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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: R Welch

Lincoln 0–1 Burton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.95 fair 2.00
Draw 3.40 fair 3.87
Away ✓ 4.00 fair 4.14
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.83
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.21

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lincoln Burton
10 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 1
4 Corners 4
8 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (136 league matches this season so far).
Result Lincoln to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.52 – 0.97
Home / Draw / Away
LincolnDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12.6% 1–1 12.2% 2–0 9.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Lincoln before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.40scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 14:11
Burton before this match, all matches
1.08points / match
0.83scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 10:16
Lincoln all matches all matches Burton

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 0.83
1.10 Goals conceded 1.33
2.50 Total goals 2.17
9.90 Shots 10.17
3.50 Shots on target 2.92
12.60 Shots faced 13.42
2.10 Corners 3.42
4.90 Corners against 5.00
11.00 Fouls 11.92
2.20 Yellow cards 2.42
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

40% Wins 25%
30% Draws 33%
30% Losses 42%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
90% Over 1.5 goals 75%
50% Over 2.5 goals 42%
10% Over 3.5 goals 8%
0% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 50%
40% Clean sheets 17%
20% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 8%
40% Draws 50%
30% Losses 42%
60% Over 0.5 goals 67%
30% Over 1.5 goals 42%
10% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lincoln all matches
Burton all matches
Lincoln before this match, at home
2.50points / match
2.25scored / match
0.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 9:1
Burton before this match, away
0.83points / match
0.67scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 4:8
Lincoln at home away Burton

Per match

2.25 Goals scored 0.67
0.25 Goals conceded 1.33
2.50 Total goals 2.00
11.50 Shots 7.83
5.00 Shots on target 2.50
11.25 Shots faced 14.17
2.00 Corners 2.33
3.50 Corners against 4.83
11.75 Fouls 11.50
2.00 Yellow cards 2.33
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.17
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

75% Wins 17%
25% Draws 33%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
50% Over 2.5 goals 33%
0% Over 3.5 goals 17%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 33%
75% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
25% Draws 50%
25% Losses 50%
75% Over 0.5 goals 67%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lincoln at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lincoln all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.10.23 Peterboro – Lincoln 2–0 (0–0) 1.704.004.75 1.88 1.98
30.09.23 Lincoln – Cheltenham 2–0 (2–0) 1.624.205.00 2.00 1.85
23.09.23 Portsmouth – Lincoln 2–1 (2–1) 1.703.805.00 2.00 1.85
16.09.23 Lincoln – Carlisle 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.304.33 2.10 1.70
02.09.23 Bristol Rvs – Lincoln 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.88 1.93 1.93
26.08.23 Lincoln – Blackpool 3–0 (2–0) 2.633.302.70 2.20 1.65
19.08.23 Shrewsbury – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.202.80 2.25 1.62
15.08.23 Northampton – Lincoln 2–2 (0–1) 2.753.202.60 2.15 1.67
12.08.23 Lincoln – Wycombe 3–0 (0–0) 2.503.302.88 2.10 1.70
05.08.23 Bolton – Lincoln 3–0 (1–0) 1.753.605.00 2.20 1.65

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.10.23 Burton – Cambridge 2–1 (2–0) 2.383.403.00 2.08 1.73
03.10.23 Burton – Wigan 2–1 (0–1) 2.703.252.70 1.98 1.88
30.09.23 Reading – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.803.75 2.00 1.85
23.09.23 Burton – Fleetwood Town 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 1.93 1.93
19.09.23 Port Vale – Burton 2–3 (1–1) 1.913.504.00 2.08 1.73
16.09.23 Barnsley – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.75 2.05
02.09.23 Burton – Exeter 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.95 1.90
26.08.23 Burton – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 4.003.501.95 1.88 1.98
19.08.23 Wycombe – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 1.88 1.98
15.08.23 Shrewsbury – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 2.303.253.20 1.98 1.88

Lincoln at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23 Lincoln – Cheltenham 2–0 (2–0) 1.624.205.00 2.00 1.85
16.09.23 Lincoln – Carlisle 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.304.33 2.10 1.70
26.08.23 Lincoln – Blackpool 3–0 (2–0) 2.633.302.70 2.20 1.65
12.08.23 Lincoln – Wycombe 3–0 (0–0) 2.503.302.88 2.10 1.70
07.05.23 Lincoln – Shrewsbury 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.603.40 1.85 2.00
25.04.23 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.02 1.82
18.04.23 Lincoln – Barnsley 0–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.91 2.15 1.67
15.04.23 Lincoln – Port Vale 3–2 (2–2) 2.553.302.80 2.25 1.62
07.04.23 Lincoln – Cheltenham 2–0 (1–0) 2.403.203.10 2.40 1.53
18.03.23 Lincoln – Peterboro 0–3 (0–1) 3.103.502.25 2.02 1.83

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23 Reading – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.803.75 2.00 1.85
19.09.23 Port Vale – Burton 2–3 (1–1) 1.913.504.00 2.08 1.73
16.09.23 Barnsley – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.75 2.05
19.08.23 Wycombe – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 1.88 1.98
15.08.23 Shrewsbury – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 2.303.253.20 1.98 1.88
05.08.23 Blackpool – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 1.554.205.75 1.67 2.15
29.04.23 Plymouth – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.508.00 1.62 2.25
25.04.23 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.02 1.82
22.04.23 Derby – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.70 2.10
10.04.23 Charlton – Burton 3–2 (2–1) 1.913.504.20 1.90 1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Lincoln winsDrawsBurton wins
4matches
2.50goals / match
75%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.23E2 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.02 1.82
26.12.22E2 Burton – Lincoln 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.403.30 2.02 1.83
29.01.22E2 Lincoln – Burton 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.403.40 2.02 1.83
25.09.21E2 Burton – Lincoln 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.502.70 2.05 1.75

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 12 8 4 0 21 8 +13 28
2 Oxford 11 9 0 2 23 9 +14 27
3 Barnsley 12 7 1 4 25 12 +13 22
4 Peterboro 12 6 3 3 18 12 +6 21
5 Stevenage 12 6 3 3 18 12 +6 21
6 Bolton 11 6 2 3 19 15 +4 20
7 Wycombe 11 6 1 4 16 15 +1 19
8 Derby 11 5 3 3 18 11 +7 18
9 Port Vale 12 5 2 5 11 20 -9 17
10 Blackpool 11 4 4 3 12 12 0 16
11 Exeter 12 5 1 6 11 14 -3 16
12 Charlton 11 4 3 4 17 14 +3 15
13 Bristol Rvs 11 4 3 4 16 13 +3 15
14 Lincoln 10 4 3 3 14 11 +3 15
15 Cambridge 11 4 2 5 11 13 -2 14
16 Leyton Orient 11 4 2 5 10 15 -5 14
17 Northampton 11 4 1 6 11 11 0 13
18 Wigan 11 4 1 6 15 17 -2 13
19 Burton 12 3 4 5 10 16 -6 13
20 Shrewsbury 11 4 1 6 5 12 -7 13
21 Carlisle 12 2 5 5 11 15 -4 11
22 Reading 11 3 1 7 9 15 -6 10
23 Fleetwood Town 11 2 2 7 8 18 -10 8
24 Cheltenham 12 0 2 10 1 20 -19 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 7 5 2 0 11 4 +7 17
2 Oxford 6 5 0 1 12 4 +8 15
3 Peterboro 6 4 1 1 11 5 +6 13
4 Charlton 7 4 1 2 15 10 +5 13
5 Bolton 7 4 1 2 13 12 +1 13
6 Blackpool 6 3 2 1 9 5 +4 11
7 Lincoln 4 3 1 0 9 1 +8 10
8 Reading 5 3 1 1 5 2 +3 10
9 Wycombe 5 3 1 1 7 5 +2 10
10 Cambridge 6 3 1 2 7 7 0 10
11 Shrewsbury 6 3 1 2 4 4 0 10
12 Stevenage 6 2 3 1 7 6 +1 9
13 Port Vale 5 3 0 2 5 4 +1 9
14 Leyton Orient 5 3 0 2 5 8 -3 9
15 Bristol Rvs 5 2 2 1 10 5 +5 8
16 Burton 6 2 2 2 6 8 -2 8
17 Northampton 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
18 Exeter 6 2 1 3 4 6 -2 7
19 Barnsley 6 2 0 4 13 10 +3 6
20 Wigan 4 2 0 2 5 6 -1 6
21 Carlisle 6 1 3 2 5 7 -2 6
22 Derby 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5
23 Fleetwood Town 5 1 0 4 2 10 -8 3
24 Cheltenham 6 0 1 5 1 12 -11 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barnsley 6 5 1 0 12 2 +10 16
2 Derby 6 4 1 1 14 6 +8 13
3 Oxford 5 4 0 1 11 5 +6 12
4 Stevenage 6 4 0 2 11 6 +5 12
5 Portsmouth 5 3 2 0 10 4 +6 11
6 Wycombe 6 3 0 3 9 10 -1 9
7 Exeter 6 3 0 3 7 8 -1 9
8 Peterboro 6 2 2 2 7 7 0 8
9 Port Vale 7 2 2 3 6 16 -10 8
10 Bolton 4 2 1 1 6 3 +3 7
11 Wigan 7 2 1 4 10 11 -1 7
12 Bristol Rvs 6 2 1 3 6 8 -2 7
13 Northampton 5 2 0 3 4 4 0 6
14 Carlisle 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
15 Fleetwood Town 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
16 Leyton Orient 6 1 2 3 5 7 -2 5
17 Burton 6 1 2 3 4 8 -4 5
18 Blackpool 5 1 2 2 3 7 -4 5
19 Lincoln 6 1 2 3 5 10 -5 5
20 Cambridge 5 1 1 3 4 6 -2 4
21 Shrewsbury 5 1 0 4 1 8 -7 3
22 Charlton 4 0 2 2 2 4 -2 2
23 Cheltenham 6 0 1 5 0 8 -8 1
24 Reading 6 0 0 6 4 13 -9 0

Lincoln   Burton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Oxford 11 2 9 2.1 0.8 9 0 2 23 9 27
2 6 Bolton 11 3 8 1.7 1.4 6 2 3 19 15 20
3 18 Wigan 11 3 8 1.4 1.5 4 1 6 15 17 13
4 7 Wycombe 11 4 7 1.5 1.4 6 1 4 16 15 19
5 12 Charlton 11 4 7 1.5 1.3 4 3 4 17 14 15
6 1 Portsmouth 12 6 6 1.8 0.7 8 4 0 21 8 28
7 3 Barnsley 12 6 6 2.1 1.0 7 1 4 25 12 22
8 5 Stevenage 12 6 6 1.5 1.0 6 3 3 18 12 21
9 8 Derby 11 5 6 1.6 1.0 5 3 3 18 11 18
10 9 Port Vale 12 7 5 0.9 1.7 5 2 5 11 20 17
11 10 Blackpool 11 6 5 1.1 1.1 4 4 3 12 12 16
12 11 Exeter 12 7 5 0.9 1.2 5 1 6 11 14 16
13 13 Bristol Rvs 11 6 5 1.5 1.2 4 3 4 16 13 15
14 14 Lincoln 10 5 5 1.4 1.1 4 3 3 14 11 15
15 16 Leyton Orient 11 6 5 0.9 1.4 4 2 5 10 15 14
16 19 Burton 12 7 5 0.8 1.3 3 4 5 10 16 13
17 22 Reading 11 6 5 0.8 1.4 3 1 7 9 15 10
18 4 Peterboro 12 8 4 1.5 1.0 6 3 3 18 12 21
19 15 Cambridge 11 7 4 1.0 1.2 4 2 5 11 13 14
20 17 Northampton 11 7 4 1.0 1.0 4 1 6 11 11 13
21 23 Fleetwood Town 11 7 4 0.7 1.6 2 2 7 8 18 8
22 24 Cheltenham 12 9 3 0.1 1.7 0 2 10 1 20 2
23 20 Shrewsbury 11 9 2 0.5 1.1 4 1 6 5 12 13
24 21 Carlisle 12 10 2 0.9 1.2 2 5 5 11 15 11
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Bolton 7 1 6 1.9 1.7 4 1 2 13 12 13
2 12 Charlton 7 1 6 2.1 1.4 4 1 2 15 10 13
3 2 Oxford 6 1 5 2.0 0.7 5 0 1 12 4 15
4 3 Barnsley 6 2 4 2.2 1.7 2 0 4 13 10 6
5 1 Portsmouth 7 4 3 1.6 0.6 5 2 0 11 4 17
6 10 Blackpool 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 3 2 1 9 5 11
7 13 Bristol Rvs 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 2 2 1 10 5 8
8 16 Leyton Orient 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 3 0 2 5 8 9
9 17 Northampton 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
10 18 Wigan 4 1 3 1.2 1.5 2 0 2 5 6 6
11 19 Burton 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 2 2 2 6 8 8
12 4 Peterboro 6 4 2 1.8 0.8 4 1 1 11 5 13
13 5 Stevenage 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 2 3 1 7 6 9
14 7 Wycombe 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 3 1 1 7 5 10
15 8 Derby 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 1 2 2 4 5 5
16 11 Exeter 6 4 2 0.7 1.0 2 1 3 4 6 7
17 14 Lincoln 4 2 2 2.2 0.2 3 1 0 9 1 10
18 15 Cambridge 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 3 1 2 7 7 10
19 23 Fleetwood Town 5 3 2 0.4 2.0 1 0 4 2 10 3
20 24 Cheltenham 6 4 2 0.2 2.0 0 1 5 1 12 1
21 9 Port Vale 5 4 1 1.0 0.8 3 0 2 5 4 9
22 20 Shrewsbury 6 5 1 0.7 0.7 3 1 2 4 4 10
23 22 Reading 5 4 1 1.0 0.4 3 1 1 5 2 10
24 21 Carlisle 6 6 0 0.8 1.2 1 3 2 5 7 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Wycombe 6 1 5 1.5 1.7 3 0 3 9 10 9
2 18 Wigan 7 2 5 1.4 1.6 2 1 4 10 11 7
3 2 Oxford 5 1 4 2.2 1.0 4 0 1 11 5 12
4 5 Stevenage 6 2 4 1.8 1.0 4 0 2 11 6 12
5 8 Derby 6 2 4 2.3 1.0 4 1 1 14 6 13
6 9 Port Vale 7 3 4 0.9 2.3 2 2 3 6 16 8
7 22 Reading 6 2 4 0.7 2.2 0 0 6 4 13 0
8 1 Portsmouth 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 3 2 0 10 4 11
9 11 Exeter 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 3 0 3 7 8 9
10 14 Lincoln 6 3 3 0.8 1.7 1 2 3 5 10 5
11 3 Barnsley 6 4 2 2.0 0.3 5 1 0 12 2 16
12 4 Peterboro 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 2 2 2 7 7 8
13 6 Bolton 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 2 1 1 6 3 7
14 10 Blackpool 5 3 2 0.6 1.4 1 2 2 3 7 5
15 13 Bristol Rvs 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 2 1 3 6 8 7
16 15 Cambridge 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 1 1 3 4 6 4
17 16 Leyton Orient 6 4 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 3 5 7 5
18 19 Burton 6 4 2 0.7 1.3 1 2 3 4 8 5
19 21 Carlisle 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 1 2 3 6 8 5
20 23 Fleetwood Town 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 1 2 3 6 8 5
21 12 Charlton 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 0 2 2 2 4 2
22 17 Northampton 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 0 3 4 4 6
23 20 Shrewsbury 5 4 1 0.2 1.6 1 0 4 1 8 3
24 24 Cheltenham 6 5 1 0.0 1.3 0 1 5 0 8 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38