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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: T Reeves

Birmingham 4–1 Shrewsbury

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.20 fair 1.48
Draw 6.25 fair 4.96
Away 15.00 fair 8.19
Under 2.5 2.08 fair 2.01
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.99

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham Shrewsbury
15 Shots 2
6 Shots on target 1
7 Corners 1
8 Fouls 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (451 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.77
Expected goals 1.98 – 0.70
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawShrewsbury
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.5% 2–0 13.4% 1–1 9.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
2.31points / match
1.64scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 59:24
Shrewsbury before this match, all matches
0.76points / match
0.92scored / match
1.68conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 34:62
Birmingham all matches all matches Shrewsbury

Per match

1.64 Goals scored 0.92
0.67 Goals conceded 1.68
2.31 Total goals 2.59
13.14 Shots 9.46
4.47 Shots on target 2.95
7.81 Shots faced 11.95
5.92 Corners 4.49
3.58 Corners against 5.19
11.83 Fouls 12.89
1.78 Yellow cards 2.16
0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

69% Wins 19%
22% Draws 19%
8% Losses 62%
94% Over 0.5 goals 97%
72% Over 1.5 goals 70%
36% Over 2.5 goals 43%
19% Over 3.5 goals 24%
8% Over 4.5 goals 16%
0% Over 5.5 goals 3%
47% Both teams scored 49%
50% Clean sheets 8%
8% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 22%
44% Draws 38%
11% Losses 41%
72% Over 0.5 goals 70%
39% Over 1.5 goals 24%
11% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
Shrewsbury all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
2.68points / match
1.74scored / match
0.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 33:8
Shrewsbury before this match, away
0.56points / match
0.89scored / match
1.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 16:32
Birmingham at home away Shrewsbury

Per match

1.74 Goals scored 0.89
0.42 Goals conceded 1.78
2.16 Total goals 2.67
15.58 Shots 9.17
5.32 Shots on target 2.83
6.26 Shots faced 12.83
6.74 Corners 4.44
2.74 Corners against 5.44
11.00 Fouls 13.00
1.84 Yellow cards 2.22
0.84 1st-half goals scored 0.28
0.26 1st-half goals conceded 0.72

How often Full Time

84% Wins 11%
16% Draws 22%
0% Losses 67%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
68% Over 1.5 goals 67%
32% Over 2.5 goals 44%
16% Over 3.5 goals 28%
5% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
37% Both teams scored 50%
63% Clean sheets 0%
5% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 11%
32% Draws 39%
16% Losses 50%
74% Over 0.5 goals 67%
26% Over 1.5 goals 28%
11% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
Shrewsbury away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.25 Northampton – Birmingham 1–1 (1–1) 5.253.751.65 2.10 1.70
11.03.25 Birmingham – Stevenage 2–1 (1–0) 1.533.806.25 2.20 1.65
08.03.25 Birmingham – Lincoln 1–0 (0–0) 1.503.806.50 2.08 1.73
04.03.25 Bolton – Birmingham 3–1 (1–1) 3.903.251.95 2.08 1.73
01.03.25 Birmingham – Wycombe 1–0 (1–0) 1.673.605.25 2.07 1.69
25.02.25 Birmingham – Leyton Orient 2–0 (0–0) 1.603.705.50 2.10 1.67
22.02.25 Reading – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 7.004.331.42 1.73 2.08
15.02.25 Birmingham – Charlton 1–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.00 2.10 1.70
11.02.25 Birmingham – Cambridge 4–0 (3–0) 1.295.509.00 1.70 2.10
01.02.25 Birmingham – Rotherham 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.106.00 2.03 1.83

Shrewsbury all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.25 Shrewsbury – Burton 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.253.10 2.30 1.60
08.03.25 Exeter – Shrewsbury 2–0 (1–0) 2.253.103.20 2.35 1.57
04.03.25 Shrewsbury – Bristol Rvs 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.253.90 2.08 1.73
01.03.25 Peterboro – Shrewsbury 3–1 (2–1) 1.953.403.80 1.90 1.95
22.02.25 Shrewsbury – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 2.702.902.80 2.70 1.44
18.02.25 Shrewsbury – Huddersfield 0–1 (0–0) 3.753.252.00 2.50 1.50
15.02.25 Shrewsbury – Bolton 2–3 (1–0) 4.003.401.90 1.93 1.93
11.02.25 Reading – Shrewsbury 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.103.50 2.10 1.70
08.02.25 Rotherham – Shrewsbury 1–2 (0–0) 1.673.605.25 2.08 1.73
01.02.25 Shrewsbury – Mansfield 2–1 (0–1) 3.303.252.20 2.05 1.75

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.25 Birmingham – Stevenage 2–1 (1–0) 1.533.806.25 2.20 1.65
08.03.25 Birmingham – Lincoln 1–0 (0–0) 1.503.806.50 2.08 1.73
01.03.25 Birmingham – Wycombe 1–0 (1–0) 1.673.605.25 2.07 1.69
25.02.25 Birmingham – Leyton Orient 2–0 (0–0) 1.603.705.50 2.10 1.67
15.02.25 Birmingham – Charlton 1–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.00 2.10 1.70
11.02.25 Birmingham – Cambridge 4–0 (3–0) 1.295.509.00 1.70 2.10
01.02.25 Birmingham – Rotherham 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.106.00 2.03 1.83
18.01.25 Birmingham – Exeter 1–0 (1–0) 1.305.009.50 1.67 2.15
29.12.24 Birmingham – Blackpool 0–0 (0–0) 1.484.506.00 1.70 2.10
26.12.24 Birmingham – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.206.5011.00 1.53 2.40

Shrewsbury away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.25 Exeter – Shrewsbury 2–0 (1–0) 2.253.103.20 2.35 1.57
01.03.25 Peterboro – Shrewsbury 3–1 (2–1) 1.953.403.80 1.90 1.95
11.02.25 Reading – Shrewsbury 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.103.50 2.10 1.70
08.02.25 Rotherham – Shrewsbury 1–2 (0–0) 1.673.605.25 2.08 1.73
28.01.25 Stockport – Shrewsbury 1–0 (1–0) 1.444.206.50 2.03 1.83
25.01.25 Charlton – Shrewsbury 1–0 (0–0) 1.513.756.25 2.05 1.75
04.01.25 Leyton Orient – Shrewsbury 1–0 (0–0) 1.533.806.50 2.08 1.73
01.01.25 Blackpool – Shrewsbury 1–1 (0–0) 1.554.335.00 1.70 2.10
21.12.24 Wigan – Shrewsbury 2–2 (1–0) 1.703.705.00 2.15 1.67
07.12.24 Cambridge – Shrewsbury 4–1 (2–0) 2.153.403.30 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Birmingham winsDrawsShrewsbury wins
1matches
5.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.24E2 Shrewsbury – Birmingham 3–2 (2–1) 7.504.751.38 1.67 2.15

England League One table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Birmingham 36 25 8 3 59 24 +35 83
2 Wrexham 38 22 8 8 52 30 +22 74
3 Wycombe 37 20 11 6 64 36 +28 71
4 Charlton 39 20 9 10 53 35 +18 69
5 Stockport 39 19 11 9 55 36 +19 68
6 Huddersfield 38 18 7 13 52 38 +14 61
7 Bolton 37 18 6 13 59 55 +4 60
8 Leyton Orient 38 18 5 15 54 38 +16 59
9 Reading 37 16 11 10 52 46 +6 59
10 Blackpool 38 13 15 10 57 50 +7 54
11 Barnsley 38 15 8 15 52 54 -2 53
12 Lincoln 38 13 11 14 53 45 +8 50
13 Stevenage 38 13 10 15 35 39 -4 49
14 Rotherham 37 12 9 16 42 45 -3 45
15 Peterboro 37 12 9 16 56 60 -4 45
16 Exeter 37 12 9 16 40 51 -11 45
17 Mansfield 37 12 8 17 43 51 -8 44
18 Wigan 36 11 10 15 33 36 -3 43
19 Northampton 38 10 12 16 37 56 -19 42
20 Bristol Rvs 38 12 6 20 39 61 -22 42
21 Burton 38 8 12 18 39 55 -16 36
22 Crawley Town 38 8 9 21 40 71 -31 33
23 Cambridge 38 7 9 22 36 62 -26 30
24 Shrewsbury 37 7 7 23 34 62 -28 28
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Birmingham 19 16 3 0 33 8 +25 51
2 Wrexham 20 14 4 2 34 14 +20 46
3 Charlton 20 13 5 2 31 12 +19 44
4 Reading 19 12 4 3 31 15 +16 40
5 Stockport 19 12 4 3 31 18 +13 40
6 Wycombe 18 10 5 3 24 11 +13 35
7 Leyton Orient 20 10 3 7 28 16 +12 33
8 Bolton 19 10 3 6 34 28 +6 33
9 Rotherham 19 9 4 6 28 21 +7 31
10 Huddersfield 19 9 4 6 23 16 +7 31
11 Bristol Rvs 18 9 4 5 28 24 +4 31
12 Lincoln 19 8 5 6 31 19 +12 29
13 Peterboro 19 8 5 6 35 28 +7 29
14 Stevenage 19 8 4 7 23 20 +3 28
15 Exeter 18 7 4 7 26 27 -1 25
16 Blackpool 18 4 11 3 25 23 +2 23
17 Northampton 19 6 5 8 19 27 -8 23
18 Mansfield 18 6 4 8 19 22 -3 22
19 Wigan 18 6 4 8 17 20 -3 22
20 Barnsley 19 5 7 7 26 30 -4 22
21 Crawley Town 19 5 6 8 21 27 -6 21
22 Cambridge 18 5 4 9 20 25 -5 19
23 Shrewsbury 19 5 3 11 18 30 -12 18
24 Burton 18 3 5 10 21 29 -8 14
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wycombe 19 10 6 3 40 25 +15 36
2 Birmingham 17 9 5 3 26 16 +10 32
3 Blackpool 20 9 4 7 32 27 +5 31
4 Barnsley 19 10 1 8 26 24 +2 31
5 Huddersfield 19 9 3 7 29 22 +7 30
6 Stockport 20 7 7 6 24 18 +6 28
7 Wrexham 18 8 4 6 18 16 +2 28
8 Bolton 18 8 3 7 25 27 -2 27
9 Leyton Orient 18 8 2 8 26 22 +4 26
10 Charlton 19 7 4 8 22 23 -1 25
11 Mansfield 19 6 4 9 24 29 -5 22
12 Burton 20 5 7 8 18 26 -8 22
13 Wigan 18 5 6 7 16 16 0 21
14 Lincoln 19 5 6 8 22 26 -4 21
15 Stevenage 19 5 6 8 12 19 -7 21
16 Exeter 19 5 5 9 14 24 -10 20
17 Reading 18 4 7 7 21 31 -10 19
18 Northampton 19 4 7 8 18 29 -11 19
19 Peterboro 18 4 4 10 21 32 -11 16
20 Rotherham 18 3 5 10 14 24 -10 14
21 Crawley Town 19 3 3 13 19 44 -25 12
22 Cambridge 20 2 5 13 16 37 -21 11
23 Bristol Rvs 20 3 2 15 11 37 -26 11
24 Shrewsbury 18 2 4 12 16 32 -16 10

Birmingham   Shrewsbury

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Barnsley 38 12 26 1.4 1.4 15 8 15 52 54 53
2 7 Bolton 37 13 24 1.6 1.5 18 6 13 59 55 60
3 10 Blackpool 38 14 24 1.5 1.3 13 15 10 57 50 54
4 15 Peterboro 37 14 23 1.5 1.6 12 9 16 56 60 45
5 3 Wycombe 37 17 20 1.7 1.0 20 11 6 64 36 71
6 8 Leyton Orient 38 18 20 1.4 1.0 18 5 15 54 38 59
7 17 Mansfield 37 17 20 1.2 1.4 12 8 17 43 51 44
8 9 Reading 37 18 19 1.4 1.2 16 11 10 52 46 59
9 22 Crawley Town 38 19 19 1.1 1.9 8 9 21 40 71 33
10 4 Charlton 39 21 18 1.4 0.9 20 9 10 53 35 69
11 6 Huddersfield 38 20 18 1.4 1.0 18 7 13 52 38 61
12 12 Lincoln 38 20 18 1.4 1.2 13 11 14 53 45 50
13 19 Northampton 38 20 18 1.0 1.5 10 12 16 37 56 42
14 20 Bristol Rvs 38 20 18 1.0 1.6 12 6 20 39 61 42
15 21 Burton 38 20 18 1.0 1.4 8 12 18 39 55 36
16 2 Wrexham 38 21 17 1.4 0.8 22 8 8 52 30 74
17 16 Exeter 37 21 16 1.1 1.4 12 9 16 40 51 45
18 24 Shrewsbury 37 21 16 0.9 1.7 7 7 23 34 62 28
19 14 Rotherham 37 22 15 1.1 1.2 12 9 16 42 45 45
20 23 Cambridge 38 23 15 0.9 1.6 7 9 22 36 62 30
21 5 Stockport 39 25 14 1.4 0.9 19 11 9 55 36 68
22 18 Wigan 36 22 14 0.9 1.0 11 10 15 33 36 43
23 1 Birmingham 36 23 13 1.6 0.7 25 8 3 59 24 83
24 13 Stevenage 38 25 13 0.9 1.0 13 10 15 35 39 49
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Bolton 19 5 14 1.8 1.5 10 3 6 34 28 33
2 11 Barnsley 19 6 13 1.4 1.6 5 7 7 26 30 22
3 10 Blackpool 18 6 12 1.4 1.3 4 11 3 25 23 23
4 2 Wrexham 20 9 11 1.7 0.7 14 4 2 34 14 46
5 15 Peterboro 19 8 11 1.8 1.5 8 5 6 35 28 29
6 8 Leyton Orient 20 10 10 1.4 0.8 10 3 7 28 16 33
7 12 Lincoln 19 9 10 1.6 1.0 8 5 6 31 19 29
8 14 Rotherham 19 9 10 1.5 1.1 9 4 6 28 21 31
9 21 Burton 18 8 10 1.2 1.6 3 5 10 21 29 14
10 4 Charlton 20 11 9 1.6 0.6 13 5 2 31 12 44
11 5 Stockport 19 10 9 1.6 0.9 12 4 3 31 18 40
12 9 Reading 19 10 9 1.6 0.8 12 4 3 31 15 40
13 16 Exeter 18 9 9 1.4 1.5 7 4 7 26 27 25
14 17 Mansfield 18 9 9 1.1 1.2 6 4 8 19 22 22
15 19 Northampton 19 10 9 1.0 1.4 6 5 8 19 27 23
16 20 Bristol Rvs 18 9 9 1.6 1.3 9 4 5 28 24 31
17 13 Stevenage 19 11 8 1.2 1.1 8 4 7 23 20 28
18 18 Wigan 18 10 8 0.9 1.1 6 4 8 17 20 22
19 24 Shrewsbury 19 11 8 0.9 1.6 5 3 11 18 30 18
20 22 Crawley Town 19 12 7 1.1 1.4 5 6 8 21 27 21
21 1 Birmingham 19 13 6 1.7 0.4 16 3 0 33 8 51
22 3 Wycombe 18 12 6 1.3 0.6 10 5 3 24 11 35
23 6 Huddersfield 19 13 6 1.2 0.8 9 4 6 23 16 31
24 23 Cambridge 18 13 5 1.1 1.4 5 4 9 20 25 19
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Wycombe 19 5 14 2.1 1.3 10 6 3 40 25 36
2 11 Barnsley 19 6 13 1.4 1.3 10 1 8 26 24 31
3 6 Huddersfield 19 7 12 1.5 1.2 9 3 7 29 22 30
4 10 Blackpool 20 8 12 1.6 1.4 9 4 7 32 27 31
5 15 Peterboro 18 6 12 1.2 1.8 4 4 10 21 32 16
6 22 Crawley Town 19 7 12 1.0 2.3 3 3 13 19 44 12
7 17 Mansfield 19 8 11 1.3 1.5 6 4 9 24 29 22
8 7 Bolton 18 8 10 1.4 1.5 8 3 7 25 27 27
9 8 Leyton Orient 18 8 10 1.4 1.2 8 2 8 26 22 26
10 9 Reading 18 8 10 1.2 1.7 4 7 7 21 31 19
11 23 Cambridge 20 10 10 0.8 1.9 2 5 13 16 37 11
12 4 Charlton 19 10 9 1.2 1.2 7 4 8 22 23 25
13 19 Northampton 19 10 9 0.9 1.5 4 7 8 18 29 19
14 20 Bristol Rvs 20 11 9 0.6 1.9 3 2 15 11 37 11
15 12 Lincoln 19 11 8 1.2 1.4 5 6 8 22 26 21
16 21 Burton 20 12 8 0.9 1.3 5 7 8 18 26 22
17 24 Shrewsbury 18 10 8 0.9 1.8 2 4 12 16 32 10
18 1 Birmingham 17 10 7 1.5 0.9 9 5 3 26 16 32
19 16 Exeter 19 12 7 0.7 1.3 5 5 9 14 24 20
20 2 Wrexham 18 12 6 1.0 0.9 8 4 6 18 16 28
21 18 Wigan 18 12 6 0.9 0.9 5 6 7 16 16 21
22 5 Stockport 20 15 5 1.2 0.9 7 7 6 24 18 28
23 13 Stevenage 19 14 5 0.6 1.0 5 6 8 12 19 21
24 14 Rotherham 18 13 5 0.8 1.3 3 5 10 14 24 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38