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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: S Mather

Swindon 4–0 Newport County

Full time · half time 4–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.73 fair 2.52
Draw 3.80 fair 4.05
Away 4.33 fair 2.81
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.25
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.65 fair 1.80

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Swindon Newport County
13 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 0
3 Corners 1
11 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (59 league matches this season so far).
Result Swindon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.70
Expected goals 1.50 – 1.41
Home / Draw / Away
SwindonDrawNewport County
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 2–1 8.7% 1–0 8.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches
0.60points / match
0.60scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 3:8
Newport County before this match, all matches
1.80points / match
2.00scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 10:9
Swindon all matches all matches Newport County

Per match

0.60 Goals scored 2.00
1.60 Goals conceded 1.80
2.20 Total goals 3.80
11.40 Shots 9.00
3.00 Shots on target 3.40
10.80 Shots faced 19.00
5.20 Corners 2.60
5.00 Corners against 6.60
9.80 Fouls 12.20
2.00 Yellow cards 2.60
0.20 1st-half goals scored 1.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.20

How often Full Time

0% Wins 60%
60% Draws 0%
40% Losses 40%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
40% Over 2.5 goals 80%
20% Over 3.5 goals 80%
0% Over 4.5 goals 40%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 80%
20% Clean sheets 20%
40% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 20%
40% Draws 40%
60% Losses 40%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
40% Over 1.5 goals 60%
0% Over 2.5 goals 40%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches
Newport County all matches
Swindon before this match, at home
0.00points / match
0.50scored / match
3.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 1:6
Newport County before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:3
Swindon at home away Newport County

Per match

0.50 Goals scored 1.50
3.00 Goals conceded 1.50
3.50 Total goals 3.00
11.50 Shots 9.00
3.00 Shots on target 3.50
13.00 Shots faced 16.00
5.50 Corners 3.50
4.50 Corners against 6.50
7.50 Fouls 11.00
1.00 Yellow cards 3.50
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.50
1.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 50%
0% Draws 0%
100% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
100% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 50%
50% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 50%
50% Draws 50%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home
Newport County away

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.09.24 Barrow – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 1.803.504.50 1.95 1.90
31.08.24 Swindon – Notts County 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.602.25 1.53 2.40
24.08.24 Crewe – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 Swindon – Walsall 0–4 (0–2) 2.403.602.70 1.62 2.25
09.08.24 Chesterfield – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 1.653.905.00 1.57 2.35
27.04.24 Swindon – Morecambe 3–3 (2–2) 1.804.203.80 1.50 2.50
20.04.24 Grimsby – Swindon 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.65 2.20
16.04.24 Walsall – Swindon 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.753.75 1.67 2.15
13.04.24 Swindon – AFC Wimbledon 3–2 (0–1) 2.883.602.38 1.80 2.00
06.04.24 Barrow – Swindon 0–2 (0–2) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.08

Newport County all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.09.24 Newport County – Port Vale 1–4 (1–2) 3.103.602.15 1.83 2.03
31.08.24 Morecambe – Newport County 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.253.30 1.88 1.98
24.08.24 Newport County – Accrington 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.402.90 1.73 2.08
17.08.24 Newport County – Doncaster 3–1 (0–1) 3.903.901.80 1.70 2.10
10.08.24 Cheltenham – Newport County 3–2 (2–2) 1.753.604.50 1.88 1.98
27.04.24 Bradford – Newport County 4–1 (2–0) 1.305.0010.00 1.60 2.30
20.04.24 Newport County – Salford 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.752.00 1.70 2.10
13.04.24 Newport County – Tranmere 1–2 (1–2) 2.883.602.30 1.70 2.10
09.04.24 Newport County – Accrington 1–3 (1–1) 2.633.502.55 1.73 2.08
06.04.24 Grimsby – Newport County 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.90 1.95

Swindon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.24 Swindon – Notts County 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.602.25 1.53 2.40
17.08.24 Swindon – Walsall 0–4 (0–2) 2.403.602.70 1.62 2.25
27.04.24 Swindon – Morecambe 3–3 (2–2) 1.804.203.80 1.50 2.50
13.04.24 Swindon – AFC Wimbledon 3–2 (0–1) 2.883.602.38 1.80 2.00
29.03.24 Swindon – Notts County 2–1 (1–0) 2.303.503.00 1.40 2.88
16.03.24 Swindon – Doncaster 1–2 (0–2) 2.153.753.10 1.67 2.15
12.03.24 Swindon – Accrington 1–2 (0–0) 1.804.004.00 1.53 2.40
02.03.24 Swindon – Harrogate 1–1 (0–0) 1.833.904.00 1.67 2.15
27.02.24 Swindon – Tranmere 3–1 (2–1) 2.383.502.88 1.75 2.05
17.02.24 Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (0–2) 3.103.602.20 1.65 2.20

Newport County away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.24 Morecambe – Newport County 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.253.30 1.88 1.98
10.08.24 Cheltenham – Newport County 3–2 (2–2) 1.753.604.50 1.88 1.98
27.04.24 Bradford – Newport County 4–1 (2–0) 1.305.0010.00 1.60 2.30
06.04.24 Grimsby – Newport County 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.90 1.95
29.03.24 Colchester – Newport County 2–1 (0–1) 1.953.603.75 1.73 2.08
23.03.24 Barrow – Newport County 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.605.00 2.05 1.75
16.03.24 AFC Wimbledon – Newport County 0–2 (0–1) 1.733.755.00 1.93 1.93
09.03.24 Stockport – Newport County 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.755.75 1.70 2.10
27.02.24 Harrogate – Newport County 1–4 (0–2) 2.553.302.80 1.98 1.88
24.02.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Newport County 3–0 (3–0) 1.674.005.00 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Swindon winsDrawsNewport County wins
6matches
2.17goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24E3 Newport County – Swindon 2–1 (0–0) 2.003.753.50 1.65 2.20
14.10.23E3 Swindon – Newport County 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.754.75 1.62 2.25
04.02.23E3 Newport County – Swindon 2–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.00 1.80
04.10.22E3 Swindon – Newport County 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 1.90 1.95
09.04.22E3 Swindon – Newport County 0–1 (0–0) 2.373.303.10 2.07 1.72
20.11.21E3 Newport County – Swindon 1–2 (0–0) 2.253.253.40 2.10 1.77

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Doncaster 6 4 0 2 10 8 +2 12
2 Notts County 5 3 2 0 10 4 +6 11
3 Barrow 5 3 1 1 7 2 +5 10
4 Gillingham 5 3 1 1 6 2 +4 10
5 Bradford 5 3 1 1 8 5 +3 10
6 Walsall 5 3 0 2 7 3 +4 9
7 AFC Wimbledon 4 3 0 1 6 4 +2 9
8 Newport County 5 3 0 2 10 9 +1 9
9 Chesterfield 5 2 2 1 9 4 +5 8
10 Tranmere 4 2 2 0 3 1 +2 8
11 Bromley 5 2 1 2 7 6 +1 7
12 Port Vale 5 2 1 2 8 8 0 7
13 Harrogate 6 2 1 3 6 7 -1 7
14 Crewe 5 2 1 2 3 7 -4 7
15 Milton Keynes Dons 5 2 0 3 5 5 0 6
16 Cheltenham 5 2 0 3 7 8 -1 6
17 Grimsby 5 2 0 3 7 10 -3 6
18 Fleetwood Town 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
19 Colchester 5 1 2 2 6 7 -1 5
20 Salford 4 1 2 1 2 3 -1 5
21 Swindon 5 0 3 2 3 8 -5 3
22 Carlisle 5 1 0 4 4 11 -7 3
23 Accrington 5 0 2 3 6 13 -7 2
24 Morecambe 5 0 0 5 0 5 -5 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Doncaster 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9
2 Notts County 3 2 1 0 8 3 +5 7
3 Barrow 3 2 1 0 6 1 +5 7
4 Bradford 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
5 Gillingham 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
6 AFC Wimbledon 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
7 Milton Keynes Dons 3 2 0 1 5 2 +3 6
8 Grimsby 2 2 0 0 5 3 +2 6
9 Walsall 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
10 Newport County 3 2 0 1 7 6 +1 6
11 Cheltenham 3 2 0 1 4 3 +1 6
12 Chesterfield 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
13 Colchester 3 1 1 1 3 2 +1 4
14 Fleetwood Town 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
15 Tranmere 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
16 Crewe 3 1 1 1 1 5 -4 4
17 Bromley 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
18 Carlisle 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
19 Harrogate 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 3
20 Salford 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
21 Accrington 2 0 2 0 4 4 0 2
22 Port Vale 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
23 Morecambe 2 0 0 2 0 2 -2 0
24 Swindon 2 0 0 2 1 6 -5 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Port Vale 3 2 0 1 6 5 +1 6
2 Notts County 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
3 Tranmere 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
4 Bromley 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
5 Harrogate 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
6 Gillingham 3 1 1 1 1 1 0 4
7 Chesterfield 2 1 0 1 5 1 +4 3
8 Walsall 3 1 0 2 4 2 +2 3
9 Bradford 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
10 Newport County 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
11 Crewe 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
12 Swindon 3 0 3 0 2 2 0 3
13 Barrow 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
14 AFC Wimbledon 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
15 Doncaster 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3
16 Salford 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
17 Fleetwood Town 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
18 Colchester 2 0 1 1 3 5 -2 1
19 Cheltenham 2 0 0 2 3 5 -2 0
20 Milton Keynes Dons 2 0 0 2 0 3 -3 0
21 Morecambe 3 0 0 3 0 3 -3 0
22 Grimsby 3 0 0 3 2 7 -5 0
23 Accrington 3 0 0 3 2 9 -7 0
24 Carlisle 3 0 0 3 2 9 -7 0

Swindon   Newport County

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Bradford 5 1 4 1.6 1.0 3 1 1 8 5 10
2 8 Newport County 5 1 4 2.0 1.8 3 0 2 10 9 9
3 17 Grimsby 5 1 4 1.4 2.0 2 0 3 7 10 6
4 22 Carlisle 5 1 4 0.8 2.2 1 0 4 4 11 3
5 1 Doncaster 6 3 3 1.7 1.3 4 0 2 10 8 12
6 2 Notts County 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 3 2 0 10 4 11
7 12 Port Vale 5 2 3 1.6 1.6 2 1 2 8 8 7
8 16 Cheltenham 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 2 0 3 7 8 6
9 23 Accrington 5 2 3 1.2 2.6 0 2 3 6 13 2
10 6 Walsall 5 3 2 1.4 0.6 3 0 2 7 3 9
11 9 Chesterfield 5 3 2 1.8 0.8 2 2 1 9 4 8
12 11 Bromley 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 1 2 7 6 7
13 14 Crewe 5 3 2 0.6 1.4 2 1 2 3 7 7
14 15 Milton Keynes Dons 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 2 0 3 5 5 6
15 21 Swindon 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 0 3 2 3 8 3
16 3 Barrow 5 4 1 1.4 0.4 3 1 1 7 2 10
17 4 Gillingham 5 4 1 1.2 0.4 3 1 1 6 2 10
18 7 AFC Wimbledon 4 3 1 1.5 1.0 3 0 1 6 4 9
19 10 Tranmere 4 3 1 0.8 0.2 2 2 0 3 1 8
20 13 Harrogate 6 5 1 1.0 1.2 2 1 3 6 7 7
21 18 Fleetwood Town 4 3 1 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
22 19 Colchester 5 4 1 1.2 1.4 1 2 2 6 7 5
23 20 Salford 4 4 0 0.5 0.8 1 2 1 2 3 5
24 24 Morecambe 5 5 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 5 0 5 0
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Newport County 3 0 3 2.3 2.0 2 0 1 7 6 6
2 2 Notts County 3 1 2 2.7 1.0 2 1 0 8 3 7
3 5 Bradford 3 1 2 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
4 15 Milton Keynes Dons 3 1 2 1.7 0.7 2 0 1 5 2 6
5 17 Grimsby 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 2 0 0 5 3 6
6 21 Swindon 2 0 2 0.5 3.0 0 0 2 1 6 0
7 1 Doncaster 3 2 1 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9
8 3 Barrow 3 2 1 2.0 0.3 2 1 0 6 1 7
9 4 Gillingham 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
10 6 Walsall 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
11 7 AFC Wimbledon 2 1 1 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
12 9 Chesterfield 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
13 11 Bromley 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
14 12 Port Vale 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
15 14 Crewe 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 1 1 1 1 5 4
16 16 Cheltenham 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 2 0 1 4 3 6
17 22 Carlisle 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
18 23 Accrington 2 1 1 2.0 2.0 0 2 0 4 4 2
19 10 Tranmere 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4
20 13 Harrogate 3 3 0 0.7 1.0 1 0 2 2 3 3
21 18 Fleetwood Town 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4
22 19 Colchester 3 3 0 1.0 0.7 1 1 1 3 2 4
23 20 Salford 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
24 24 Morecambe 2 2 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 2 0 2 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 22 Carlisle 3 0 3 0.7 3.0 0 0 3 2 9 0
2 1 Doncaster 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3
3 5 Bradford 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
4 12 Port Vale 3 1 2 2.0 1.7 2 0 1 6 5 6
5 16 Cheltenham 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 0 2 3 5 0
6 17 Grimsby 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 0 3 2 7 0
7 23 Accrington 3 1 2 0.7 3.0 0 0 3 2 9 0
8 2 Notts County 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
9 6 Walsall 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 1 0 2 4 2 3
10 8 Newport County 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
11 9 Chesterfield 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 1 0 1 5 1 3
12 10 Tranmere 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
13 11 Bromley 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
14 13 Harrogate 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
15 14 Crewe 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
16 18 Fleetwood Town 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
17 19 Colchester 2 1 1 1.5 2.5 0 1 1 3 5 1
18 3 Barrow 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
19 4 Gillingham 3 3 0 0.3 0.3 1 1 1 1 1 4
20 7 AFC Wimbledon 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
21 15 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0.0 1.5 0 0 2 0 3 0
22 20 Salford 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
23 21 Swindon 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 0 3 0 2 2 3
24 24 Morecambe 3 3 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 3 0 3 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51