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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: M Woods

Shrewsbury 1–0 Derby

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 4.33 fair 3.25
Draw 3.40 fair 3.59
Away 1.85 fair 2.42
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.71
Over 2.5 2.05 fair 2.40

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Shrewsbury Derby
16 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 6
9 Corners 8
9 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (140 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.06 – 1.28
Home / Draw / Away
ShrewsburyDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.1% 0–1 12.3% 1–0 10.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Shrewsbury before this match, all matches
1.17points / match
0.50scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 6:13
Derby before this match, all matches
1.64points / match
1.64scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 18:11
Shrewsbury all matches all matches Derby

Per match

0.50 Goals scored 1.64
1.08 Goals conceded 1.00
1.58 Total goals 2.64
9.92 Shots 12.09
2.92 Shots on target 3.73
11.83 Shots faced 10.82
4.67 Corners 6.91
6.33 Corners against 6.09
9.83 Fouls 11.45
1.83 Yellow cards 2.00
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.82
0.17 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

33% Wins 45%
17% Draws 27%
50% Losses 27%
92% Over 0.5 goals 91%
50% Over 1.5 goals 82%
17% Over 2.5 goals 55%
0% Over 3.5 goals 18%
0% Over 4.5 goals 9%
0% Over 5.5 goals 9%
17% Both teams scored 64%
33% Clean sheets 36%
58% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 36%
67% Draws 45%
17% Losses 18%
33% Over 0.5 goals 73%
8% Over 1.5 goals 27%
0% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Shrewsbury all matches
Derby all matches
Shrewsbury before this match, at home
1.67points / match
0.67scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 4:4
Derby before this match, away
2.17points / match
2.33scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 14:6
Shrewsbury at home away Derby

Per match

0.67 Goals scored 2.33
0.67 Goals conceded 1.00
1.33 Total goals 3.33
12.00 Shots 11.17
3.67 Shots on target 4.33
12.50 Shots faced 12.00
5.00 Corners 5.00
5.17 Corners against 6.50
9.17 Fouls 10.00
1.67 Yellow cards 1.33
0.33 1st-half goals scored 1.33
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 67%
17% Draws 17%
33% Losses 17%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 100%
17% Over 2.5 goals 67%
0% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
17% Both teams scored 67%
50% Clean sheets 33%
50% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 50%
83% Draws 50%
0% Losses 0%
17% Over 0.5 goals 83%
17% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Shrewsbury at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Shrewsbury all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.10.23 Cambridge – Shrewsbury 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.75 2.10 1.70
07.10.23 Shrewsbury – Northampton 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.302.50 2.15 1.67
03.10.23 Oxford – Shrewsbury 3–0 (1–0) 1.573.806.50 1.93 1.93
30.09.23 Shrewsbury – Charlton 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.502.38 2.00 1.85
23.09.23 Leyton Orient – Shrewsbury 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.504.20 2.10 1.70
16.09.23 Shrewsbury – Bristol Rvs 0–2 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 2.05 1.75
02.09.23 Carlisle – Shrewsbury 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.10 2.10 1.78
26.08.23 Fleetwood Town – Shrewsbury 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.303.80 2.10 1.70
19.08.23 Shrewsbury – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.202.80 2.25 1.62
15.08.23 Shrewsbury – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 2.303.253.20 1.98 1.88

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.10.23 Cheltenham – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 7.004.001.50 1.88 1.98
03.10.23 Blackpool – Derby 1–3 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.05 1.80
30.09.23 Derby – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.88 1.98
23.09.23 Carlisle – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.10 1.93 1.93
16.09.23 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90
02.09.23 Bolton – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.85
26.08.23 Peterboro – Derby 2–4 (1–4) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93
19.08.23 Derby – Fleetwood Town 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.85 2.00
15.08.23 Derby – Oxford 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 2.05 1.75
12.08.23 Burton – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.85 1.93 1.93

Shrewsbury at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.10.23 Shrewsbury – Northampton 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.302.50 2.15 1.67
30.09.23 Shrewsbury – Charlton 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.502.38 2.00 1.85
16.09.23 Shrewsbury – Bristol Rvs 0–2 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 2.05 1.75
19.08.23 Shrewsbury – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.202.80 2.25 1.62
15.08.23 Shrewsbury – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 2.303.253.20 1.98 1.88
05.08.23 Shrewsbury – Cheltenham 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.15 1.67
02.05.23 Shrewsbury – Bristol Rvs 2–1 (1–0) 2.303.403.00 2.05 1.75
29.04.23 Shrewsbury – Sheffield Weds 0–3 (0–1) 6.504.001.53 2.02 1.82
18.04.23 Shrewsbury – Plymouth 1–2 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.05 1.75
15.04.23 Shrewsbury – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.202.45 2.25 1.62

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.10.23 Cheltenham – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 7.004.001.50 1.88 1.98
03.10.23 Blackpool – Derby 1–3 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.05 1.80
23.09.23 Carlisle – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.10 1.93 1.93
02.09.23 Bolton – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.85
26.08.23 Peterboro – Derby 2–4 (1–4) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93
12.08.23 Burton – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.85 1.93 1.93
07.05.23 Sheffield Weds – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.502.60 1.95 1.90
18.04.23 Exeter – Derby 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 2.05 1.80
15.04.23 Bristol Rvs – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 4.333.601.83 1.95 1.90
07.04.23 Forest Green – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.001.60 2.05 1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Shrewsbury winsDrawsDerby wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.03.23E2 Derby – Shrewsbury 2–2 (2–0) 1.654.005.25 2.08 1.73
16.08.22E2 Shrewsbury – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.202.25 2.35 1.57

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 12 8 4 0 21 8 +13 28
2 Oxford 11 9 0 2 23 9 +14 27
3 Barnsley 12 7 1 4 25 12 +13 22
4 Peterboro 12 6 3 3 18 12 +6 21
5 Stevenage 13 6 3 4 18 15 +3 21
6 Bolton 11 6 2 3 19 15 +4 20
7 Blackpool 12 5 4 3 15 12 +3 19
8 Wycombe 11 6 1 4 16 15 +1 19
9 Derby 11 5 3 3 18 11 +7 18
10 Leyton Orient 12 5 2 5 11 15 -4 17
11 Port Vale 12 5 2 5 11 20 -9 17
12 Exeter 12 5 1 6 11 14 -3 16
13 Burton 13 4 4 5 11 16 -5 16
14 Charlton 11 4 3 4 17 14 +3 15
15 Bristol Rvs 11 4 3 4 16 13 +3 15
16 Lincoln 11 4 3 4 14 12 +2 15
17 Cambridge 12 4 3 5 12 14 -2 15
18 Shrewsbury 12 4 2 6 6 13 -7 14
19 Northampton 11 4 1 6 11 11 0 13
20 Wigan 11 4 1 6 15 17 -2 13
21 Carlisle 13 2 5 6 11 16 -5 11
22 Reading 11 3 1 7 9 15 -6 10
23 Fleetwood Town 11 2 2 7 8 18 -10 8
24 Cheltenham 12 0 2 10 1 20 -19 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 7 5 2 0 11 4 +7 17
2 Oxford 6 5 0 1 12 4 +8 15
3 Blackpool 7 4 2 1 12 5 +7 14
4 Peterboro 6 4 1 1 11 5 +6 13
5 Charlton 7 4 1 2 15 10 +5 13
6 Bolton 7 4 1 2 13 12 +1 13
7 Cambridge 7 3 2 2 8 8 0 11
8 Lincoln 5 3 1 1 9 2 +7 10
9 Reading 5 3 1 1 5 2 +3 10
10 Wycombe 5 3 1 1 7 5 +2 10
11 Shrewsbury 6 3 1 2 4 4 0 10
12 Stevenage 6 2 3 1 7 6 +1 9
13 Port Vale 5 3 0 2 5 4 +1 9
14 Leyton Orient 5 3 0 2 5 8 -3 9
15 Bristol Rvs 5 2 2 1 10 5 +5 8
16 Burton 6 2 2 2 6 8 -2 8
17 Northampton 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
18 Exeter 6 2 1 3 4 6 -2 7
19 Barnsley 6 2 0 4 13 10 +3 6
20 Wigan 4 2 0 2 5 6 -1 6
21 Carlisle 7 1 3 3 5 8 -3 6
22 Derby 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5
23 Fleetwood Town 5 1 0 4 2 10 -8 3
24 Cheltenham 6 0 1 5 1 12 -11 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barnsley 6 5 1 0 12 2 +10 16
2 Derby 6 4 1 1 14 6 +8 13
3 Oxford 5 4 0 1 11 5 +6 12
4 Stevenage 7 4 0 3 11 9 +2 12
5 Portsmouth 5 3 2 0 10 4 +6 11
6 Wycombe 6 3 0 3 9 10 -1 9
7 Exeter 6 3 0 3 7 8 -1 9
8 Peterboro 6 2 2 2 7 7 0 8
9 Leyton Orient 7 2 2 3 6 7 -1 8
10 Burton 7 2 2 3 5 8 -3 8
11 Port Vale 7 2 2 3 6 16 -10 8
12 Bolton 4 2 1 1 6 3 +3 7
13 Wigan 7 2 1 4 10 11 -1 7
14 Bristol Rvs 6 2 1 3 6 8 -2 7
15 Northampton 5 2 0 3 4 4 0 6
16 Carlisle 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
17 Fleetwood Town 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
18 Blackpool 5 1 2 2 3 7 -4 5
19 Lincoln 6 1 2 3 5 10 -5 5
20 Cambridge 5 1 1 3 4 6 -2 4
21 Shrewsbury 6 1 1 4 2 9 -7 4
22 Charlton 4 0 2 2 2 4 -2 2
23 Cheltenham 6 0 1 5 0 8 -8 1
24 Reading 6 0 0 6 4 13 -9 0

Shrewsbury   Derby

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Oxford 11 2 9 2.1 0.8 9 0 2 23 9 27
2 6 Bolton 11 3 8 1.7 1.4 6 2 3 19 15 20
3 20 Wigan 11 3 8 1.4 1.5 4 1 6 15 17 13
4 5 Stevenage 13 6 7 1.4 1.2 6 3 4 18 15 21
5 8 Wycombe 11 4 7 1.5 1.4 6 1 4 16 15 19
6 14 Charlton 11 4 7 1.5 1.3 4 3 4 17 14 15
7 1 Portsmouth 12 6 6 1.8 0.7 8 4 0 21 8 28
8 3 Barnsley 12 6 6 2.1 1.0 7 1 4 25 12 22
9 7 Blackpool 12 6 6 1.2 1.0 5 4 3 15 12 19
10 9 Derby 11 5 6 1.6 1.0 5 3 3 18 11 18
11 10 Leyton Orient 12 7 5 0.9 1.2 5 2 5 11 15 17
12 11 Port Vale 12 7 5 0.9 1.7 5 2 5 11 20 17
13 12 Exeter 12 7 5 0.9 1.2 5 1 6 11 14 16
14 13 Burton 13 8 5 0.8 1.2 4 4 5 11 16 16
15 15 Bristol Rvs 11 6 5 1.5 1.2 4 3 4 16 13 15
16 16 Lincoln 11 6 5 1.3 1.1 4 3 4 14 12 15
17 22 Reading 11 6 5 0.8 1.4 3 1 7 9 15 10
18 4 Peterboro 12 8 4 1.5 1.0 6 3 3 18 12 21
19 17 Cambridge 12 8 4 1.0 1.2 4 3 5 12 14 15
20 19 Northampton 11 7 4 1.0 1.0 4 1 6 11 11 13
21 23 Fleetwood Town 11 7 4 0.7 1.6 2 2 7 8 18 8
22 24 Cheltenham 12 9 3 0.1 1.7 0 2 10 1 20 2
23 18 Shrewsbury 12 10 2 0.5 1.1 4 2 6 6 13 14
24 21 Carlisle 13 11 2 0.8 1.2 2 5 6 11 16 11
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Bolton 7 1 6 1.9 1.7 4 1 2 13 12 13
2 14 Charlton 7 1 6 2.1 1.4 4 1 2 15 10 13
3 2 Oxford 6 1 5 2.0 0.7 5 0 1 12 4 15
4 3 Barnsley 6 2 4 2.2 1.7 2 0 4 13 10 6
5 7 Blackpool 7 3 4 1.7 0.7 4 2 1 12 5 14
6 1 Portsmouth 7 4 3 1.6 0.6 5 2 0 11 4 17
7 10 Leyton Orient 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 3 0 2 5 8 9
8 13 Burton 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 2 2 2 6 8 8
9 15 Bristol Rvs 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 2 2 1 10 5 8
10 19 Northampton 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
11 20 Wigan 4 1 3 1.2 1.5 2 0 2 5 6 6
12 4 Peterboro 6 4 2 1.8 0.8 4 1 1 11 5 13
13 5 Stevenage 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 2 3 1 7 6 9
14 8 Wycombe 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 3 1 1 7 5 10
15 9 Derby 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 1 2 2 4 5 5
16 12 Exeter 6 4 2 0.7 1.0 2 1 3 4 6 7
17 16 Lincoln 5 3 2 1.8 0.4 3 1 1 9 2 10
18 17 Cambridge 7 5 2 1.1 1.1 3 2 2 8 8 11
19 23 Fleetwood Town 5 3 2 0.4 2.0 1 0 4 2 10 3
20 24 Cheltenham 6 4 2 0.2 2.0 0 1 5 1 12 1
21 11 Port Vale 5 4 1 1.0 0.8 3 0 2 5 4 9
22 18 Shrewsbury 6 5 1 0.7 0.7 3 1 2 4 4 10
23 22 Reading 5 4 1 1.0 0.4 3 1 1 5 2 10
24 21 Carlisle 7 7 0 0.7 1.1 1 3 3 5 8 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Stevenage 7 2 5 1.6 1.3 4 0 3 11 9 12
2 8 Wycombe 6 1 5 1.5 1.7 3 0 3 9 10 9
3 20 Wigan 7 2 5 1.4 1.6 2 1 4 10 11 7
4 2 Oxford 5 1 4 2.2 1.0 4 0 1 11 5 12
5 9 Derby 6 2 4 2.3 1.0 4 1 1 14 6 13
6 11 Port Vale 7 3 4 0.9 2.3 2 2 3 6 16 8
7 22 Reading 6 2 4 0.7 2.2 0 0 6 4 13 0
8 1 Portsmouth 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 3 2 0 10 4 11
9 12 Exeter 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 3 0 3 7 8 9
10 16 Lincoln 6 3 3 0.8 1.7 1 2 3 5 10 5
11 3 Barnsley 6 4 2 2.0 0.3 5 1 0 12 2 16
12 4 Peterboro 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 2 2 2 7 7 8
13 6 Bolton 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 2 1 1 6 3 7
14 7 Blackpool 5 3 2 0.6 1.4 1 2 2 3 7 5
15 10 Leyton Orient 7 5 2 0.9 1.0 2 2 3 6 7 8
16 13 Burton 7 5 2 0.7 1.1 2 2 3 5 8 8
17 15 Bristol Rvs 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 2 1 3 6 8 7
18 17 Cambridge 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 1 1 3 4 6 4
19 21 Carlisle 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 1 2 3 6 8 5
20 23 Fleetwood Town 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 1 2 3 6 8 5
21 14 Charlton 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 0 2 2 2 4 2
22 18 Shrewsbury 6 5 1 0.3 1.5 1 1 4 2 9 4
23 19 Northampton 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 0 3 4 4 6
24 24 Cheltenham 6 5 1 0.0 1.3 0 1 5 0 8 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51