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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: T Reeves

Derby 2–1 Bristol Rvs

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.60 fair 1.95
Draw 4.00 fair 4.06
Away 5.25 fair 4.16
Under 2.5 2.05 fair 2.00
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 2.00

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Bristol Rvs
10 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 3
8 Corners 1
5 Fouls 12
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (199 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.04
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawBristol Rvs
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 11.3% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.69points / match
1.75scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 28:15
Bristol Rvs before this match, all matches
1.44points / match
1.38scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 22:20
Derby all matches all matches Bristol Rvs

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 1.38
0.94 Goals conceded 1.25
2.69 Total goals 2.63
13.31 Shots 12.13
4.31 Shots on target 4.44
10.06 Shots faced 12.38
6.88 Corners 4.81
5.75 Corners against 5.38
11.19 Fouls 11.19
1.94 Yellow cards 2.38
0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

50% Wins 38%
19% Draws 31%
31% Losses 31%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
81% Over 1.5 goals 94%
56% Over 2.5 goals 44%
25% Over 3.5 goals 13%
6% Over 4.5 goals 13%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 69%
44% Clean sheets 19%
13% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 31%
38% Draws 25%
19% Losses 44%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
31% Over 1.5 goals 25%
19% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Bristol Rvs all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.75points / match
1.63scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:5
Bristol Rvs before this match, away
1.22points / match
1.00scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 9:13
Derby at home away Bristol Rvs

Per match

1.63 Goals scored 1.00
0.63 Goals conceded 1.44
2.25 Total goals 2.44
15.25 Shots 11.22
4.25 Shots on target 4.67
7.75 Shots faced 14.11
8.13 Corners 4.33
5.13 Corners against 6.67
11.63 Fouls 10.67
2.38 Yellow cards 2.22
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

50% Wins 33%
25% Draws 22%
25% Losses 44%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 89%
50% Over 2.5 goals 33%
13% Over 3.5 goals 11%
0% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 56%
63% Clean sheets 22%
13% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 22%
25% Draws 33%
25% Losses 44%
75% Over 0.5 goals 67%
13% Over 1.5 goals 11%
13% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Bristol Rvs away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23 Derby – Barnsley 3–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 1.80 2.05
31.10.23 Derby – Northampton 4–0 (3–0) 1.553.806.50 1.85 2.00
28.10.23 Stevenage – Derby 3–1 (2–1) 2.503.302.80 2.08 1.73
24.10.23 Derby – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.75 1.85 2.00
21.10.23 Shrewsbury – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.85 2.05 1.80
07.10.23 Cheltenham – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 7.004.001.50 1.88 1.98
03.10.23 Blackpool – Derby 1–3 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.05 1.80
30.09.23 Derby – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.88 1.98
23.09.23 Carlisle – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.10 1.93 1.93
16.09.23 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90

Bristol Rvs all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23 Carlisle – Bristol Rvs 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.502.38 1.98 1.88
07.11.23 Reading – Bristol Rvs 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.402.70 1.73 2.08
28.10.23 Bristol Rvs – Northampton 2–1 (2–0) 2.203.403.30 1.85 2.00
24.10.23 Bristol Rvs – Stevenage 1–1 (0–1) 2.453.502.80 1.93 1.93
21.10.23 Burton – Bristol Rvs 4–1 (2–1) 2.603.602.50 1.85 2.00
07.10.23 Oxford – Bristol Rvs 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.804.00 1.75 2.05
03.10.23 Bristol Rvs – Port Vale 3–0 (2–0) 2.003.403.80 1.93 1.93
30.09.23 Peterboro – Bristol Rvs 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.98 1.88
23.09.23 Bristol Rvs – Wigan 4–1 (2–1) 2.253.403.20 1.90 1.95
16.09.23 Shrewsbury – Bristol Rvs 0–2 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 2.05 1.75

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23 Derby – Barnsley 3–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 1.80 2.05
31.10.23 Derby – Northampton 4–0 (3–0) 1.553.806.50 1.85 2.00
24.10.23 Derby – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.75 1.85 2.00
30.09.23 Derby – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.88 1.98
16.09.23 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90
19.08.23 Derby – Fleetwood Town 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.85 2.00
15.08.23 Derby – Oxford 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 2.05 1.75
05.08.23 Derby – Wigan 1–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.50 1.95 1.90
29.04.23 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–1) 1.534.206.50 1.88 1.98
22.04.23 Derby – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.70 2.10

Bristol Rvs away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23 Carlisle – Bristol Rvs 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.502.38 1.98 1.88
07.11.23 Reading – Bristol Rvs 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.402.70 1.73 2.08
21.10.23 Burton – Bristol Rvs 4–1 (2–1) 2.603.602.50 1.85 2.00
07.10.23 Oxford – Bristol Rvs 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.804.00 1.75 2.05
30.09.23 Peterboro – Bristol Rvs 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.98 1.88
16.09.23 Shrewsbury – Bristol Rvs 0–2 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 2.05 1.75
19.08.23 Cambridge – Bristol Rvs 2–0 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 2.00 1.85
15.08.23 Charlton – Bristol Rvs 1–2 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 1.75 2.05
05.08.23 Portsmouth – Bristol Rvs 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 1.93 1.93
02.05.23 Shrewsbury – Bristol Rvs 2–1 (1–0) 2.303.403.00 2.05 1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsBristol Rvs wins
2matches
4.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23E2 Bristol Rvs – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 4.333.601.83 1.95 1.90
29.10.22E2 Derby – Bristol Rvs 4–2 (4–2) 1.723.804.75 1.75 2.05

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 16 10 6 0 27 12 +15 36
2 Oxford 16 11 2 3 31 16 +15 35
3 Bolton 16 11 2 3 30 18 +12 35
4 Stevenage 18 9 5 4 24 17 +7 32
5 Peterboro 17 9 4 4 31 18 +13 31
6 Barnsley 16 8 3 5 31 18 +13 27
7 Derby 16 8 3 5 28 15 +13 27
8 Blackpool 18 7 6 5 28 23 +5 27
9 Wigan 17 8 2 7 26 22 +4 26
10 Lincoln 18 7 5 6 21 18 +3 26
11 Bristol Rvs 16 6 5 5 22 20 +2 23
12 Charlton 16 6 4 6 27 23 +4 22
13 Wycombe 16 6 4 6 22 24 -2 22
14 Burton 17 5 5 7 16 21 -5 20
15 Leyton Orient 17 5 5 7 16 22 -6 20
16 Cambridge 17 5 5 7 13 20 -7 20
17 Shrewsbury 18 6 2 10 10 26 -16 20
18 Port Vale 16 5 4 7 13 24 -11 19
19 Northampton 16 5 2 9 17 21 -4 17
20 Exeter 16 5 2 9 12 22 -10 17
21 Fleetwood Town 16 4 4 8 18 25 -7 16
22 Carlisle 17 3 5 9 13 20 -7 14
23 Reading 16 3 2 11 15 28 -13 11
24 Cheltenham 16 2 3 11 7 25 -18 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 9 6 3 0 14 6 +8 21
2 Blackpool 10 6 2 2 21 11 +10 20
3 Bolton 9 6 1 2 16 13 +3 19
4 Peterboro 8 5 2 1 18 7 +11 17
5 Oxford 8 5 2 1 15 7 +8 17
6 Charlton 9 5 1 3 19 12 +7 16
7 Stevenage 9 4 4 1 11 7 +4 16
8 Shrewsbury 9 5 1 3 8 8 0 16
9 Wigan 8 5 0 3 13 10 +3 15
10 Cambridge 9 4 3 2 9 8 +1 15
11 Derby 8 4 2 2 13 5 +8 14
12 Lincoln 8 4 2 2 13 6 +7 14
13 Bristol Rvs 7 3 3 1 13 7 +6 12
14 Burton 8 3 3 2 10 9 +1 12
15 Northampton 8 3 2 3 11 9 +2 11
16 Reading 8 3 2 3 9 8 +1 11
17 Wycombe 8 3 2 3 9 10 -1 11
18 Barnsley 8 3 1 4 18 12 +6 10
19 Leyton Orient 8 3 1 4 8 13 -5 10
20 Port Vale 7 3 0 4 6 7 -1 9
21 Carlisle 9 2 3 4 7 10 -3 9
22 Exeter 8 2 2 4 5 9 -4 8
23 Fleetwood Town 8 2 1 5 8 14 -6 7
24 Cheltenham 8 1 2 5 3 13 -10 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Oxford 8 6 0 2 16 9 +7 18
2 Barnsley 8 5 2 1 13 6 +7 17
3 Bolton 7 5 1 1 14 5 +9 16
4 Stevenage 9 5 1 3 13 10 +3 16
5 Portsmouth 7 4 3 0 13 6 +7 15
6 Peterboro 9 4 2 3 13 11 +2 14
7 Derby 8 4 1 3 15 10 +5 13
8 Lincoln 10 3 3 4 8 12 -4 12
9 Wigan 9 3 2 4 13 12 +1 11
10 Wycombe 8 3 2 3 13 14 -1 11
11 Bristol Rvs 9 3 2 4 9 13 -4 11
12 Leyton Orient 9 2 4 3 8 9 -1 10
13 Port Vale 9 2 4 3 7 17 -10 10
14 Fleetwood Town 8 2 3 3 10 11 -1 9
15 Exeter 8 3 0 5 7 13 -6 9
16 Burton 9 2 2 5 6 12 -6 8
17 Blackpool 8 1 4 3 7 12 -5 7
18 Charlton 7 1 3 3 8 11 -3 6
19 Northampton 8 2 0 6 6 12 -6 6
20 Carlisle 8 1 2 5 6 10 -4 5
21 Cambridge 8 1 2 5 4 12 -8 5
22 Cheltenham 8 1 1 6 4 12 -8 4
23 Shrewsbury 9 1 1 7 2 18 -16 4
24 Reading 8 0 0 8 6 20 -14 0

Derby   Bristol Rvs

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Oxford 16 5 11 1.9 1.0 11 2 3 31 16 35
2 12 Charlton 16 5 11 1.7 1.4 6 4 6 27 23 22
3 3 Bolton 16 6 10 1.9 1.1 11 2 3 30 18 35
4 8 Blackpool 18 8 10 1.6 1.3 7 6 5 28 23 27
5 9 Wigan 17 7 10 1.5 1.3 8 2 7 26 22 26
6 13 Wycombe 16 6 10 1.4 1.5 6 4 6 22 24 22
7 6 Barnsley 16 7 9 1.9 1.1 8 3 5 31 18 27
8 7 Derby 16 7 9 1.8 0.9 8 3 5 28 15 27
9 23 Reading 16 7 9 0.9 1.8 3 2 11 15 28 11
10 1 Portsmouth 16 8 8 1.7 0.8 10 6 0 27 12 36
11 4 Stevenage 18 10 8 1.3 0.9 9 5 4 24 17 32
12 5 Peterboro 17 9 8 1.8 1.1 9 4 4 31 18 31
13 19 Northampton 16 8 8 1.1 1.3 5 2 9 17 21 17
14 21 Fleetwood Town 16 8 8 1.1 1.6 4 4 8 18 25 16
15 11 Bristol Rvs 16 9 7 1.4 1.2 6 5 5 22 20 23
16 14 Burton 17 10 7 0.9 1.2 5 5 7 16 21 20
17 15 Leyton Orient 17 10 7 0.9 1.3 5 5 7 16 22 20
18 10 Lincoln 18 12 6 1.2 1.0 7 5 6 21 18 26
19 18 Port Vale 16 10 6 0.8 1.5 5 4 7 13 24 19
20 20 Exeter 16 10 6 0.8 1.4 5 2 9 12 22 17
21 16 Cambridge 17 12 5 0.8 1.2 5 5 7 13 20 20
22 17 Shrewsbury 18 13 5 0.6 1.4 6 2 10 10 26 20
23 24 Cheltenham 16 11 5 0.4 1.6 2 3 11 7 25 9
24 22 Carlisle 17 14 3 0.8 1.2 3 5 9 13 20 14
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Bolton 9 2 7 1.8 1.4 6 1 2 16 13 19
2 8 Blackpool 10 3 7 2.1 1.1 6 2 2 21 11 20
3 12 Charlton 9 2 7 2.1 1.3 5 1 3 19 12 16
4 2 Oxford 8 2 6 1.9 0.9 5 2 1 15 7 17
5 6 Barnsley 8 2 6 2.2 1.5 3 1 4 18 12 10
6 9 Wigan 8 3 5 1.6 1.2 5 0 3 13 10 15
7 1 Portsmouth 9 5 4 1.6 0.7 6 3 0 14 6 21
8 5 Peterboro 8 4 4 2.2 0.9 5 2 1 18 7 17
9 7 Derby 8 4 4 1.6 0.6 4 2 2 13 5 14
10 11 Bristol Rvs 7 3 4 1.9 1.0 3 3 1 13 7 12
11 14 Burton 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 3 3 2 10 9 12
12 15 Leyton Orient 8 4 4 1.0 1.6 3 1 4 8 13 10
13 19 Northampton 8 4 4 1.4 1.1 3 2 3 11 9 11
14 21 Fleetwood Town 8 4 4 1.0 1.8 2 1 5 8 14 7
15 4 Stevenage 9 6 3 1.2 0.8 4 4 1 11 7 16
16 10 Lincoln 8 5 3 1.6 0.8 4 2 2 13 6 14
17 13 Wycombe 8 5 3 1.1 1.2 3 2 3 9 10 11
18 23 Reading 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 3 2 3 9 8 11
19 16 Cambridge 9 7 2 1.0 0.9 4 3 2 9 8 15
20 17 Shrewsbury 9 7 2 0.9 0.9 5 1 3 8 8 16
21 18 Port Vale 7 5 2 0.9 1.0 3 0 4 6 7 9
22 20 Exeter 8 6 2 0.6 1.1 2 2 4 5 9 8
23 24 Cheltenham 8 6 2 0.4 1.6 1 2 5 3 13 5
24 22 Carlisle 9 8 1 0.8 1.1 2 3 4 7 10 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Wycombe 8 1 7 1.6 1.8 3 2 3 13 14 11
2 23 Reading 8 2 6 0.8 2.5 0 0 8 6 20 0
3 2 Oxford 8 3 5 2.0 1.1 6 0 2 16 9 18
4 4 Stevenage 9 4 5 1.4 1.1 5 1 3 13 10 16
5 7 Derby 8 3 5 1.9 1.2 4 1 3 15 10 13
6 9 Wigan 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 3 2 4 13 12 11
7 1 Portsmouth 7 3 4 1.9 0.9 4 3 0 13 6 15
8 5 Peterboro 9 5 4 1.4 1.2 4 2 3 13 11 14
9 12 Charlton 7 3 4 1.1 1.6 1 3 3 8 11 6
10 18 Port Vale 9 5 4 0.8 1.9 2 4 3 7 17 10
11 19 Northampton 8 4 4 0.8 1.5 2 0 6 6 12 6
12 20 Exeter 8 4 4 0.9 1.6 3 0 5 7 13 9
13 21 Fleetwood Town 8 4 4 1.2 1.4 2 3 3 10 11 9
14 3 Bolton 7 4 3 2.0 0.7 5 1 1 14 5 16
15 6 Barnsley 8 5 3 1.6 0.8 5 2 1 13 6 17
16 8 Blackpool 8 5 3 0.9 1.5 1 4 3 7 12 7
17 10 Lincoln 10 7 3 0.8 1.2 3 3 4 8 12 12
18 11 Bristol Rvs 9 6 3 1.0 1.4 3 2 4 9 13 11
19 14 Burton 9 6 3 0.7 1.3 2 2 5 6 12 8
20 15 Leyton Orient 9 6 3 0.9 1.0 2 4 3 8 9 10
21 16 Cambridge 8 5 3 0.5 1.5 1 2 5 4 12 5
22 17 Shrewsbury 9 6 3 0.2 2.0 1 1 7 2 18 4
23 24 Cheltenham 8 5 3 0.5 1.5 1 1 6 4 12 4
24 22 Carlisle 8 6 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 5 6 10 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38