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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: L Swabey

Burton 1–2 Bolton

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 3.60 fair 2.92
Draw 3.60 fair 4.04
Away ✓ 1.95 fair 2.44
Under 2.5 1.98 fair 2.23
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 1.81

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Bolton
12 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
8 Corners 6
13 Fouls 10
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (413 league matches this season so far).
Result Bolton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.72
Expected goals 1.37 – 1.52
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawBolton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 1–2 8.8% 0–1 8.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
0.94points / match
1.00scored / match
1.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 35:51
Bolton before this match, all matches
1.68points / match
1.62scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 55:50
Burton all matches all matches Bolton

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.62
1.46 Goals conceded 1.47
2.46 Total goals 3.09
9.14 Shots 12.82
3.14 Shots on target 4.32
14.23 Shots faced 11.06
4.00 Corners 5.03
5.91 Corners against 4.88
10.43 Fouls 11.68
1.94 Yellow cards 2.76
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

20% Wins 50%
34% Draws 18%
46% Losses 32%
86% Over 0.5 goals 91%
66% Over 1.5 goals 82%
46% Over 2.5 goals 65%
29% Over 3.5 goals 38%
14% Over 4.5 goals 18%
6% Over 5.5 goals 9%
51% Both teams scored 59%
26% Clean sheets 21%
37% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 21%
49% Draws 38%
23% Losses 41%
66% Over 0.5 goals 68%
31% Over 1.5 goals 29%
11% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Bolton all matches
Burton before this match, at home
0.82points / match
1.18scored / match
1.59conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 20:27
Bolton before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.31scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 21:23
Burton at home away Bolton

Per match

1.18 Goals scored 1.31
1.59 Goals conceded 1.44
2.76 Total goals 2.75
9.24 Shots 10.63
3.24 Shots on target 3.44
14.06 Shots faced 12.63
3.53 Corners 4.00
4.94 Corners against 5.38
10.24 Fouls 12.13
1.88 Yellow cards 3.19
0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

18% Wins 44%
29% Draws 19%
53% Losses 38%
88% Over 0.5 goals 88%
71% Over 1.5 goals 75%
53% Over 2.5 goals 50%
35% Over 3.5 goals 31%
24% Over 4.5 goals 25%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
59% Both teams scored 50%
18% Clean sheets 25%
35% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 19%
47% Draws 44%
12% Losses 38%
71% Over 0.5 goals 63%
41% Over 1.5 goals 31%
18% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Bolton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.03.25 Wycombe – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.493.906.00 2.08 1.73
01.03.25 Burton – Mansfield 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.603.00 1.93 1.93
22.02.25 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.833.404.33 2.15 1.67
18.02.25 Stevenage – Burton 0–1 (0–1) 1.803.254.75 2.35 1.57
15.02.25 Bristol Rvs – Burton 3–1 (1–0) 2.303.402.88 2.05 1.75
08.02.25 Burton – Blackpool 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.402.10 1.95 1.90
01.02.25 Barnsley – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.334.75 1.70 2.10
28.01.25 Burton – Reading 3–2 (2–0) 2.383.402.75 1.98 1.88
25.01.25 Burton – Rotherham 4–2 (3–1) 3.903.401.86 2.08 1.73
21.01.25 Wigan – Burton 1–2 (1–1) 1.623.505.75 2.10 1.67

Bolton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.03.25 Bolton – Birmingham 3–1 (1–1) 3.903.251.95 2.08 1.73
01.03.25 Wrexham – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.20 1.93 1.93
22.02.25 Bolton – Leyton Orient 2–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.25 2.00 1.85
15.02.25 Shrewsbury – Bolton 2–3 (1–0) 4.003.401.90 1.93 1.93
08.02.25 Bolton – Crawley Town 4–3 (0–0) 1.424.756.50 1.53 2.40
01.02.25 Reading – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.602.05 1.70 2.10
28.01.25 Bolton – Northampton 3–1 (2–1) 1.384.757.00 1.73 2.08
25.01.25 Huddersfield – Bolton 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.75 1.83 2.03
21.01.25 Bolton – Charlton 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.303.20 1.98 1.88
18.01.25 Bolton – Cambridge 2–2 (1–2) 1.504.205.75 1.73 2.08

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.25 Burton – Mansfield 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.603.00 1.93 1.93
08.02.25 Burton – Blackpool 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.402.10 1.95 1.90
28.01.25 Burton – Reading 3–2 (2–0) 2.383.402.75 1.98 1.88
25.01.25 Burton – Rotherham 4–2 (3–1) 3.903.401.86 2.08 1.73
04.01.25 Burton – Northampton 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.253.30 2.15 1.67
01.01.25 Burton – Peterboro 2–2 (2–1) 2.703.302.50 1.65 2.20
21.12.24 Burton – Exeter 1–2 (1–1) 2.883.402.30 1.98 1.88
07.12.24 Burton – Wrexham 0–1 (0–0) 4.103.501.85 2.00 1.85
26.11.24 Burton – Charlton 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.402.00 1.95 1.90
23.11.24 Burton – Stockport 0–3 (0–2) 3.803.601.90 1.88 1.98

Bolton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.25 Wrexham – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.20 1.93 1.93
15.02.25 Shrewsbury – Bolton 2–3 (1–0) 4.003.401.90 1.93 1.93
01.02.25 Reading – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.602.05 1.70 2.10
25.01.25 Huddersfield – Bolton 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.75 1.83 2.03
11.01.25 Rotherham – Bolton 3–1 (2–0) 2.633.402.50 2.00 1.85
04.01.25 Exeter – Bolton 1–2 (0–0) 3.103.602.15 1.88 1.98
01.01.25 Mansfield – Bolton 2–1 (2–1) 2.403.302.80 1.83 2.03
20.12.24 Wycombe – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.604.00 1.88 1.98
26.11.24 Cambridge – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 4.333.501.80 2.10 1.70
09.11.24 Stockport – Bolton 5–0 (1–0) 2.633.402.55 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsBolton wins
7matches
2.14goals / match
43%over 2.5
71%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.24E2 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.404.507.50 1.57 2.35
01.01.24E2 Bolton – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.334.759.50 1.70 2.10
26.08.23E2 Burton – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 4.003.501.95 1.88 1.98
18.04.23E2 Burton – Bolton 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.502.10 2.05 1.80
25.10.22E2 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.663.755.25 1.80 2.00
15.02.22E2 Burton – Bolton 3–1 (3–0) 2.603.502.60 1.98 1.88
06.09.21E2 Bolton – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.40 1.95 1.85

England League One table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Birmingham 33 23 7 3 55 22 +33 76
2 Wycombe 34 19 10 5 60 32 +28 67
3 Wrexham 34 19 8 7 49 28 +21 65
4 Stockport 36 17 11 8 52 34 +18 62
5 Charlton 35 17 9 9 46 31 +15 60
6 Huddersfield 35 17 7 11 47 32 +15 58
7 Bolton 34 17 6 11 55 50 +5 57
8 Reading 35 15 10 10 49 45 +4 55
9 Leyton Orient 35 16 5 14 50 35 +15 53
10 Barnsley 35 15 7 13 50 48 +2 52
11 Stevenage 34 13 8 13 32 34 -2 47
12 Lincoln 35 12 10 13 48 44 +4 46
13 Blackpool 34 10 15 9 49 47 +2 45
14 Rotherham 34 12 8 14 39 40 -1 44
15 Wigan 34 10 10 14 31 34 -3 40
16 Mansfield 34 11 7 16 40 47 -7 40
17 Peterboro 34 10 8 16 51 59 -8 38
18 Northampton 35 9 11 15 34 52 -18 38
19 Exeter 33 10 7 16 35 50 -15 37
20 Bristol Rvs 34 10 6 18 35 53 -18 36
21 Burton 35 7 12 16 35 51 -16 33
22 Crawley Town 35 7 9 19 38 65 -27 30
23 Cambridge 34 7 8 19 34 57 -23 29
24 Shrewsbury 35 7 7 21 34 58 -24 28
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Birmingham 17 14 3 0 30 7 +23 45
2 Wrexham 18 12 4 2 32 14 +18 40
3 Charlton 18 11 5 2 25 11 +14 38
4 Stockport 18 11 4 3 29 17 +12 37
5 Reading 17 11 3 3 28 14 +14 36
6 Wycombe 17 10 5 2 24 10 +14 35
7 Bolton 18 10 3 5 34 27 +7 33
8 Leyton Orient 18 9 3 6 26 14 +12 30
9 Rotherham 17 9 3 5 25 17 +8 30
10 Huddersfield 18 8 4 6 18 15 +3 28
11 Stevenage 18 8 3 7 22 19 +3 27
12 Lincoln 17 7 4 6 26 19 +7 25
13 Peterboro 17 7 4 6 31 27 +4 25
14 Bristol Rvs 16 7 4 5 24 22 +2 25
15 Northampton 17 6 4 7 18 24 -6 22
16 Barnsley 17 5 6 6 25 26 -1 21
17 Blackpool 16 3 11 2 22 20 +2 20
18 Cambridge 17 5 4 8 20 24 -4 19
19 Mansfield 17 5 4 8 17 21 -4 19
20 Wigan 17 5 4 8 16 20 -4 19
21 Exeter 16 5 4 7 22 27 -5 19
22 Crawley Town 17 4 6 7 20 26 -6 18
23 Shrewsbury 18 5 3 10 18 28 -10 18
24 Burton 17 3 5 9 20 27 -7 14
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wycombe 17 9 5 3 36 22 +14 32
2 Birmingham 16 9 4 3 25 15 +10 31
3 Barnsley 18 10 1 7 25 22 +3 31
4 Huddersfield 17 9 3 5 29 17 +12 30
5 Stockport 18 6 7 5 23 17 +6 25
6 Wrexham 16 7 4 5 17 14 +3 25
7 Blackpool 18 7 4 7 27 27 0 25
8 Bolton 16 7 3 6 21 23 -2 24
9 Leyton Orient 17 7 2 8 24 21 +3 23
10 Charlton 17 6 4 7 21 20 +1 22
11 Wigan 17 5 6 6 15 14 +1 21
12 Mansfield 17 6 3 8 23 26 -3 21
13 Lincoln 18 5 6 7 22 25 -3 21
14 Stevenage 16 5 5 6 10 15 -5 20
15 Burton 18 4 7 7 15 24 -9 19
16 Reading 18 4 7 7 21 31 -10 19
17 Exeter 17 5 3 9 13 23 -10 18
18 Northampton 18 3 7 8 16 28 -12 16
19 Rotherham 17 3 5 9 14 23 -9 14
20 Peterboro 17 3 4 10 20 32 -12 13
21 Crawley Town 18 3 3 12 18 39 -21 12
22 Bristol Rvs 18 3 2 13 11 31 -20 11
23 Shrewsbury 17 2 4 11 16 30 -14 10
24 Cambridge 17 2 4 11 14 33 -19 10

Burton   Bolton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Barnsley 35 11 24 1.4 1.4 15 7 13 50 48 52
2 7 Bolton 34 12 22 1.6 1.5 17 6 11 55 50 57
3 17 Peterboro 34 12 22 1.5 1.7 10 8 16 51 59 38
4 13 Blackpool 34 13 21 1.4 1.4 10 15 9 49 47 45
5 2 Wycombe 34 15 19 1.8 0.9 19 10 5 60 32 67
6 8 Reading 35 16 19 1.4 1.3 15 10 10 49 45 55
7 16 Mansfield 34 15 19 1.2 1.4 11 7 16 40 47 40
8 9 Leyton Orient 35 17 18 1.4 1.0 16 5 14 50 35 53
9 22 Crawley Town 35 17 18 1.1 1.9 7 9 19 38 65 30
10 3 Wrexham 34 17 17 1.4 0.8 19 8 7 49 28 65
11 12 Lincoln 35 18 17 1.4 1.3 12 10 13 48 44 46
12 18 Northampton 35 18 17 1.0 1.5 9 11 15 34 52 38
13 6 Huddersfield 35 19 16 1.3 0.9 17 7 11 47 32 58
14 19 Exeter 33 17 16 1.1 1.5 10 7 16 35 50 37
15 20 Bristol Rvs 34 18 16 1.0 1.6 10 6 18 35 53 36
16 21 Burton 35 19 16 1.0 1.5 7 12 16 35 51 33
17 24 Shrewsbury 35 19 16 1.0 1.7 7 7 21 34 58 28
18 5 Charlton 35 20 15 1.3 0.9 17 9 9 46 31 60
19 14 Rotherham 34 20 14 1.1 1.2 12 8 14 39 40 44
20 23 Cambridge 34 20 14 1.0 1.7 7 8 19 34 57 29
21 4 Stockport 36 23 13 1.4 0.9 17 11 8 52 34 62
22 15 Wigan 34 21 13 0.9 1.0 10 10 14 31 34 40
23 1 Birmingham 33 21 12 1.7 0.7 23 7 3 55 22 76
24 11 Stevenage 34 22 12 0.9 1.0 13 8 13 32 34 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Bolton 18 4 14 1.9 1.5 10 3 5 34 27 33
2 10 Barnsley 17 5 12 1.5 1.5 5 6 6 25 26 21
3 3 Wrexham 18 7 11 1.8 0.8 12 4 2 32 14 40
4 13 Blackpool 16 6 10 1.4 1.2 3 11 2 22 20 20
5 17 Peterboro 17 7 10 1.8 1.6 7 4 6 31 27 25
6 8 Reading 17 8 9 1.6 0.8 11 3 3 28 14 36
7 9 Leyton Orient 18 9 9 1.4 0.8 9 3 6 26 14 30
8 12 Lincoln 17 8 9 1.5 1.1 7 4 6 26 19 25
9 14 Rotherham 17 8 9 1.5 1.0 9 3 5 25 17 30
10 18 Northampton 17 8 9 1.1 1.4 6 4 7 18 24 22
11 19 Exeter 16 7 9 1.4 1.7 5 4 7 22 27 19
12 21 Burton 17 8 9 1.2 1.6 3 5 9 20 27 14
13 4 Stockport 18 10 8 1.6 0.9 11 4 3 29 17 37
14 11 Stevenage 18 10 8 1.2 1.1 8 3 7 22 19 27
15 15 Wigan 17 9 8 0.9 1.2 5 4 8 16 20 19
16 16 Mansfield 17 9 8 1.0 1.2 5 4 8 17 21 19
17 20 Bristol Rvs 16 8 8 1.5 1.4 7 4 5 24 22 25
18 24 Shrewsbury 18 10 8 1.0 1.6 5 3 10 18 28 18
19 5 Charlton 18 11 7 1.4 0.6 11 5 2 25 11 38
20 22 Crawley Town 17 10 7 1.2 1.5 4 6 7 20 26 18
21 2 Wycombe 17 11 6 1.4 0.6 10 5 2 24 10 35
22 1 Birmingham 17 12 5 1.8 0.4 14 3 0 30 7 45
23 6 Huddersfield 18 13 5 1.0 0.8 8 4 6 18 15 28
24 23 Cambridge 17 12 5 1.2 1.4 5 4 8 20 24 19
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Wycombe 17 4 13 2.1 1.3 9 5 3 36 22 32
2 10 Barnsley 18 6 12 1.4 1.2 10 1 7 25 22 31
3 17 Peterboro 17 5 12 1.2 1.9 3 4 10 20 32 13
4 6 Huddersfield 17 6 11 1.7 1.0 9 3 5 29 17 30
5 13 Blackpool 18 7 11 1.5 1.5 7 4 7 27 27 25
6 16 Mansfield 17 6 11 1.4 1.5 6 3 8 23 26 21
7 22 Crawley Town 18 7 11 1.0 2.2 3 3 12 18 39 12
8 8 Reading 18 8 10 1.2 1.7 4 7 7 21 31 19
9 9 Leyton Orient 17 8 9 1.4 1.2 7 2 8 24 21 23
10 23 Cambridge 17 8 9 0.8 1.9 2 4 11 14 33 10
11 5 Charlton 17 9 8 1.2 1.2 6 4 7 21 20 22
12 7 Bolton 16 8 8 1.3 1.4 7 3 6 21 23 24
13 12 Lincoln 18 10 8 1.2 1.4 5 6 7 22 25 21
14 18 Northampton 18 10 8 0.9 1.6 3 7 8 16 28 16
15 20 Bristol Rvs 18 10 8 0.6 1.7 3 2 13 11 31 11
16 24 Shrewsbury 17 9 8 0.9 1.8 2 4 11 16 30 10
17 1 Birmingham 16 9 7 1.6 0.9 9 4 3 25 15 31
18 19 Exeter 17 10 7 0.8 1.4 5 3 9 13 23 18
19 21 Burton 18 11 7 0.8 1.3 4 7 7 15 24 19
20 3 Wrexham 16 10 6 1.1 0.9 7 4 5 17 14 25
21 4 Stockport 18 13 5 1.3 0.9 6 7 5 23 17 25
22 14 Rotherham 17 12 5 0.8 1.4 3 5 9 14 23 14
23 15 Wigan 17 12 5 0.9 0.8 5 6 6 15 14 21
24 11 Stevenage 16 12 4 0.6 0.9 5 5 6 10 15 20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40