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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: A Humphries

Colchester 4–0 Swindon

Full time · half time 4–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.91 fair 2.31
Draw 3.40 fair 3.88
Away 3.90 fair 3.23
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 1.99
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 2.01

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Colchester Swindon
14 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 2
8 Corners 5
12 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (199 league matches this season so far).
Result Colchester to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.46 – 1.20
Home / Draw / Away
ColchesterDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 1–0 10.2% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Colchester before this match, all matches
1.06points / match
1.12scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 19:22
Swindon before this match, all matches
0.76points / match
1.18scored / match
1.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 20:28
Colchester all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

1.12 Goals scored 1.18
1.29 Goals conceded 1.65
2.41 Total goals 2.82
12.12 Shots 10.82
4.12 Shots on target 2.76
11.41 Shots faced 12.47
4.59 Corners 4.41
5.00 Corners against 5.47
11.29 Fouls 9.53
1.88 Yellow cards 1.82
0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

18% Wins 12%
53% Draws 41%
29% Losses 47%
88% Over 0.5 goals 88%
76% Over 1.5 goals 88%
35% Over 2.5 goals 59%
18% Over 3.5 goals 35%
12% Over 4.5 goals 12%
12% Over 5.5 goals 0%
59% Both teams scored 71%
29% Clean sheets 18%
24% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

12% Wins 12%
47% Draws 35%
41% Losses 53%
59% Over 0.5 goals 76%
24% Over 1.5 goals 41%
12% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Colchester all matches
Swindon all matches
Colchester before this match, at home
1.13points / match
1.13scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:7
Swindon before this match, away
0.89points / match
1.22scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 11:14
Colchester at home away Swindon

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 1.22
0.88 Goals conceded 1.56
2.00 Total goals 2.78
15.00 Shots 10.33
5.25 Shots on target 2.67
9.38 Shots faced 14.44
5.88 Corners 3.89
4.50 Corners against 5.89
11.25 Fouls 10.33
1.50 Yellow cards 2.44
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

25% Wins 11%
38% Draws 56%
38% Losses 33%
88% Over 0.5 goals 89%
75% Over 1.5 goals 89%
38% Over 2.5 goals 56%
0% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 89%
38% Clean sheets 11%
25% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 11%
50% Draws 33%
38% Losses 56%
50% Over 0.5 goals 78%
25% Over 1.5 goals 33%
13% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Colchester at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Colchester all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.24 Fleetwood Town – Colchester 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.603.75 1.95 1.90
23.11.24 Grimsby – Colchester 0–1 (0–0) 2.353.302.90 1.98 1.88
16.11.24 Colchester – Bradford 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.402.55 1.98 1.88
09.11.24 Barrow – Colchester 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.303.60 2.10 1.70
26.10.24 Colchester – Salford 1–2 (0–0) 2.203.253.25 2.05 1.75
22.10.24 Chesterfield – Colchester 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.504.33 1.80 2.00
19.10.24 Colchester – Cheltenham 1–2 (1–2) 1.833.604.33 2.00 1.85
05.10.24 Colchester – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.50 1.90 1.95
01.10.24 Port Vale – Colchester 1–1 (0–0) 1.803.404.50 1.93 1.93
28.09.24 Walsall – Colchester 4–0 (1–0) 1.803.704.10 1.93 1.93

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.24 Swindon – Morecambe 2–3 (1–2) 1.803.504.33 1.85 2.00
16.11.24 Accrington – Swindon 2–2 (2–1) 2.303.602.80 1.93 1.93
09.11.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–1 (1–1) 1.913.503.70 1.88 1.98
26.10.24 Swindon – Gillingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.253.10 2.05 1.75
22.10.24 Salford – Swindon 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 2.05 1.75
19.10.24 Swindon – Doncaster 1–2 (0–0) 2.903.502.30 1.88 1.98
12.10.24 Cheltenham – Swindon 2–3 (0–2) 2.603.252.60 1.95 1.90
05.10.24 Swindon – Harrogate 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.704.50 1.75 2.05
01.10.24 Tranmere – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.303.20 2.10 1.70
28.09.24 Port Vale – Swindon 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.75 1.90 1.95

Colchester at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.11.24 Colchester – Bradford 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.402.55 1.98 1.88
26.10.24 Colchester – Salford 1–2 (0–0) 2.203.253.25 2.05 1.75
19.10.24 Colchester – Cheltenham 1–2 (1–2) 1.833.604.33 2.00 1.85
05.10.24 Colchester – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.50 1.90 1.95
21.09.24 Colchester – Tranmere 3–0 (2–0) 2.103.303.50 2.05 1.80
07.09.24 Colchester – Bromley 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.20 1.83 2.03
24.08.24 Colchester – Harrogate 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.503.80 1.90 1.95
17.08.24 Colchester – Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.20 1.70 2.10
27.04.24 Colchester – Crewe 1–1 (1–0) 2.752.553.30 2.20 1.65
23.04.24 Colchester – Doncaster 1–4 (1–2) 3.253.602.05 1.75 2.05

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.11.24 Accrington – Swindon 2–2 (2–1) 2.303.602.80 1.93 1.93
09.11.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–1 (1–1) 1.913.503.70 1.88 1.98
22.10.24 Salford – Swindon 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 2.05 1.75
12.10.24 Cheltenham – Swindon 2–3 (0–2) 2.603.252.60 1.95 1.90
01.10.24 Tranmere – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.303.20 2.10 1.70
28.09.24 Port Vale – Swindon 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.75 1.90 1.95
07.09.24 Barrow – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 1.803.504.50 1.95 1.90
24.08.24 Crewe – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.88 1.98
09.08.24 Chesterfield – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 1.653.905.00 1.57 2.35
20.04.24 Grimsby – Swindon 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.65 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Colchester winsDrawsSwindon wins
6matches
2.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.01.24E3 Swindon – Colchester 2–2 (2–1) 2.054.003.20 1.50 2.50
07.11.23E3 Colchester – Swindon 3–1 (0–1) 2.633.802.40 1.57 2.35
01.01.23E3 Colchester – Swindon 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 2.08 1.73
15.10.22E3 Swindon – Colchester 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.80 1.98 1.88
29.01.22E3 Colchester – Swindon 1–1 (0–0) 2.873.252.50 1.98 1.88
25.09.21E3 Swindon – Colchester 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.60 2.00 1.80

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Port Vale 17 10 4 3 25 17 +8 34
2 Walsall 16 9 4 3 30 17 +13 31
3 Crewe 17 8 6 3 21 15 +6 30
4 Doncaster 17 8 5 4 22 18 +4 29
5 Notts County 17 7 7 3 23 15 +8 28
6 Milton Keynes Dons 16 8 3 5 27 19 +8 27
7 AFC Wimbledon 16 8 2 6 25 14 +11 26
8 Chesterfield 17 6 7 4 30 20 +10 25
9 Grimsby 17 8 1 8 19 26 -7 25
10 Bradford 16 6 5 5 21 17 +4 23
11 Gillingham 16 7 2 7 17 14 +3 23
12 Fleetwood Town 15 5 7 3 20 15 +5 22
13 Barrow 17 6 4 7 17 16 +1 22
14 Cheltenham 17 6 3 8 22 25 -3 21
15 Salford 16 5 6 5 15 18 -3 21
16 Newport County 17 6 3 8 19 26 -7 21
17 Harrogate 17 6 3 8 16 23 -7 21
18 Colchester 17 3 9 5 19 22 -3 18
19 Accrington 16 4 6 6 22 26 -4 18
20 Bromley 16 3 8 5 19 21 -2 17
21 Tranmere 16 4 5 7 10 20 -10 17
22 Carlisle 18 3 5 10 15 30 -15 14
23 Swindon 17 2 7 8 20 28 -8 13
24 Morecambe 17 3 4 10 17 29 -12 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 9 5 2 2 15 9 +6 17
2 Walsall 8 5 2 1 17 12 +5 17
3 Crewe 8 5 2 1 12 7 +5 17
4 AFC Wimbledon 8 5 1 2 17 6 +11 16
5 Barrow 9 4 3 2 13 8 +5 15
6 Gillingham 9 5 0 4 13 8 +5 15
7 Port Vale 8 4 3 1 13 9 +4 15
8 Doncaster 9 4 3 2 10 8 +2 15
9 Bradford 7 4 2 1 11 6 +5 14
10 Notts County 8 4 2 2 10 5 +5 14
11 Newport County 8 4 2 2 12 11 +1 14
12 Cheltenham 9 4 2 3 11 11 0 14
13 Chesterfield 9 2 6 1 11 12 -1 12
14 Salford 8 4 0 4 7 9 -2 12
15 Harrogate 9 4 0 5 9 13 -4 12
16 Accrington 8 2 5 1 11 10 +1 11
17 Fleetwood Town 8 2 5 1 6 5 +1 11
18 Colchester 8 2 3 3 9 7 +2 9
19 Tranmere 8 2 3 3 4 7 -3 9
20 Grimsby 8 3 0 5 9 16 -7 9
21 Bromley 8 1 4 3 11 13 -2 7
22 Carlisle 9 1 3 5 8 13 -5 6
23 Swindon 8 1 2 5 9 14 -5 5
24 Morecambe 8 0 3 5 8 16 -8 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Port Vale 9 6 1 2 12 8 +4 19
2 Grimsby 9 5 1 3 10 10 0 16
3 Walsall 8 4 2 2 13 5 +8 14
4 Notts County 9 3 5 1 13 10 +3 14
5 Doncaster 8 4 2 2 12 10 +2 14
6 Chesterfield 8 4 1 3 19 8 +11 13
7 Crewe 9 3 4 2 9 8 +1 13
8 Fleetwood Town 7 3 2 2 14 10 +4 11
9 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 1 3 12 10 +2 10
10 AFC Wimbledon 8 3 1 4 8 8 0 10
11 Bromley 8 2 4 2 8 8 0 10
12 Morecambe 9 3 1 5 9 13 -4 10
13 Bradford 9 2 3 4 10 11 -1 9
14 Salford 8 1 6 1 8 9 -1 9
15 Harrogate 8 2 3 3 7 10 -3 9
16 Colchester 9 1 6 2 10 15 -5 9
17 Gillingham 7 2 2 3 4 6 -2 8
18 Swindon 9 1 5 3 11 14 -3 8
19 Tranmere 8 2 2 4 6 13 -7 8
20 Carlisle 9 2 2 5 7 17 -10 8
21 Cheltenham 8 2 1 5 11 14 -3 7
22 Barrow 8 2 1 5 4 8 -4 7
23 Accrington 8 2 1 5 11 16 -5 7
24 Newport County 9 2 1 6 7 15 -8 7

Colchester   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Accrington 16 5 11 1.4 1.6 4 6 6 22 26 18
2 8 Chesterfield 17 7 10 1.8 1.2 6 7 4 30 20 25
3 9 Grimsby 17 7 10 1.1 1.5 8 1 8 19 26 25
4 16 Newport County 17 7 10 1.1 1.5 6 3 8 19 26 21
5 23 Swindon 17 7 10 1.2 1.6 2 7 8 20 28 13
6 2 Walsall 16 7 9 1.9 1.1 9 4 3 30 17 31
7 6 Milton Keynes Dons 16 7 9 1.7 1.2 8 3 5 27 19 27
8 10 Bradford 16 7 9 1.3 1.1 6 5 5 21 17 23
9 14 Cheltenham 17 8 9 1.3 1.5 6 3 8 22 25 21
10 22 Carlisle 18 10 8 0.8 1.7 3 5 10 15 30 14
11 24 Morecambe 17 9 8 1.0 1.7 3 4 10 17 29 13
12 1 Port Vale 17 10 7 1.5 1.0 10 4 3 25 17 34
13 4 Doncaster 17 10 7 1.3 1.1 8 5 4 22 18 29
14 7 AFC Wimbledon 16 9 7 1.6 0.9 8 2 6 25 14 26
15 17 Harrogate 17 10 7 0.9 1.4 6 3 8 16 23 21
16 12 Fleetwood Town 15 9 6 1.3 1.0 5 7 3 20 15 22
17 15 Salford 16 10 6 0.9 1.1 5 6 5 15 18 21
18 18 Colchester 17 11 6 1.1 1.3 3 9 5 19 22 18
19 20 Bromley 16 10 6 1.2 1.3 3 8 5 19 21 17
20 21 Tranmere 16 10 6 0.6 1.2 4 5 7 10 20 17
21 3 Crewe 17 12 5 1.2 0.9 8 6 3 21 15 30
22 5 Notts County 17 12 5 1.4 0.9 7 7 3 23 15 28
23 11 Gillingham 16 11 5 1.1 0.9 7 2 7 17 14 23
24 13 Barrow 17 13 4 1.0 0.9 6 4 7 17 16 22
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Walsall 8 2 6 2.1 1.5 5 2 1 17 12 17
2 9 Grimsby 8 2 6 1.1 2.0 3 0 5 9 16 9
3 16 Newport County 8 2 6 1.5 1.4 4 2 2 12 11 14
4 6 Milton Keynes Dons 9 4 5 1.7 1.0 5 2 2 15 9 17
5 7 AFC Wimbledon 8 3 5 2.1 0.8 5 1 2 17 6 16
6 10 Bradford 7 2 5 1.6 0.9 4 2 1 11 6 14
7 23 Swindon 8 3 5 1.1 1.8 1 2 5 9 14 5
8 1 Port Vale 8 4 4 1.6 1.1 4 3 1 13 9 15
9 8 Chesterfield 9 5 4 1.2 1.3 2 6 1 11 12 12
10 11 Gillingham 9 5 4 1.4 0.9 5 0 4 13 8 15
11 17 Harrogate 9 5 4 1.0 1.4 4 0 5 9 13 12
12 19 Accrington 8 4 4 1.4 1.2 2 5 1 11 10 11
13 20 Bromley 8 4 4 1.4 1.6 1 4 3 11 13 7
14 3 Crewe 8 5 3 1.5 0.9 5 2 1 12 7 17
15 13 Barrow 9 6 3 1.4 0.9 4 3 2 13 8 15
16 14 Cheltenham 9 6 3 1.2 1.2 4 2 3 11 11 14
17 15 Salford 8 5 3 0.9 1.1 4 0 4 7 9 12
18 18 Colchester 8 5 3 1.1 0.9 2 3 3 9 7 9
19 22 Carlisle 9 6 3 0.9 1.4 1 3 5 8 13 6
20 24 Morecambe 8 5 3 1.0 2.0 0 3 5 8 16 3
21 4 Doncaster 9 7 2 1.1 0.9 4 3 2 10 8 15
22 5 Notts County 8 6 2 1.2 0.6 4 2 2 10 5 14
23 12 Fleetwood Town 8 6 2 0.8 0.6 2 5 1 6 5 11
24 21 Tranmere 8 7 1 0.5 0.9 2 3 3 4 7 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Accrington 8 1 7 1.4 2.0 2 1 5 11 16 7
2 8 Chesterfield 8 2 6 2.4 1.0 4 1 3 19 8 13
3 14 Cheltenham 8 2 6 1.4 1.8 2 1 5 11 14 7
4 4 Doncaster 8 3 5 1.5 1.2 4 2 2 12 10 14
5 21 Tranmere 8 3 5 0.8 1.6 2 2 4 6 13 8
6 22 Carlisle 9 4 5 0.8 1.9 2 2 5 7 17 8
7 23 Swindon 9 4 5 1.2 1.6 1 5 3 11 14 8
8 24 Morecambe 9 4 5 1.0 1.4 3 1 5 9 13 10
9 6 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 3 1 3 12 10 10
10 9 Grimsby 9 5 4 1.1 1.1 5 1 3 10 10 16
11 10 Bradford 9 5 4 1.1 1.2 2 3 4 10 11 9
12 12 Fleetwood Town 7 3 4 2.0 1.4 3 2 2 14 10 11
13 16 Newport County 9 5 4 0.8 1.7 2 1 6 7 15 7
14 1 Port Vale 9 6 3 1.3 0.9 6 1 2 12 8 19
15 2 Walsall 8 5 3 1.6 0.6 4 2 2 13 5 14
16 5 Notts County 9 6 3 1.4 1.1 3 5 1 13 10 14
17 15 Salford 8 5 3 1.0 1.1 1 6 1 8 9 9
18 17 Harrogate 8 5 3 0.9 1.2 2 3 3 7 10 9
19 18 Colchester 9 6 3 1.1 1.7 1 6 2 10 15 9
20 3 Crewe 9 7 2 1.0 0.9 3 4 2 9 8 13
21 7 AFC Wimbledon 8 6 2 1.0 1.0 3 1 4 8 8 10
22 20 Bromley 8 6 2 1.0 1.0 2 4 2 8 8 10
23 11 Gillingham 7 6 1 0.6 0.9 2 2 3 4 6 8
24 13 Barrow 8 7 1 0.5 1.0 2 1 5 4 8 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51