Swindon 3–3 Morecambe – England League Two, 27 Apr 2024

Match facts

Swindon Morecambe

13 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 6

7 Corners 7

5 Fouls 12

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (540 league matches this season so far).

Result Swindon to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.44

Expected goals 2.11 – 1.57

Home / Draw / Away

50% 21% 29%

SwindonDrawMorecambe

Under / Over 2.5 goals

29% 71%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

30% 70%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

3% 0

9% 1

17% 2

21% 3

19% 4

31% 5+

Most likely scores

2–1 8.8% 1–1 8.3% 2–2 6.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches

1.18points / match

1.64scored / match

1.78conceded / match

14 11 20

WonDrawnLost 45 played · 74:80

Morecambe before this match, all matches

1.33points / match

1.42scored / match

1.73conceded / match

17 9 19

WonDrawnLost 45 played · 64:78

Swindon all matches all matches Morecambe

Per match

1.64 Goals scored 1.42

1.78 Goals conceded 1.73

3.42 Total goals 3.16

13.31 Shots 10.71

4.69 Shots on target 3.76

14.11 Shots faced 14.60

5.62 Corners 5.11

4.84 Corners against 5.69

10.11 Fouls 10.91

1.89 Yellow cards 2.31

0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.53

0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.84

How often Full Time

31% Wins 38%

24% Draws 20%

44% Losses 42%

96% Over 0.5 goals 98%

89% Over 1.5 goals 82%

71% Over 2.5 goals 67%

42% Over 3.5 goals 38%

18% Over 4.5 goals 22%

11% Over 5.5 goals 4%

71% Both teams scored 62%

16% Clean sheets 16%

18% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 22%

27% Draws 36%

31% Losses 42%

80% Over 0.5 goals 78%

31% Over 1.5 goals 42%

11% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches

1

D

2

3

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

3

L

2

W

3

2

W

1

2

L

2

L

Morecambe all matches

1

3

L

3

5

L

1

3

L

2

3

L

2

1

W

2

1

W

3

L

1

L

2

L

1

2

L

Swindon before this match, at home

1.68points / match

1.91scored / match

1.41conceded / match

11 4 7

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 42:31

Morecambe before this match, away

1.32points / match

1.59scored / match

2.23conceded / match

9 2 11

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 35:49

Swindon at home away Morecambe

Per match

1.91 Goals scored 1.59

1.41 Goals conceded 2.23

3.32 Total goals 3.82

13.82 Shots 9.95

4.95 Shots on target 3.77

12.18 Shots faced 15.64

6.27 Corners 4.45

4.14 Corners against 5.73

9.09 Fouls 11.27

1.73 Yellow cards 2.32

0.77 1st-half goals scored 0.59

0.55 1st-half goals conceded 1.14

How often Full Time

50% Wins 41%

18% Draws 9%

32% Losses 50%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

91% Over 1.5 goals 95%

68% Over 2.5 goals 82%

32% Over 3.5 goals 50%

18% Over 4.5 goals 36%

14% Over 5.5 goals 9%

68% Both teams scored 64%

18% Clean sheets 5%

14% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

55% Wins 27%

18% Draws 14%

27% Losses 59%

82% Over 0.5 goals 91%

27% Over 1.5 goals 50%

14% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home

2

D

2

W

1

D

1

2

L

3

1

W

1

D

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

3

2

W

Morecambe away

2

1

W

2

1

W

3

2

W

1

D

3

L

3

2

W

3

5

L

1

3

L

2

1

W

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.04.24	Grimsby – Swindon	2–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.60	3.80	1.65	2.20
16.04.24	Walsall – Swindon	2–1 (1–0)	1.91	3.75	3.75	1.67	2.15
13.04.24	Swindon – AFC Wimbledon	3–2 (0–1)	2.88	3.60	2.38	1.80	2.00
06.04.24	Barrow – Swindon	0–2 (0–2)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.73	2.08
01.04.24	Sutton – Swindon	3–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.50	3.10	1.70	2.10
29.03.24	Swindon – Notts County	2–1 (1–0)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.40	2.88
16.03.24	Swindon – Doncaster	1–2 (0–2)	2.15	3.75	3.10	1.67	2.15
12.03.24	Swindon – Accrington	1–2 (0–0)	1.80	4.00	4.00	1.53	2.40
09.03.24	Mansfield – Swindon	3–2 (1–0)	1.53	4.20	6.00	1.53	2.40
02.03.24	Swindon – Harrogate	1–1 (0–0)	1.83	3.90	4.00	1.67	2.15

Morecambe all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.04.24	Morecambe – Forest Green	1–2 (1–2)	2.10	3.60	3.40	1.88	1.98
13.04.24	Stockport – Morecambe	2–0 (2–0)	1.30	5.50	9.50	1.62	2.25
09.04.24	Morecambe – Crewe	0–1 (0–0)	2.63	3.50	2.55	1.85	2.00
06.04.24	Morecambe – Doncaster	0–3 (0–2)	2.70	3.75	2.40	1.75	2.05
01.04.24	Morecambe – Barrow	2–1 (2–0)	3.60	3.50	2.05	2.00	1.85
29.03.24	Accrington – Morecambe	1–2 (0–0)	2.10	3.50	3.10	1.70	2.10
23.03.24	Morecambe – Gillingham	2–3 (1–1)	3.10	3.25	2.38	2.15	1.67
17.03.24	Salford – Morecambe	3–1 (1–0)	1.83	3.60	4.50	1.67	2.15
12.03.24	Newport County – Morecambe	5–3 (2–1)	2.25	3.50	3.10	1.98	1.88
09.03.24	Morecambe – Wrexham	1–3 (1–1)	3.60	3.60	2.00	1.73	2.08

Swindon at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.04.24	Swindon – AFC Wimbledon	3–2 (0–1)	2.88	3.60	2.38	1.80	2.00
29.03.24	Swindon – Notts County	2–1 (1–0)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.40	2.88
16.03.24	Swindon – Doncaster	1–2 (0–2)	2.15	3.75	3.10	1.67	2.15
12.03.24	Swindon – Accrington	1–2 (0–0)	1.80	4.00	4.00	1.53	2.40
02.03.24	Swindon – Harrogate	1–1 (0–0)	1.83	3.90	4.00	1.67	2.15
27.02.24	Swindon – Tranmere	3–1 (2–1)	2.38	3.50	2.88	1.75	2.05
17.02.24	Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons	1–2 (0–2)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.65	2.20
10.02.24	Swindon – Salford	1–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.75	2.30	1.65	2.20
27.01.24	Swindon – Bradford	2–0 (2–0)	3.30	3.80	2.05	1.75	2.05
06.01.24	Swindon – Colchester	2–2 (2–1)	2.05	4.00	3.20	1.50	2.50

Morecambe away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.04.24	Stockport – Morecambe	2–0 (2–0)	1.30	5.50	9.50	1.62	2.25
29.03.24	Accrington – Morecambe	1–2 (0–0)	2.10	3.50	3.10	1.70	2.10
17.03.24	Salford – Morecambe	3–1 (1–0)	1.83	3.60	4.50	1.67	2.15
12.03.24	Newport County – Morecambe	5–3 (2–1)	2.25	3.50	3.10	1.98	1.88
02.03.24	Crewe – Morecambe	2–3 (1–0)	1.85	3.75	4.00	1.83	2.03
20.02.24	Walsall – Morecambe	3–0 (2–0)	1.95	3.40	4.00	1.95	1.90
17.02.24	AFC Wimbledon – Morecambe	1–1 (0–0)	1.60	4.50	5.00	1.75	2.05
13.02.24	Tranmere – Morecambe	2–3 (2–1)	1.95	3.60	3.75	1.83	2.03
03.02.24	Crawley Town – Morecambe	1–2 (1–1)	2.05	3.75	3.30	1.70	2.10
20.01.24	Milton Keynes Dons – Morecambe	1–2 (1–0)	1.50	4.33	6.50	1.60	2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Swindon winsDrawsMorecambe wins

1matches

4.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.09.23E3	Morecambe – Swindon	2–2 (1–1)	3.30	3.60	2.10	1.73	2.08

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stockport	45	27	11	7	95	46	+49	92
2	Mansfield	45	24	13	8	89	46	+43	85
3	Wrexham	45	25	10	10	87	51	+36	85
4	Milton Keynes Dons	45	23	8	14	79	64	+15	77
5	Doncaster	45	21	7	17	71	66	+5	70
6	Crewe	45	19	13	13	68	64	+4	70
7	Barrow	45	18	14	13	61	55	+6	68
8	Crawley Town	45	20	7	18	71	67	+4	67
9	Bradford	45	18	12	15	57	58	-1	66
10	Walsall	45	18	11	16	68	68	0	65
11	Gillingham	45	18	9	18	44	55	-11	63
12	AFC Wimbledon	45	16	14	15	59	50	+9	62
13	Harrogate	45	17	11	17	58	67	-9	62
14	Notts County	45	18	7	20	89	85	+4	61
15	Morecambe	45	17	9	19	64	78	-14	60
16	Tranmere	45	17	6	22	66	66	0	57
17	Newport County	45	16	7	22	61	72	-11	55
18	Accrington	45	15	9	21	59	70	-11	54
19	Swindon	45	14	11	20	74	80	-6	53
20	Salford	45	13	11	21	64	80	-16	50
21	Grimsby	45	11	16	18	57	72	-15	49
22	Colchester	45	11	11	23	58	79	-21	44
23	Sutton	45	9	14	22	55	80	-25	41
24	Forest Green	45	10	9	26	43	78	-35	39

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Wrexham	22	16	3	3	60	24	+36	51
2	Stockport	23	15	5	3	48	17	+31	50
3	Milton Keynes Dons	22	14	4	4	44	23	+21	46
4	Mansfield	23	13	7	3	43	22	+21	46
5	Doncaster	23	14	2	7	38	30	+8	44
6	Walsall	23	12	6	5	35	25	+10	42
7	Barrow	22	11	7	4	27	18	+9	40
8	Tranmere	23	12	3	8	44	32	+12	39
9	Notts County	23	12	2	9	51	42	+9	38
10	Crewe	23	11	5	7	35	35	0	38
11	Swindon	22	11	4	7	42	31	+11	37
12	AFC Wimbledon	22	10	6	6	36	24	+12	36
13	Gillingham	22	9	8	5	23	21	+2	35
14	Crawley Town	22	10	3	9	35	30	+5	33
15	Newport County	23	9	6	8	37	37	0	33
16	Accrington	22	9	5	8	30	26	+4	32
17	Bradford	22	8	8	6	25	27	-2	32
18	Grimsby	23	9	5	9	34	41	-7	32
19	Morecambe	23	8	7	8	29	29	0	31
20	Harrogate	23	9	3	11	35	37	-2	30
21	Sutton	23	5	9	9	33	34	-1	24
22	Colchester	22	6	6	10	33	40	-7	24
23	Salford	22	5	7	10	35	44	-9	22
24	Forest Green	22	4	4	14	18	38	-20	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stockport	22	12	6	4	47	29	+18	42
2	Mansfield	22	11	6	5	46	24	+22	39
3	Bradford	23	10	4	9	32	31	+1	34
4	Wrexham	23	9	7	7	27	27	0	34
5	Crawley Town	23	10	4	9	36	37	-1	34
6	Crewe	22	8	8	6	33	29	+4	32
7	Harrogate	22	8	8	6	23	30	-7	32
8	Milton Keynes Dons	23	9	4	10	35	41	-6	31
9	Morecambe	22	9	2	11	35	49	-14	29
10	Barrow	23	7	7	9	34	37	-3	28
11	Salford	23	8	4	11	29	36	-7	28
12	Gillingham	23	9	1	13	21	34	-13	28
13	Doncaster	22	7	5	10	33	36	-3	26
14	AFC Wimbledon	23	6	8	9	23	26	-3	26
15	Notts County	22	6	5	11	38	43	-5	23
16	Walsall	22	6	5	11	33	43	-10	23
17	Forest Green	23	6	5	12	25	40	-15	23
18	Newport County	22	7	1	14	24	35	-11	22
19	Accrington	23	6	4	13	29	44	-15	22
20	Colchester	23	5	5	13	25	39	-14	20
21	Tranmere	22	5	3	14	22	34	-12	18
22	Grimsby	22	2	11	9	23	31	-8	17
23	Sutton	22	4	5	13	22	46	-24	17
24	Swindon	23	3	7	13	32	49	-17	16

Swindon Morecambe

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Notts County	45	11	34	2.0	1.9	18	7	20	89	85	61
2	19	Swindon	45	13	32	1.6	1.8	14	11	20	74	80	53
3	15	Morecambe	45	15	30	1.4	1.7	17	9	19	64	78	60
4	4	Milton Keynes Dons	45	16	29	1.8	1.4	23	8	14	79	64	77
5	5	Doncaster	45	16	29	1.6	1.5	21	7	17	71	66	70
6	20	Salford	45	16	29	1.4	1.8	13	11	21	64	80	50
7	10	Walsall	45	17	28	1.5	1.5	18	11	16	68	68	65
8	18	Accrington	45	17	28	1.3	1.6	15	9	21	59	70	54
9	16	Tranmere	45	18	27	1.5	1.5	17	6	22	66	66	57
10	17	Newport County	45	18	27	1.4	1.6	16	7	22	61	72	55
11	1	Stockport	45	19	26	2.1	1.0	27	11	7	95	46	92
12	8	Crawley Town	45	19	26	1.6	1.5	20	7	18	71	67	67
13	2	Mansfield	45	20	25	2.0	1.0	24	13	8	89	46	85
14	6	Crewe	45	20	25	1.5	1.4	19	13	13	68	64	70
15	22	Colchester	45	21	24	1.3	1.8	11	11	23	58	79	44
16	3	Wrexham	45	22	23	1.9	1.1	25	10	10	87	51	85
17	13	Harrogate	45	22	23	1.3	1.5	17	11	17	58	67	62
18	23	Sutton	45	22	23	1.2	1.8	9	14	22	55	80	41
19	24	Forest Green	45	23	22	1.0	1.7	10	9	26	43	78	39
20	9	Bradford	45	24	21	1.3	1.3	18	12	15	57	58	66
21	21	Grimsby	45	24	21	1.3	1.6	11	16	18	57	72	49
22	7	Barrow	45	25	20	1.4	1.2	18	14	13	61	55	68
23	11	Gillingham	45	29	16	1.0	1.2	18	9	18	44	55	63
24	12	AFC Wimbledon	45	29	16	1.3	1.1	16	14	15	59	50	62

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Notts County	23	4	19	2.2	1.8	12	2	9	51	42	38
2	16	Tranmere	23	5	18	1.9	1.4	12	3	8	44	32	39
3	20	Salford	22	5	17	1.6	2.0	5	7	10	35	44	22
4	17	Newport County	23	8	15	1.6	1.6	9	6	8	37	37	33
5	19	Swindon	22	7	15	1.9	1.4	11	4	7	42	31	37
6	3	Wrexham	22	8	14	2.7	1.1	16	3	3	60	24	51
7	4	Milton Keynes Dons	22	8	14	2.0	1.0	14	4	4	44	23	46
8	5	Doncaster	23	9	14	1.7	1.3	14	2	7	38	30	44
9	6	Crewe	23	9	14	1.5	1.5	11	5	7	35	35	38
10	8	Crawley Town	22	9	13	1.6	1.4	10	3	9	35	30	33
11	10	Walsall	23	10	13	1.5	1.1	12	6	5	35	25	42
12	13	Harrogate	23	10	13	1.5	1.6	9	3	11	35	37	30
13	18	Accrington	22	9	13	1.4	1.2	9	5	8	30	26	32
14	22	Colchester	22	9	13	1.5	1.8	6	6	10	33	40	24
15	15	Morecambe	23	11	12	1.3	1.3	8	7	8	29	29	31
16	21	Grimsby	23	11	12	1.5	1.8	9	5	9	34	41	32
17	23	Sutton	23	11	12	1.4	1.5	5	9	9	33	34	24
18	2	Mansfield	23	12	11	1.9	1.0	13	7	3	43	22	46
19	24	Forest Green	22	11	11	0.8	1.7	4	4	14	18	38	16
20	1	Stockport	23	14	9	2.1	0.7	15	5	3	48	17	50
21	9	Bradford	22	14	8	1.1	1.2	8	8	6	25	27	32
22	12	AFC Wimbledon	22	14	8	1.6	1.1	10	6	6	36	24	36
23	7	Barrow	22	15	7	1.2	0.8	11	7	4	27	18	40
24	11	Gillingham	22	15	7	1.0	1.0	9	8	5	23	21	35

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	15	Morecambe	22	4	18	1.6	2.2	9	2	11	35	49	29
2	1	Stockport	22	5	17	2.1	1.3	12	6	4	47	29	42
3	19	Swindon	23	6	17	1.4	2.1	3	7	13	32	49	16
4	4	Milton Keynes Dons	23	8	15	1.5	1.8	9	4	10	35	41	31
5	5	Doncaster	22	7	15	1.5	1.6	7	5	10	33	36	26
6	10	Walsall	22	7	15	1.5	2.0	6	5	11	33	43	23
7	14	Notts County	22	7	15	1.7	2.0	6	5	11	38	43	23
8	18	Accrington	23	8	15	1.3	1.9	6	4	13	29	44	22
9	2	Mansfield	22	8	14	2.1	1.1	11	6	5	46	24	39
10	7	Barrow	23	10	13	1.5	1.6	7	7	9	34	37	28
11	8	Crawley Town	23	10	13	1.6	1.6	10	4	9	36	37	34
12	9	Bradford	23	10	13	1.4	1.3	10	4	9	32	31	34
13	17	Newport County	22	10	12	1.1	1.6	7	1	14	24	35	22
14	20	Salford	23	11	12	1.3	1.6	8	4	11	29	36	28
15	6	Crewe	22	11	11	1.5	1.3	8	8	6	33	29	32
16	22	Colchester	23	12	11	1.1	1.7	5	5	13	25	39	20
17	23	Sutton	22	11	11	1.0	2.1	4	5	13	22	46	17
18	24	Forest Green	23	12	11	1.1	1.7	6	5	12	25	40	23
19	13	Harrogate	22	12	10	1.0	1.4	8	8	6	23	30	32
20	3	Wrexham	23	14	9	1.2	1.2	9	7	7	27	27	34
21	11	Gillingham	23	14	9	0.9	1.5	9	1	13	21	34	28
22	16	Tranmere	22	13	9	1.0	1.5	5	3	14	22	34	18
23	21	Grimsby	22	13	9	1.0	1.4	2	11	9	23	31	17
24	12	AFC Wimbledon	23	15	8	1.0	1.1	6	8	9	23	26	26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.