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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: O Yates

Accrington 2–2 Swindon

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.30 fair 2.31
Draw ✓ 3.60 fair 3.96
Away 2.80 fair 3.17
Under 2.5 1.93 fair 2.09
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 1.92

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Accrington Swindon
17 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 3
18 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (175 league matches this season so far).
Result Accrington to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.80
Expected goals 1.51 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
AccringtonDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 1–0 9.5% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Accrington before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.29scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 18:22
Swindon before this match, all matches
0.80points / match
1.07scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 16:23
Accrington all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 1.07
1.57 Goals conceded 1.53
2.86 Total goals 2.60
10.93 Shots 10.93
4.00 Shots on target 2.73
10.43 Shots faced 12.27
4.00 Corners 4.47
5.43 Corners against 5.20
15.00 Fouls 9.47
2.86 Yellow cards 1.73
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

29% Wins 13%
29% Draws 40%
43% Losses 47%
93% Over 0.5 goals 87%
79% Over 1.5 goals 87%
64% Over 2.5 goals 53%
29% Over 3.5 goals 27%
14% Over 4.5 goals 7%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
64% Both teams scored 67%
21% Clean sheets 20%
21% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 13%
29% Draws 40%
29% Losses 47%
79% Over 0.5 goals 73%
29% Over 1.5 goals 33%
7% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Accrington all matches
Swindon all matches
Accrington before this match, at home
1.43points / match
1.29scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 9:8
Swindon before this match, away
0.88points / match
1.13scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:12
Accrington at home away Swindon

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 1.13
1.14 Goals conceded 1.50
2.43 Total goals 2.63
10.86 Shots 10.25
3.29 Shots on target 2.63
10.71 Shots faced 14.13
4.29 Corners 4.00
6.14 Corners against 5.75
13.43 Fouls 10.00
2.43 Yellow cards 2.25
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

29% Wins 13%
57% Draws 50%
14% Losses 38%
86% Over 0.5 goals 88%
57% Over 1.5 goals 88%
43% Over 2.5 goals 50%
29% Over 3.5 goals 25%
14% Over 4.5 goals 13%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 88%
29% Clean sheets 13%
29% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 13%
29% Draws 38%
14% Losses 50%
71% Over 0.5 goals 75%
43% Over 1.5 goals 25%
14% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Accrington at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Accrington all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Chesterfield – Accrington 0–3 (0–1) 1.573.905.75 1.67 2.15
26.10.24 Accrington – Walsall 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.501.96 1.88 1.98
22.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.105.00 1.62 2.25
19.10.24 Accrington – Barrow 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.75
12.10.24 Gillingham – Accrington 1–2 (0–0) 1.733.704.50 1.95 1.90
05.10.24 Accrington – Morecambe 2–1 (2–0) 2.003.503.50 1.83 2.03
01.10.24 Cheltenham – Accrington 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.10 1.93 1.93
21.09.24 Accrington – Port Vale 2–2 (2–0) 3.403.502.05 1.90 1.95
14.09.24 Accrington – Crewe 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.502.90 1.85 2.00
07.09.24 Notts County – Accrington 2–0 (1–0) 1.624.005.00 1.48 2.60

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–1 (1–1) 1.913.503.70 1.88 1.98
26.10.24 Swindon – Gillingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.253.10 2.05 1.75
22.10.24 Salford – Swindon 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 2.05 1.75
19.10.24 Swindon – Doncaster 1–2 (0–0) 2.903.502.30 1.88 1.98
12.10.24 Cheltenham – Swindon 2–3 (0–2) 2.603.252.60 1.95 1.90
05.10.24 Swindon – Harrogate 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.704.50 1.75 2.05
01.10.24 Tranmere – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.303.20 2.10 1.70
28.09.24 Port Vale – Swindon 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.75 1.90 1.95
21.09.24 Swindon – Carlisle 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.503.60 1.83 2.03
14.09.24 Swindon – Newport County 4–0 (4–0) 1.733.804.33 1.65 2.20

Accrington at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24 Accrington – Walsall 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.501.96 1.88 1.98
19.10.24 Accrington – Barrow 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.75
05.10.24 Accrington – Morecambe 2–1 (2–0) 2.003.503.50 1.83 2.03
21.09.24 Accrington – Port Vale 2–2 (2–0) 3.403.502.05 1.90 1.95
14.09.24 Accrington – Crewe 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.502.90 1.85 2.00
31.08.24 Accrington – Colchester 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.002.75 1.80 2.05
17.08.24 Accrington – Harrogate 3–3 (1–2) 2.253.503.00 1.70 2.10
27.04.24 Accrington – Tranmere 4–1 (1–1) 2.503.602.70 1.57 2.35
06.04.24 Accrington – Crewe 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.602.50 1.70 2.10
29.03.24 Accrington – Morecambe 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.503.10 1.70 2.10

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–1 (1–1) 1.913.503.70 1.88 1.98
22.10.24 Salford – Swindon 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 2.05 1.75
12.10.24 Cheltenham – Swindon 2–3 (0–2) 2.603.252.60 1.95 1.90
01.10.24 Tranmere – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.303.20 2.10 1.70
28.09.24 Port Vale – Swindon 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.75 1.90 1.95
07.09.24 Barrow – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 1.803.504.50 1.95 1.90
24.08.24 Crewe – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.88 1.98
09.08.24 Chesterfield – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 1.653.905.00 1.57 2.35
20.04.24 Grimsby – Swindon 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.65 2.20
16.04.24 Walsall – Swindon 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.753.75 1.67 2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Accrington winsDrawsSwindon wins
2matches
5.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.03.24E3 Swindon – Accrington 1–2 (0–0) 1.804.004.00 1.53 2.40
28.11.23E3 Accrington – Swindon 3–4 (0–2) 2.203.503.25 1.57 2.35

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Port Vale 15 9 3 3 23 16 +7 30
2 Walsall 14 8 3 3 27 15 +12 27
3 Notts County 15 7 6 2 23 13 +10 27
4 Doncaster 15 8 3 4 21 17 +4 27
5 Crewe 14 7 4 3 17 13 +4 25
6 Milton Keynes Dons 15 7 3 5 24 17 +7 24
7 Grimsby 15 8 0 7 19 25 -6 24
8 Gillingham 15 7 2 6 16 12 +4 23
9 Chesterfield 15 5 7 3 28 18 +10 22
10 Bradford 15 6 4 5 20 16 +4 22
11 Barrow 15 6 4 5 16 12 +4 22
12 Fleetwood Town 14 5 6 3 20 15 +5 21
13 Salford 15 5 5 5 14 17 -3 20
14 AFC Wimbledon 12 6 1 5 18 10 +8 19
15 Newport County 15 6 1 8 19 26 -7 19
16 Cheltenham 15 5 3 7 19 22 -3 18
17 Tranmere 14 4 5 5 10 17 -7 17
18 Accrington 14 4 4 6 18 22 -4 16
19 Bromley 14 3 6 5 16 18 -2 15
20 Harrogate 15 4 3 8 12 21 -9 15
21 Colchester 14 2 7 5 17 21 -4 13
22 Swindon 15 2 6 7 16 23 -7 12
23 Carlisle 15 3 2 10 13 28 -15 11
24 Morecambe 15 2 4 9 14 26 -12 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 7 5 1 1 15 10 +5 16
2 AFC Wimbledon 6 5 0 1 15 3 +12 15
3 Barrow 8 4 3 1 12 5 +7 15
4 Gillingham 8 5 0 3 12 6 +6 15
5 Milton Keynes Dons 8 4 2 2 12 7 +5 14
6 Bradford 7 4 2 1 11 6 +5 14
7 Port Vale 7 4 2 1 12 8 +4 14
8 Crewe 7 4 2 1 10 7 +3 14
9 Doncaster 8 4 2 2 9 7 +2 14
10 Notts County 7 4 1 2 10 5 +5 13
11 Newport County 7 4 1 2 12 11 +1 13
12 Salford 8 4 0 4 7 9 -2 12
13 Cheltenham 8 3 2 3 10 11 -1 11
14 Accrington 7 2 4 1 9 8 +1 10
15 Fleetwood Town 7 2 4 1 6 5 +1 10
16 Tranmere 7 2 3 2 4 5 -1 9
17 Chesterfield 8 1 6 1 10 12 -2 9
18 Harrogate 8 3 0 5 7 12 -5 9
19 Grimsby 7 3 0 4 9 15 -6 9
20 Colchester 7 2 2 3 8 6 +2 8
21 Bromley 7 1 3 3 10 12 -2 6
22 Swindon 7 1 2 4 7 11 -4 5
23 Carlisle 7 1 1 5 7 12 -5 4
24 Morecambe 7 0 3 4 8 15 -7 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Port Vale 8 5 1 2 11 8 +3 16
2 Grimsby 8 5 0 3 10 10 0 15
3 Notts County 8 3 5 0 13 8 +5 14
4 Chesterfield 7 4 1 2 18 6 +12 13
5 Doncaster 7 4 1 2 12 10 +2 13
6 Walsall 7 3 2 2 12 5 +7 11
7 Fleetwood Town 7 3 2 2 14 10 +4 11
8 Crewe 7 3 2 2 7 6 +1 11
9 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 1 3 12 10 +2 10
10 Bromley 7 2 3 2 6 6 0 9
11 Bradford 8 2 2 4 9 10 -1 8
12 Salford 7 1 5 1 7 8 -1 8
13 Gillingham 7 2 2 3 4 6 -2 8
14 Tranmere 7 2 2 3 6 12 -6 8
15 Cheltenham 7 2 1 4 9 11 -2 7
16 Swindon 8 1 4 3 9 12 -3 7
17 Barrow 7 2 1 4 4 7 -3 7
18 Morecambe 8 2 1 5 6 11 -5 7
19 Carlisle 8 2 1 5 6 16 -10 7
20 Harrogate 7 1 3 3 5 9 -4 6
21 Accrington 7 2 0 5 9 14 -5 6
22 Newport County 8 2 0 6 7 15 -8 6
23 Colchester 7 0 5 2 9 15 -6 5
24 AFC Wimbledon 6 1 1 4 3 7 -4 4

Accrington   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Grimsby 15 5 10 1.3 1.7 8 0 7 19 25 24
2 15 Newport County 15 5 10 1.3 1.7 6 1 8 19 26 19
3 9 Chesterfield 15 6 9 1.9 1.2 5 7 3 28 18 22
4 10 Bradford 15 6 9 1.3 1.1 6 4 5 20 16 22
5 18 Accrington 14 5 9 1.3 1.6 4 4 6 18 22 16
6 2 Walsall 14 6 8 1.9 1.1 8 3 3 27 15 27
7 6 Milton Keynes Dons 15 7 8 1.6 1.1 7 3 5 24 17 24
8 16 Cheltenham 15 7 8 1.3 1.5 5 3 7 19 22 18
9 22 Swindon 15 7 8 1.1 1.5 2 6 7 16 23 12
10 23 Carlisle 15 7 8 0.9 1.9 3 2 10 13 28 11
11 1 Port Vale 15 8 7 1.5 1.1 9 3 3 23 16 30
12 4 Doncaster 15 8 7 1.4 1.1 8 3 4 21 17 27
13 24 Morecambe 15 8 7 0.9 1.7 2 4 9 14 26 10
14 12 Fleetwood Town 14 8 6 1.4 1.1 5 6 3 20 15 21
15 13 Salford 15 9 6 0.9 1.1 5 5 5 14 17 20
16 17 Tranmere 14 8 6 0.7 1.2 4 5 5 10 17 17
17 21 Colchester 14 8 6 1.2 1.5 2 7 5 17 21 13
18 3 Notts County 15 10 5 1.5 0.9 7 6 2 23 13 27
19 5 Crewe 14 9 5 1.2 0.9 7 4 3 17 13 25
20 14 AFC Wimbledon 12 7 5 1.5 0.8 6 1 5 18 10 19
21 19 Bromley 14 9 5 1.1 1.3 3 6 5 16 18 15
22 20 Harrogate 15 10 5 0.8 1.4 4 3 8 12 21 15
23 8 Gillingham 15 11 4 1.1 0.8 7 2 6 16 12 23
24 11 Barrow 15 12 3 1.1 0.8 6 4 5 16 12 22
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Grimsby 7 1 6 1.3 2.1 3 0 4 9 15 9
2 15 Newport County 7 1 6 1.7 1.6 4 1 2 12 11 13
3 2 Walsall 7 2 5 2.1 1.4 5 1 1 15 10 16
4 10 Bradford 7 2 5 1.6 0.9 4 2 1 11 6 14
5 1 Port Vale 7 3 4 1.7 1.1 4 2 1 12 8 14
6 6 Milton Keynes Dons 8 4 4 1.5 0.9 4 2 2 12 7 14
7 9 Chesterfield 8 4 4 1.2 1.5 1 6 1 10 12 9
8 14 AFC Wimbledon 6 2 4 2.5 0.5 5 0 1 15 3 15
9 19 Bromley 7 3 4 1.4 1.7 1 3 3 10 12 6
10 22 Swindon 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 1 2 4 7 11 5
11 5 Crewe 7 4 3 1.4 1.0 4 2 1 10 7 14
12 8 Gillingham 8 5 3 1.5 0.8 5 0 3 12 6 15
13 13 Salford 8 5 3 0.9 1.1 4 0 4 7 9 12
14 16 Cheltenham 8 5 3 1.2 1.4 3 2 3 10 11 11
15 18 Accrington 7 4 3 1.3 1.1 2 4 1 9 8 10
16 20 Harrogate 8 5 3 0.9 1.5 3 0 5 7 12 9
17 21 Colchester 7 4 3 1.1 0.9 2 2 3 8 6 8
18 23 Carlisle 7 4 3 1.0 1.7 1 1 5 7 12 4
19 24 Morecambe 7 4 3 1.1 2.1 0 3 4 8 15 3
20 3 Notts County 7 5 2 1.4 0.7 4 1 2 10 5 13
21 4 Doncaster 8 6 2 1.1 0.9 4 2 2 9 7 14
22 11 Barrow 8 6 2 1.5 0.6 4 3 1 12 5 15
23 12 Fleetwood Town 7 5 2 0.9 0.7 2 4 1 6 5 10
24 17 Tranmere 7 6 1 0.6 0.7 2 3 2 4 5 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Accrington 7 1 6 1.3 2.0 2 0 5 9 14 6
2 4 Doncaster 7 2 5 1.7 1.4 4 1 2 12 10 13
3 9 Chesterfield 7 2 5 2.6 0.9 4 1 2 18 6 13
4 16 Cheltenham 7 2 5 1.3 1.6 2 1 4 9 11 7
5 17 Tranmere 7 2 5 0.9 1.7 2 2 3 6 12 8
6 23 Carlisle 8 3 5 0.8 2.0 2 1 5 6 16 7
7 6 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 3 1 3 12 10 10
8 7 Grimsby 8 4 4 1.2 1.2 5 0 3 10 10 15
9 10 Bradford 8 4 4 1.1 1.2 2 2 4 9 10 8
10 12 Fleetwood Town 7 3 4 2.0 1.4 3 2 2 14 10 11
11 15 Newport County 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 2 0 6 7 15 6
12 22 Swindon 8 4 4 1.1 1.5 1 4 3 9 12 7
13 24 Morecambe 8 4 4 0.8 1.4 2 1 5 6 11 7
14 1 Port Vale 8 5 3 1.4 1.0 5 1 2 11 8 16
15 2 Walsall 7 4 3 1.7 0.7 3 2 2 12 5 11
16 3 Notts County 8 5 3 1.6 1.0 3 5 0 13 8 14
17 13 Salford 7 4 3 1.0 1.1 1 5 1 7 8 8
18 21 Colchester 7 4 3 1.3 2.1 0 5 2 9 15 5
19 5 Crewe 7 5 2 1.0 0.9 3 2 2 7 6 11
20 20 Harrogate 7 5 2 0.7 1.3 1 3 3 5 9 6
21 8 Gillingham 7 6 1 0.6 0.9 2 2 3 4 6 8
22 11 Barrow 7 6 1 0.6 1.0 2 1 4 4 7 7
23 14 AFC Wimbledon 6 5 1 0.5 1.2 1 1 4 3 7 4
24 19 Bromley 7 6 1 0.9 0.9 2 3 2 6 6 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51