Carlisle 1–3 Lincoln – England League One, 1 Apr 2024

Match facts

Carlisle Lincoln

19 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 5

10 Corners 3

14 Fouls 12

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (477 league matches this season so far).

Result Lincoln to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.98

Expected goals 0.98 – 1.57

Home / Draw / Away

24% 25% 51%

CarlisleDrawLincoln

Under / Over 2.5 goals

53% 47%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

50% 50%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

12% 5+

Most likely scores

0–1 12.2% 1–1 12% 0–2 9.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Carlisle before this match, all matches

0.68points / match

0.95scored / match

1.75conceded / match

6 9 25

WonDrawnLost 40 played · 38:70

Lincoln before this match, all matches

1.60points / match

1.43scored / match

0.83conceded / match

17 13 10

WonDrawnLost 40 played · 57:33

Carlisle all matches all matches Lincoln

Per match

0.95 Goals scored 1.43

1.75 Goals conceded 0.83

2.70 Total goals 2.25

11.00 Shots 11.18

3.28 Shots on target 3.80

13.78 Shots faced 11.73

4.75 Corners 4.28

5.23 Corners against 5.30

9.15 Fouls 10.38

1.80 Yellow cards 1.85

0.35 1st-half goals scored 0.58

0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.30

How often Full Time

15% Wins 43%

23% Draws 33%

63% Losses 25%

100% Over 0.5 goals 90%

75% Over 1.5 goals 68%

48% Over 2.5 goals 38%

33% Over 3.5 goals 18%

13% Over 4.5 goals 8%

3% Over 5.5 goals 5%

57% Both teams scored 38%

5% Clean sheets 45%

38% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 35%

45% Draws 43%

43% Losses 23%

73% Over 0.5 goals 63%

30% Over 1.5 goals 20%

5% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle all matches

1

L

4

L

1

2

L

1

W

1

3

L

2

3

L

2

3

L

1

L

2

D

3

1

W

Lincoln all matches

2

1

W

1

D

1

W

2

W

3

W

D

5

1

W

6

W

5

W

1

W

Carlisle before this match, at home

0.75points / match

0.95scored / match

1.75conceded / match

3 6 11

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 19:35

Lincoln before this match, away

1.42points / match

1.16scored / match

1.05conceded / match

7 6 6

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 22:20

Carlisle at home away Lincoln

Per match

0.95 Goals scored 1.16

1.75 Goals conceded 1.05

2.70 Total goals 2.21

12.05 Shots 9.58

3.50 Shots on target 3.21

12.25 Shots faced 12.11

5.80 Corners 3.89

4.55 Corners against 5.53

8.25 Fouls 11.05

1.65 Yellow cards 2.26

0.15 1st-half goals scored 0.53

0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.32

How often Full Time

15% Wins 37%

30% Draws 32%

55% Losses 32%

100% Over 0.5 goals 95%

80% Over 1.5 goals 68%

45% Over 2.5 goals 32%

35% Over 3.5 goals 16%

10% Over 4.5 goals 5%

0% Over 5.5 goals 5%

60% Both teams scored 42%

5% Clean sheets 37%

35% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

5% Wins 37%

40% Draws 42%

55% Losses 21%

70% Over 0.5 goals 63%

20% Over 1.5 goals 16%

0% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle at home

2

D

1

L

2

1

W

1

3

L

1

4

L

1

L

4

L

1

3

L

2

3

L

2

D

Lincoln away

1

W

3

W

D

1

3

L

2

L

1

D

1

W

1

D

2

W

5

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Carlisle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.03.24	Peterboro – Carlisle	1–3 (0–1)	1.30	5.50	9.50	1.44	2.70
23.03.24	Carlisle – Stevenage	2–2 (1–0)	4.75	3.80	1.73	2.20	1.65
16.03.24	Shrewsbury – Carlisle	1–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.40	3.80	2.20	1.65
12.03.24	Carlisle – Barnsley	2–3 (1–1)	5.25	3.80	1.70	1.73	2.08
09.03.24	Charlton – Carlisle	3–2 (1–1)	1.55	4.20	5.75	1.85	2.00
02.03.24	Carlisle – Reading	1–3 (0–2)	3.40	3.50	2.10	2.00	1.85
27.02.24	Burton – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	2.05	3.50	3.60	2.15	1.67
24.02.24	Bristol Rvs – Carlisle	2–1 (1–1)	1.65	4.00	5.00	1.88	1.98
17.02.24	Carlisle – Cambridge	0–4 (0–1)	2.90	3.10	2.55	2.25	1.62
10.02.24	Carlisle – Portsmouth	0–1 (0–0)	5.75	3.75	1.62	1.93	1.93

Lincoln all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.03.24	Lincoln – Leyton Orient	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.40	4.20	2.30	1.60
16.03.24	Lincoln – Bristol Rvs	5–0 (3–0)	1.70	3.50	5.75	2.10	1.70
12.03.24	Lincoln – Cambridge	6–0 (2–0)	1.65	3.60	5.75	2.35	1.57
09.03.24	Barnsley – Lincoln	1–5 (0–1)	1.95	3.40	4.00	2.10	1.70
02.03.24	Lincoln – Stevenage	0–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.25	2.55	2.40	1.53
27.02.24	Lincoln – Shrewsbury	3–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.25	4.20	2.40	1.53
24.02.24	Port Vale – Lincoln	0–2 (0–1)	2.63	3.20	2.75	2.25	1.62
17.02.24	Lincoln – Exeter	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.25	3.60	2.30	1.60
13.02.24	Charlton – Lincoln	1–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.40	3.30	2.05	1.75
10.02.24	Lincoln – Fleetwood Town	2–1 (0–1)	1.95	3.50	4.00	2.15	1.67

Carlisle at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.03.24	Carlisle – Stevenage	2–2 (1–0)	4.75	3.80	1.73	2.20	1.65
12.03.24	Carlisle – Barnsley	2–3 (1–1)	5.25	3.80	1.70	1.73	2.08
02.03.24	Carlisle – Reading	1–3 (0–2)	3.40	3.50	2.10	2.00	1.85
17.02.24	Carlisle – Cambridge	0–4 (0–1)	2.90	3.10	2.55	2.25	1.62
10.02.24	Carlisle – Portsmouth	0–1 (0–0)	5.75	3.75	1.62	1.93	1.93
27.01.24	Carlisle – Bolton	1–4 (0–2)	4.20	3.80	1.80	1.98	1.88
13.01.24	Carlisle – Oxford	1–3 (0–1)	3.60	3.40	2.05	2.00	1.85
01.01.24	Carlisle – Port Vale	2–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.20	2.45	2.20	1.65
23.12.23	Carlisle – Cheltenham	0–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.67
16.12.23	Carlisle – Northampton	2–2 (0–1)	2.75	3.25	2.63	2.15	1.67

Lincoln away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.03.24	Barnsley – Lincoln	1–5 (0–1)	1.95	3.40	4.00	2.10	1.70
24.02.24	Port Vale – Lincoln	0–2 (0–1)	2.63	3.20	2.75	2.25	1.62
13.02.24	Charlton – Lincoln	1–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.40	3.30	2.05	1.75
03.02.24	Burton – Lincoln	0–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.25	2.45	2.20	1.65
13.01.24	Wycombe – Lincoln	1–1 (1–0)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.15	1.67
01.01.24	Blackpool – Lincoln	2–0 (1–0)	1.65	4.00	5.00	2.03	1.83
21.12.23	Derby – Lincoln	3–1 (1–1)	1.50	4.33	6.00	2.03	1.83
09.12.23	Wigan – Lincoln	0–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.50	3.20	2.03	1.83
28.11.23	Cambridge – Lincoln	0–3 (0–2)	2.55	3.20	2.88	2.40	1.53
21.11.23	Leyton Orient – Lincoln	0–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Carlisle winsDrawsLincoln wins

1matches

2.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.09.23E2	Lincoln – Carlisle	1–1 (0–1)	1.91	3.30	4.33	2.10	1.70

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portsmouth	40	25	11	4	66	33	+33	86
2	Derby	41	25	6	10	70	35	+35	81
3	Bolton	40	22	9	9	71	43	+28	75
4	Peterboro	39	21	8	10	75	49	+26	71
5	Barnsley	39	20	11	8	70	50	+20	71
6	Lincoln	40	17	13	10	57	33	+24	64
7	Oxford	40	18	10	12	63	53	+10	64
8	Stevenage	40	17	12	11	51	40	+11	63
9	Blackpool	40	17	9	14	57	43	+14	60
10	Wigan	40	17	8	15	54	49	+5	59
11	Leyton Orient	40	16	10	14	44	45	-1	58
12	Northampton	41	15	8	18	51	61	-10	53
13	Reading	40	14	9	17	56	57	-1	51
14	Wycombe	39	13	11	15	51	52	-1	50
15	Bristol Rvs	39	14	8	17	48	59	-11	50
16	Exeter	40	13	9	18	34	53	-19	48
17	Charlton	40	10	16	14	58	59	-1	46
18	Shrewsbury	40	13	6	21	30	56	-26	45
19	Cambridge	39	11	9	19	34	55	-21	42
20	Burton	40	10	10	20	32	52	-20	40
21	Port Vale	39	10	9	20	38	61	-23	39
22	Cheltenham	38	10	8	20	32	51	-19	38
23	Fleetwood Town	40	7	13	20	42	63	-21	34
24	Carlisle	40	6	9	25	38	70	-32	27

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Derby	21	13	4	4	36	18	+18	43
2	Portsmouth	19	13	4	2	34	20	+14	43
3	Bolton	19	13	3	3	42	22	+20	42
4	Wigan	21	12	3	6	28	18	+10	39
5	Blackpool	19	11	5	3	38	17	+21	38
6	Lincoln	21	10	7	4	35	13	+22	37
7	Peterboro	20	11	4	5	45	24	+21	37
8	Reading	21	11	4	6	35	21	+14	37
9	Oxford	19	9	6	4	34	22	+12	33
10	Stevenage	20	8	8	4	22	15	+7	32
11	Barnsley	21	9	5	7	35	30	+5	32
12	Northampton	20	9	5	6	26	21	+5	32
13	Wycombe	21	8	6	7	30	28	+2	30
14	Leyton Orient	19	8	4	7	20	25	-5	28
15	Shrewsbury	21	8	3	10	18	26	-8	27
16	Charlton	19	7	5	7	32	27	+5	26
17	Bristol Rvs	18	7	5	6	26	23	+3	26
18	Cambridge	19	7	5	7	17	20	-3	26
19	Exeter	21	6	8	7	15	20	-5	26
20	Burton	19	6	4	9	17	22	-5	22
21	Cheltenham	18	6	4	8	19	26	-7	22
22	Port Vale	20	6	3	11	24	28	-4	21
23	Fleetwood Town	21	4	5	12	21	33	-12	17
24	Carlisle	20	3	6	11	19	35	-16	15

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portsmouth	21	12	7	2	32	13	+19	43
2	Barnsley	18	11	6	1	35	20	+15	39
3	Derby	20	12	2	6	34	17	+17	38
4	Peterboro	19	10	4	5	30	25	+5	34
5	Bolton	21	9	6	6	29	21	+8	33
6	Stevenage	20	9	4	7	29	25	+4	31
7	Oxford	21	9	4	8	29	31	-2	31
8	Leyton Orient	21	8	6	7	24	20	+4	30
9	Lincoln	19	7	6	6	22	20	+2	27
10	Bristol Rvs	21	7	3	11	22	36	-14	24
11	Blackpool	21	6	4	11	19	26	-7	22
12	Exeter	19	7	1	11	19	33	-14	22
13	Northampton	21	6	3	12	25	40	-15	21
14	Wycombe	18	5	5	8	21	24	-3	20
15	Wigan	19	5	5	9	26	31	-5	20
16	Charlton	21	3	11	7	26	32	-6	20
17	Burton	21	4	6	11	15	30	-15	18
18	Shrewsbury	19	5	3	11	12	30	-18	18
19	Port Vale	19	4	6	9	14	33	-19	18
20	Fleetwood Town	19	3	8	8	21	30	-9	17
21	Cheltenham	20	4	4	12	13	25	-12	16
22	Cambridge	20	4	4	12	17	35	-18	16
23	Reading	19	3	5	11	21	36	-15	14
24	Carlisle	20	3	3	14	19	35	-16	12

Carlisle Lincoln

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Peterboro	39	13	26	1.9	1.3	21	8	10	75	49	71
2	7	Oxford	40	14	26	1.6	1.3	18	10	12	63	53	64
3	5	Barnsley	39	15	24	1.8	1.3	20	11	8	70	50	71
4	2	Derby	41	18	23	1.7	0.9	25	6	10	70	35	81
5	1	Portsmouth	40	18	22	1.6	0.8	25	11	4	66	33	86
6	12	Northampton	41	19	22	1.2	1.5	15	8	18	51	61	53
7	15	Bristol Rvs	39	17	22	1.2	1.5	14	8	17	48	59	50
8	17	Charlton	40	18	22	1.4	1.5	10	16	14	58	59	46
9	3	Bolton	40	19	21	1.8	1.1	22	9	9	71	43	75
10	13	Reading	40	19	21	1.4	1.4	14	9	17	56	57	51
11	23	Fleetwood Town	40	19	21	1.1	1.6	7	13	20	42	63	34
12	8	Stevenage	40	21	19	1.3	1.0	17	12	11	51	40	63
13	9	Blackpool	40	21	19	1.4	1.1	17	9	14	57	43	60
14	14	Wycombe	39	20	19	1.3	1.3	13	11	15	51	52	50
15	24	Carlisle	40	21	19	0.9	1.8	6	9	25	38	70	27
16	21	Port Vale	39	21	18	1.0	1.6	10	9	20	38	61	39
17	10	Wigan	40	23	17	1.4	1.2	17	8	15	54	49	59
18	19	Cambridge	39	22	17	0.9	1.4	11	9	19	34	55	42
19	11	Leyton Orient	40	24	16	1.1	1.1	16	10	14	44	45	58
20	16	Exeter	40	24	16	0.8	1.3	13	9	18	34	53	48
21	6	Lincoln	40	25	15	1.4	0.8	17	13	10	57	33	64
22	18	Shrewsbury	40	25	15	0.8	1.4	13	6	21	30	56	45
23	20	Burton	40	25	15	0.8	1.3	10	10	20	32	52	40
24	22	Cheltenham	38	23	15	0.8	1.3	10	8	20	32	51	38

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Peterboro	20	5	15	2.2	1.2	11	4	5	45	24	37
2	5	Barnsley	21	7	14	1.7	1.4	9	5	7	35	30	32
3	7	Oxford	19	5	14	1.8	1.2	9	6	4	34	22	33
4	3	Bolton	19	6	13	2.2	1.2	13	3	3	42	22	42
5	17	Charlton	19	6	13	1.7	1.4	7	5	7	32	27	26
6	1	Portsmouth	19	7	12	1.8	1.1	13	4	2	34	20	43
7	2	Derby	21	9	12	1.7	0.9	13	4	4	36	18	43
8	9	Blackpool	19	8	11	2.0	0.9	11	5	3	38	17	38
9	15	Bristol Rvs	18	7	11	1.4	1.3	7	5	6	26	23	26
10	23	Fleetwood Town	21	11	10	1.0	1.6	4	5	12	21	33	17
11	6	Lincoln	21	12	9	1.7	0.6	10	7	4	35	13	37
12	12	Northampton	20	11	9	1.3	1.1	9	5	6	26	21	32
13	13	Reading	21	12	9	1.7	1.0	11	4	6	35	21	37
14	14	Wycombe	21	12	9	1.4	1.3	8	6	7	30	28	30
15	21	Port Vale	20	11	9	1.2	1.4	6	3	11	24	28	21
16	24	Carlisle	20	11	9	0.9	1.8	3	6	11	19	35	15
17	10	Wigan	21	13	8	1.3	0.9	12	3	6	28	18	39
18	11	Leyton Orient	19	11	8	1.1	1.3	8	4	7	20	25	28
19	18	Shrewsbury	21	13	8	0.9	1.2	8	3	10	18	26	27
20	22	Cheltenham	18	10	8	1.1	1.4	6	4	8	19	26	22
21	8	Stevenage	20	14	6	1.1	0.8	8	8	4	22	15	32
22	16	Exeter	21	15	6	0.7	1.0	6	8	7	15	20	26
23	19	Cambridge	19	13	6	0.9	1.1	7	5	7	17	20	26
24	20	Burton	19	13	6	0.9	1.2	6	4	9	17	22	22

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Stevenage	20	7	13	1.4	1.2	9	4	7	29	25	31
2	12	Northampton	21	8	13	1.2	1.9	6	3	12	25	40	21
3	7	Oxford	21	9	12	1.4	1.5	9	4	8	29	31	31
4	13	Reading	19	7	12	1.1	1.9	3	5	11	21	36	14
5	2	Derby	20	9	11	1.7	0.8	12	2	6	34	17	38
6	4	Peterboro	19	8	11	1.6	1.3	10	4	5	30	25	34
7	15	Bristol Rvs	21	10	11	1.0	1.7	7	3	11	22	36	24
8	19	Cambridge	20	9	11	0.8	1.8	4	4	12	17	35	16
9	23	Fleetwood Town	19	8	11	1.1	1.6	3	8	8	21	30	17
10	1	Portsmouth	21	11	10	1.5	0.6	12	7	2	32	13	43
11	5	Barnsley	18	8	10	1.9	1.1	11	6	1	35	20	39
12	14	Wycombe	18	8	10	1.2	1.3	5	5	8	21	24	20
13	16	Exeter	19	9	10	1.0	1.7	7	1	11	19	33	22
14	24	Carlisle	20	10	10	0.9	1.8	3	3	14	19	35	12
15	10	Wigan	19	10	9	1.4	1.6	5	5	9	26	31	20
16	17	Charlton	21	12	9	1.2	1.5	3	11	7	26	32	20
17	20	Burton	21	12	9	0.7	1.4	4	6	11	15	30	18
18	21	Port Vale	19	10	9	0.7	1.7	4	6	9	14	33	18
19	3	Bolton	21	13	8	1.4	1.0	9	6	6	29	21	33
20	9	Blackpool	21	13	8	0.9	1.2	6	4	11	19	26	22
21	11	Leyton Orient	21	13	8	1.1	1.0	8	6	7	24	20	30
22	18	Shrewsbury	19	12	7	0.6	1.6	5	3	11	12	30	18
23	22	Cheltenham	20	13	7	0.7	1.2	4	4	12	13	25	16
24	6	Lincoln	19	13	6	1.2	1.1	7	6	6	22	20	27

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.