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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Barrott

Bournemouth 2–1 Burnley

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.15 fair 2.32
Draw 3.50 fair 4.13
Away 3.30 fair 3.05
Under 2.5 2.05 fair 2.34
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 1.74

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bournemouth Burnley
13 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
10 Corners 5
9 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (92 league matches this season so far).
Result Bournemouth to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.67
Expected goals 1.61 – 1.38
Home / Draw / Away
BournemouthDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 2–1 9% 1–0 8.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Bournemouth before this match, all matches
0.33points / match
0.67scored / match
2.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 6:20
Burnley before this match, all matches
0.44points / match
0.78scored / match
2.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 7:23
Bournemouth all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

0.67 Goals scored 0.78
2.22 Goals conceded 2.56
2.89 Total goals 3.33
11.22 Shots 10.11
3.89 Shots on target 2.67
18.56 Shots faced 16.44
4.56 Corners 5.67
6.44 Corners against 5.00
14.00 Fouls 10.89
1.67 Yellow cards 2.11
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.44
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.11

How often Full Time

0% Wins 11%
33% Draws 11%
67% Losses 78%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 89%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
44% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 22%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
56% Both teams scored 56%
11% Clean sheets 0%
44% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

11% Wins 22%
44% Draws 11%
44% Losses 67%
78% Over 0.5 goals 100%
56% Over 1.5 goals 44%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bournemouth all matches
Burnley all matches
Bournemouth before this match, at home
0.40points / match
0.40scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 2:9
Burnley before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.75scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:7
Bournemouth at home away Burnley

Per match

0.40 Goals scored 0.75
1.80 Goals conceded 1.75
2.20 Total goals 2.50
10.60 Shots 9.50
3.40 Shots on target 2.50
16.40 Shots faced 18.75
5.20 Corners 4.50
6.20 Corners against 5.50
13.60 Fouls 10.75
1.00 Yellow cards 2.50
0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

0% Wins 25%
40% Draws 25%
60% Losses 50%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
40% Over 2.5 goals 50%
20% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 50%
20% Clean sheets 0%
60% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 50%
40% Draws 0%
40% Losses 50%
60% Over 0.5 goals 100%
20% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bournemouth at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Bournemouth – Wolves 1–2 (1–0) 2.383.403.00 1.85 2.05
07.10.23 Everton – Bournemouth 3–0 (2–0) 1.913.603.80 1.85 2.05
30.09.23 Bournemouth – Arsenal 0–4 (0–2) 5.504.501.53 1.53 2.50
24.09.23 Brighton – Bournemouth 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.257.50 1.36 3.20
17.09.23 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.80 1.67 2.20
02.09.23 Brentford – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–1) 1.733.804.75 1.73 2.10
26.08.23 Bournemouth – Tottenham 0–2 (0–1) 3.803.751.91 1.53 2.50
19.08.23 Liverpool – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.33 3.40
12.08.23 Bournemouth – West Ham 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.402.55 1.90 2.00
28.05.23 Everton – Bournemouth 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.506.50 1.67 2.20

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Brentford – Burnley 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.754.20 1.95 1.95
07.10.23 Burnley – Chelsea 1–4 (1–1) 4.503.801.73 1.85 2.05
03.10.23 Luton – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.20 1.65
30.09.23 Newcastle – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50
23.09.23 Burnley – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 4.204.201.73 1.62 2.30
18.09.23 Nott'm Forest – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.25 1.92 1.98
02.09.23 Burnley – Tottenham 2–5 (1–2) 3.604.001.85 1.62 2.30
27.08.23 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.403.402.15 1.86 2.04
11.08.23 Burnley – Man City 0–3 (0–2) 8.005.501.33 1.67 2.20
08.05.23E1 Burnley – Cardiff 3–0 (2–0) 1.334.7510.00 1.67 2.20

Bournemouth at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Bournemouth – Wolves 1–2 (1–0) 2.383.403.00 1.85 2.05
30.09.23 Bournemouth – Arsenal 0–4 (0–2) 5.504.501.53 1.53 2.50
17.09.23 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.80 1.67 2.20
26.08.23 Bournemouth – Tottenham 0–2 (0–1) 3.803.751.91 1.53 2.50
12.08.23 Bournemouth – West Ham 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.402.55 1.90 2.00
20.05.23 Bournemouth – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.751.50 1.57 2.38
06.05.23 Bournemouth – Chelsea 1–3 (1–1) 3.303.502.15 1.99 1.91
30.04.23 Bournemouth – Leeds 4–1 (2–1) 2.553.502.70 1.80 2.00
23.04.23 Bournemouth – West Ham 0–4 (0–3) 2.883.202.55 2.10 1.73
04.04.23 Bournemouth – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.201.53 1.80 2.00

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Brentford – Burnley 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.754.20 1.95 1.95
03.10.23 Luton – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.20 1.65
30.09.23 Newcastle – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50
18.09.23 Nott'm Forest – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.25 1.92 1.98
29.04.23E1 Bristol City – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 3.753.502.00 1.98 1.88
25.04.23E1 Blackburn – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.402.15 2.10 1.73
18.04.23E1 Rotherham – Burnley 2–2 (1–1) 5.503.801.65 2.10 1.73
15.04.23E1 Reading – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 7.004.001.53 2.10 1.73
07.04.23E1 Middlesbrough – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 2.05 1.80
15.03.23E1 Hull – Burnley 1–3 (0–1) 4.503.501.83 2.30 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 10 8 2 0 22 9 +13 26
2 Man City 9 7 0 2 19 7 +12 21
3 Arsenal 9 6 3 0 18 8 +10 21
4 Liverpool 9 6 2 1 20 9 +11 20
5 Aston Villa 9 6 1 2 23 13 +10 19
6 Newcastle 9 5 1 3 24 9 +15 16
7 Brighton 9 5 1 3 22 18 +4 16
8 Man United 9 5 0 4 11 13 -2 15
9 West Ham 9 4 2 3 16 16 0 14
10 Brentford 10 3 4 3 16 12 +4 13
11 Chelsea 10 3 3 4 13 11 +2 12
12 Crystal Palace 10 3 3 4 8 13 -5 12
13 Wolves 9 3 2 4 11 15 -4 11
14 Fulham 9 3 2 4 8 15 -7 11
15 Nott'm Forest 9 2 4 3 10 12 -2 10
16 Everton 9 2 1 6 9 14 -5 7
17 Luton 9 1 2 6 8 17 -9 5
18 Burnley 9 1 1 7 7 23 -16 4
19 Bournemouth 9 0 3 6 6 20 -14 3
20 Sheffield United 9 0 1 8 7 24 -17 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Aston Villa 4 4 0 0 17 3 +14 12
2 Newcastle 5 4 0 1 13 3 +10 12
3 Liverpool 4 4 0 0 11 2 +9 12
4 Man City 4 4 0 0 10 2 +8 12
5 Tottenham 4 4 0 0 8 2 +6 12
6 Arsenal 5 3 2 0 10 6 +4 11
7 Brighton 5 3 1 1 13 8 +5 10
8 Man United 5 3 0 2 7 7 0 9
9 West Ham 4 2 1 1 8 6 +2 7
10 Brentford 5 1 3 1 9 8 +1 6
11 Nott'm Forest 4 1 3 0 6 5 +1 6
12 Fulham 4 2 0 2 4 6 -2 6
13 Chelsea 6 1 2 3 6 7 -1 5
14 Crystal Palace 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5
15 Wolves 4 1 1 2 5 9 -4 4
16 Everton 5 1 0 4 4 5 -1 3
17 Bournemouth 5 0 2 3 2 9 -7 2
18 Luton 4 0 1 3 3 6 -3 1
19 Sheffield United 5 0 1 4 4 15 -11 1
20 Burnley 5 0 0 5 4 16 -12 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 6 4 2 0 14 7 +7 14
2 Arsenal 4 3 1 0 8 2 +6 10
3 Man City 5 3 0 2 9 5 +4 9
4 Liverpool 5 2 2 1 9 7 +2 8
5 Brentford 5 2 1 2 7 4 +3 7
6 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 7 4 +3 7
7 Wolves 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7
8 West Ham 5 2 1 2 8 10 -2 7
9 Aston Villa 5 2 1 2 6 10 -4 7
10 Crystal Palace 5 2 1 2 4 8 -4 7
11 Brighton 4 2 0 2 9 10 -1 6
12 Man United 4 2 0 2 4 6 -2 6
13 Fulham 5 1 2 2 4 9 -5 5
14 Newcastle 4 1 1 2 11 6 +5 4
15 Nott'm Forest 5 1 1 3 4 7 -3 4
16 Everton 4 1 1 2 5 9 -4 4
17 Burnley 4 1 1 2 3 7 -4 4
18 Luton 5 1 1 3 5 11 -6 4
19 Bournemouth 4 0 1 3 4 11 -7 1
20 Sheffield United 4 0 0 4 3 9 -6 0

Bournemouth   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Brighton 9 0 9 2.4 2.0 5 1 3 22 18 16
2 4 Liverpool 9 2 7 2.2 1.0 6 2 1 20 9 20
3 5 Aston Villa 9 2 7 2.6 1.4 6 1 2 23 13 19
4 9 West Ham 9 2 7 1.8 1.8 4 2 3 16 16 14
5 20 Sheffield United 9 2 7 0.8 2.7 0 1 8 7 24 1
6 1 Tottenham 10 4 6 2.2 0.9 8 2 0 22 9 26
7 2 Man City 9 3 6 2.1 0.8 7 0 2 19 7 21
8 3 Arsenal 9 3 6 2.0 0.9 6 3 0 18 8 21
9 6 Newcastle 9 3 6 2.7 1.0 5 1 3 24 9 16
10 10 Brentford 10 4 6 1.6 1.2 3 4 3 16 12 13
11 17 Luton 9 3 6 0.9 1.9 1 2 6 8 17 5
12 18 Burnley 9 3 6 0.8 2.6 1 1 7 7 23 4
13 19 Bournemouth 9 3 6 0.7 2.2 0 3 6 6 20 3
14 8 Man United 9 4 5 1.2 1.4 5 0 4 11 13 15
15 13 Wolves 9 4 5 1.2 1.7 3 2 4 11 15 11
16 16 Everton 9 4 5 1.0 1.6 2 1 6 9 14 7
17 11 Chelsea 10 6 4 1.3 1.1 3 3 4 13 11 12
18 12 Crystal Palace 10 6 4 0.8 1.3 3 3 4 8 13 12
19 14 Fulham 9 5 4 0.9 1.7 3 2 4 8 15 11
20 15 Nott'm Forest 9 5 4 1.1 1.3 2 4 3 10 12 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Brighton 5 0 5 2.6 1.6 3 1 1 13 8 10
2 3 Arsenal 5 1 4 2.0 1.2 3 2 0 10 6 11
3 5 Aston Villa 4 0 4 4.2 0.8 4 0 0 17 3 12
4 10 Brentford 5 1 4 1.8 1.6 1 3 1 9 8 6
5 18 Burnley 5 1 4 0.8 3.2 0 0 5 4 16 0
6 20 Sheffield United 5 1 4 0.8 3.0 0 1 4 4 15 1
7 4 Liverpool 4 1 3 2.8 0.5 4 0 0 11 2 12
8 6 Newcastle 5 2 3 2.6 0.6 4 0 1 13 3 12
9 8 Man United 5 2 3 1.4 1.4 3 0 2 7 7 9
10 9 West Ham 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 2 1 1 8 6 7
11 13 Wolves 4 1 3 1.2 2.2 1 1 2 5 9 4
12 1 Tottenham 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 4 0 0 8 2 12
13 2 Man City 4 2 2 2.5 0.5 4 0 0 10 2 12
14 11 Chelsea 6 4 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 3 6 7 5
15 12 Crystal Palace 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 1 2 2 4 5 5
16 14 Fulham 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 2 0 2 4 6 6
17 15 Nott'm Forest 4 2 2 1.5 1.2 1 3 0 6 5 6
18 16 Everton 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 1 0 4 4 5 3
19 17 Luton 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 1 3 3 6 1
20 19 Bournemouth 5 3 2 0.4 1.8 0 2 3 2 9 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Tottenham 6 2 4 2.3 1.2 4 2 0 14 7 14
2 2 Man City 5 1 4 1.8 1.0 3 0 2 9 5 9
3 4 Liverpool 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 2 2 1 9 7 8
4 7 Brighton 4 0 4 2.2 2.5 2 0 2 9 10 6
5 9 West Ham 5 1 4 1.6 2.0 2 1 2 8 10 7
6 17 Luton 5 1 4 1.0 2.2 1 1 3 5 11 4
7 19 Bournemouth 4 0 4 1.0 2.8 0 1 3 4 11 1
8 5 Aston Villa 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 2 1 2 6 10 7
9 6 Newcastle 4 1 3 2.8 1.5 1 1 2 11 6 4
10 16 Everton 4 1 3 1.2 2.2 1 1 2 5 9 4
11 20 Sheffield United 4 1 3 0.8 2.2 0 0 4 3 9 0
12 3 Arsenal 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 3 1 0 8 2 10
13 8 Man United 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 2 0 2 4 6 6
14 10 Brentford 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 2 1 2 7 4 7
15 11 Chelsea 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 2 1 1 7 4 7
16 12 Crystal Palace 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 2 1 2 4 8 7
17 13 Wolves 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7
18 14 Fulham 5 3 2 0.8 1.8 1 2 2 4 9 5
19 15 Nott'm Forest 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 1 1 3 4 7 4
20 18 Burnley 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 1 1 2 3 7 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51