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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: C Brook

Swindon 0–2 Carlisle

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.95 fair 1.92
Draw 3.50 fair 4.37
Away ✓ 3.60 fair 4.01
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.03 fair 2.41
Over 2.5 1.83 fair 1.71

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Swindon Carlisle
17 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 2
9 Corners 5
10 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (72 league matches this season so far).
Result Swindon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.70
Expected goals 1.84 – 1.20
Home / Draw / Away
SwindonDrawCarlisle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.6% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 8.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.17scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 7:8
Carlisle before this match, all matches
0.50points / match
1.00scored / match
2.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 6:14
Swindon all matches all matches Carlisle

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 1.00
1.33 Goals conceded 2.33
2.50 Total goals 3.33
11.67 Shots 12.83
3.50 Shots on target 4.00
9.50 Shots faced 11.17
4.83 Corners 4.33
4.33 Corners against 4.50
10.00 Fouls 10.83
1.83 Yellow cards 2.50
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.83 1st-half goals conceded 1.33

How often Full Time

17% Wins 17%
50% Draws 0%
33% Losses 83%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 83%
50% Over 2.5 goals 83%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 17%
33% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 17%
33% Draws 0%
50% Losses 83%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
17% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches
Carlisle all matches
Swindon before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.67scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:6
Carlisle before this match, away
0.00points / match
0.67scored / match
3.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 2:9
Swindon at home away Carlisle

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 0.67
2.00 Goals conceded 3.00
3.67 Total goals 3.67
12.00 Shots 13.33
4.00 Shots on target 4.67
9.67 Shots faced 14.00
4.67 Corners 4.00
3.33 Corners against 4.33
8.67 Fouls 11.33
1.00 Yellow cards 1.33
1.67 1st-half goals scored 0.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.33

How often Full Time

33% Wins 0%
0% Draws 0%
67% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
67% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 0%
33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 0%
33% Draws 0%
33% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 33%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home
Carlisle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.24 Swindon – Newport County 4–0 (4–0) 1.733.804.33 1.65 2.20
07.09.24 Barrow – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 1.803.504.50 1.95 1.90
31.08.24 Swindon – Notts County 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.602.25 1.53 2.40
24.08.24 Crewe – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 Swindon – Walsall 0–4 (0–2) 2.403.602.70 1.62 2.25
09.08.24 Chesterfield – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 1.653.905.00 1.57 2.35
27.04.24 Swindon – Morecambe 3–3 (2–2) 1.804.203.80 1.50 2.50
20.04.24 Grimsby – Swindon 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.65 2.20
16.04.24 Walsall – Swindon 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.753.75 1.67 2.15
13.04.24 Swindon – AFC Wimbledon 3–2 (0–1) 2.883.602.38 1.80 2.00

Carlisle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.24 Carlisle – Fleetwood Town 2–3 (1–2) 2.303.402.90 1.93 1.93
07.09.24 Bradford – Carlisle 2–1 (1–0) 1.733.754.33 1.88 1.98
31.08.24 Carlisle – Tranmere 1–2 (1–2) 2.103.203.60 2.00 1.85
24.08.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Carlisle 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.754.20 1.73 2.08
17.08.24 Carlisle – Barrow 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.402.90 1.98 1.88
10.08.24 Gillingham – Carlisle 4–1 (1–0) 1.953.703.50 2.00 1.85
27.04.24E2 Derby – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.54 2.35
20.04.24E2 Carlisle – Wycombe 1–3 (1–1) 3.503.602.00 2.05 1.75
13.04.24E2 Carlisle – Blackpool 0–1 (0–1) 5.004.001.65 1.95 1.90
09.04.24E2 Cheltenham – Carlisle 0–1 (0–1) 1.673.755.00 1.98 1.88

Swindon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.24 Swindon – Newport County 4–0 (4–0) 1.733.804.33 1.65 2.20
31.08.24 Swindon – Notts County 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.602.25 1.53 2.40
17.08.24 Swindon – Walsall 0–4 (0–2) 2.403.602.70 1.62 2.25
27.04.24 Swindon – Morecambe 3–3 (2–2) 1.804.203.80 1.50 2.50
13.04.24 Swindon – AFC Wimbledon 3–2 (0–1) 2.883.602.38 1.80 2.00
29.03.24 Swindon – Notts County 2–1 (1–0) 2.303.503.00 1.40 2.88
16.03.24 Swindon – Doncaster 1–2 (0–2) 2.153.753.10 1.67 2.15
12.03.24 Swindon – Accrington 1–2 (0–0) 1.804.004.00 1.53 2.40
02.03.24 Swindon – Harrogate 1–1 (0–0) 1.833.904.00 1.67 2.15
27.02.24 Swindon – Tranmere 3–1 (2–1) 2.383.502.88 1.75 2.05

Carlisle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.09.24 Bradford – Carlisle 2–1 (1–0) 1.733.754.33 1.88 1.98
24.08.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Carlisle 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.754.20 1.73 2.08
10.08.24 Gillingham – Carlisle 4–1 (1–0) 1.953.703.50 2.00 1.85
27.04.24E2 Derby – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.54 2.35
09.04.24E2 Cheltenham – Carlisle 0–1 (0–1) 1.673.755.00 1.98 1.88
06.04.24E2 Northampton – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.75 2.00 1.85
29.03.24E2 Peterboro – Carlisle 1–3 (0–1) 1.305.509.50 1.44 2.70
16.03.24E2 Shrewsbury – Carlisle 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.403.80 2.20 1.65
09.03.24E2 Charlton – Carlisle 3–2 (1–1) 1.554.205.75 1.85 2.00
27.02.24E2 Burton – Carlisle 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.15 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Swindon winsDrawsCarlisle wins
4matches
2.75goals / match
75%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.23E3 Swindon – Carlisle 1–2 (0–0) 2.903.102.55 2.05 1.75
13.08.22E3 Carlisle – Swindon 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.302.80 2.05 1.80
19.02.22E3 Carlisle – Swindon 0–3 (0–1) 3.303.402.20 2.15 1.66
14.08.21E3 Swindon – Carlisle 1–2 (1–2) 2.903.302.45 2.10 1.70

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Notts County 6 4 2 0 14 6 +8 14
2 Gillingham 6 4 1 1 9 2 +7 13
3 Barrow 6 4 1 1 9 3 +6 13
4 AFC Wimbledon 5 4 0 1 9 4 +5 12
5 Walsall 6 4 0 2 9 4 +5 12
6 Doncaster 6 4 0 2 10 8 +2 12
7 Port Vale 7 3 2 2 11 10 +1 11
8 Bradford 6 3 1 2 9 7 +2 10
9 Crewe 6 3 1 2 4 7 -3 10
10 Chesterfield 7 2 3 2 10 6 +4 9
11 Newport County 6 3 0 3 10 13 -3 9
12 Fleetwood Town 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8
13 Salford 5 2 2 1 4 4 0 8
14 Tranmere 5 2 2 1 3 4 -1 8
15 Bromley 6 2 1 3 9 10 -1 7
16 Harrogate 6 2 1 3 6 7 -1 7
17 Cheltenham 7 2 1 4 9 11 -2 7
18 Colchester 6 1 3 2 9 10 -1 6
19 Swindon 6 1 3 2 7 8 -1 6
20 Milton Keynes Dons 6 2 0 4 5 8 -3 6
21 Grimsby 6 2 0 4 8 12 -4 6
22 Accrington 7 0 3 4 8 16 -8 3
23 Carlisle 6 1 0 5 6 14 -8 3
24 Morecambe 6 0 1 5 3 8 -5 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Gillingham 3 3 0 0 8 1 +7 9
2 AFC Wimbledon 3 3 0 0 8 2 +6 9
3 Doncaster 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9
4 Walsall 3 3 0 0 5 2 +3 9
5 Notts County 3 2 1 0 8 3 +5 7
6 Barrow 3 2 1 0 6 1 +5 7
7 Bradford 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
8 Milton Keynes Dons 3 2 0 1 5 2 +3 6
9 Newport County 3 2 0 1 7 6 +1 6
10 Grimsby 3 2 0 1 6 5 +1 6
11 Chesterfield 4 1 3 0 5 4 +1 6
12 Cheltenham 3 2 0 1 4 3 +1 6
13 Salford 3 2 0 1 3 3 0 6
14 Colchester 3 1 1 1 3 2 +1 4
15 Fleetwood Town 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
16 Tranmere 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
17 Port Vale 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
18 Crewe 3 1 1 1 1 5 -4 4
19 Accrington 4 0 3 1 6 7 -1 3
20 Bromley 3 1 0 2 5 6 -1 3
21 Swindon 3 1 0 2 5 6 -1 3
22 Carlisle 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
23 Harrogate 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 3
24 Morecambe 3 0 1 2 3 5 -2 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Notts County 3 2 1 0 6 3 +3 7
2 Port Vale 4 2 1 1 8 7 +1 7
3 Barrow 3 2 0 1 3 2 +1 6
4 Crewe 3 2 0 1 3 2 +1 6
5 Fleetwood Town 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
6 Bromley 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
7 Harrogate 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
8 Gillingham 3 1 1 1 1 1 0 4
9 Tranmere 3 1 1 1 2 4 -2 4
10 Chesterfield 3 1 0 2 5 2 +3 3
11 Walsall 3 1 0 2 4 2 +2 3
12 Swindon 3 0 3 0 2 2 0 3
13 Bradford 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
14 AFC Wimbledon 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
15 Doncaster 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3
16 Newport County 3 1 0 2 3 7 -4 3
17 Salford 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
18 Colchester 3 0 2 1 6 8 -2 2
19 Cheltenham 4 0 1 3 5 8 -3 1
20 Morecambe 3 0 0 3 0 3 -3 0
21 Grimsby 3 0 0 3 2 7 -5 0
22 Milton Keynes Dons 3 0 0 3 0 6 -6 0
23 Accrington 3 0 0 3 2 9 -7 0
24 Carlisle 3 0 0 3 2 9 -7 0

Swindon   Carlisle

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Bradford 6 1 5 1.5 1.2 3 1 2 9 7 10
2 11 Newport County 6 1 5 1.7 2.2 3 0 3 10 13 9
3 21 Grimsby 6 1 5 1.3 2.0 2 0 4 8 12 6
4 23 Carlisle 6 1 5 1.0 2.3 1 0 5 6 14 3
5 1 Notts County 6 2 4 2.3 1.0 4 2 0 14 6 14
6 7 Port Vale 7 3 4 1.6 1.4 3 2 2 11 10 11
7 17 Cheltenham 7 3 4 1.3 1.6 2 1 4 9 11 7
8 22 Accrington 7 3 4 1.1 2.3 0 3 4 8 16 3
9 5 Walsall 6 3 3 1.5 0.7 4 0 2 9 4 12
10 6 Doncaster 6 3 3 1.7 1.3 4 0 2 10 8 12
11 15 Bromley 6 3 3 1.5 1.7 2 1 3 9 10 7
12 19 Swindon 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 1 3 2 7 8 6
13 20 Milton Keynes Dons 6 3 3 0.8 1.3 2 0 4 5 8 6
14 2 Gillingham 6 4 2 1.5 0.3 4 1 1 9 2 13
15 3 Barrow 6 4 2 1.5 0.5 4 1 1 9 3 13
16 4 AFC Wimbledon 5 3 2 1.8 0.8 4 0 1 9 4 12
17 9 Crewe 6 4 2 0.7 1.2 3 1 2 4 7 10
18 10 Chesterfield 7 5 2 1.4 0.9 2 3 2 10 6 9
19 12 Fleetwood Town 5 3 2 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8
20 14 Tranmere 5 3 2 0.6 0.8 2 2 1 3 4 8
21 18 Colchester 6 4 2 1.5 1.7 1 3 2 9 10 6
22 13 Salford 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 2 1 4 4 8
23 16 Harrogate 6 5 1 1.0 1.2 2 1 3 6 7 7
24 24 Morecambe 6 5 1 0.5 1.3 0 1 5 3 8 1
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Newport County 3 0 3 2.3 2.0 2 0 1 7 6 6
2 19 Swindon 3 0 3 1.7 2.0 1 0 2 5 6 3
3 21 Grimsby 3 0 3 2.0 1.7 2 0 1 6 5 6
4 1 Notts County 3 1 2 2.7 1.0 2 1 0 8 3 7
5 2 Gillingham 3 1 2 2.7 0.3 3 0 0 8 1 9
6 4 AFC Wimbledon 3 1 2 2.7 0.7 3 0 0 8 2 9
7 5 Walsall 3 1 2 1.7 0.7 3 0 0 5 2 9
8 8 Bradford 3 1 2 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
9 15 Bromley 3 1 2 1.7 2.0 1 0 2 5 6 3
10 20 Milton Keynes Dons 3 1 2 1.7 0.7 2 0 1 5 2 6
11 22 Accrington 4 2 2 1.5 1.8 0 3 1 6 7 3
12 23 Carlisle 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
13 3 Barrow 3 2 1 2.0 0.3 2 1 0 6 1 7
14 6 Doncaster 3 2 1 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9
15 7 Port Vale 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
16 9 Crewe 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 1 1 1 1 5 4
17 10 Chesterfield 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 3 0 5 4 6
18 13 Salford 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 2 0 1 3 3 6
19 17 Cheltenham 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 2 0 1 4 3 6
20 24 Morecambe 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 0 1 2 3 5 1
21 12 Fleetwood Town 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4
22 14 Tranmere 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4
23 16 Harrogate 3 3 0 0.7 1.0 1 0 2 2 3 3
24 18 Colchester 3 3 0 1.0 0.7 1 1 1 3 2 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Port Vale 4 1 3 2.0 1.8 2 1 1 8 7 7
2 8 Bradford 3 0 3 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
3 17 Cheltenham 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 0 1 3 5 8 1
4 23 Carlisle 3 0 3 0.7 3.0 0 0 3 2 9 0
5 1 Notts County 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 2 1 0 6 3 7
6 6 Doncaster 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3
7 11 Newport County 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 1 0 2 3 7 3
8 12 Fleetwood Town 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
9 14 Tranmere 3 1 2 0.7 1.3 1 1 1 2 4 4
10 18 Colchester 3 1 2 2.0 2.7 0 2 1 6 8 2
11 21 Grimsby 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 0 3 2 7 0
12 22 Accrington 3 1 2 0.7 3.0 0 0 3 2 9 0
13 3 Barrow 3 2 1 1.0 0.7 2 0 1 3 2 6
14 5 Walsall 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 1 0 2 4 2 3
15 9 Crewe 3 2 1 1.0 0.7 2 0 1 3 2 6
16 10 Chesterfield 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 1 0 2 5 2 3
17 15 Bromley 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
18 16 Harrogate 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
19 20 Milton Keynes Dons 3 2 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 3 0 6 0
20 2 Gillingham 3 3 0 0.3 0.3 1 1 1 1 1 4
21 4 AFC Wimbledon 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
22 13 Salford 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
23 19 Swindon 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 0 3 0 2 2 3
24 24 Morecambe 3 3 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 3 0 3 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51