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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: T Nield

Colchester 3–1 Swindon

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.63 fair 2.60
Draw 3.80 fair 4.57
Away 2.40 fair 2.52
Under 2.5 2.35 fair 3.32
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.43

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Colchester Swindon
12 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Fouls 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (189 league matches this season so far).
Result Swindon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.43
Expected goals 1.79 – 1.82
Home / Draw / Away
ColchesterDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 8.8% 1–2 8% 2–1 7.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Colchester before this match, all matches
1.07points / match
1.47scored / match
1.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 22:29
Swindon before this match, all matches
1.53points / match
2.20scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 33:24
Colchester all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

1.47 Goals scored 2.20
1.93 Goals conceded 1.60
3.40 Total goals 3.80
13.73 Shots 14.27
4.87 Shots on target 5.47
15.93 Shots faced 13.53
5.47 Corners 5.60
5.67 Corners against 4.93
10.20 Fouls 9.47
2.40 Yellow cards 2.13
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.93
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

33% Wins 40%
7% Draws 33%
60% Losses 27%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
87% Over 1.5 goals 80%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
33% Over 3.5 goals 53%
27% Over 4.5 goals 27%
7% Over 5.5 goals 20%
60% Both teams scored 60%
20% Clean sheets 27%
20% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 47%
47% Draws 27%
20% Losses 27%
67% Over 0.5 goals 87%
40% Over 1.5 goals 33%
20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Colchester all matches
Swindon all matches
Colchester before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.71scored / match
2.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 12:15
Swindon before this match, away
0.88points / match
1.75scored / match
2.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 14:17
Colchester at home away Swindon

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 1.75
2.14 Goals conceded 2.13
3.86 Total goals 3.88
16.57 Shots 13.38
6.00 Shots on target 4.63
14.71 Shots faced 14.63
6.00 Corners 5.13
5.57 Corners against 4.88
9.14 Fouls 10.88
2.86 Yellow cards 2.75
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

29% Wins 13%
14% Draws 50%
57% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
100% Over 1.5 goals 75%
57% Over 2.5 goals 75%
43% Over 3.5 goals 63%
29% Over 4.5 goals 25%
14% Over 5.5 goals 13%
71% Both teams scored 75%
14% Clean sheets 13%
14% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 13%
29% Draws 50%
14% Losses 38%
71% Over 0.5 goals 75%
29% Over 1.5 goals 50%
29% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Colchester at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Colchester all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.23 Accrington – Colchester 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.753.50 1.65 2.20
24.10.23 Grimsby – Colchester 2–3 (1–2) 2.103.503.40 1.80 2.00
21.10.23 Colchester – Harrogate 1–2 (0–0) 1.913.603.80 1.83 2.03
14.10.23 Forest Green – Colchester 5–0 (1–0) 2.503.502.70 1.80 2.05
07.10.23 Colchester – Morecambe 1–3 (0–1) 1.913.753.80 1.75 2.05
03.10.23 Newport County – Colchester 2–1 (1–1) 2.253.603.00 1.80 2.00
30.09.23 Colchester – Notts County 5–4 (3–1) 3.603.602.00 1.67 2.15
23.09.23 Crewe – Colchester 2–1 (2–0) 2.453.602.75 1.83 2.03
16.09.23 Colchester – Mansfield 1–1 (1–0) 3.753.601.95 1.83 2.03
09.09.23 Colchester – Tranmere 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.203.30 1.95 1.85

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–2 (1–0) 2.453.752.70 1.60 2.30
24.10.23 Swindon – Gillingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.833.604.50 1.73 2.08
21.10.23 Salford – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.402.50 1.60 2.30
14.10.23 Swindon – Newport County 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.754.75 1.62 2.25
07.10.23 Bradford – Swindon 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
03.10.23 Notts County – Swindon 3–1 (3–0) 1.834.203.75 1.40 2.88
30.09.23 Swindon – Grimsby 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 1.73 2.08
23.09.23 Morecambe – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.08
16.09.23 Swindon – Walsall 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.78 2.10
09.09.23 Swindon – Sutton 5–3 (3–2) 1.753.604.50 1.80 2.00

Colchester at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Colchester – Harrogate 1–2 (0–0) 1.913.603.80 1.83 2.03
07.10.23 Colchester – Morecambe 1–3 (0–1) 1.913.753.80 1.75 2.05
30.09.23 Colchester – Notts County 5–4 (3–1) 3.603.602.00 1.67 2.15
16.09.23 Colchester – Mansfield 1–1 (1–0) 3.753.601.95 1.83 2.03
09.09.23 Colchester – Tranmere 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.203.30 1.95 1.85
19.08.23 Colchester – Milton Keynes Dons 2–3 (2–1) 2.753.302.60 2.05 1.75
15.08.23 Colchester – AFC Wimbledon 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.303.20 2.15 1.67
08.05.23 Colchester – Mansfield 0–2 (0–1) 4.003.501.95 1.82 2.02
22.04.23 Colchester – Sutton 4–1 (3–1) 2.253.303.30 2.25 1.62
10.04.23 Colchester – Crewe 4–0 (3–0) 1.913.304.50 2.15 1.67

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–2 (1–0) 2.453.752.70 1.60 2.30
21.10.23 Salford – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.402.50 1.60 2.30
07.10.23 Bradford – Swindon 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
03.10.23 Notts County – Swindon 3–1 (3–0) 1.834.203.75 1.40 2.88
23.09.23 Morecambe – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.08
02.09.23 Doncaster – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 1.90 1.95
19.08.23 Wrexham – Swindon 5–5 (1–4) 1.574.205.50 1.65 2.20
15.08.23 Forest Green – Swindon 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.402.63 1.93 1.93
29.04.23 Crewe – Swindon 2–1 (0–1) 2.883.402.45 2.00 1.85
22.04.23 AFC Wimbledon – Swindon 1–5 (1–3) 2.503.252.88 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Colchester winsDrawsSwindon wins
4matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.23E3 Colchester – Swindon 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 2.08 1.73
15.10.22E3 Swindon – Colchester 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.80 1.98 1.88
29.01.22E3 Colchester – Swindon 1–1 (0–0) 2.873.252.50 1.98 1.88
25.09.21E3 Swindon – Colchester 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.60 2.00 1.80

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 16 11 2 3 33 16 +17 35
2 Notts County 16 9 3 4 33 28 +5 30
3 Wrexham 16 8 6 2 32 27 +5 30
4 Mansfield 15 7 8 0 27 12 +15 29
5 Crewe 16 8 5 3 35 25 +10 29
6 Morecambe 15 8 3 4 23 17 +6 27
7 Accrington 16 8 2 6 24 21 +3 26
8 Barrow 16 6 7 3 18 14 +4 25
9 Gillingham 16 8 1 7 14 20 -6 25
10 Swindon 15 6 5 4 33 24 +9 23
11 AFC Wimbledon 16 5 7 4 23 19 +4 22
12 Milton Keynes Dons 16 6 4 6 26 24 +2 22
13 Salford 16 6 3 7 26 24 +2 21
14 Crawley Town 15 6 3 6 24 27 -3 21
15 Walsall 16 5 5 6 24 28 -4 20
16 Bradford 16 5 5 6 17 21 -4 20
17 Doncaster 16 6 2 8 20 25 -5 20
18 Harrogate 16 6 1 9 15 22 -7 19
19 Newport County 16 5 3 8 26 32 -6 18
20 Colchester 15 5 1 9 22 29 -7 16
21 Grimsby 16 3 5 8 20 26 -6 14
22 Forest Green 15 4 1 10 18 27 -9 13
23 Tranmere 16 3 1 12 18 29 -11 10
24 Sutton 16 3 1 12 22 36 -14 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 9 6 2 1 18 7 +11 20
2 Morecambe 8 5 3 0 14 5 +9 18
3 Notts County 8 6 0 2 19 14 +5 18
4 Crewe 8 5 2 1 17 10 +7 17
5 Wrexham 8 5 2 1 25 19 +6 17
6 Swindon 7 5 1 1 19 7 +12 16
7 Accrington 9 5 1 3 14 11 +3 16
8 Mansfield 7 4 3 0 9 3 +6 15
9 Crawley Town 8 5 0 3 15 10 +5 15
10 Milton Keynes Dons 8 4 2 2 14 10 +4 14
11 Doncaster 9 4 2 3 12 11 +1 14
12 Barrow 7 3 4 0 8 5 +3 13
13 Gillingham 8 4 1 3 8 10 -2 13
14 Newport County 8 3 3 2 17 14 +3 12
15 Walsall 7 3 3 1 10 7 +3 12
16 Bradford 7 3 3 1 8 7 +1 12
17 Grimsby 8 3 2 3 11 10 +1 11
18 Tranmere 8 3 1 4 14 12 +2 10
19 Sutton 9 3 1 5 14 13 +1 10
20 Salford 7 2 2 3 11 12 -1 8
21 Colchester 7 2 1 4 12 15 -3 7
22 AFC Wimbledon 7 1 3 3 11 12 -1 6
23 Harrogate 8 2 0 6 7 13 -6 6
24 Forest Green 9 2 0 7 11 18 -7 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 AFC Wimbledon 9 4 4 1 12 7 +5 16
2 Stockport 7 5 0 2 15 9 +6 15
3 Mansfield 8 3 5 0 18 9 +9 14
4 Salford 9 4 1 4 15 12 +3 13
5 Harrogate 8 4 1 3 8 9 -1 13
6 Wrexham 8 3 4 1 7 8 -1 13
7 Crewe 8 3 3 2 18 15 +3 12
8 Barrow 9 3 3 3 10 9 +1 12
9 Notts County 8 3 3 2 14 14 0 12
10 Gillingham 8 4 0 4 6 10 -4 12
11 Accrington 7 3 1 3 10 10 0 10
12 Morecambe 7 3 0 4 9 12 -3 9
13 Colchester 8 3 0 5 10 14 -4 9
14 Milton Keynes Dons 8 2 2 4 12 14 -2 8
15 Bradford 9 2 2 5 9 14 -5 8
16 Walsall 9 2 2 5 14 21 -7 8
17 Forest Green 6 2 1 3 7 9 -2 7
18 Swindon 8 1 4 3 14 17 -3 7
19 Doncaster 7 2 0 5 8 14 -6 6
20 Crawley Town 7 1 3 3 9 17 -8 6
21 Newport County 8 2 0 6 9 18 -9 6
22 Grimsby 8 0 3 5 9 16 -7 3
23 Tranmere 8 0 0 8 4 17 -13 0
24 Sutton 7 0 0 7 8 23 -15 0

Colchester   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Newport County 16 3 13 1.6 2.0 5 3 8 26 32 18
2 24 Sutton 16 4 12 1.4 2.2 3 1 12 22 36 10
3 2 Notts County 16 5 11 2.1 1.8 9 3 4 33 28 30
4 5 Crewe 16 5 11 2.2 1.6 8 5 3 35 25 29
5 15 Walsall 16 5 11 1.5 1.8 5 5 6 24 28 20
6 17 Doncaster 16 5 11 1.2 1.6 6 2 8 20 25 20
7 10 Swindon 15 5 10 2.2 1.6 6 5 4 33 24 23
8 12 Milton Keynes Dons 16 6 10 1.6 1.5 6 4 6 26 24 22
9 20 Colchester 15 5 10 1.5 1.9 5 1 9 22 29 16
10 1 Stockport 16 7 9 2.1 1.0 11 2 3 33 16 35
11 3 Wrexham 16 7 9 2.0 1.7 8 6 2 32 27 30
12 6 Morecambe 15 6 9 1.5 1.1 8 3 4 23 17 27
13 7 Accrington 16 7 9 1.5 1.3 8 2 6 24 21 26
14 13 Salford 16 7 9 1.6 1.5 6 3 7 26 24 21
15 14 Crawley Town 15 6 9 1.6 1.8 6 3 6 24 27 21
16 22 Forest Green 15 6 9 1.2 1.8 4 1 10 18 27 13
17 23 Tranmere 16 7 9 1.1 1.8 3 1 12 18 29 10
18 4 Mansfield 15 7 8 1.8 0.8 7 8 0 27 12 29
19 11 AFC Wimbledon 16 8 8 1.4 1.2 5 7 4 23 19 22
20 21 Grimsby 16 8 8 1.2 1.6 3 5 8 20 26 14
21 16 Bradford 16 9 7 1.1 1.3 5 5 6 17 21 20
22 18 Harrogate 16 9 7 0.9 1.4 6 1 9 15 22 19
23 9 Gillingham 16 10 6 0.9 1.2 8 1 7 14 20 25
24 8 Barrow 16 11 5 1.1 0.9 6 7 3 18 14 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Wrexham 8 0 8 3.1 2.4 5 2 1 25 19 17
2 2 Notts County 8 1 7 2.4 1.8 6 0 2 19 14 18
3 19 Newport County 8 1 7 2.1 1.8 3 3 2 17 14 12
4 22 Forest Green 9 2 7 1.2 2.0 2 0 7 11 18 6
5 7 Accrington 9 3 6 1.6 1.2 5 1 3 14 11 16
6 23 Tranmere 8 2 6 1.8 1.5 3 1 4 14 12 10
7 5 Crewe 8 3 5 2.1 1.2 5 2 1 17 10 17
8 12 Milton Keynes Dons 8 3 5 1.8 1.2 4 2 2 14 10 14
9 13 Salford 7 2 5 1.6 1.7 2 2 3 11 12 8
10 14 Crawley Town 8 3 5 1.9 1.2 5 0 3 15 10 15
11 17 Doncaster 9 4 5 1.3 1.2 4 2 3 12 11 14
12 24 Sutton 9 4 5 1.6 1.4 3 1 5 14 13 10
13 6 Morecambe 8 4 4 1.8 0.6 5 3 0 14 5 18
14 9 Gillingham 8 4 4 1.0 1.2 4 1 3 8 10 13
15 10 Swindon 7 3 4 2.7 1.0 5 1 1 19 7 16
16 11 AFC Wimbledon 7 3 4 1.6 1.7 1 3 3 11 12 6
17 20 Colchester 7 3 4 1.7 2.1 2 1 4 12 15 7
18 1 Stockport 9 6 3 2.0 0.8 6 2 1 18 7 20
19 4 Mansfield 7 4 3 1.3 0.4 4 3 0 9 3 15
20 15 Walsall 7 4 3 1.4 1.0 3 3 1 10 7 12
21 18 Harrogate 8 5 3 0.9 1.6 2 0 6 7 13 6
22 21 Grimsby 8 5 3 1.4 1.2 3 2 3 11 10 11
23 8 Barrow 7 5 2 1.1 0.7 3 4 0 8 5 13
24 16 Bradford 7 5 2 1.1 1.0 3 3 1 8 7 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Walsall 9 1 8 1.6 2.3 2 2 5 14 21 8
2 24 Sutton 7 0 7 1.1 3.3 0 0 7 8 23 0
3 1 Stockport 7 1 6 2.1 1.3 5 0 2 15 9 15
4 5 Crewe 8 2 6 2.2 1.9 3 3 2 18 15 12
5 10 Swindon 8 2 6 1.8 2.1 1 4 3 14 17 7
6 17 Doncaster 7 1 6 1.1 2.0 2 0 5 8 14 6
7 19 Newport County 8 2 6 1.1 2.2 2 0 6 9 18 6
8 20 Colchester 8 2 6 1.2 1.8 3 0 5 10 14 9
9 4 Mansfield 8 3 5 2.2 1.1 3 5 0 18 9 14
10 6 Morecambe 7 2 5 1.3 1.7 3 0 4 9 12 9
11 12 Milton Keynes Dons 8 3 5 1.5 1.8 2 2 4 12 14 8
12 16 Bradford 9 4 5 1.0 1.6 2 2 5 9 14 8
13 21 Grimsby 8 3 5 1.1 2.0 0 3 5 9 16 3
14 2 Notts County 8 4 4 1.8 1.8 3 3 2 14 14 12
15 11 AFC Wimbledon 9 5 4 1.3 0.8 4 4 1 12 7 16
16 13 Salford 9 5 4 1.7 1.3 4 1 4 15 12 13
17 14 Crawley Town 7 3 4 1.3 2.4 1 3 3 9 17 6
18 18 Harrogate 8 4 4 1.0 1.1 4 1 3 8 9 13
19 7 Accrington 7 4 3 1.4 1.4 3 1 3 10 10 10
20 8 Barrow 9 6 3 1.1 1.0 3 3 3 10 9 12
21 23 Tranmere 8 5 3 0.5 2.1 0 0 8 4 17 0
22 9 Gillingham 8 6 2 0.8 1.2 4 0 4 6 10 12
23 22 Forest Green 6 4 2 1.2 1.5 2 1 3 7 9 7
24 3 Wrexham 8 7 1 0.9 1.0 3 4 1 7 8 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51