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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: H Wager

Luton 2–1 Barnsley

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.39 fair 1.97
Draw 4.75 fair 4.32
Away 6.50 fair 3.84
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 2.39
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Barnsley
17 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 2
9 Corners 5
9 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (527 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.70
Expected goals 1.80 – 1.23
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawBarnsley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 9.6% 1–0 8.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
1.55points / match
1.43scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 63:53
Barnsley before this match, all matches
1.30points / match
1.51scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 43 played · 65:68
Luton all matches all matches Barnsley

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 1.51
1.20 Goals conceded 1.58
2.64 Total goals 3.09
13.09 Shots 11.58
4.00 Shots on target 3.86
10.09 Shots faced 12.77
6.11 Corners 4.98
4.27 Corners against 5.86
11.52 Fouls 11.40
1.64 Yellow cards 1.93
0.77 1st-half goals scored 0.72
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

43% Wins 33%
25% Draws 33%
32% Losses 35%
98% Over 0.5 goals 98%
75% Over 1.5 goals 84%
52% Over 2.5 goals 63%
27% Over 3.5 goals 47%
11% Over 4.5 goals 16%
0% Over 5.5 goals 2%
52% Both teams scored 67%
30% Clean sheets 7%
20% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 30%
39% Draws 40%
25% Losses 30%
73% Over 0.5 goals 79%
36% Over 1.5 goals 44%
16% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Barnsley all matches
Luton before this match, at home
1.91points / match
1.59scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 35:23
Barnsley before this match, away
1.10points / match
1.29scored / match
1.62conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 27:34
Luton at home away Barnsley

Per match

1.59 Goals scored 1.29
1.05 Goals conceded 1.62
2.64 Total goals 2.90
14.86 Shots 10.71
4.68 Shots on target 3.90
8.59 Shots faced 14.00
7.00 Corners 4.71
4.41 Corners against 6.76
11.27 Fouls 10.95
1.36 Yellow cards 1.86
0.95 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

55% Wins 24%
27% Draws 38%
18% Losses 38%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
73% Over 1.5 goals 81%
55% Over 2.5 goals 62%
27% Over 3.5 goals 48%
14% Over 4.5 goals 5%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
59% Both teams scored 67%
32% Clean sheets 10%
14% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 33%
41% Draws 29%
14% Losses 38%
77% Over 0.5 goals 86%
36% Over 1.5 goals 33%
18% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Barnsley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.04.26 Rotherham – Luton 0–2 (0–2) 5.253.901.56 1.67 2.15
18.04.26 Mansfield – Luton 2–2 (2–1) 3.203.402.10 1.70 2.10
15.04.26 Luton – Northampton 2–1 (1–1) 1.305.008.00 1.60 2.30
06.04.26 AFC Wimbledon – Luton 0–3 (0–1) 3.003.202.15 2.00 1.80
03.04.26 Luton – Peterboro 2–1 (1–0) 1.614.004.75 1.53 2.40
21.03.26 Luton – Stockport 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.302.57 1.93 1.93
17.03.26 Luton – Exeter 3–2 (3–1) 1.573.805.00 1.85 2.00
14.03.26 Wycombe – Luton 1–2 (0–2) 1.863.603.75 2.00 1.85
10.03.26 Doncaster – Luton 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.502.40 1.88 1.98
07.03.26 Luton – Reading 2–3 (1–1) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.95

Barnsley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.04.26 Stevenage – Barnsley 1–0 (1–0) 1.763.304.50 2.15 1.67
18.04.26 Barnsley – Bradford 2–2 (0–0) 3.103.302.20 1.85 2.00
14.04.26 Port Vale – Barnsley 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.45 1.98 1.88
11.04.26 Rotherham – Barnsley 1–3 (0–1) 2.403.502.57 1.73 2.08
06.04.26 Barnsley – Plymouth 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.402.20 1.67 2.15
03.04.26 Burton – Barnsley 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.80 2.00
21.03.26 Barnsley – Doncaster 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.502.85 1.60 2.30
17.03.26 Barnsley – Wigan 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.203.10 1.85 1.95
14.03.26 Mansfield – Barnsley 2–2 (0–1) 2.053.703.10 1.70 2.10
10.03.26 Barnsley – Cardiff 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.801.86 1.57 2.35

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.26 Luton – Northampton 2–1 (1–1) 1.305.008.00 1.60 2.30
03.04.26 Luton – Peterboro 2–1 (1–0) 1.614.004.75 1.53 2.40
21.03.26 Luton – Stockport 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.302.57 1.93 1.93
17.03.26 Luton – Exeter 3–2 (3–1) 1.573.805.00 1.85 2.00
07.03.26 Luton – Reading 2–3 (1–1) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.95
21.02.26 Luton – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.90
07.02.26 Luton – Bradford 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.204.00 2.15 1.67
31.01.26 Luton – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.705.00 1.95 1.90
17.01.26 Luton – Lincoln 2–2 (2–2) 2.353.002.75 2.15 1.67
10.01.26 Luton – Stevenage 2–1 (0–0) 1.813.204.50 2.40 1.53

Barnsley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.04.26 Stevenage – Barnsley 1–0 (1–0) 1.763.304.50 2.15 1.67
14.04.26 Port Vale – Barnsley 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.45 1.98 1.88
11.04.26 Rotherham – Barnsley 1–3 (0–1) 2.403.502.57 1.73 2.08
03.04.26 Burton – Barnsley 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.80 2.00
14.03.26 Mansfield – Barnsley 2–2 (0–1) 2.053.703.10 1.70 2.10
28.02.26 Leyton Orient – Barnsley 1–3 (1–1) 2.403.502.57 1.67 2.15
21.02.26 Huddersfield – Barnsley 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.754.33 1.80 2.00
07.02.26 Bolton – Barnsley 3–2 (3–0) 1.623.804.75 1.67 2.15
27.01.26 Cardiff – Barnsley 4–0 (2–0) 1.613.804.75 1.62 2.25
24.01.26 Reading – Barnsley 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.602.82 1.73 2.08

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Luton winsDrawsBarnsley wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.11.25E2 Barnsley – Luton 5–0 (3–0) 3.053.402.15 1.75 2.05
08.02.22E1 Luton – Barnsley 2–1 (1–1) 1.603.756.50 2.10 1.72
17.08.21E1 Barnsley – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.203.30 2.30 1.61

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 44 29 10 5 83 38 +45 97
2 Cardiff 44 26 10 8 81 44 +37 88
3 Bolton 44 19 17 8 67 48 +19 74
4 Stockport 44 21 11 12 67 55 +12 74
5 Bradford 44 21 10 13 55 49 +6 73
6 Stevenage 45 20 12 13 48 46 +2 72
7 Luton 44 19 11 14 63 53 +10 68
8 Plymouth 44 20 7 17 70 60 +10 67
9 Huddersfield 44 17 13 14 69 60 +9 64
10 Reading 44 16 14 14 63 58 +5 62
11 Wycombe 44 16 12 16 63 52 +11 60
12 Mansfield 43 14 16 13 53 45 +8 58
13 Doncaster 45 16 9 20 47 68 -21 57
14 Barnsley 43 14 14 15 65 68 -3 56
15 Wigan 44 14 14 16 49 56 -7 56
16 Blackpool 44 15 9 20 52 65 -13 54
17 Peterboro 44 15 7 22 63 65 -2 52
18 Burton 44 13 13 18 47 57 -10 52
19 Leyton Orient 44 14 9 21 57 68 -11 51
20 AFC Wimbledon 44 14 8 22 50 68 -18 50
21 Exeter 44 12 12 20 50 58 -8 48
22 Rotherham 44 10 10 24 38 67 -29 40
23 Port Vale 43 9 12 22 33 56 -23 39
24 Northampton 43 9 8 26 36 65 -29 35
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 22 17 4 1 49 17 +32 55
2 Cardiff 22 16 2 4 45 22 +23 50
3 Bradford 22 15 4 3 31 16 +15 49
4 Bolton 22 13 8 1 44 21 +23 47
5 Stevenage 22 13 7 2 26 13 +13 46
6 Stockport 22 13 4 5 37 24 +13 43
7 Huddersfield 22 11 9 2 41 23 +18 42
8 Luton 22 12 6 4 35 23 +12 42
9 Wycombe 22 12 3 7 42 21 +21 39
10 Blackpool 22 11 5 6 34 29 +5 38
11 Wigan 22 11 4 7 24 16 +8 37
12 Reading 22 10 7 5 33 27 +6 37
13 Barnsley 22 9 6 7 38 34 +4 33
14 Doncaster 23 9 6 8 27 32 -5 33
15 Mansfield 22 8 8 6 33 23 +10 32
16 Exeter 22 8 7 7 29 27 +2 31
17 Plymouth 22 9 4 9 31 32 -1 31
18 Burton 22 9 4 9 26 27 -1 31
19 Leyton Orient 22 8 6 8 30 28 +2 30
20 Peterboro 21 8 5 8 38 27 +11 29
21 AFC Wimbledon 22 8 4 10 25 27 -2 28
22 Rotherham 22 6 8 8 23 31 -8 26
23 Northampton 21 6 4 11 21 27 -6 22
24 Port Vale 22 4 9 9 17 23 -6 21
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 22 12 6 4 34 21 +13 42
2 Cardiff 22 10 8 4 36 22 +14 38
3 Plymouth 22 11 3 8 39 28 +11 36
4 Stockport 22 8 7 7 30 31 -1 31
5 Bolton 22 6 9 7 23 27 -4 27
6 Luton 22 7 5 10 28 30 -2 26
7 Mansfield 21 6 8 7 20 22 -2 26
8 Stevenage 23 7 5 11 22 33 -11 26
9 Reading 22 6 7 9 30 31 -1 25
10 Bradford 22 6 6 10 24 33 -9 24
11 Doncaster 22 7 3 12 20 36 -16 24
12 Barnsley 21 5 8 8 27 34 -7 23
13 Peterboro 23 7 2 14 25 38 -13 23
14 Huddersfield 22 6 4 12 28 37 -9 22
15 AFC Wimbledon 22 6 4 12 25 41 -16 22
16 Burton 22 4 9 9 21 30 -9 21
17 Wycombe 22 4 9 9 21 31 -10 21
18 Leyton Orient 22 6 3 13 27 40 -13 21
19 Wigan 22 3 10 9 25 40 -15 19
20 Port Vale 21 5 3 13 16 33 -17 18
21 Exeter 22 4 5 13 21 31 -10 17
22 Blackpool 22 4 4 14 18 36 -18 16
23 Rotherham 22 4 2 16 15 36 -21 14
24 Northampton 22 3 4 15 15 38 -23 13

Luton   Barnsley

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Barnsley 43 16 27 1.5 1.6 14 14 15 65 68 56
2 19 Leyton Orient 44 17 27 1.3 1.5 14 9 21 57 68 51
3 4 Stockport 44 18 26 1.5 1.2 21 11 12 67 55 74
4 8 Plymouth 44 19 25 1.6 1.4 20 7 17 70 60 67
5 9 Huddersfield 44 19 25 1.6 1.4 17 13 14 69 60 64
6 17 Peterboro 44 19 25 1.4 1.5 15 7 22 63 65 52
7 1 Lincoln 44 20 24 1.9 0.9 29 10 5 83 38 97
8 2 Cardiff 44 21 23 1.8 1.0 26 10 8 81 44 88
9 5 Bradford 44 21 23 1.2 1.1 21 10 13 55 49 73
10 7 Luton 44 21 23 1.4 1.2 19 11 14 63 53 68
11 22 Rotherham 44 21 23 0.9 1.5 10 10 24 38 67 40
12 10 Reading 44 22 22 1.4 1.3 16 14 14 63 58 62
13 11 Wycombe 44 22 22 1.4 1.2 16 12 16 63 52 60
14 13 Doncaster 45 23 22 1.0 1.5 16 9 20 47 68 57
15 16 Blackpool 44 22 22 1.2 1.5 15 9 20 52 65 54
16 18 Burton 44 22 22 1.1 1.3 13 13 18 47 57 52
17 20 AFC Wimbledon 44 22 22 1.1 1.5 14 8 22 50 68 50
18 3 Bolton 44 23 21 1.5 1.1 19 17 8 67 48 74
19 21 Exeter 44 24 20 1.1 1.3 12 12 20 50 58 48
20 24 Northampton 43 23 20 0.8 1.5 9 8 26 36 65 35
21 12 Mansfield 43 24 19 1.2 1.0 14 16 13 53 45 58
22 6 Stevenage 45 28 17 1.1 1.0 20 12 13 48 46 72
23 15 Wigan 44 28 16 1.1 1.3 14 14 16 49 56 56
24 23 Port Vale 43 27 16 0.8 1.3 9 12 22 33 56 39
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Lincoln 22 8 14 2.2 0.8 17 4 1 49 17 55
2 3 Bolton 22 8 14 2.0 1.0 13 8 1 44 21 47
3 14 Barnsley 22 8 14 1.7 1.5 9 6 7 38 34 33
4 2 Cardiff 22 9 13 2.0 1.0 16 2 4 45 22 50
5 4 Stockport 22 9 13 1.7 1.1 13 4 5 37 24 43
6 11 Wycombe 22 9 13 1.9 1.0 12 3 7 42 21 39
7 7 Luton 22 10 12 1.6 1.0 12 6 4 35 23 42
8 8 Plymouth 22 10 12 1.4 1.5 9 4 9 31 32 31
9 9 Huddersfield 22 10 12 1.9 1.0 11 9 2 41 23 42
10 10 Reading 22 10 12 1.5 1.2 10 7 5 33 27 37
11 12 Mansfield 22 10 12 1.5 1.0 8 8 6 33 23 32
12 16 Blackpool 22 10 12 1.5 1.3 11 5 6 34 29 38
13 17 Peterboro 21 9 12 1.8 1.3 8 5 8 38 27 29
14 18 Burton 22 10 12 1.2 1.2 9 4 9 26 27 31
15 22 Rotherham 22 10 12 1.0 1.4 6 8 8 23 31 26
16 19 Leyton Orient 22 11 11 1.4 1.3 8 6 8 30 28 30
17 13 Doncaster 23 13 10 1.2 1.4 9 6 8 27 32 33
18 21 Exeter 22 12 10 1.3 1.2 8 7 7 29 27 31
19 5 Bradford 22 13 9 1.4 0.7 15 4 3 31 16 49
20 20 AFC Wimbledon 22 13 9 1.1 1.2 8 4 10 25 27 28
21 24 Northampton 21 12 9 1.0 1.3 6 4 11 21 27 22
22 23 Port Vale 22 15 7 0.8 1.0 4 9 9 17 23 21
23 6 Stevenage 22 16 6 1.2 0.6 13 7 2 26 13 46
24 15 Wigan 22 16 6 1.1 0.7 11 4 7 24 16 37
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Leyton Orient 22 6 16 1.2 1.8 6 3 13 27 40 21
2 5 Bradford 22 8 14 1.1 1.5 6 6 10 24 33 24
3 4 Stockport 22 9 13 1.4 1.4 8 7 7 30 31 31
4 8 Plymouth 22 9 13 1.8 1.3 11 3 8 39 28 36
5 9 Huddersfield 22 9 13 1.3 1.7 6 4 12 28 37 22
6 14 Barnsley 21 8 13 1.3 1.6 5 8 8 27 34 23
7 17 Peterboro 23 10 13 1.1 1.7 7 2 14 25 38 23
8 20 AFC Wimbledon 22 9 13 1.1 1.9 6 4 12 25 41 22
9 13 Doncaster 22 10 12 0.9 1.6 7 3 12 20 36 24
10 6 Stevenage 23 12 11 1.0 1.4 7 5 11 22 33 26
11 7 Luton 22 11 11 1.3 1.4 7 5 10 28 30 26
12 22 Rotherham 22 11 11 0.7 1.6 4 2 16 15 36 14
13 24 Northampton 22 11 11 0.7 1.7 3 4 15 15 38 13
14 1 Lincoln 22 12 10 1.5 1.0 12 6 4 34 21 42
15 2 Cardiff 22 12 10 1.6 1.0 10 8 4 36 22 38
16 10 Reading 22 12 10 1.4 1.4 6 7 9 30 31 25
17 15 Wigan 22 12 10 1.1 1.8 3 10 9 25 40 19
18 16 Blackpool 22 12 10 0.8 1.6 4 4 14 18 36 16
19 18 Burton 22 12 10 1.0 1.4 4 9 9 21 30 21
20 21 Exeter 22 12 10 1.0 1.4 4 5 13 21 31 17
21 11 Wycombe 22 13 9 1.0 1.4 4 9 9 21 31 21
22 23 Port Vale 21 12 9 0.8 1.6 5 3 13 16 33 18
23 3 Bolton 22 15 7 1.0 1.2 6 9 7 23 27 27
24 12 Mansfield 21 14 7 1.0 1.0 6 8 7 20 22 26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51