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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: H Blair

Doncaster 1–0 Burton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.62 fair 2.38
Draw 3.80 fair 4.04
Away 4.75 fair 3.01
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.03 fair 2.21
Over 2.5 1.83 fair 1.82

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Doncaster Burton
15 Shots 20
1 Shots on target 5
0.62 Expected goals (xG) 0.94
3 Corners 12
7 Fouls 17
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (92 league matches this season so far).
Result Doncaster to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.73
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.34
Home / Draw / Away
DoncasterDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 2–1 8.9% 1–0 8.7%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Doncaster before this match, all matches
0.86points / match
1.14scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 8:9
Burton before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.56scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 14:15
Doncaster all matches all matches Burton

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 1.56
1.29 Goals conceded 1.67
2.43 Total goals 3.22
1.36 xG created 0.82
1.08 xG allowed 1.61
13.57 Shots 9.00
4.14 Shots on target 3.00
13.71 Shots faced 12.89
4.86 Corners 2.89
6.14 Corners against 5.67
12.29 Fouls 12.67
2.00 Yellow cards 1.67
0.29 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

14% Wins 33%
43% Draws 33%
43% Losses 33%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 89%
43% Over 2.5 goals 78%
29% Over 3.5 goals 44%
14% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 78%
29% Clean sheets 11%
29% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 44%
29% Draws 44%
43% Losses 11%
71% Over 0.5 goals 67%
0% Over 1.5 goals 56%
0% Over 2.5 goals 44%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Doncaster all matches
Burton all matches
Doncaster before this match, at home
0.67points / match
1.00scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:4
Burton before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:6
Doncaster at home away Burton

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.00
1.33 Goals conceded 1.50
2.33 Total goals 2.50
1.61 xG created 0.56
1.30 xG allowed 1.79
14.33 Shots 8.50
2.67 Shots on target 3.00
14.67 Shots faced 14.25
5.00 Corners 3.25
4.33 Corners against 4.25
12.33 Fouls 15.25
2.00 Yellow cards 2.75
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

0% Wins 50%
67% Draws 0%
33% Losses 50%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 75%
33% Over 2.5 goals 75%
33% Over 3.5 goals 0%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 50%
33% Clean sheets 25%
33% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 50%
33% Draws 50%
33% Losses 0%
67% Over 0.5 goals 50%
0% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Doncaster at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Doncaster all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 Peterboro – Doncaster 0–2 (0–1) 2.323.602.65 1.60 2.30
12.09.26 AFC Wimbledon – Doncaster 1–0 (1–0) 2.573.252.57 2.00 1.85
05.09.26 Doncaster – Plymouth 2–3 (0–1) 2.353.402.70 1.75 2.05
01.09.26 Doncaster – Notts County 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.403.00 1.95 1.90
29.08.26 Stevenage – Doncaster 2–2 (0–0) 2.153.203.30 2.10 1.70
22.08.26 Doncaster – Barnsley 0–0 (0–0) 1.963.503.50 1.75 2.05
15.08.26 Mansfield – Doncaster 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.403.30 1.95 1.90
02.05.26 Peterboro – Doncaster 1–3 (0–0) 2.573.602.35 1.57 2.35
25.04.26 Doncaster – Stevenage 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.202.30 2.15 1.67
21.04.26 Doncaster – Lincoln 0–2 (0–1) 3.803.501.86 1.83 2.03

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.10.26 Burton – Huddersfield 1–3 (1–2) 3.903.501.81 1.85 2.00
26.09.26 Plymouth – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.574.005.00 1.67 2.15
19.09.26 Burton – Mansfield 2–2 (2–1) 2.503.302.57 1.93 1.93
12.09.26 Oxford – Burton 3–0 (0–0) 1.793.504.20 1.88 1.98
05.09.26 Burton – Cambridge 2–2 (1–1) 2.653.252.45 2.08 1.73
02.09.26 Burton – AFC Wimbledon 4–1 (2–1) 1.913.254.00 2.05 1.75
29.08.26 Notts County – Burton 2–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.00 2.03 1.83
22.08.26 Leicester – Burton 1–2 (1–2) 1.494.205.50 1.67 2.15
15.08.26 Burton – Stevenage 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.10 2.40 1.53
02.05.26 Leyton Orient – Burton 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.804.20 1.95 1.90

Doncaster at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Doncaster – Plymouth 2–3 (0–1) 2.353.402.70 1.75 2.05
01.09.26 Doncaster – Notts County 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.403.00 1.95 1.90
22.08.26 Doncaster – Barnsley 0–0 (0–0) 1.963.503.50 1.75 2.05
25.04.26 Doncaster – Stevenage 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.202.30 2.15 1.67
21.04.26 Doncaster – Lincoln 0–2 (0–1) 3.803.501.86 1.83 2.03
11.04.26 Doncaster – Reading 1–0 (0–0) 1.863.703.60 1.85 2.00
03.04.26 Doncaster – Mansfield 0–2 (0–0) 2.203.403.10 1.80 2.00
24.03.26 Doncaster – Port Vale 1–0 (1–0) 1.663.704.75 1.95 1.85
14.03.26 Doncaster – Blackpool 2–1 (1–0) 1.713.754.20 1.85 1.95
10.03.26 Doncaster – Luton 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.502.40 1.88 1.98

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.09.26 Plymouth – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.574.005.00 1.67 2.15
12.09.26 Oxford – Burton 3–0 (0–0) 1.793.504.20 1.88 1.98
29.08.26 Notts County – Burton 2–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.00 2.03 1.83
22.08.26 Leicester – Burton 1–2 (1–2) 1.494.205.50 1.67 2.15
02.05.26 Leyton Orient – Burton 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.804.20 1.95 1.90
19.04.26 Peterboro – Burton 1–1 (0–1) 2.823.402.25 1.70 2.10
06.04.26 Mansfield – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.963.303.40 1.95 1.85
28.03.26 Blackpool – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.252.82 1.95 1.85
14.03.26 Northampton – Burton 0–2 (0–1) 2.653.252.55 2.15 1.67
03.03.26 Exeter – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 2.353.302.75 1.95 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Doncaster winsDrawsBurton wins
4matches
2.25goals / match
25%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.26E2 Burton – Doncaster 1–2 (0–2) 3.003.252.30 1.98 1.88
04.10.25E2 Doncaster – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 1.663.754.50 1.95 1.90
23.04.22E2 Doncaster – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.502.25 1.95 1.90
27.11.21E2 Burton – Doncaster 2–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.98 1.88

England League One table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 10 6 1 3 18 12 +6 19
2 Bradford 8 5 1 2 8 5 +3 16
3 Huddersfield 8 4 3 1 14 7 +7 15
4 Oxford 7 4 2 1 15 8 +7 14
5 Sheffield Weds 7 4 2 1 13 6 +7 14
6 Stockport 8 4 1 3 17 10 +7 13
7 Cambridge 8 3 4 1 13 11 +2 13
8 Reading 8 3 3 2 17 10 +7 12
9 Burton 9 3 3 3 14 15 -1 12
10 AFC Wimbledon 9 3 3 3 7 10 -3 12
11 Leyton Orient 8 3 1 4 13 11 +2 10
12 Wycombe 8 2 4 2 13 16 -3 10
13 Stevenage 7 2 3 2 11 8 +3 9
14 Leicester 7 2 3 2 9 11 -2 9
15 Blackpool 7 2 2 3 13 13 0 8
16 Luton 7 2 2 3 12 14 -2 8
17 Mansfield 7 2 2 3 10 13 -3 8
18 Barnsley 7 2 2 3 7 12 -5 8
19 Bromley 7 2 2 3 8 18 -10 8
20 Notts County 8 1 4 3 8 11 -3 7
21 Doncaster 7 1 3 3 8 9 -1 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 0 6 1 8 10 -2 6
23 Peterboro 8 1 2 5 4 13 -9 5
24 Wigan 7 1 1 5 5 12 -7 4
  • Promotion to Championship
  • Promotion play-offs
  • Relegation to League Two
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Reading 5 3 1 1 14 6 +8 10
2 Plymouth 5 3 0 2 8 5 +3 9
3 AFC Wimbledon 4 2 2 0 2 0 +2 8
4 Huddersfield 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7
5 Mansfield 3 2 1 0 7 3 +4 7
6 Cambridge 4 2 1 1 7 6 +1 7
7 Stockport 4 2 0 2 10 7 +3 6
8 Bradford 3 2 0 1 4 2 +2 6
9 Burton 5 1 3 1 10 9 +1 6
10 Sheffield Weds 4 1 2 1 7 3 +4 5
11 Oxford 3 1 2 0 6 3 +3 5
12 Blackpool 4 1 2 1 9 7 +2 5
13 Luton 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5
14 Stevenage 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
15 Notts County 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
16 Peterboro 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
17 Barnsley 4 1 1 2 4 8 -4 4
18 Bromley 4 1 1 2 3 9 -6 4
19 Milton Keynes Dons 3 0 3 0 2 2 0 3
20 Wycombe 4 0 3 1 7 8 -1 3
21 Leicester 3 1 0 2 3 6 -3 3
22 Leyton Orient 5 1 0 4 5 10 -5 3
23 Wigan 4 1 0 3 3 8 -5 3
24 Doncaster 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 5 3 1 1 10 7 +3 10
2 Bradford 5 3 1 1 4 3 +1 10
3 Oxford 4 3 0 1 9 5 +4 9
4 Sheffield Weds 3 3 0 0 6 3 +3 9
5 Huddersfield 5 2 2 1 7 5 +2 8
6 Leyton Orient 3 2 1 0 8 1 +7 7
7 Stockport 4 2 1 1 7 3 +4 7
8 Wycombe 4 2 1 1 6 8 -2 7
9 Cambridge 4 1 3 0 6 5 +1 6
10 Leicester 4 1 3 0 6 5 +1 6
11 Burton 4 2 0 2 4 6 -2 6
12 Stevenage 4 1 2 1 6 3 +3 5
13 Doncaster 4 1 1 2 5 5 0 4
14 Barnsley 3 1 1 1 3 4 -1 4
15 Bromley 3 1 1 1 5 9 -4 4
16 AFC Wimbledon 5 1 1 3 5 10 -5 4
17 Milton Keynes Dons 4 0 3 1 6 8 -2 3
18 Blackpool 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3
19 Notts County 4 0 3 1 4 6 -2 3
20 Luton 3 1 0 2 7 10 -3 3
21 Reading 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
22 Wigan 3 0 1 2 2 4 -2 1
23 Mansfield 4 0 1 3 3 10 -7 1
24 Peterboro 4 0 1 3 1 8 -7 1

Doncaster   Burton

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Burton 9 2 7 1.6 1.7 3 3 3 14 15 12
2 4 Oxford 7 1 6 2.1 1.1 4 2 1 15 8 14
3 15 Blackpool 7 1 6 1.9 1.9 2 2 3 13 13 8
4 1 Plymouth 10 5 5 1.8 1.2 6 1 3 18 12 19
5 3 Huddersfield 8 3 5 1.8 0.9 4 3 1 14 7 15
6 6 Stockport 8 3 5 2.1 1.2 4 1 3 17 10 13
7 7 Cambridge 8 3 5 1.6 1.4 3 4 1 13 11 13
8 8 Reading 8 3 5 2.1 1.2 3 3 2 17 10 12
9 12 Wycombe 8 3 5 1.6 2.0 2 4 2 13 16 10
10 17 Mansfield 7 2 5 1.4 1.9 2 2 3 10 13 8
11 5 Sheffield Weds 7 3 4 1.9 0.9 4 2 1 13 6 14
12 11 Leyton Orient 8 4 4 1.6 1.4 3 1 4 13 11 10
13 13 Stevenage 7 3 4 1.6 1.1 2 3 2 11 8 9
14 16 Luton 7 3 4 1.7 2.0 2 2 3 12 14 8
15 18 Barnsley 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 2 2 3 7 12 8
16 19 Bromley 7 3 4 1.1 2.6 2 2 3 8 18 8
17 10 AFC Wimbledon 9 6 3 0.8 1.1 3 3 3 7 10 12
18 14 Leicester 7 4 3 1.3 1.6 2 3 2 9 11 9
19 20 Notts County 8 5 3 1.0 1.4 1 4 3 8 11 7
20 21 Doncaster 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 1 3 3 8 9 6
21 22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 4 3 1.1 1.4 0 6 1 8 10 6
22 23 Peterboro 8 5 3 0.5 1.6 1 2 5 4 13 5
23 24 Wigan 7 4 3 0.7 1.7 1 1 5 5 12 4
24 2 Bradford 8 7 1 1.0 0.6 5 1 2 8 5 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Burton 5 1 4 2.0 1.8 1 3 1 10 9 6
2 1 Plymouth 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 3 0 2 8 5 9
3 6 Stockport 4 1 3 2.5 1.8 2 0 2 10 7 6
4 7 Cambridge 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 1 1 7 6 7
5 8 Reading 5 2 3 2.8 1.2 3 1 1 14 6 10
6 11 Leyton Orient 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 1 0 4 5 10 3
7 12 Wycombe 4 1 3 1.8 2.0 0 3 1 7 8 3
8 13 Stevenage 3 0 3 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
9 15 Blackpool 4 1 3 2.2 1.8 1 2 1 9 7 5
10 3 Huddersfield 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 2 1 0 7 2 7
11 4 Oxford 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 1 2 0 6 3 5
12 14 Leicester 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 1 0 2 3 6 3
13 17 Mansfield 3 1 2 2.3 1.0 2 1 0 7 3 7
14 18 Barnsley 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 2 4 8 4
15 19 Bromley 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 1 1 2 3 9 4
16 20 Notts County 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
17 23 Peterboro 4 2 2 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
18 24 Wigan 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 1 0 3 3 8 3
19 2 Bradford 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 0 1 4 2 6
20 5 Sheffield Weds 4 3 1 1.8 0.8 1 2 1 7 3 5
21 16 Luton 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5
22 21 Doncaster 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
23 10 AFC Wimbledon 4 4 0 0.5 0.0 2 2 0 2 0 8
24 22 Milton Keynes Dons 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 0 3 0 2 2 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Oxford 4 0 4 2.2 1.2 3 0 1 9 5 9
2 3 Huddersfield 5 2 3 1.4 1.0 2 2 1 7 5 8
3 5 Sheffield Weds 3 0 3 2.0 1.0 3 0 0 6 3 9
4 9 Burton 4 1 3 1.0 1.5 2 0 2 4 6 6
5 10 AFC Wimbledon 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 3 5 10 4
6 15 Blackpool 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3
7 16 Luton 3 0 3 2.3 3.3 1 0 2 7 10 3
8 17 Mansfield 4 1 3 0.8 2.5 0 1 3 3 10 1
9 22 Milton Keynes Dons 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 0 3 1 6 8 3
10 1 Plymouth 5 3 2 2.0 1.4 3 1 1 10 7 10
11 6 Stockport 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 2 1 1 7 3 7
12 7 Cambridge 4 2 2 1.5 1.2 1 3 0 6 5 6
13 8 Reading 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
14 12 Wycombe 4 2 2 1.5 2.0 2 1 1 6 8 7
15 18 Barnsley 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 1 1 1 3 4 4
16 19 Bromley 3 1 2 1.7 3.0 1 1 1 5 9 4
17 21 Doncaster 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 1 2 5 5 4
18 11 Leyton Orient 3 2 1 2.7 0.3 2 1 0 8 1 7
19 13 Stevenage 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 1 2 1 6 3 5
20 14 Leicester 4 3 1 1.5 1.2 1 3 0 6 5 6
21 20 Notts County 4 3 1 1.0 1.5 0 3 1 4 6 3
22 23 Peterboro 4 3 1 0.2 2.0 0 1 3 1 8 1
23 24 Wigan 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 1 2 2 4 1
24 2 Bradford 5 5 0 0.8 0.6 3 1 1 4 3 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51