Swindon 2–1 Notts County – England League Two, 29 Mar 2024

Match facts

Swindon Notts County

9 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 5

5 Corners 2

10 Fouls 4

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (467 league matches this season so far).

Result Swindon to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.36

Expected goals 2.13 – 1.81

Home / Draw / Away

46% 21% 33%

SwindonDrawNotts County

Under / Over 2.5 goals

25% 75%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

26% 74%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

2% 0

8% 1

15% 2

20% 3

20% 4

36% 5+

Most likely scores

2–1 8% 1–1 7.5% 2–2 7.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches

1.13points / match

1.67scored / match

1.79conceded / match

11 11 17

WonDrawnLost 39 played · 65:70

Notts County before this match, all matches

1.31points / match

1.95scored / match

1.90conceded / match

15 6 18

WonDrawnLost 39 played · 76:74

Swindon all matches all matches Notts County

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.95

1.79 Goals conceded 1.90

3.46 Total goals 3.85

13.72 Shots 12.51

4.72 Shots on target 4.95

13.92 Shots faced 14.03

5.95 Corners 5.87

4.97 Corners against 4.64

10.08 Fouls 7.74

2.00 Yellow cards 1.95

0.74 1st-half goals scored 1.08

0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.77

How often Full Time

28% Wins 38%

28% Draws 15%

44% Losses 46%

95% Over 0.5 goals 97%

87% Over 1.5 goals 90%

72% Over 2.5 goals 74%

44% Over 3.5 goals 51%

18% Over 4.5 goals 28%

13% Over 5.5 goals 21%

72% Both teams scored 72%

15% Clean sheets 15%

18% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 41%

28% Draws 31%

28% Losses 28%

79% Over 0.5 goals 87%

33% Over 1.5 goals 56%

13% Over 2.5 goals 26%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches

1

2

L

1

D

2

D

1

2

L

D

3

1

W

1

D

2

3

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

Notts County all matches

1

3

L

3

1

W

1

L

1

3

L

3

4

L

2

L

1

2

L

2

D

3

W

1

2

L

Swindon before this match, at home

1.55points / match

1.85scored / match

1.40conceded / match

9 4 7

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 37:28

Notts County before this match, away

1.00points / match

1.70scored / match

2.00conceded / match

5 5 10

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 34:40

Swindon at home away Notts County

Per match

1.85 Goals scored 1.70

1.40 Goals conceded 2.00

3.25 Total goals 3.70

14.30 Shots 12.40

4.95 Shots on target 4.85

12.40 Shots faced 14.60

6.55 Corners 5.60

4.30 Corners against 4.35

9.20 Fouls 8.05

1.70 Yellow cards 1.95

0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.75

0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.85

How often Full Time

45% Wins 25%

20% Draws 25%

35% Losses 50%

100% Over 0.5 goals 95%

90% Over 1.5 goals 80%

65% Over 2.5 goals 65%

30% Over 3.5 goals 45%

15% Over 4.5 goals 25%

15% Over 5.5 goals 25%

65% Both teams scored 70%

20% Clean sheets 15%

15% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

55% Wins 40%

20% Draws 25%

25% Losses 35%

80% Over 0.5 goals 85%

30% Over 1.5 goals 40%

15% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home

1

L

2

1

W

2

D

2

W

1

D

1

2

L

3

1

W

1

D

1

2

L

1

2

L

Notts County away

1

3

L

1

2

L

2

4

L

5

D

1

L

3

1

W

1

L

1

2

L

2

D

3

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.03.24	Swindon – Doncaster	1–2 (0–2)	2.15	3.75	3.10	1.67	2.15
12.03.24	Swindon – Accrington	1–2 (0–0)	1.80	4.00	4.00	1.53	2.40
09.03.24	Mansfield – Swindon	3–2 (1–0)	1.53	4.20	6.00	1.53	2.40
02.03.24	Swindon – Harrogate	1–1 (0–0)	1.83	3.90	4.00	1.67	2.15
27.02.24	Swindon – Tranmere	3–1 (2–1)	2.38	3.50	2.88	1.75	2.05
24.02.24	Stockport – Swindon	0–0 (0–0)	1.45	5.00	6.00	1.57	2.35
17.02.24	Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons	1–2 (0–2)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.65	2.20
13.02.24	Gillingham – Swindon	2–2 (0–1)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.75	2.05
10.02.24	Swindon – Salford	1–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.75	2.30	1.65	2.20
03.02.24	Newport County – Swindon	2–1 (0–0)	2.00	3.75	3.50	1.65	2.20

Notts County all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.03.24	Notts County – Salford	1–2 (0–1)	2.00	4.20	3.20	1.44	2.70
19.03.24	Bradford – Notts County	0–3 (0–1)	1.85	3.75	4.00	1.65	2.20
16.03.24	Accrington – Notts County	2–2 (1–2)	2.75	3.80	2.35	1.53	2.40
12.03.24	Crawley Town – Notts County	2–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.80	2.40	1.44	2.70
09.03.24	Notts County – AFC Wimbledon	0–2 (0–0)	2.15	3.60	3.20	1.62	2.25
27.02.24	Notts County – Sutton	3–4 (2–2)	1.70	4.20	4.50	1.57	2.35
24.02.24	Notts County – Crewe	1–3 (0–2)	1.91	3.75	4.00	1.57	2.35
17.02.24	Wrexham – Notts County	1–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.80	3.60	1.57	2.35
13.02.24	Newport County – Notts County	1–3 (0–2)	2.55	3.80	2.45	1.57	2.35
09.02.24	Notts County – Gillingham	1–3 (1–2)	2.20	3.80	3.00	1.65	2.20

Swindon at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.03.24	Swindon – Doncaster	1–2 (0–2)	2.15	3.75	3.10	1.67	2.15
12.03.24	Swindon – Accrington	1–2 (0–0)	1.80	4.00	4.00	1.53	2.40
02.03.24	Swindon – Harrogate	1–1 (0–0)	1.83	3.90	4.00	1.67	2.15
27.02.24	Swindon – Tranmere	3–1 (2–1)	2.38	3.50	2.88	1.75	2.05
17.02.24	Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons	1–2 (0–2)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.65	2.20
10.02.24	Swindon – Salford	1–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.75	2.30	1.65	2.20
27.01.24	Swindon – Bradford	2–0 (2–0)	3.30	3.80	2.05	1.75	2.05
06.01.24	Swindon – Colchester	2–2 (2–1)	2.05	4.00	3.20	1.50	2.50
29.12.23	Swindon – Forest Green	2–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.60	3.40	1.60	2.30
26.12.23	Swindon – Wrexham	0–1 (0–1)	4.20	3.75	1.83	1.53	2.40

Notts County away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.03.24	Bradford – Notts County	0–3 (0–1)	1.85	3.75	4.00	1.65	2.20
16.03.24	Accrington – Notts County	2–2 (1–2)	2.75	3.80	2.35	1.53	2.40
12.03.24	Crawley Town – Notts County	2–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.80	2.40	1.44	2.70
17.02.24	Wrexham – Notts County	1–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.80	3.60	1.57	2.35
13.02.24	Newport County – Notts County	1–3 (0–2)	2.55	3.80	2.45	1.57	2.35
03.02.24	Mansfield – Notts County	1–0 (1–0)	1.80	4.00	4.00	1.53	2.40
13.01.24	Grimsby – Notts County	5–5 (2–2)	2.70	3.75	2.40	1.60	2.30
01.01.24	Tranmere – Notts County	4–2 (2–2)	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.62	2.25
22.12.23	Stockport – Notts County	2–1 (1–0)	1.70	3.75	5.00	1.73	2.08
16.12.23	Harrogate – Notts County	3–1 (2–0)	4.33	3.75	1.80	1.60	2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Swindon winsDrawsNotts County wins

1matches

4.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.10.23E3	Notts County – Swindon	3–1 (3–0)	1.83	4.20	3.75	1.40	2.88

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mansfield	39	20	13	6	79	37	+42	73
2	Stockport	38	20	11	7	75	40	+35	71
3	Wrexham	39	20	10	9	70	48	+22	70
4	Milton Keynes Dons	40	20	7	13	63	54	+9	67
5	Crewe	39	18	11	10	67	55	+12	65
6	Barrow	38	17	13	8	53	40	+13	64
7	Crawley Town	38	18	5	15	57	54	+3	59
8	Gillingham	40	17	8	15	39	47	-8	59
9	AFC Wimbledon	40	15	13	12	53	42	+11	58
10	Walsall	38	15	11	12	57	52	+5	56
11	Newport County	39	16	7	16	58	59	-1	55
12	Morecambe	39	15	9	15	59	68	-9	54
13	Harrogate	39	15	9	15	46	55	-9	54
14	Notts County	39	15	6	18	76	74	+2	51
15	Tranmere	40	15	5	20	59	57	+2	50
16	Accrington	39	14	8	17	52	57	-5	50
17	Bradford	39	13	11	15	46	53	-7	50
18	Doncaster	38	14	7	17	51	62	-11	49
19	Salford	40	12	11	17	60	73	-13	47
20	Swindon	39	11	11	17	65	70	-5	44
21	Grimsby	38	8	15	15	49	65	-16	39
22	Colchester	37	8	10	19	47	66	-19	34
23	Sutton	40	7	12	21	45	71	-26	33
24	Forest Green	39	8	9	22	38	65	-27	33

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Milton Keynes Dons	20	13	4	3	38	19	+19	43
2	Wrexham	19	13	3	3	48	23	+25	42
3	Stockport	20	12	5	3	41	15	+26	41
4	Crewe	20	11	5	4	35	26	+9	38
5	Mansfield	19	10	7	2	37	16	+21	37
6	Barrow	19	10	7	2	23	13	+10	37
7	Walsall	19	10	6	3	28	17	+11	36
8	Tranmere	20	11	2	7	39	26	+13	35
9	Newport County	19	9	6	4	35	27	+8	33
10	AFC Wimbledon	20	9	5	6	34	23	+11	32
11	Crawley Town	19	10	2	7	32	24	+8	32
12	Doncaster	19	10	2	7	27	27	0	32
13	Swindon	20	9	4	7	37	28	+9	31
14	Notts County	19	10	1	8	42	34	+8	31
15	Accrington	20	9	4	7	29	24	+5	31
16	Gillingham	20	8	7	5	20	21	-1	31
17	Morecambe	19	7	7	5	26	22	+4	28
18	Bradford	20	6	8	6	22	27	-5	26
19	Grimsby	20	7	4	9	30	40	-10	25
20	Harrogate	19	7	2	10	24	29	-5	23
21	Salford	20	5	7	8	33	40	-7	22
22	Sutton	20	4	8	8	27	28	-1	20
23	Colchester	17	4	6	7	26	31	-5	18
24	Forest Green	20	4	4	12	18	33	-15	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mansfield	20	10	6	4	42	21	+21	36
2	Harrogate	20	8	7	5	22	26	-4	31
3	Stockport	18	8	6	4	34	25	+9	30
4	Wrexham	20	7	7	6	22	25	-3	28
5	Gillingham	20	9	1	10	19	26	-7	28
6	Crewe	19	7	6	6	32	29	+3	27
7	Barrow	19	7	6	6	30	27	+3	27
8	Crawley Town	19	8	3	8	25	30	-5	27
9	AFC Wimbledon	20	6	8	6	19	19	0	26
10	Morecambe	20	8	2	10	33	46	-13	26
11	Salford	20	7	4	9	27	33	-6	25
12	Bradford	19	7	3	9	24	26	-2	24
13	Milton Keynes Dons	20	7	3	10	25	35	-10	24
14	Newport County	20	7	1	12	23	32	-9	22
15	Notts County	20	5	5	10	34	40	-6	20
16	Walsall	19	5	5	9	29	35	-6	20
17	Accrington	19	5	4	10	23	33	-10	19
18	Doncaster	19	4	5	10	24	35	-11	17
19	Forest Green	19	4	5	10	20	32	-12	17
20	Colchester	20	4	4	12	21	35	-14	16
21	Tranmere	20	4	3	13	20	31	-11	15
22	Grimsby	18	1	11	6	19	25	-6	14
23	Swindon	19	2	7	10	28	42	-14	13
24	Sutton	20	3	4	13	18	43	-25	13

Swindon Notts County

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Notts County	39	10	29	1.9	1.9	15	6	18	76	74	51
2	20	Swindon	39	11	28	1.7	1.8	11	11	17	65	70	44
3	12	Morecambe	39	13	26	1.5	1.7	15	9	15	59	68	54
4	19	Salford	40	14	26	1.5	1.8	12	11	17	60	73	47
5	4	Milton Keynes Dons	40	15	25	1.6	1.4	20	7	13	63	54	67
6	15	Tranmere	40	16	24	1.5	1.4	15	5	20	59	57	50
7	18	Doncaster	38	14	24	1.3	1.6	14	7	17	51	62	49
8	11	Newport County	39	16	23	1.5	1.5	16	7	16	58	59	55
9	16	Accrington	39	16	23	1.3	1.5	14	8	17	52	57	50
10	5	Crewe	39	17	22	1.7	1.4	18	11	10	67	55	65
11	1	Mansfield	39	18	21	2.0	0.9	20	13	6	79	37	73
12	2	Stockport	38	17	21	2.0	1.1	20	11	7	75	40	71
13	7	Crawley Town	38	17	21	1.5	1.4	18	5	15	57	54	59
14	10	Walsall	38	17	21	1.5	1.4	15	11	12	57	52	56
15	3	Wrexham	39	20	19	1.8	1.2	20	10	9	70	48	70
16	13	Harrogate	39	20	19	1.2	1.4	15	9	15	46	55	54
17	21	Grimsby	38	19	19	1.3	1.7	8	15	15	49	65	39
18	22	Colchester	37	18	19	1.3	1.8	8	10	19	47	66	34
19	17	Bradford	39	21	18	1.2	1.4	13	11	15	46	53	50
20	23	Sutton	40	22	18	1.1	1.8	7	12	21	45	71	33
21	24	Forest Green	39	21	18	1.0	1.7	8	9	22	38	65	33
22	6	Barrow	38	23	15	1.4	1.1	17	13	8	53	40	64
23	9	AFC Wimbledon	40	26	14	1.3	1.1	15	13	12	53	42	58
24	8	Gillingham	40	27	13	1.0	1.2	17	8	15	39	47	59

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Notts County	19	3	16	2.2	1.8	10	1	8	42	34	31
2	15	Tranmere	20	4	16	1.9	1.3	11	2	7	39	26	35
3	19	Salford	20	5	15	1.6	2.0	5	7	8	33	40	22
4	20	Swindon	20	7	13	1.9	1.4	9	4	7	37	28	31
5	3	Wrexham	19	7	12	2.5	1.2	13	3	3	48	23	42
6	4	Milton Keynes Dons	20	8	12	1.9	0.9	13	4	3	38	19	43
7	7	Crawley Town	19	7	12	1.7	1.3	10	2	7	32	24	32
8	11	Newport County	19	7	12	1.8	1.4	9	6	4	35	27	33
9	16	Accrington	20	8	12	1.4	1.2	9	4	7	29	24	31
10	21	Grimsby	20	8	12	1.5	2.0	7	4	9	30	40	25
11	5	Crewe	20	9	11	1.8	1.3	11	5	4	35	26	38
12	18	Doncaster	19	8	11	1.4	1.4	10	2	7	27	27	32
13	13	Harrogate	19	9	10	1.3	1.5	7	2	10	24	29	23
14	24	Forest Green	20	10	10	0.9	1.6	4	4	12	18	33	16
15	10	Walsall	19	10	9	1.5	0.9	10	6	3	28	17	36
16	12	Morecambe	19	10	9	1.4	1.2	7	7	5	26	22	28
17	22	Colchester	17	8	9	1.5	1.8	4	6	7	26	31	18
18	23	Sutton	20	11	9	1.4	1.4	4	8	8	27	28	20
19	1	Mansfield	19	11	8	1.9	0.8	10	7	2	37	16	37
20	2	Stockport	20	12	8	2.0	0.8	12	5	3	41	15	41
21	9	AFC Wimbledon	20	12	8	1.7	1.1	9	5	6	34	23	32
22	17	Bradford	20	12	8	1.1	1.4	6	8	6	22	27	26
23	8	Gillingham	20	14	6	1.0	1.1	8	7	5	20	21	31
24	6	Barrow	19	14	5	1.2	0.7	10	7	2	23	13	37

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Morecambe	20	3	17	1.6	2.3	8	2	10	33	46	26
2	20	Swindon	19	4	15	1.5	2.2	2	7	10	28	42	13
3	1	Mansfield	20	7	13	2.1	1.1	10	6	4	42	21	36
4	2	Stockport	18	5	13	1.9	1.4	8	6	4	34	25	30
5	4	Milton Keynes Dons	20	7	13	1.2	1.8	7	3	10	25	35	24
6	14	Notts County	20	7	13	1.7	2.0	5	5	10	34	40	20
7	18	Doncaster	19	6	13	1.3	1.8	4	5	10	24	35	17
8	10	Walsall	19	7	12	1.5	1.8	5	5	9	29	35	20
9	5	Crewe	19	8	11	1.7	1.5	7	6	6	32	29	27
10	11	Newport County	20	9	11	1.1	1.6	7	1	12	23	32	22
11	16	Accrington	19	8	11	1.2	1.7	5	4	10	23	33	19
12	19	Salford	20	9	11	1.4	1.6	7	4	9	27	33	25
13	6	Barrow	19	9	10	1.6	1.4	7	6	6	30	27	27
14	17	Bradford	19	9	10	1.3	1.4	7	3	9	24	26	24
15	22	Colchester	20	10	10	1.1	1.8	4	4	12	21	35	16
16	7	Crawley Town	19	10	9	1.3	1.6	8	3	8	25	30	27
17	13	Harrogate	20	11	9	1.1	1.3	8	7	5	22	26	31
18	23	Sutton	20	11	9	0.9	2.1	3	4	13	18	43	13
19	15	Tranmere	20	12	8	1.0	1.6	4	3	13	20	31	15
20	24	Forest Green	19	11	8	1.1	1.7	4	5	10	20	32	17
21	3	Wrexham	20	13	7	1.1	1.2	7	7	6	22	25	28
22	8	Gillingham	20	13	7	0.9	1.3	9	1	10	19	26	28
23	21	Grimsby	18	11	7	1.1	1.4	1	11	6	19	25	14
24	9	AFC Wimbledon	20	14	6	0.9	0.9	6	8	6	19	19	26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.