%
33% Over 3.5 goals 0%
17% Over 4.5 goals 0%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
42% Both teams scored 55%
17% Clean sheets 27%
42% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 27%
42% Draws 55%
25% Losses 18%
67% Over 0.5 goals 64%
25% Over 1.5 goals 18%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Shrewsbury away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.23 Morecambe – Burton 5–0 (2–0) 3.103.502.25 1.95 1.90
29.12.22 Forest Green – Burton 1–2 (0–1) 2.603.502.60 1.90 1.95
26.12.22 Burton – Lincoln 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.403.30 2.02 1.83
17.12.22 Barnsley – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.603.75 1.95 1.90
10.12.22 Burton – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
03.12.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Burton 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.05 1.80
19.11.22 Burton – Plymouth 2–2 (1–0) 2.803.602.37 1.80 2.00
12.11.22 Burton – Charlton 3–3 (2–2) 2.803.402.50 1.90 1.95
29.10.22 Sheffield Weds – Burton 4–2 (2–0) 1.504.206.50 1.75 2.05
25.10.22 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.663.755.25 1.80 2.00

Shrewsbury all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.23 Shrewsbury – Fleetwood Town 0–3 (0–2) 2.203.303.40 2.15 1.67
29.12.22 Shrewsbury – Cheltenham 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.254.50 2.30 1.60
26.12.22 Cambridge – Shrewsbury 2–1 (0–0) 2.753.302.60 2.20 1.65
10.12.22 Shrewsbury – Bolton 3–2 (1–1) 3.603.202.15 2.15 1.67
03.12.22 Shrewsbury – Lincoln 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.15 1.66
19.11.22 Sheffield Weds – Shrewsbury 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.507.00 1.88 1.98
12.11.22 Shrewsbury – Barnsley 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.202.40 2.25 1.61
09.11.22 Shrewsbury – Oxford 1–1 (0–1) 2.873.302.50 2.07 1.72
29.10.22 Portsmouth – Shrewsbury 1–1 (1–1) 1.663.805.00 2.07 1.72
25.10.22 Plymouth – Shrewsbury 2–1 (0–1) 1.663.605.50 1.88 1.98

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.22 Burton – Lincoln 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.403.30 2.02 1.83
10.12.22 Burton – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
19.11.22 Burton – Plymouth 2–2 (1–0) 2.803.602.37 1.80 2.00
12.11.22 Burton – Charlton 3–3 (2–2) 2.803.402.50 1.90 1.95
22.10.22 Burton – Cheltenham 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 1.95 1.90
15.10.22 Burton – Morecambe 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.755.00 1.80 2.00
04.10.22 Burton – Fleetwood Town 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.753.40 1.93 1.93
01.10.22 Burton – Forest Green 3–2 (1–0) 1.853.604.20 1.95 1.90
13.09.22 Burton – Portsmouth 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.601.90 1.75 2.05
20.08.22 Burton – Port Vale 0–2 (0–0) 2.873.252.50 1.98 1.88

Shrewsbury away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.22 Cambridge – Shrewsbury 2–1 (0–0) 2.753.302.60 2.20 1.65
19.11.22 Sheffield Weds – Shrewsbury 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.507.00 1.88 1.98
29.10.22 Portsmouth – Shrewsbury 1–1 (1–1) 1.663.805.00 2.07 1.72
25.10.22 Plymouth – Shrewsbury 2–1 (0–1) 1.663.605.50 1.88 1.98
15.10.22 Fleetwood Town – Shrewsbury 0–1 (0–1) 2.373.203.10 2.30 1.60
01.10.22 Cheltenham – Shrewsbury 2–0 (1–0) 2.803.102.70 2.25 1.61
17.09.22 Port Vale – Shrewsbury 2–1 (1–1) 2.253.303.30 2.35 1.57
03.09.22 Forest Green – Shrewsbury 0–2 (0–1) 2.703.202.70 2.15 1.66
27.08.22 Bristol Rvs – Shrewsbury 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.302.90 2.05 1.80
13.08.22 Wycombe – Shrewsbury 1–2 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsShrewsbury wins
3matches
2.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.09.22E2 Shrewsbury – Burton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 2.10 1.70
26.02.22E2 Burton – Shrewsbury 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.25 1.61
07.08.21E2 Shrewsbury – Burton 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.253.00 2.25 1.61

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 26 17 6 3 46 26 +20 57
2 Sheffield Weds 25 15 7 3 45 18 +27 52
3 Ipswich 25 14 8 3 47 25 +22 50
4 Derby 24 11 8 5 33 17 +16 41
5 Bolton 25 11 8 6 30 20 +10 41
6 Barnsley 23 12 4 7 30 21 +9 40
7 Wycombe 25 11 5 9 33 26 +7 38
8 Bristol Rvs 26 10 7 9 42 43 -1 37
9 Peterboro 24 11 2 11 39 31 +8 35
10 Port Vale 24 10 5 9 27 32 -5 35
11 Exeter 25 9 7 9 38 36 +2 34
12 Charlton 25 7 10 8 38 36 +2 31
13 Portsmouth 22 7 10 5 29 27 +2 31
14 Fleetwood Town 24 6 11 7 28 25 +3 29
15 Oxford 24 7 8 9 29 27 +2 29
16 Lincoln 24 6 11 7 24 30 -6 29
17 Shrewsbury 24 8 5 11 23 29 -6 29
18 Cheltenham 24 8 4 12 19 27 -8 28
19 Morecambe 25 5 9 11 26 35 -9 24
20 Cambridge 25 7 3 15 22 41 -19 24
21 Accrington 23 5 7 11 21 38 -17 22
22 Burton 25 5 7 13 32 50 -18 22
23 Milton Keynes Dons 24 6 3 15 23 36 -13 21
24 Forest Green 25 5 5 15 21 49 -28 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 13 12 0 1 25 9 +16 36
2 Sheffield Weds 13 8 4 1 30 11 +19 28
3 Derby 12 8 2 2 23 10 +13 26
4 Peterboro 12 8 1 3 24 9 +15 25
5 Ipswich 12 7 4 1 22 9 +13 25
6 Bolton 13 7 4 2 16 8 +8 25
7 Barnsley 12 7 1 4 17 13 +4 22
8 Wycombe 12 6 3 3 19 12 +7 21
9 Charlton 13 5 5 3 24 17 +7 20
10 Bristol Rvs 13 5 4 4 21 22 -1 19
11 Exeter 12 5 3 4 18 16 +2 18
12 Port Vale 11 5 3 3 13 11 +2 18
13 Morecambe 13 4 5 4 16 16 0 17
14 Shrewsbury 13 5 2 6 13 17 -4 17
15 Cambridge 13 5 2 6 12 16 -4 17
16 Lincoln 12 2 10 0 13 10 +3 16
17 Portsmouth 12 3 7 2 17 15 +2 16
18 Cheltenham 11 5 1 5 11 13 -2 16
19 Oxford 12 4 3 5 16 13 +3 15
20 Burton 12 3 4 5 14 19 -5 13
21 Forest Green 13 4 0 9 10 23 -13 12
22 Fleetwood Town 11 2 5 4 10 10 0 11
23 Accrington 11 2 5 4 14 18 -4 11
24 Milton Keynes Dons 12 2 2 8 10 20 -10 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 13 7 4 2 25 16 +9 25
2 Sheffield Weds 12 7 3 2 15 7 +8 24
3 Plymouth 13 5 6 2 21 17 +4 21
4 Barnsley 11 5 3 3 13 8 +5 18
5 Fleetwood Town 13 4 6 3 18 15 +3 18
6 Bristol Rvs 13 5 3 5 21 21 0 18
7 Wycombe 13 5 2 6 14 14 0 17
8 Port Vale 13 5 2 6 14 21 -7 17
9 Bolton 12 4 4 4 14 12 +2 16
10 Exeter 13 4 4 5 20 20 0 16
11 Derby 12 3 6 3 10 7 +3 15
12 Portsmouth 10 4 3 3 12 12 0 15
13 Oxford 12 3 5 4 13 14 -1 14
14 Milton Keynes Dons 12 4 1 7 13 16 -3 13
15 Lincoln 12 4 1 7 11 20 -9 13
16 Shrewsbury 11 3 3 5 10 12 -2 12
17 Cheltenham 13 3 3 7 8 14 -6 12
18 Charlton 12 2 5 5 14 19 -5 11
19 Accrington 12 3 2 7 7 20 -13 11
20 Peterboro 12 3 1 8 15 22 -7 10
21 Burton 13 2 3 8 18 31 -13 9
22 Forest Green 12 1 5 6 11 26 -15 8
23 Morecambe 12 1 4 7 10 19 -9 7
24 Cambridge 12 2 1 9 10 25 -15 7

Burton   Shrewsbury

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Bristol Rvs 26 9 17 1.6 1.7 10 7 9 42 43 37
2 1 Plymouth 26 11 15 1.8 1.0 17 6 3 46 26 57
3 9 Peterboro 24 9 15 1.6 1.3 11 2 11 39 31 35
4 3 Ipswich 25 11 14 1.9 1.0 14 8 3 47 25 50
5 22 Burton 25 11 14 1.3 2.0 5 7 13 32 50 22
6 24 Forest Green 25 11 14 0.8 2.0 5 5 15 21 49 20
7 20 Cambridge 25 12 13 0.9 1.6 7 3 15 22 41 24
8 7 Wycombe 25 13 12 1.3 1.0 11 5 9 33 26 38
9 10 Port Vale 24 12 12 1.1 1.3 10 5 9 27 32 35
10 11 Exeter 25 13 12 1.5 1.4 9 7 9 38 36 34
11 12 Charlton 25 13 12 1.5 1.4 7 10 8 38 36 31
12 19 Morecambe 25 13 12 1.0 1.4 5 9 11 26 35 24
13 14 Fleetwood Town 24 13 11 1.2 1.0 6 11 7 28 25 29
14 23 Milton Keynes Dons 24 13 11 1.0 1.5 6 3 15 23 36 21
15 2 Sheffield Weds 25 15 10 1.8 0.7 15 7 3 45 18 52
16 4 Derby 24 14 10 1.4 0.7 11 8 5 33 17 41
17 6 Barnsley 23 13 10 1.3 0.9 12 4 7 30 21 40
18 15 Oxford 24 14 10 1.2 1.1 7 8 9 29 27 29
19 17 Shrewsbury 24 14 10 1.0 1.2 8 5 11 23 29 29
20 21 Accrington 23 13 10 0.9 1.7 5 7 11 21 38 22
21 13 Portsmouth 22 13 9 1.3 1.2 7 10 5 29 27 31
22 5 Bolton 25 17 8 1.2 0.8 11 8 6 30 20 41
23 18 Cheltenham 24 16 8 0.8 1.1 8 4 12 19 27 28
24 16 Lincoln 24 17 7 1.0 1.2 6 11 7 24 30 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Derby 12 4 8 1.9 0.8 8 2 2 23 10 26
2 8 Bristol Rvs 13 5 8 1.6 1.7 5 4 4 21 22 19
3 24 Forest Green 13 5 8 0.8 1.8 4 0 9 10 23 12
4 1 Plymouth 13 6 7 1.9 0.7 12 0 1 25 9 36
5 2 Sheffield Weds 13 6 7 2.3 0.8 8 4 1 30 11 28
6 9 Peterboro 12 5 7 2.0 0.8 8 1 3 24 9 25
7 3 Ipswich 12 6 6 1.8 0.8 7 4 1 22 9 25
8 6 Barnsley 12 6 6 1.4 1.1 7 1 4 17 13 22
9 7 Wycombe 12 6 6 1.6 1.0 6 3 3 19 12 21
10 11 Exeter 12 6 6 1.5 1.3 5 3 4 18 16 18
11 12 Charlton 13 7 6 1.8 1.3 5 5 3 24 17 20
12 13 Portsmouth 12 6 6 1.4 1.2 3 7 2 17 15 16
13 15 Oxford 12 6 6 1.3 1.1 4 3 5 16 13 15
14 17 Shrewsbury 13 7 6 1.0 1.3 5 2 6 13 17 17
15 19 Morecambe 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 4 5 4 16 16 17
16 10 Port Vale 11 6 5 1.2 1.0 5 3 3 13 11 18
17 20 Cambridge 13 8 5 0.9 1.2 5 2 6 12 16 17
18 21 Accrington 11 6 5 1.3 1.6 2 5 4 14 18 11
19 22 Burton 12 7 5 1.2 1.6 3 4 5 14 19 13
20 23 Milton Keynes Dons 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 2 2 8 10 20 8
21 5 Bolton 13 9 4 1.2 0.6 7 4 2 16 8 25
22 14 Fleetwood Town 11 7 4 0.9 0.9 2 5 4 10 10 11
23 18 Cheltenham 11 7 4 1.0 1.2 5 1 5 11 13 16
24 16 Lincoln 12 10 2 1.1 0.8 2 10 0 13 10 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Bristol Rvs 13 4 9 1.6 1.6 5 3 5 21 21 18
2 22 Burton 13 4 9 1.4 2.4 2 3 8 18 31 9
3 1 Plymouth 13 5 8 1.6 1.3 5 6 2 21 17 21
4 3 Ipswich 13 5 8 1.9 1.2 7 4 2 25 16 25
5 9 Peterboro 12 4 8 1.2 1.8 3 1 8 15 22 10
6 20 Cambridge 12 4 8 0.8 2.1 2 1 9 10 25 7
7 10 Port Vale 13 6 7 1.1 1.6 5 2 6 14 21 17
8 14 Fleetwood Town 13 6 7 1.4 1.2 4 6 3 18 15 18
9 7 Wycombe 13 7 6 1.1 1.1 5 2 6 14 14 17
10 11 Exeter 13 7 6 1.5 1.5 4 4 5 20 20 16
11 12 Charlton 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 2 5 5 14 19 11
12 19 Morecambe 12 6 6 0.8 1.6 1 4 7 10 19 7
13 23 Milton Keynes Dons 12 6 6 1.1 1.3 4 1 7 13 16 13
14 24 Forest Green 12 6 6 0.9 2.2 1 5 6 11 26 8
15 16 Lincoln 12 7 5 0.9 1.7 4 1 7 11 20 13
16 21 Accrington 12 7 5 0.6 1.7 3 2 7 7 20 11
17 5 Bolton 12 8 4 1.2 1.0 4 4 4 14 12 16
18 6 Barnsley 11 7 4 1.2 0.7 5 3 3 13 8 18
19 15 Oxford 12 8 4 1.1 1.2 3 5 4 13 14 14
20 17 Shrewsbury 11 7 4 0.9 1.1 3 3 5 10 12 12
21 18 Cheltenham 13 9 4 0.6 1.1 3 3 7 8 14 12
22 2 Sheffield Weds 12 9 3 1.2 0.6 7 3 2 15 7 24
23 13 Portsmouth 10 7 3 1.2 1.2 4 3 3 12 12 15
24 4 Derby 12 10 2 0.8 0.6 3 6 3 10 7 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51