Swindon 1–2 Accrington – England League Two, 12 Mar 2024

Match facts

Swindon Accrington

15 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 6

6 Corners 4

7 Fouls 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (432 league matches this season so far).

Result Swindon to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.57

Expected goals 1.86 – 1.40

Home / Draw / Away

48% 23% 29%

SwindonDrawAccrington

Under / Over 2.5 goals

37% 63%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

36% 64%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

13% 1

20% 2

22% 3

18% 4

23% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10% 2–1 9.3% 1–0 7.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches

1.19points / match

1.70scored / match

1.78conceded / match

11 11 15

WonDrawnLost 37 played · 63:66

Accrington before this match, all matches

1.28points / match

1.31scored / match

1.42conceded / match

13 7 16

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 47:51

Swindon all matches all matches Accrington

Per match

1.70 Goals scored 1.31

1.78 Goals conceded 1.42

3.49 Total goals 2.72

13.65 Shots 14.28

4.73 Shots on target 4.47

14.11 Shots faced 13.22

5.92 Corners 5.44

5.05 Corners against 5.11

10.11 Fouls 13.44

1.97 Yellow cards 2.39

0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.53

0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

30% Wins 36%

30% Draws 19%

41% Losses 44%

95% Over 0.5 goals 94%

86% Over 1.5 goals 78%

70% Over 2.5 goals 56%

46% Over 3.5 goals 22%

19% Over 4.5 goals 11%

14% Over 5.5 goals 8%

70% Both teams scored 53%

16% Clean sheets 25%

19% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 31%

27% Draws 44%

27% Losses 25%

81% Over 0.5 goals 64%

32% Over 1.5 goals 33%

14% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches

1

2

L

2

W

1

2

L

1

D

2

D

1

2

L

D

3

1

W

1

D

2

3

L

Accrington all matches

1

2

L

1

W

D

1

2

L

2

W

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

4

L

3

L

Swindon before this match, at home

1.72points / match

1.94scored / match

1.33conceded / match

9 4 5

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 35:24

Accrington before this match, away

0.94points / match

1.18scored / match

1.71conceded / match

4 4 9

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 20:29

Swindon at home away Accrington

Per match

1.94 Goals scored 1.18

1.33 Goals conceded 1.71

3.28 Total goals 2.88

14.22 Shots 12.29

5.00 Shots on target 3.94

12.61 Shots faced 15.00

6.56 Corners 4.71

4.39 Corners against 5.35

9.17 Fouls 14.35

1.61 Yellow cards 2.82

0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.53

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

50% Wins 24%

22% Draws 24%

28% Losses 53%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

89% Over 1.5 goals 82%

61% Over 2.5 goals 53%

33% Over 3.5 goals 29%

17% Over 4.5 goals 12%

17% Over 5.5 goals 12%

61% Both teams scored 65%

22% Clean sheets 12%

17% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

61% Wins 24%

17% Draws 47%

22% Losses 29%

83% Over 0.5 goals 65%

28% Over 1.5 goals 35%

17% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home

2

1

W

3

L

1

L

2

1

W

2

D

2

W

1

D

1

2

L

3

1

W

1

D

Accrington away

1

3

L

1

L

3

D

1

2

L

1

D

1

W

1

2

L

1

D

1

2

L

4

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.03.24	Mansfield – Swindon	3–2 (1–0)	1.53	4.20	6.00	1.53	2.40
02.03.24	Swindon – Harrogate	1–1 (0–0)	1.83	3.90	4.00	1.67	2.15
27.02.24	Swindon – Tranmere	3–1 (2–1)	2.38	3.50	2.88	1.75	2.05
24.02.24	Stockport – Swindon	0–0 (0–0)	1.45	5.00	6.00	1.57	2.35
17.02.24	Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons	1–2 (0–2)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.65	2.20
13.02.24	Gillingham – Swindon	2–2 (0–1)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.75	2.05
10.02.24	Swindon – Salford	1–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.75	2.30	1.65	2.20
03.02.24	Newport County – Swindon	2–1 (0–0)	2.00	3.75	3.50	1.65	2.20
27.01.24	Swindon – Bradford	2–0 (2–0)	3.30	3.80	2.05	1.75	2.05
13.01.24	Crewe – Swindon	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	4.00	3.50	1.50	2.50

Accrington all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.03.24	Accrington – Bradford	0–3 (0–3)	3.20	3.50	2.20	2.00	1.85
02.03.24	Wrexham – Accrington	4–0 (4–0)	1.53	4.50	5.50	1.60	2.30
27.02.24	Walsall – Accrington	2–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.75	4.20	1.93	1.93
24.02.24	Accrington – Crawley Town	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	3.30	1.80	2.00
17.02.24	Colchester – Accrington	1–1 (1–0)	2.38	3.50	2.88	1.70	2.10
13.02.24	Accrington – AFC Wimbledon	2–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.60	2.45	2.00	1.85
10.02.24	Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington	2–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.80	4.33	1.73	2.08
03.02.24	Accrington – Grimsby	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.80	3.40	1.67	2.15
27.01.24	Forest Green – Accrington	0–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.50	2.75	1.75	2.05
13.01.24	Accrington – Gillingham	1–2 (0–0)	2.30	3.50	3.00	2.00	1.85

Swindon at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.03.24	Swindon – Harrogate	1–1 (0–0)	1.83	3.90	4.00	1.67	2.15
27.02.24	Swindon – Tranmere	3–1 (2–1)	2.38	3.50	2.88	1.75	2.05
17.02.24	Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons	1–2 (0–2)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.65	2.20
10.02.24	Swindon – Salford	1–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.75	2.30	1.65	2.20
27.01.24	Swindon – Bradford	2–0 (2–0)	3.30	3.80	2.05	1.75	2.05
06.01.24	Swindon – Colchester	2–2 (2–1)	2.05	4.00	3.20	1.50	2.50
29.12.23	Swindon – Forest Green	2–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.60	3.40	1.60	2.30
26.12.23	Swindon – Wrexham	0–1 (0–1)	4.20	3.75	1.83	1.53	2.40
16.12.23	Swindon – Barrow	0–3 (0–1)	2.60	3.60	2.60	1.83	2.03
25.11.23	Swindon – Mansfield	2–1 (1–0)	3.25	4.00	2.00	1.60	2.30

Accrington away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.03.24	Wrexham – Accrington	4–0 (4–0)	1.53	4.50	5.50	1.60	2.30
27.02.24	Walsall – Accrington	2–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.75	4.20	1.93	1.93
17.02.24	Colchester – Accrington	1–1 (1–0)	2.38	3.50	2.88	1.70	2.10
10.02.24	Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington	2–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.80	4.33	1.73	2.08
27.01.24	Forest Green – Accrington	0–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.50	2.75	1.75	2.05
29.12.23	Barrow – Accrington	1–1 (0–0)	1.75	3.80	4.50	1.88	1.98
26.12.23	Harrogate – Accrington	2–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.40	2.30	1.85	2.00
16.12.23	Crewe – Accrington	3–3 (2–1)	2.60	3.50	2.63	1.70	2.10
25.11.23	Bradford – Accrington	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.50	3.25	1.80	2.00
11.11.23	Crawley Town – Accrington	3–1 (1–1)	2.30	3.80	2.75	1.53	2.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Swindon winsDrawsAccrington wins

1matches

7.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.11.23E3	Accrington – Swindon	3–4 (0–2)	2.20	3.50	3.25	1.57	2.35

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mansfield	36	19	12	5	72	33	+39	69
2	Stockport	35	19	9	7	67	37	+30	66
3	Wrexham	36	19	9	8	67	46	+21	66
4	Milton Keynes Dons	37	19	7	11	60	47	+13	64
5	Crewe	36	17	10	9	64	51	+13	61
6	Barrow	35	16	11	8	51	39	+12	59
7	Gillingham	37	16	7	14	35	42	-7	55
8	AFC Wimbledon	37	14	12	11	50	39	+11	54
9	Walsall	36	15	9	12	55	50	+5	54
10	Morecambe	36	15	9	12	53	57	-4	54
11	Crawley Town	35	16	4	15	51	51	0	52
12	Bradford	35	13	11	11	45	40	+5	50
13	Newport County	36	14	7	15	51	55	-4	49
14	Harrogate	36	14	7	15	43	55	-12	49
15	Notts County	35	14	5	16	69	68	+1	47
16	Accrington	36	13	7	16	47	51	-4	46
17	Tranmere	37	13	5	19	55	53	+2	44
18	Swindon	37	11	11	15	63	66	-3	44
19	Doncaster	36	12	7	17	47	61	-14	43
20	Salford	37	10	10	17	53	69	-16	40
21	Grimsby	35	7	14	14	46	61	-15	35
22	Colchester	35	8	8	19	45	64	-19	32
23	Forest Green	36	7	9	20	36	62	-26	30
24	Sutton	37	5	12	20	41	69	-28	27

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Wrexham	17	13	2	2	48	22	+26	41
2	Milton Keynes Dons	19	12	4	3	35	18	+17	40
3	Stockport	19	11	5	3	36	15	+21	38
4	Mansfield	18	10	6	2	36	15	+21	36
5	Walsall	18	10	5	3	27	16	+11	35
6	Crewe	18	10	4	4	33	25	+8	34
7	Barrow	17	9	6	2	22	13	+9	33
8	Tranmere	18	10	2	6	36	22	+14	32
9	Swindon	18	9	4	5	35	24	+11	31
10	Notts County	18	10	1	7	41	32	+9	31
11	Newport County	18	8	6	4	30	24	+6	30
12	Accrington	19	9	3	7	27	22	+5	30
13	Gillingham	19	8	6	5	19	20	-1	30
14	AFC Wimbledon	18	8	5	5	32	21	+11	29
15	Doncaster	18	9	2	7	25	27	-2	29
16	Crawley Town	17	9	1	7	29	22	+7	28
17	Morecambe	18	7	7	4	24	19	+5	28
18	Bradford	17	6	8	3	21	17	+4	26
19	Grimsby	18	6	4	8	28	37	-9	22
20	Harrogate	18	6	2	10	21	29	-8	20
21	Salford	18	4	6	8	28	37	-9	18
22	Sutton	19	3	8	8	24	27	-3	17
23	Colchester	16	4	5	7	25	30	-5	17
24	Forest Green	19	4	4	11	18	32	-14	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mansfield	18	9	6	3	36	18	+18	33
2	Harrogate	18	8	5	5	22	26	-4	29
3	Stockport	16	8	4	4	31	22	+9	28
4	Crewe	18	7	6	5	31	26	+5	27
5	Barrow	18	7	5	6	29	26	+3	26
6	Morecambe	18	8	2	8	29	38	-9	26
7	AFC Wimbledon	19	6	7	6	18	18	0	25
8	Wrexham	19	6	7	6	19	24	-5	25
9	Gillingham	18	8	1	9	16	22	-6	25
10	Bradford	18	7	3	8	24	23	+1	24
11	Milton Keynes Dons	18	7	3	8	25	29	-4	24
12	Crawley Town	18	7	3	8	22	29	-7	24
13	Salford	19	6	4	9	25	32	-7	22
14	Walsall	18	5	4	9	28	34	-6	19
15	Newport County	18	6	1	11	21	31	-10	19
16	Notts County	17	4	4	9	28	36	-8	16
17	Accrington	17	4	4	9	20	29	-9	16
18	Colchester	19	4	3	12	20	34	-14	15
19	Doncaster	18	3	5	10	22	34	-12	14
20	Forest Green	17	3	5	9	18	30	-12	14
21	Grimsby	17	1	10	6	18	24	-6	13
22	Swindon	19	2	7	10	28	42	-14	13
23	Tranmere	19	3	3	13	19	31	-12	12
24	Sutton	18	2	4	12	17	42	-25	10

Swindon Accrington

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Swindon	37	11	26	1.7	1.8	11	11	15	63	66	44
2	15	Notts County	35	10	25	2.0	1.9	14	5	16	69	68	47
3	4	Milton Keynes Dons	37	14	23	1.6	1.3	19	7	11	60	47	64
4	10	Morecambe	36	13	23	1.5	1.6	15	9	12	53	57	54
5	19	Doncaster	36	13	23	1.3	1.7	12	7	17	47	61	43
6	20	Salford	37	14	23	1.4	1.9	10	10	17	53	69	40
7	13	Newport County	36	14	22	1.4	1.5	14	7	15	51	55	49
8	17	Tranmere	37	15	22	1.5	1.4	13	5	19	55	53	44
9	5	Crewe	36	15	21	1.8	1.4	17	10	9	64	51	61
10	9	Walsall	36	15	21	1.5	1.4	15	9	12	55	50	54
11	16	Accrington	36	16	20	1.3	1.4	13	7	16	47	51	46
12	1	Mansfield	36	17	19	2.0	0.9	19	12	5	72	33	69
13	2	Stockport	35	16	19	1.9	1.1	19	9	7	67	37	66
14	11	Crawley Town	35	16	19	1.5	1.5	16	4	15	51	51	52
15	22	Colchester	35	16	19	1.3	1.8	8	8	19	45	64	32
16	3	Wrexham	36	18	18	1.9	1.3	19	9	8	67	46	66
17	14	Harrogate	36	18	18	1.2	1.5	14	7	15	43	55	49
18	21	Grimsby	35	17	18	1.3	1.7	7	14	14	46	61	35
19	23	Forest Green	36	18	18	1.0	1.7	7	9	20	36	62	30
20	24	Sutton	37	20	17	1.1	1.9	5	12	20	41	69	27
21	6	Barrow	35	20	15	1.5	1.1	16	11	8	51	39	59
22	12	Bradford	35	20	15	1.3	1.1	13	11	11	45	40	50
23	8	AFC Wimbledon	37	23	14	1.4	1.1	14	12	11	50	39	54
24	7	Gillingham	37	25	12	0.9	1.1	16	7	14	35	42	55

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	15	Notts County	18	3	15	2.3	1.8	10	1	7	41	32	31
2	17	Tranmere	18	4	14	2.0	1.2	10	2	6	36	22	32
3	20	Salford	18	5	13	1.6	2.1	4	6	8	28	37	18
4	3	Wrexham	17	5	12	2.8	1.3	13	2	2	48	22	41
5	4	Milton Keynes Dons	19	8	11	1.8	0.9	12	4	3	35	18	40
6	5	Crewe	18	7	11	1.8	1.4	10	4	4	33	25	34
7	11	Crawley Town	17	6	11	1.7	1.3	9	1	7	29	22	28
8	13	Newport County	18	7	11	1.7	1.3	8	6	4	30	24	30
9	16	Accrington	19	8	11	1.4	1.2	9	3	7	27	22	30
10	18	Swindon	18	7	11	1.9	1.3	9	4	5	35	24	31
11	19	Doncaster	18	7	11	1.4	1.5	9	2	7	25	27	29
12	21	Grimsby	18	7	11	1.6	2.1	6	4	8	28	37	22
13	23	Forest Green	19	9	10	0.9	1.7	4	4	11	18	32	16
14	9	Walsall	18	9	9	1.5	0.9	10	5	3	27	16	35
15	14	Harrogate	18	9	9	1.2	1.6	6	2	10	21	29	20
16	22	Colchester	16	7	9	1.6	1.9	4	5	7	25	30	17
17	1	Mansfield	18	10	8	2.0	0.8	10	6	2	36	15	36
18	8	AFC Wimbledon	18	10	8	1.8	1.2	8	5	5	32	21	29
19	10	Morecambe	18	10	8	1.3	1.1	7	7	4	24	19	28
20	24	Sutton	19	11	8	1.3	1.4	3	8	8	24	27	17
21	2	Stockport	19	12	7	1.9	0.8	11	5	3	36	15	38
22	7	Gillingham	19	13	6	1.0	1.1	8	6	5	19	20	30
23	12	Bradford	17	11	6	1.2	1.0	6	8	3	21	17	26
24	6	Barrow	17	12	5	1.3	0.8	9	6	2	22	13	33

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Morecambe	18	3	15	1.6	2.1	8	2	8	29	38	26
2	18	Swindon	19	4	15	1.5	2.2	2	7	10	28	42	13
3	2	Stockport	16	4	12	1.9	1.4	8	4	4	31	22	28
4	4	Milton Keynes Dons	18	6	12	1.4	1.6	7	3	8	25	29	24
5	9	Walsall	18	6	12	1.6	1.9	5	4	9	28	34	19
6	19	Doncaster	18	6	12	1.2	1.9	3	5	10	22	34	14
7	1	Mansfield	18	7	11	2.0	1.0	9	6	3	36	18	33
8	13	Newport County	18	7	11	1.2	1.7	6	1	11	21	31	19
9	5	Crewe	18	8	10	1.7	1.4	7	6	5	31	26	27
10	6	Barrow	18	8	10	1.6	1.4	7	5	6	29	26	26
11	15	Notts County	17	7	10	1.6	2.1	4	4	9	28	36	16
12	20	Salford	19	9	10	1.3	1.7	6	4	9	25	32	22
13	22	Colchester	19	9	10	1.1	1.8	4	3	12	20	34	15
14	12	Bradford	18	9	9	1.3	1.3	7	3	8	24	23	24
15	14	Harrogate	18	9	9	1.2	1.4	8	5	5	22	26	29
16	16	Accrington	17	8	9	1.2	1.7	4	4	9	20	29	16
17	24	Sutton	18	9	9	0.9	2.3	2	4	12	17	42	10
18	11	Crawley Town	18	10	8	1.2	1.6	7	3	8	22	29	24
19	17	Tranmere	19	11	8	1.0	1.6	3	3	13	19	31	12
20	23	Forest Green	17	9	8	1.1	1.8	3	5	9	18	30	14
21	21	Grimsby	17	10	7	1.1	1.4	1	10	6	18	24	13
22	3	Wrexham	19	13	6	1.0	1.3	6	7	6	19	24	25
23	7	Gillingham	18	12	6	0.9	1.2	8	1	9	16	22	25
24	8	AFC Wimbledon	19	13	6	0.9	0.9	6	7	6	18	18	25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.