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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: S Stockbridge

Accrington 3–4 Swindon

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.20 fair 2.13
Draw 3.50 fair 4.43
Away ✓ 3.25 fair 3.29
Under 2.5 2.35 fair 2.78
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.56

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Accrington Swindon
29 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 5
11 Corners 3
15 Fouls 9
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (223 league matches this season so far).
Result Accrington to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.55
Expected goals 1.85 – 1.45
Home / Draw / Away
AccringtonDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.9% 2–1 9.1% 1–2 7.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Accrington before this match, all matches
1.53points / match
1.42scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 27:25
Swindon before this match, all matches
1.42points / match
2.05scored / match
1.74conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 39:33
Accrington all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

1.42 Goals scored 2.05
1.32 Goals conceded 1.74
2.74 Total goals 3.79
14.84 Shots 14.47
4.58 Shots on target 5.16
12.32 Shots faced 13.58
5.42 Corners 5.74
4.53 Corners against 4.68
13.95 Fouls 10.00
2.32 Yellow cards 2.05
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.95
0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

47% Wins 37%
11% Draws 32%
42% Losses 32%
100% Over 0.5 goals 95%
79% Over 1.5 goals 84%
53% Over 2.5 goals 68%
26% Over 3.5 goals 53%
11% Over 4.5 goals 26%
5% Over 5.5 goals 21%
53% Both teams scored 68%
21% Clean sheets 21%
26% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 58%
37% Draws 21%
21% Losses 21%
74% Over 0.5 goals 89%
32% Over 1.5 goals 26%
0% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Accrington all matches
Swindon all matches
Accrington before this match, at home
1.90points / match
1.60scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 16:11
Swindon before this match, away
0.80points / match
1.60scored / match
2.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 16:21
Accrington at home away Swindon

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.60
1.10 Goals conceded 2.10
2.70 Total goals 3.70
16.20 Shots 13.50
4.80 Shots on target 4.30
11.30 Shots faced 14.10
5.70 Corners 5.50
4.30 Corners against 4.80
14.00 Fouls 11.60
1.80 Yellow cards 2.60
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

60% Wins 10%
10% Draws 50%
30% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
60% Over 2.5 goals 70%
20% Over 3.5 goals 60%
10% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 10%
50% Both teams scored 80%
30% Clean sheets 10%
20% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 30%
20% Draws 40%
20% Losses 30%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
20% Over 1.5 goals 40%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Accrington at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Accrington all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Bradford – Accrington 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.503.25 1.80 2.00
18.11.23 Accrington – Wrexham 2–0 (0–0) 3.204.002.05 1.60 2.30
11.11.23 Crawley Town – Accrington 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.802.75 1.53 2.40
28.10.23 Accrington – Colchester 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.753.50 1.65 2.20
24.10.23 AFC Wimbledon – Accrington 2–4 (0–2) 1.703.755.00 1.85 2.00
21.10.23 Accrington – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (1–0) 2.633.402.55 1.73 2.08
14.10.23 Grimsby – Accrington 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 1.90 1.95
07.10.23 Accrington – Forest Green 2–1 (1–0) 2.103.753.30 1.73 2.08
03.10.23 Morecambe – Accrington 1–1 (0–0) 2.553.302.75 1.88 1.98
30.09.23 Accrington – Stockport 1–3 (0–2) 3.503.402.05 1.80 2.00

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Swindon – Mansfield 2–1 (1–0) 3.254.002.00 1.60 2.30
18.11.23 Harrogate – Swindon 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.902.00 1.65 2.20
11.11.23 Swindon – Stockport 2–4 (1–0) 3.254.202.00 1.60 2.30
07.11.23 Colchester – Swindon 3–1 (0–1) 2.633.802.40 1.57 2.35
28.10.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–2 (1–0) 2.453.752.70 1.60 2.30
24.10.23 Swindon – Gillingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.833.604.50 1.73 2.08
21.10.23 Salford – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.402.50 1.60 2.30
14.10.23 Swindon – Newport County 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.754.75 1.62 2.25
07.10.23 Bradford – Swindon 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
03.10.23 Notts County – Swindon 3–1 (3–0) 1.834.203.75 1.40 2.88

Accrington at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.11.23 Accrington – Wrexham 2–0 (0–0) 3.204.002.05 1.60 2.30
28.10.23 Accrington – Colchester 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.753.50 1.65 2.20
21.10.23 Accrington – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (1–0) 2.633.402.55 1.73 2.08
07.10.23 Accrington – Forest Green 2–1 (1–0) 2.103.753.30 1.73 2.08
30.09.23 Accrington – Stockport 1–3 (0–2) 3.503.402.05 1.80 2.00
16.09.23 Accrington – Sutton 4–1 (1–0) 2.053.603.40 1.83 2.03
09.09.23 Accrington – Mansfield 0–3 (0–2) 3.303.402.15 1.85 2.00
19.08.23 Accrington – Harrogate 2–1 (1–0) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.85
15.08.23 Accrington – Barrow 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.102.90 2.15 1.67
05.08.23 Accrington – Newport County 3–0 (1–0) 2.403.402.88 2.10 1.70

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.11.23 Harrogate – Swindon 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.902.00 1.65 2.20
07.11.23 Colchester – Swindon 3–1 (0–1) 2.633.802.40 1.57 2.35
28.10.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–2 (1–0) 2.453.752.70 1.60 2.30
21.10.23 Salford – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.402.50 1.60 2.30
07.10.23 Bradford – Swindon 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
03.10.23 Notts County – Swindon 3–1 (3–0) 1.834.203.75 1.40 2.88
23.09.23 Morecambe – Swindon 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.08
02.09.23 Doncaster – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 1.90 1.95
19.08.23 Wrexham – Swindon 5–5 (1–4) 1.574.205.50 1.65 2.20
15.08.23 Forest Green – Swindon 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.402.63 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 19 13 2 4 40 20 +20 41
2 Wrexham 19 10 6 3 40 29 +11 36
3 Mansfield 18 9 8 1 32 15 +17 35
4 Crewe 18 10 5 3 39 27 +12 35
5 Barrow 19 9 7 3 25 16 +9 34
6 Notts County 19 10 3 6 39 35 +4 33
7 Accrington 19 9 2 8 27 25 +2 29
8 AFC Wimbledon 18 7 7 4 29 21 +8 28
9 Gillingham 19 9 1 9 18 26 -8 28
10 Swindon 19 7 6 6 39 33 +6 27
11 Crawley Town 18 8 3 7 29 30 -1 27
12 Morecambe 17 8 3 6 25 26 -1 27
13 Milton Keynes Dons 18 7 5 6 30 26 +4 26
14 Bradford 19 6 5 8 21 27 -6 23
15 Harrogate 19 7 2 10 18 25 -7 23
16 Newport County 19 6 4 9 28 35 -7 22
17 Salford 19 6 3 10 30 33 -3 21
18 Walsall 18 5 6 7 24 29 -5 21
19 Doncaster 18 6 2 10 22 30 -8 20
20 Colchester 19 6 2 11 27 37 -10 20
21 Grimsby 19 4 7 8 26 31 -5 19
22 Tranmere 19 5 2 12 25 31 -6 17
23 Forest Green 18 4 3 11 20 32 -12 15
24 Sutton 19 3 4 12 25 39 -14 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wrexham 10 7 2 1 33 19 +14 23
2 Stockport 10 7 2 1 20 7 +13 23
3 Crewe 10 7 2 1 21 12 +9 23
4 Crawley Town 10 7 0 3 20 12 +8 21
5 Notts County 9 7 0 2 23 16 +7 21
6 Swindon 9 6 1 2 23 12 +11 19
7 Accrington 10 6 1 3 16 11 +5 19
8 Morecambe 8 5 3 0 14 5 +9 18
9 Mansfield 8 5 3 0 11 3 +8 18
10 Tranmere 10 5 1 4 20 13 +7 16
11 Newport County 10 4 4 2 19 15 +4 16
12 Barrow 8 4 4 0 9 5 +4 16
13 Gillingham 9 5 1 3 11 11 0 16
14 Grimsby 10 4 3 3 15 13 +2 15
15 Bradford 9 4 3 2 10 9 +1 15
16 Milton Keynes Dons 8 4 2 2 14 10 +4 14
17 Doncaster 9 4 2 3 12 11 +1 14
18 Walsall 9 3 4 2 10 8 +2 13
19 AFC Wimbledon 9 3 3 3 17 14 +3 12
20 Sutton 10 3 2 5 15 14 +1 11
21 Colchester 10 3 2 5 17 21 -4 11
22 Salford 9 2 2 5 14 18 -4 8
23 Harrogate 9 2 1 6 8 14 -6 7
24 Forest Green 10 2 1 7 13 20 -7 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 9 6 0 3 20 13 +7 18
2 Barrow 11 5 3 3 16 11 +5 18
3 Mansfield 10 4 5 1 21 12 +9 17
4 AFC Wimbledon 9 4 4 1 12 7 +5 16
5 Harrogate 10 5 1 4 10 11 -1 16
6 Salford 10 4 1 5 16 15 +1 13
7 Wrexham 9 3 4 2 7 10 -3 13
8 Crewe 8 3 3 2 18 15 +3 12
9 Milton Keynes Dons 10 3 3 4 16 16 0 12
10 Notts County 10 3 3 4 16 19 -3 12
11 Gillingham 10 4 0 6 7 15 -8 12
12 Accrington 9 3 1 5 11 14 -3 10
13 Colchester 9 3 0 6 10 16 -6 9
14 Morecambe 9 3 0 6 11 21 -10 9
15 Swindon 10 1 5 4 16 21 -5 8
16 Forest Green 8 2 2 4 7 12 -5 8
17 Walsall 9 2 2 5 14 21 -7 8
18 Bradford 10 2 2 6 11 18 -7 8
19 Doncaster 9 2 0 7 10 19 -9 6
20 Crawley Town 8 1 3 4 9 18 -9 6
21 Newport County 9 2 0 7 9 20 -11 6
22 Grimsby 9 0 4 5 11 18 -7 4
23 Sutton 9 0 2 7 10 25 -15 2
24 Tranmere 9 0 1 8 5 18 -13 1

Accrington   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Newport County 19 5 14 1.5 1.8 6 4 9 28 35 22
2 6 Notts County 19 6 13 2.1 1.8 10 3 6 39 35 33
3 10 Swindon 19 6 13 2.1 1.7 7 6 6 39 33 27
4 4 Crewe 18 6 12 2.2 1.5 10 5 3 39 27 35
5 17 Salford 19 7 12 1.6 1.7 6 3 10 30 33 21
6 19 Doncaster 18 6 12 1.2 1.7 6 2 10 22 30 20
7 20 Colchester 19 7 12 1.4 1.9 6 2 11 27 37 20
8 24 Sutton 19 7 12 1.3 2.1 3 4 12 25 39 13
9 1 Stockport 19 8 11 2.1 1.1 13 2 4 40 20 41
10 11 Crawley Town 18 7 11 1.6 1.7 8 3 7 29 30 27
11 12 Morecambe 17 6 11 1.5 1.5 8 3 6 25 26 27
12 13 Milton Keynes Dons 18 7 11 1.7 1.4 7 5 6 30 26 26
13 18 Walsall 18 7 11 1.3 1.6 5 6 7 24 29 21
14 22 Tranmere 19 8 11 1.3 1.6 5 2 12 25 31 17
15 23 Forest Green 18 7 11 1.1 1.8 4 3 11 20 32 15
16 2 Wrexham 19 9 10 2.1 1.5 10 6 3 40 29 36
17 3 Mansfield 18 8 10 1.8 0.8 9 8 1 32 15 35
18 7 Accrington 19 9 10 1.4 1.3 9 2 8 27 25 29
19 21 Grimsby 19 9 10 1.4 1.6 4 7 8 26 31 19
20 8 AFC Wimbledon 18 9 9 1.6 1.2 7 7 4 29 21 28
21 14 Bradford 19 10 9 1.1 1.4 6 5 8 21 27 23
22 9 Gillingham 19 11 8 0.9 1.4 9 1 9 18 26 28
23 15 Harrogate 19 11 8 0.9 1.3 7 2 10 18 25 23
24 5 Barrow 19 12 7 1.3 0.8 9 7 3 25 16 34
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Wrexham 10 1 9 3.3 1.9 7 2 1 33 19 23
2 6 Notts County 9 1 8 2.6 1.8 7 0 2 23 16 21
3 16 Newport County 10 2 8 1.9 1.5 4 4 2 19 15 16
4 22 Tranmere 10 2 8 2.0 1.3 5 1 4 20 13 16
5 23 Forest Green 10 2 8 1.3 2.0 2 1 7 13 20 7
6 11 Crawley Town 10 3 7 2.0 1.2 7 0 3 20 12 21
7 17 Salford 9 2 7 1.6 2.0 2 2 5 14 18 8
8 4 Crewe 10 4 6 2.1 1.2 7 2 1 21 12 23
9 7 Accrington 10 4 6 1.6 1.1 6 1 3 16 11 19
10 10 Swindon 9 3 6 2.6 1.3 6 1 2 23 12 19
11 20 Colchester 10 4 6 1.7 2.1 3 2 5 17 21 11
12 8 AFC Wimbledon 9 4 5 1.9 1.6 3 3 3 17 14 12
13 9 Gillingham 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 5 1 3 11 11 16
14 13 Milton Keynes Dons 8 3 5 1.8 1.2 4 2 2 14 10 14
15 19 Doncaster 9 4 5 1.3 1.2 4 2 3 12 11 14
16 24 Sutton 10 5 5 1.5 1.4 3 2 5 15 14 11
17 12 Morecambe 8 4 4 1.8 0.6 5 3 0 14 5 18
18 21 Grimsby 10 6 4 1.5 1.3 4 3 3 15 13 15
19 1 Stockport 10 7 3 2.0 0.7 7 2 1 20 7 23
20 3 Mansfield 8 5 3 1.4 0.4 5 3 0 11 3 18
21 14 Bradford 9 6 3 1.1 1.0 4 3 2 10 9 15
22 15 Harrogate 9 6 3 0.9 1.6 2 1 6 8 14 7
23 18 Walsall 9 6 3 1.1 0.9 3 4 2 10 8 13
24 5 Barrow 8 6 2 1.1 0.6 4 4 0 9 5 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Stockport 9 1 8 2.2 1.4 6 0 3 20 13 18
2 18 Walsall 9 1 8 1.6 2.3 2 2 5 14 21 8
3 3 Mansfield 10 3 7 2.1 1.2 4 5 1 21 12 17
4 10 Swindon 10 3 7 1.6 2.1 1 5 4 16 21 8
5 12 Morecambe 9 2 7 1.2 2.3 3 0 6 11 21 9
6 19 Doncaster 9 2 7 1.1 2.1 2 0 7 10 19 6
7 24 Sutton 9 2 7 1.1 2.8 0 2 7 10 25 2
8 4 Crewe 8 2 6 2.2 1.9 3 3 2 18 15 12
9 13 Milton Keynes Dons 10 4 6 1.6 1.6 3 3 4 16 16 12
10 14 Bradford 10 4 6 1.1 1.8 2 2 6 11 18 8
11 16 Newport County 9 3 6 1.0 2.2 2 0 7 9 20 6
12 20 Colchester 9 3 6 1.1 1.8 3 0 6 10 16 9
13 21 Grimsby 9 3 6 1.2 2.0 0 4 5 11 18 4
14 5 Barrow 11 6 5 1.5 1.0 5 3 3 16 11 18
15 6 Notts County 10 5 5 1.6 1.9 3 3 4 16 19 12
16 15 Harrogate 10 5 5 1.0 1.1 5 1 4 10 11 16
17 17 Salford 10 5 5 1.6 1.5 4 1 5 16 15 13
18 7 Accrington 9 5 4 1.2 1.6 3 1 5 11 14 10
19 8 AFC Wimbledon 9 5 4 1.3 0.8 4 4 1 12 7 16
20 11 Crawley Town 8 4 4 1.1 2.2 1 3 4 9 18 6
21 9 Gillingham 10 7 3 0.7 1.5 4 0 6 7 15 12
22 22 Tranmere 9 6 3 0.6 2.0 0 1 8 5 18 1
23 23 Forest Green 8 5 3 0.9 1.5 2 2 4 7 12 8
24 2 Wrexham 9 8 1 0.8 1.1 3 4 2 7 10 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51