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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: B Toner

Port Vale 2–3 Burton

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.91 fair 2.13
Draw 3.50 fair 3.66
Away ✓ 4.00 fair 3.90
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.69
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.08 fair 2.44

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Port Vale Burton
19 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 1
11 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (86 league matches this season so far).
Result Port Vale to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.38 – 0.94
Home / Draw / Away
Port ValeDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.5% 1–1 12.8% 0–0 9.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Port Vale before this match, all matches
2.29points / match
1.14scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 8:10
Burton before this match, all matches
0.29points / match
0.29scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 2:11
Port Vale all matches all matches Burton

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 0.29
1.43 Goals conceded 1.57
2.57 Total goals 1.86
13.00 Shots 10.29
3.86 Shots on target 3.00
11.43 Shots faced 12.43
4.71 Corners 3.43
4.86 Corners against 4.57
10.00 Fouls 12.14
1.29 Yellow cards 2.29
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

71% Wins 0%
14% Draws 29%
14% Losses 71%
86% Over 0.5 goals 86%
43% Over 1.5 goals 71%
43% Over 2.5 goals 29%
29% Over 3.5 goals 0%
29% Over 4.5 goals 0%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
29% Both teams scored 29%
57% Clean sheets 14%
29% Failed to score 71%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
71% Draws 43%
29% Losses 57%
29% Over 0.5 goals 57%
14% Over 1.5 goals 29%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Port Vale all matches
Burton all matches
Port Vale before this match, at home
3.00points / match
1.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:0
Burton before this match, away
0.25points / match
0.25scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 1:6
Port Vale at home away Burton

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.25
0.00 Goals conceded 1.50
1.00 Total goals 1.75
15.67 Shots 9.00
4.00 Shots on target 2.75
8.00 Shots faced 11.50
6.00 Corners 2.75
4.33 Corners against 4.25
6.67 Fouls 11.50
0.33 Yellow cards 1.75
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.25

How often Full Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 25%
0% Losses 75%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
0% Over 1.5 goals 75%
0% Over 2.5 goals 25%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 25%
100% Clean sheets 25%
0% Failed to score 75%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 25%
0% Losses 75%
0% Over 0.5 goals 75%
0% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Port Vale at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Port Vale all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.09.23 Port Vale – Northampton 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 1.95 1.90
02.09.23 Oxford – Port Vale 1–2 (0–0) 1.753.754.75 1.93 1.93
26.08.23 Port Vale – Carlisle 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.754.20 1.98 1.88
19.08.23 Charlton – Port Vale 2–3 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.93 1.93
15.08.23 Blackpool – Port Vale 0–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.75 1.98 1.88
12.08.23 Port Vale – Reading 1–0 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 1.90 1.95
05.08.23 Barnsley – Port Vale 7–0 (2–0) 1.753.754.75 2.05 1.75
07.05.23 Port Vale – Plymouth 1–3 (1–2) 4.334.001.75 1.80 2.05
29.04.23 Charlton – Port Vale 3–2 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 2.05 1.75
22.04.23 Port Vale – Bristol Rvs 2–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.25 2.00 1.85

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.09.23 Barnsley – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.75 2.05
02.09.23 Burton – Exeter 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.95 1.90
26.08.23 Burton – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 4.003.501.95 1.88 1.98
19.08.23 Wycombe – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 1.88 1.98
15.08.23 Shrewsbury – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 2.303.253.20 1.98 1.88
12.08.23 Burton – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.85 1.93 1.93
05.08.23 Blackpool – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 1.554.205.75 1.67 2.15
07.05.23 Burton – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.88 1.98
03.05.23 Burton – Cambridge 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.70
29.04.23 Plymouth – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.508.00 1.62 2.25

Port Vale at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.09.23 Port Vale – Northampton 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 1.95 1.90
26.08.23 Port Vale – Carlisle 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.754.20 1.98 1.88
12.08.23 Port Vale – Reading 1–0 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 1.90 1.95
07.05.23 Port Vale – Plymouth 1–3 (1–2) 4.334.001.75 1.80 2.05
22.04.23 Port Vale – Bristol Rvs 2–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.25 2.00 1.85
10.04.23 Port Vale – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.202.75 2.10 1.70
01.04.23 Port Vale – Cambridge 0–2 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.25 1.62
18.03.23 Port Vale – Burton 2–3 (1–1) 1.913.604.00 2.10 1.70
04.03.23 Port Vale – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.304.20 2.25 1.62
18.02.23 Port Vale – Exeter 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.253.10 2.10 1.70

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.09.23 Barnsley – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.75 2.05
19.08.23 Wycombe – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 1.88 1.98
15.08.23 Shrewsbury – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 2.303.253.20 1.98 1.88
05.08.23 Blackpool – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 1.554.205.75 1.67 2.15
29.04.23 Plymouth – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.508.00 1.62 2.25
25.04.23 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.02 1.82
22.04.23 Derby – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.70 2.10
10.04.23 Charlton – Burton 3–2 (2–1) 1.913.504.20 1.90 1.95
01.04.23 Cheltenham – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 1.98 1.88
18.03.23 Port Vale – Burton 2–3 (1–1) 1.913.604.00 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Port Vale winsDrawsBurton wins
2matches
3.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.03.23E2 Port Vale – Burton 2–3 (1–1) 1.913.604.00 2.10 1.70
20.08.22E2 Burton – Port Vale 0–2 (0–0) 2.873.252.50 1.98 1.88

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Exeter 8 5 1 2 10 4 +6 16
2 Port Vale 7 5 1 1 8 10 -2 16
3 Oxford 7 5 0 2 12 7 +5 15
4 Stevenage 8 4 3 1 11 6 +5 15
5 Barnsley 7 4 1 2 16 7 +9 13
6 Portsmouth 7 3 4 0 10 3 +7 13
7 Bolton 7 4 1 2 13 9 +4 13
8 Wigan 7 4 1 2 12 8 +4 13
9 Wycombe 7 4 1 2 8 9 -1 13
10 Lincoln 7 3 3 1 11 7 +4 12
11 Cambridge 7 4 0 3 9 6 +3 12
12 Derby 7 3 1 3 12 9 +3 10
13 Peterboro 7 3 1 3 9 10 -1 10
14 Bristol Rvs 7 2 3 2 8 8 0 9
15 Reading 7 3 0 4 6 6 0 9
16 Blackpool 7 2 3 2 4 6 -2 9
17 Shrewsbury 7 3 0 4 4 8 -4 9
18 Leyton Orient 8 2 2 4 7 13 -6 8
19 Charlton 7 2 1 4 8 10 -2 7
20 Carlisle 8 1 4 3 7 9 -2 7
21 Northampton 7 2 1 4 5 7 -2 7
22 Burton 7 0 2 5 2 11 -9 2
23 Cheltenham 7 0 1 6 0 9 -9 1
24 Fleetwood Town 7 0 1 6 3 13 -10 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cambridge 4 3 0 1 6 2 +4 9
2 Reading 4 3 0 1 5 2 +3 9
3 Port Vale 3 3 0 0 3 0 +3 9
4 Bolton 4 3 0 1 8 6 +2 9
5 Portsmouth 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8
6 Blackpool 4 2 2 0 4 1 +3 8
7 Lincoln 3 2 1 0 7 1 +6 7
8 Exeter 4 2 1 1 4 3 +1 7
9 Wycombe 4 2 1 1 5 5 0 7
10 Barnsley 4 2 0 2 11 6 +5 6
11 Stevenage 4 1 3 0 5 3 +2 6
12 Oxford 3 2 0 1 4 3 +1 6
13 Charlton 4 2 0 2 6 6 0 6
14 Wigan 3 2 0 1 4 4 0 6
15 Shrewsbury 4 2 0 2 3 4 -1 6
16 Carlisle 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
17 Derby 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
18 Peterboro 3 1 1 1 4 5 -1 4
19 Northampton 4 1 1 2 3 4 -1 4
20 Leyton Orient 3 1 0 2 2 7 -5 3
21 Bristol Rvs 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
22 Burton 3 0 1 2 1 5 -4 1
23 Cheltenham 3 0 0 3 0 6 -6 0
24 Fleetwood Town 3 0 0 3 0 6 -6 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Exeter 4 3 0 1 6 1 +5 9
2 Oxford 4 3 0 1 8 4 +4 9
3 Stevenage 4 3 0 1 6 3 +3 9
4 Wigan 4 2 1 1 8 4 +4 7
5 Barnsley 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
6 Bristol Rvs 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
7 Port Vale 4 2 1 1 5 10 -5 7
8 Derby 3 2 0 1 8 4 +4 6
9 Peterboro 4 2 0 2 5 5 0 6
10 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 3 4 -1 6
11 Portsmouth 3 1 2 0 5 1 +4 5
12 Leyton Orient 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
13 Lincoln 4 1 2 1 4 6 -2 5
14 Bolton 3 1 1 1 5 3 +2 4
15 Cambridge 3 1 0 2 3 4 -1 3
16 Northampton 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 3
17 Shrewsbury 3 1 0 2 1 4 -3 3
18 Carlisle 4 0 2 2 3 5 -2 2
19 Charlton 3 0 1 2 2 4 -2 1
20 Cheltenham 4 0 1 3 0 3 -3 1
21 Fleetwood Town 4 0 1 3 3 7 -4 1
22 Burton 4 0 1 3 1 6 -5 1
23 Blackpool 3 0 1 2 0 5 -5 1
24 Reading 3 0 0 3 1 4 -3 0

Port Vale   Burton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Bolton 7 1 6 1.9 1.3 4 1 2 13 9 13
2 3 Oxford 7 2 5 1.7 1.0 5 0 2 12 7 15
3 8 Wigan 7 2 5 1.7 1.1 4 1 2 12 8 13
4 12 Derby 7 2 5 1.7 1.3 3 1 3 12 9 10
5 9 Wycombe 7 3 4 1.1 1.3 4 1 2 8 9 13
6 10 Lincoln 7 3 4 1.6 1.0 3 3 1 11 7 12
7 18 Leyton Orient 8 4 4 0.9 1.6 2 2 4 7 13 8
8 19 Charlton 7 3 4 1.1 1.4 2 1 4 8 10 7
9 1 Exeter 8 5 3 1.2 0.5 5 1 2 10 4 16
10 2 Port Vale 7 4 3 1.1 1.4 5 1 1 8 10 16
11 4 Stevenage 8 5 3 1.4 0.8 4 3 1 11 6 15
12 5 Barnsley 7 4 3 2.3 1.0 4 1 2 16 7 13
13 13 Peterboro 7 4 3 1.3 1.4 3 1 3 9 10 10
14 24 Fleetwood Town 7 4 3 0.4 1.9 0 1 6 3 13 1
15 6 Portsmouth 7 5 2 1.4 0.4 3 4 0 10 3 13
16 11 Cambridge 7 5 2 1.3 0.9 4 0 3 9 6 12
17 14 Bristol Rvs 7 5 2 1.1 1.1 2 3 2 8 8 9
18 15 Reading 7 5 2 0.9 0.9 3 0 4 6 6 9
19 16 Blackpool 7 5 2 0.6 0.9 2 3 2 4 6 9
20 21 Northampton 7 5 2 0.7 1.0 2 1 4 5 7 7
21 22 Burton 7 5 2 0.3 1.6 0 2 5 2 11 2
22 17 Shrewsbury 7 6 1 0.6 1.1 3 0 4 4 8 9
23 20 Carlisle 8 7 1 0.9 1.1 1 4 3 7 9 7
24 23 Cheltenham 7 6 1 0.0 1.3 0 1 6 0 9 1
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Bolton 4 0 4 2.0 1.5 3 0 1 8 6 9
2 5 Barnsley 4 1 3 2.8 1.5 2 0 2 11 6 6
3 19 Charlton 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 2 0 2 6 6 6
4 1 Exeter 4 2 2 1.0 0.8 2 1 1 4 3 7
5 3 Oxford 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 2 0 1 4 3 6
6 8 Wigan 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 2 0 1 4 4 6
7 9 Wycombe 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 1 5 5 7
8 10 Lincoln 3 1 2 2.3 0.3 2 1 0 7 1 7
9 12 Derby 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
10 18 Leyton Orient 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 1 0 2 2 7 3
11 4 Stevenage 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 1 3 0 5 3 6
12 6 Portsmouth 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8
13 11 Cambridge 4 3 1 1.5 0.5 3 0 1 6 2 9
14 13 Peterboro 3 2 1 1.3 1.7 1 1 1 4 5 4
15 14 Bristol Rvs 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
16 15 Reading 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 3 0 1 5 2 9
17 16 Blackpool 4 3 1 1.0 0.2 2 2 0 4 1 8
18 17 Shrewsbury 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 2 0 2 3 4 6
19 21 Northampton 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 1 1 2 3 4 4
20 22 Burton 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 0 1 2 1 5 1
21 23 Cheltenham 3 2 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 3 0 6 0
22 24 Fleetwood Town 3 2 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 3 0 6 0
23 2 Port Vale 3 3 0 1.0 0.0 3 0 0 3 0 9
24 20 Carlisle 4 4 0 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Port Vale 4 1 3 1.2 2.5 2 1 1 5 10 7
2 3 Oxford 4 1 3 2.0 1.0 3 0 1 8 4 9
3 8 Wigan 4 1 3 2.0 1.0 2 1 1 8 4 7
4 12 Derby 3 0 3 2.7 1.3 2 0 1 8 4 6
5 4 Stevenage 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 3 0 1 6 3 9
6 7 Bolton 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 1 1 1 5 3 4
7 9 Wycombe 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 2 0 1 3 4 6
8 10 Lincoln 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 2 1 4 6 5
9 13 Peterboro 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 2 0 2 5 5 6
10 18 Leyton Orient 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
11 24 Fleetwood Town 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 1 3 3 7 1
12 1 Exeter 4 3 1 1.5 0.2 3 0 1 6 1 9
13 6 Portsmouth 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 1 2 0 5 1 5
14 11 Cambridge 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 0 2 3 4 3
15 14 Bristol Rvs 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
16 15 Reading 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 0 0 3 1 4 0
17 16 Blackpool 3 2 1 0.0 1.7 0 1 2 0 5 1
18 19 Charlton 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 1 2 2 4 1
19 20 Carlisle 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 0 2 2 3 5 2
20 21 Northampton 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 1 0 2 2 3 3
21 22 Burton 4 3 1 0.2 1.5 0 1 3 1 6 1
22 5 Barnsley 3 3 0 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
23 17 Shrewsbury 3 3 0 0.3 1.3 1 0 2 1 4 3
24 23 Cheltenham 4 4 0 0.0 0.8 0 1 3 0 3 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51